Asian flexible packaging market â vibrant and colorful ... - Huhtamaki
Asian flexible packaging market â vibrant and colorful ... - Huhtamaki
Asian flexible packaging market â vibrant and colorful ... - Huhtamaki
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<strong>Asian</strong> <strong>flexible</strong> <strong>packaging</strong> <strong>market</strong> – <strong>vibrant</strong><br />
<strong>and</strong> <strong>colorful</strong> but not without challenges !<br />
Capital Markets Day<br />
September 16, 2008<br />
Suresh Gupta<br />
The Asia growth story<br />
Asia GDP at nominal rate<br />
exceeds Eurozone GDP<br />
in 2010…<br />
… provides bulk 37%<br />
volume purchasing<br />
power at price parity.<br />
Source: 2007 GDP – World Bank, 2008-10 Growth rate – EIU - Economist<br />
GDP at Nominal Rate<br />
Region<br />
2007<br />
USD ('000 Bn) %<br />
2010<br />
USD (Bn) %<br />
Asia (Excl Japan) 10.6 19.4% 12.9 21.9%<br />
Eurozone 12.2 22.4% 12.7 21.7%<br />
United States 13.8 25.4% 14.4 24.5%<br />
Rest 17.8 32.7% 18.7 31.9%<br />
World 54.4 100.0% 58.7 100.0%<br />
At Purchase Price Parity Rate<br />
Region<br />
2007<br />
USD (Bn) %<br />
2010<br />
USD (Bn) %<br />
Asia (Excl Japan) 20.4 33.7% 25.0 37.2%<br />
Eurozone 10.4 17.1% 10.9 16.1%<br />
United States 13.8 22.8% 14.4 21.5%<br />
Rest 15.9 26.3% 17.0 25.3%<br />
World 60.5 100.0% 67.3 100.0%<br />
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The <strong>Asian</strong> growth story<br />
Asia – seen as innovative <strong>and</strong> most attractive for investment.<br />
- Fifth E&Y European Survey<br />
“Five most innovative countries ranked<br />
by voters were US, China, Germany,<br />
Japan <strong>and</strong> India. These five countries<br />
were ranked ahead of UK, France,<br />
Finl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Sweden”.<br />
“China <strong>and</strong> India voted as the most<br />
attractive countries for investments”.<br />
“Businesses are chasing growth through<br />
<strong>Asian</strong> consumers’ growing spending power”.<br />
The <strong>Asian</strong> consumption boom from rising<br />
income levels<br />
All figures in Mn Households<br />
Source: NCAER<br />
Example India:<br />
• Addition of 239 million to<br />
consuming class in 11 years<br />
• Reduction in Aspirants <strong>and</strong><br />
Destitutes by 225 million<br />
• 2007 retail consumers (rich<br />
+ consuming) – 450 million<br />
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Asia retail boom <strong>and</strong> modern retail growth<br />
India example<br />
• Developing Asia is seeing fast growth<br />
in modern retail within a large <strong>and</strong><br />
growing retail <strong>market</strong>.<br />
• Indian retail <strong>market</strong><br />
2006 – USD 300 bn<br />
2010 – USD 427 bn<br />
• Food, beverage & tobacco segment<br />
dominates:<br />
2006 – USD 195 bn<br />
2010 – USD 256 bn<br />
• Modern retail only USD 11 bn in<br />
2006, growing rapidly to USD 35 bn<br />
in 2010.<br />
(Source: Technopak)<br />
Why the change in retail?<br />
Because people change!<br />
“Traditional”<br />
New<br />
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6<br />
3
Fast changing <strong>Asian</strong> retail l<strong>and</strong>scape…<br />
Thail<strong>and</strong><br />
Traditional New<br />
Fast changing <strong>Asian</strong> retail l<strong>and</strong>scape…<br />
India<br />
Traditional New<br />
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8<br />
4
Fast changing <strong>Asian</strong> retail l<strong>and</strong>scape…<br />
<strong>Asian</strong> retail <strong>market</strong> attractiveness<br />
(Source: A. T. Kearney)<br />
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10<br />
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The retail story <strong>and</strong> the power of <strong>packaging</strong><br />
“Packaging Packaging is the only h<strong>and</strong>shake that<br />
a product has with the consumer” consumer<br />
The <strong>Asian</strong> growth story for <strong>flexible</strong>s<br />
Per capita <strong>flexible</strong> <strong>packaging</strong> consumption<br />
Rapid growth in consumer<br />
purchasing power <strong>and</strong><br />
growing aspirations of the<br />
<strong>Asian</strong> consumer who will<br />
no longer be denied…<br />
North America<br />
Western Europe<br />
Centr. & S. America<br />
Easter Europe<br />
Asia Pacific<br />
M. East & Africa<br />
Source: FPE<br />
By region<br />
By Region<br />
By Region<br />
By selected country<br />
$0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35<br />
US<br />
Japan<br />
Germany<br />
Australia<br />
China<br />
India<br />
$0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40 $45<br />
11<br />
…provides a great<br />
opportunity as very low<br />
per capita consumption<br />
will inevitably increase<br />
<strong>and</strong> drive <strong>flexible</strong><br />
<strong>packaging</strong> growth.<br />
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Flexibles <strong>market</strong> growth driven by <strong>Asian</strong><br />
emerging economies<br />
“Dynamic growth in food processing will make<br />
the Asia-Pacific region the global leader<br />
for <strong>flexible</strong> <strong>packaging</strong> by 2010.”<br />
“…global dem<strong>and</strong> will be underpinned by<br />
continuing rapid economic growth in many<br />
<strong>Asian</strong> <strong>market</strong>s, especially India <strong>and</strong> China<br />
(where <strong>flexible</strong> <strong>packaging</strong> <strong>market</strong> growth<br />
forecast 15-17% p.a.)”<br />
“…trend from rigid to <strong>flexible</strong> <strong>packaging</strong> in<br />
pursuit of lower costs”<br />
World <strong>flexible</strong> <strong>packaging</strong> <strong>market</strong>s 2005 <strong>and</strong> 2010 forecast<br />
Region 2005 2010 Avg. p.a. growth<br />
EUR bn EUR bn 2005 to 2010<br />
Europe 10.7 11.5 0.6<br />
Asia Pacific 10.4 15.3 6.5<br />
North America 11.7 14.0 4.1<br />
Central & S. America 2.1 2.8 4.4<br />
M. East & Africa 1.2 1.5 5.1<br />
Total world 36.0 45.1 3.7<br />
“…rapid population growth <strong>and</strong> exp<strong>and</strong>ing food-processing industries in many emerging<br />
economies.”<br />
“…huge volumes of food products in the developing world, that continue to be sold without any<br />
<strong>packaging</strong>, represent an incalculable opportunity for <strong>flexible</strong> <strong>packaging</strong> over the long term.”<br />
“…the <strong>market</strong>s within Indonesia <strong>and</strong> Thail<strong>and</strong> offer a wealth of opportunities for <strong>flexible</strong>s”<br />
– Study author Paul Gaster<br />
Source: PCI<br />
The <strong>Asian</strong> growth story<br />
<strong>Huhtamaki</strong> Asia Flexibles<br />
Flexibles Global 2007 sales MEUR 512, of which Asia-Oceania represents<br />
approximately one-third<br />
Europe<br />
Americas<br />
Asia-Oceania<br />
Vietnam<br />
Oceania<br />
Thail<strong>and</strong><br />
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14<br />
India<br />
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<strong>Huhtamaki</strong> Asia Flexibles<br />
Locations<br />
Network of 2,310 employees <strong>and</strong> 7 plants, synergized in servicing leading<br />
regional <strong>and</strong> global key accounts located within the region <strong>and</strong> abroad.<br />
<strong>Huhtamaki</strong> Asia Flexibles<br />
India<br />
Existing site reconstructed –<br />
to be operational by end 2008<br />
Thane<br />
Bangalaru<br />
Delhi<br />
Silvassa<br />
Rudrapur<br />
Hyderabad<br />
Chennai<br />
Green field – 2007<br />
Kolkata<br />
• Market leader focused on premium<br />
segment<br />
• 26% share of premium segment,<br />
9.5% share of total <strong>market</strong><br />
• Competitors in premium <strong>market</strong> incl.<br />
Uniflex, Positive <strong>packaging</strong>, Essel<br />
Manufacturing<br />
Technology center<br />
Sales & service offices<br />
Sales offices<br />
Manufacturing<br />
R&D center<br />
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16<br />
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<strong>Huhtamaki</strong> Asia Flexibles<br />
India<br />
Products: <strong>flexible</strong>s, specialized pouches, labels <strong>and</strong> cartons<br />
Customers:<br />
<strong>Huhtamaki</strong> Asia Flexibles<br />
Thail<strong>and</strong><br />
• Market share: 10.4% (<strong>market</strong> leader in food<br />
<strong>packaging</strong> – focus on packaged food exporters)<br />
• Number 3 in total <strong>market</strong><br />
• Main competition: Alcan, Fuji Seal, Thai Offset,<br />
Daiichi<br />
Greenfield site – commercial July’08<br />
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<strong>Huhtamaki</strong> Asia Flexibles<br />
Thail<strong>and</strong><br />
Products: <strong>flexible</strong> <strong>packaging</strong><br />
Customers:<br />
<strong>Huhtamaki</strong> Asia Flexibles<br />
Vietnam<br />
• 5% share of total <strong>market</strong> (nr. 5)<br />
• Focused on multinational customers e.g. Nestle,<br />
P&G, Cadbury, Bayer – one of two leaders in this<br />
segment<br />
• Total <strong>market</strong> leader – Tan Tian (12.5% <strong>market</strong> share)<br />
19<br />
20<br />
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<strong>Huhtamaki</strong> Asia Flexibles<br />
Vietnam<br />
Products:<br />
Customers:<br />
<strong>Huhtamaki</strong> Asia Flexibles<br />
World class technology <strong>and</strong> skill base<br />
Certifications – ISO 9001, HACCP, GMP, BRC-IoP<br />
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<strong>Huhtamaki</strong> global <strong>flexible</strong> locations <strong>and</strong><br />
technology centers<br />
Exports from Asia<br />
INDIA - SERVICING OVER 103 CUSTOMERS, IN 42 COUNTRIES ACROSS 6 CONTINENTS<br />
VIETNAM – CURRENTLY EXPORTS TO AUSTRALIA, NEW ZEALAND, INDONESIA AND SOUTH AFRICA<br />
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<strong>Asian</strong> <strong>flexible</strong> <strong>packaging</strong> <strong>market</strong><br />
Challenges<br />
Raw material prices: surge driven by crude oil – petrochemical chain inflation<br />
Pricing:<br />
• Very few relevant raw material suppliers e.g. in polymer resins.<br />
• <strong>Asian</strong> <strong>flexible</strong> <strong>packaging</strong> supplier industry – highly fragmented <strong>and</strong> by nature<br />
price aggressive – going for volumes. Depreciation not recognized as a cost.<br />
Finance cost not treated as important. Easy finance available – interest is<br />
“payable when able”.<br />
• Customers – dominated by powerful large companies – wield buying power.<br />
• Pressure from buyers of <strong>flexible</strong> <strong>packaging</strong> on price not met with sufficient<br />
resistance… <strong>and</strong>, <strong>Asian</strong> buyers are hardest, most ruthless bargainers…<br />
• Result = the <strong>Asian</strong> <strong>flexible</strong>s <strong>market</strong><br />
most price competitive – serious issues<br />
in recovery of full impact of raw material Flexibles supplier industry<br />
prices from customers.<br />
<strong>Asian</strong> <strong>flexible</strong> <strong>packaging</strong> <strong>market</strong><br />
Challenges (cont.)<br />
Inflation: developing Asia recently hit by high inflation. Official August figures:<br />
• India - 13%<br />
• Thail<strong>and</strong> - 9.5%<br />
• Vietnam - 27% (also, battling a currency crisis which hit end of May)<br />
Attrition rates:<br />
• High growth creates severe shortage of skilled people. Attrition rate in India <strong>and</strong><br />
Thail<strong>and</strong> rises to over 20% in manufacturing sector <strong>and</strong> in Vietnam to over 30%.<br />
Infrastructure:<br />
• Infrastructure capacity lagging far behind industry <strong>and</strong> consumer dem<strong>and</strong><br />
growth – particularly India.<br />
• Power crisis in India as supply falls short of growing dem<strong>and</strong>.<br />
• Inefficient bureaucracy an impediment to efficiency. Political interference in<br />
much needed reforms like labor laws – can make business life pretty onerous in<br />
India <strong>and</strong> Vietnam.<br />
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The “prescription”<br />
• Sweat assets in place – maximize capacity utilization<br />
• Bring down operating working capital days<br />
• Continue to drive sales growth<br />
– Invest in advanced technological capability <strong>and</strong> capacity<br />
– Stepwise program based on first sweating assets in place<br />
• Innovation<br />
– Drive Asia NASP program (New Applications, New Structures, New<br />
Processes <strong>and</strong> Products)<br />
– Current rate 24% of annual sales<br />
• Drive quality <strong>and</strong> service excellence – maintain lead over competition<br />
The “prescription” (cont.)<br />
• Drive business excellence program for cost out<br />
– Second wave of six sigma being rolled out<br />
– New ERP in India <strong>and</strong> ERP initiatives in Thail<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Vietnam<br />
– NASP being used for improving material efficiency<br />
• Control all expenses despite high inflation<br />
– Reduce as percent to sales<br />
– Current percentage below 2007<br />
• Complete sales price increase implementation<br />
• Improve HR initiatives to control attrition <strong>and</strong> improve team capability<br />
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Success stories<br />
Cadbury relationship strong through innovation<br />
• Cadbury needed premium differentiated <strong>packaging</strong><br />
for chocolate for children.<br />
• <strong>Huhtamaki</strong> developed a uniquely attractive<br />
holographic enhanced high barrier laminate.<br />
• Solution phase 2: added “glow in dark” to the<br />
package.<br />
• New Cadbury relationship with <strong>Huhtamaki</strong><br />
Vietnam: appointed in Aug’08 as global supplier<br />
for Cadbury TNCC product range – start 2009.<br />
The Panadol counterfeit issue<br />
• Panadol is a life saving OTC drug for Nigerians.<br />
However, over 50% of “Panadol” was found<br />
counterfeit.<br />
• <strong>Huhtamaki</strong> developed first in the world a unique<br />
anti-counterfeit hologram to protect each line of<br />
tablets in Panadol strip pack.<br />
• Solution phase 2: hologram to protect each tablet<br />
separately. Commercial supplies Q4’2008. Dupont Diamond Award<br />
for Technical Excellence<br />
Success stories (cont.)<br />
Team work in <strong>Huhtamaki</strong> Flexibles Global drives new development of retort pet food<br />
<strong>packaging</strong> for Mars Thail<strong>and</strong> factory for export to Japan. Commercial 2007.<br />
Christian Fenn-Barrabass<br />
Ronsberg, Germany<br />
Sawitree Buranapaiboon<br />
<strong>Huhtamaki</strong> Thail<strong>and</strong><br />
Carlo Alberto Zaggia<br />
Global Innovation Director<br />
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Ashish Pradhan<br />
Technical Director, India<br />
30<br />
15
Summary<br />
• Asia Flexibles <strong>market</strong> represents a clear growth opportunity<br />
• <strong>Huhtamaki</strong> is well positioned for growth in Asia<br />
• However, real challenges in the <strong>market</strong> must be overcome – for which<br />
the action plan is clear<br />
Thank you for your attention!<br />
www.huhtamaki.com » Investors<br />
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