Observation and Analysis for the Semiconductor Cycle with a State ...
Observation and Analysis for the Semiconductor Cycle with a State ...
Observation and Analysis for the Semiconductor Cycle with a State ...
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Summary of Results<br />
• Multivariate structural time model was applied <strong>for</strong><br />
semiconductor market <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> first time<br />
• <strong>Analysis</strong> successfully reproduced <strong>the</strong> historical market<br />
trends <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> six device categories<br />
• Observed cyclical behaviors were consistent <strong>with</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
changes of semiconductor market<br />
• The explanatory variables from principal components<br />
analysis supported <strong>the</strong> cyclical behavior by <strong>the</strong> structural<br />
time series model well<br />
• These results implied that this approach had a potential<br />
to provide a leading indicator of semiconductor cycle<br />
<strong>with</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r research <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> structure of cycle factor <strong>and</strong><br />
explanatory variables<br />
Graduate School of Business Science/University of Tsukuba<br />
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