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Asian flexible packaging market – vibrant and colorful ... - Huhtamaki

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<strong>Asian</strong> <strong>flexible</strong> <strong>packaging</strong> <strong>market</strong> – <strong>vibrant</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>colorful</strong> but not without challenges !<br />

Capital Markets Day<br />

September 16, 2008<br />

Suresh Gupta<br />

The Asia growth story<br />

Asia GDP at nominal rate<br />

exceeds Eurozone GDP<br />

in 2010…<br />

… provides bulk 37%<br />

volume purchasing<br />

power at price parity.<br />

Source: 2007 GDP – World Bank, 2008-10 Growth rate – EIU - Economist<br />

GDP at Nominal Rate<br />

Region<br />

2007<br />

USD ('000 Bn) %<br />

2010<br />

USD (Bn) %<br />

Asia (Excl Japan) 10.6 19.4% 12.9 21.9%<br />

Eurozone 12.2 22.4% 12.7 21.7%<br />

United States 13.8 25.4% 14.4 24.5%<br />

Rest 17.8 32.7% 18.7 31.9%<br />

World 54.4 100.0% 58.7 100.0%<br />

At Purchase Price Parity Rate<br />

Region<br />

2007<br />

USD (Bn) %<br />

2010<br />

USD (Bn) %<br />

Asia (Excl Japan) 20.4 33.7% 25.0 37.2%<br />

Eurozone 10.4 17.1% 10.9 16.1%<br />

United States 13.8 22.8% 14.4 21.5%<br />

Rest 15.9 26.3% 17.0 25.3%<br />

World 60.5 100.0% 67.3 100.0%<br />

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The <strong>Asian</strong> growth story<br />

Asia – seen as innovative <strong>and</strong> most attractive for investment.<br />

- Fifth E&Y European Survey<br />

“Five most innovative countries ranked<br />

by voters were US, China, Germany,<br />

Japan <strong>and</strong> India. These five countries<br />

were ranked ahead of UK, France,<br />

Finl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Sweden”.<br />

“China <strong>and</strong> India voted as the most<br />

attractive countries for investments”.<br />

“Businesses are chasing growth through<br />

<strong>Asian</strong> consumers’ growing spending power”.<br />

The <strong>Asian</strong> consumption boom from rising<br />

income levels<br />

All figures in Mn Households<br />

Source: NCAER<br />

Example India:<br />

• Addition of 239 million to<br />

consuming class in 11 years<br />

• Reduction in Aspirants <strong>and</strong><br />

Destitutes by 225 million<br />

• 2007 retail consumers (rich<br />

+ consuming) – 450 million<br />

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4<br />

2


Asia retail boom <strong>and</strong> modern retail growth<br />

India example<br />

• Developing Asia is seeing fast growth<br />

in modern retail within a large <strong>and</strong><br />

growing retail <strong>market</strong>.<br />

• Indian retail <strong>market</strong><br />

2006 – USD 300 bn<br />

2010 – USD 427 bn<br />

• Food, beverage & tobacco segment<br />

dominates:<br />

2006 – USD 195 bn<br />

2010 – USD 256 bn<br />

• Modern retail only USD 11 bn in<br />

2006, growing rapidly to USD 35 bn<br />

in 2010.<br />

(Source: Technopak)<br />

Why the change in retail?<br />

Because people change!<br />

“Traditional”<br />

New<br />

5<br />

6<br />

3


Fast changing <strong>Asian</strong> retail l<strong>and</strong>scape…<br />

Thail<strong>and</strong><br />

Traditional New<br />

Fast changing <strong>Asian</strong> retail l<strong>and</strong>scape…<br />

India<br />

Traditional New<br />

7<br />

8<br />

4


Fast changing <strong>Asian</strong> retail l<strong>and</strong>scape…<br />

<strong>Asian</strong> retail <strong>market</strong> attractiveness<br />

(Source: A. T. Kearney)<br />

9<br />

10<br />

5


The retail story <strong>and</strong> the power of <strong>packaging</strong><br />

“Packaging Packaging is the only h<strong>and</strong>shake that<br />

a product has with the consumer” consumer<br />

The <strong>Asian</strong> growth story for <strong>flexible</strong>s<br />

Per capita <strong>flexible</strong> <strong>packaging</strong> consumption<br />

Rapid growth in consumer<br />

purchasing power <strong>and</strong><br />

growing aspirations of the<br />

<strong>Asian</strong> consumer who will<br />

no longer be denied…<br />

North America<br />

Western Europe<br />

Centr. & S. America<br />

Easter Europe<br />

Asia Pacific<br />

M. East & Africa<br />

Source: FPE<br />

By region<br />

By Region<br />

By Region<br />

By selected country<br />

$0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35<br />

US<br />

Japan<br />

Germany<br />

Australia<br />

China<br />

India<br />

$0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40 $45<br />

11<br />

…provides a great<br />

opportunity as very low<br />

per capita consumption<br />

will inevitably increase<br />

<strong>and</strong> drive <strong>flexible</strong><br />

<strong>packaging</strong> growth.<br />

12<br />

6


Flexibles <strong>market</strong> growth driven by <strong>Asian</strong><br />

emerging economies<br />

“Dynamic growth in food processing will make<br />

the Asia-Pacific region the global leader<br />

for <strong>flexible</strong> <strong>packaging</strong> by 2010.”<br />

“…global dem<strong>and</strong> will be underpinned by<br />

continuing rapid economic growth in many<br />

<strong>Asian</strong> <strong>market</strong>s, especially India <strong>and</strong> China<br />

(where <strong>flexible</strong> <strong>packaging</strong> <strong>market</strong> growth<br />

forecast 15-17% p.a.)”<br />

“…trend from rigid to <strong>flexible</strong> <strong>packaging</strong> in<br />

pursuit of lower costs”<br />

World <strong>flexible</strong> <strong>packaging</strong> <strong>market</strong>s 2005 <strong>and</strong> 2010 forecast<br />

Region 2005 2010 Avg. p.a. growth<br />

EUR bn EUR bn 2005 to 2010<br />

Europe 10.7 11.5 0.6<br />

Asia Pacific 10.4 15.3 6.5<br />

North America 11.7 14.0 4.1<br />

Central & S. America 2.1 2.8 4.4<br />

M. East & Africa 1.2 1.5 5.1<br />

Total world 36.0 45.1 3.7<br />

“…rapid population growth <strong>and</strong> exp<strong>and</strong>ing food-processing industries in many emerging<br />

economies.”<br />

“…huge volumes of food products in the developing world, that continue to be sold without any<br />

<strong>packaging</strong>, represent an incalculable opportunity for <strong>flexible</strong> <strong>packaging</strong> over the long term.”<br />

“…the <strong>market</strong>s within Indonesia <strong>and</strong> Thail<strong>and</strong> offer a wealth of opportunities for <strong>flexible</strong>s”<br />

– Study author Paul Gaster<br />

Source: PCI<br />

The <strong>Asian</strong> growth story<br />

<strong>Huhtamaki</strong> Asia Flexibles<br />

Flexibles Global 2007 sales MEUR 512, of which Asia-Oceania represents<br />

approximately one-third<br />

Europe<br />

Americas<br />

Asia-Oceania<br />

Vietnam<br />

Oceania<br />

Thail<strong>and</strong><br />

13<br />

14<br />

India<br />

7


<strong>Huhtamaki</strong> Asia Flexibles<br />

Locations<br />

Network of 2,310 employees <strong>and</strong> 7 plants, synergized in servicing leading<br />

regional <strong>and</strong> global key accounts located within the region <strong>and</strong> abroad.<br />

<strong>Huhtamaki</strong> Asia Flexibles<br />

India<br />

Existing site reconstructed –<br />

to be operational by end 2008<br />

Thane<br />

Bangalaru<br />

Delhi<br />

Silvassa<br />

Rudrapur<br />

Hyderabad<br />

Chennai<br />

Green field – 2007<br />

Kolkata<br />

• Market leader focused on premium<br />

segment<br />

• 26% share of premium segment,<br />

9.5% share of total <strong>market</strong><br />

• Competitors in premium <strong>market</strong> incl.<br />

Uniflex, Positive <strong>packaging</strong>, Essel<br />

Manufacturing<br />

Technology center<br />

Sales & service offices<br />

Sales offices<br />

Manufacturing<br />

R&D center<br />

15<br />

16<br />

8


<strong>Huhtamaki</strong> Asia Flexibles<br />

India<br />

Products: <strong>flexible</strong>s, specialized pouches, labels <strong>and</strong> cartons<br />

Customers:<br />

<strong>Huhtamaki</strong> Asia Flexibles<br />

Thail<strong>and</strong><br />

• Market share: 10.4% (<strong>market</strong> leader in food<br />

<strong>packaging</strong> – focus on packaged food exporters)<br />

• Number 3 in total <strong>market</strong><br />

• Main competition: Alcan, Fuji Seal, Thai Offset,<br />

Daiichi<br />

Greenfield site – commercial July’08<br />

17<br />

18<br />

9


<strong>Huhtamaki</strong> Asia Flexibles<br />

Thail<strong>and</strong><br />

Products: <strong>flexible</strong> <strong>packaging</strong><br />

Customers:<br />

<strong>Huhtamaki</strong> Asia Flexibles<br />

Vietnam<br />

• 5% share of total <strong>market</strong> (nr. 5)<br />

• Focused on multinational customers e.g. Nestle,<br />

P&G, Cadbury, Bayer – one of two leaders in this<br />

segment<br />

• Total <strong>market</strong> leader – Tan Tian (12.5% <strong>market</strong> share)<br />

19<br />

20<br />

10


<strong>Huhtamaki</strong> Asia Flexibles<br />

Vietnam<br />

Products:<br />

Customers:<br />

<strong>Huhtamaki</strong> Asia Flexibles<br />

World class technology <strong>and</strong> skill base<br />

Certifications – ISO 9001, HACCP, GMP, BRC-IoP<br />

21<br />

22<br />

11


<strong>Huhtamaki</strong> global <strong>flexible</strong> locations <strong>and</strong><br />

technology centers<br />

Exports from Asia<br />

INDIA - SERVICING OVER 103 CUSTOMERS, IN 42 COUNTRIES ACROSS 6 CONTINENTS<br />

VIETNAM – CURRENTLY EXPORTS TO AUSTRALIA, NEW ZEALAND, INDONESIA AND SOUTH AFRICA<br />

23<br />

24<br />

12


<strong>Asian</strong> <strong>flexible</strong> <strong>packaging</strong> <strong>market</strong><br />

Challenges<br />

Raw material prices: surge driven by crude oil – petrochemical chain inflation<br />

Pricing:<br />

• Very few relevant raw material suppliers e.g. in polymer resins.<br />

• <strong>Asian</strong> <strong>flexible</strong> <strong>packaging</strong> supplier industry – highly fragmented <strong>and</strong> by nature<br />

price aggressive – going for volumes. Depreciation not recognized as a cost.<br />

Finance cost not treated as important. Easy finance available – interest is<br />

“payable when able”.<br />

• Customers – dominated by powerful large companies – wield buying power.<br />

• Pressure from buyers of <strong>flexible</strong> <strong>packaging</strong> on price not met with sufficient<br />

resistance… <strong>and</strong>, <strong>Asian</strong> buyers are hardest, most ruthless bargainers…<br />

• Result = the <strong>Asian</strong> <strong>flexible</strong>s <strong>market</strong><br />

most price competitive – serious issues<br />

in recovery of full impact of raw material Flexibles supplier industry<br />

prices from customers.<br />

<strong>Asian</strong> <strong>flexible</strong> <strong>packaging</strong> <strong>market</strong><br />

Challenges (cont.)<br />

Inflation: developing Asia recently hit by high inflation. Official August figures:<br />

• India - 13%<br />

• Thail<strong>and</strong> - 9.5%<br />

• Vietnam - 27% (also, battling a currency crisis which hit end of May)<br />

Attrition rates:<br />

• High growth creates severe shortage of skilled people. Attrition rate in India <strong>and</strong><br />

Thail<strong>and</strong> rises to over 20% in manufacturing sector <strong>and</strong> in Vietnam to over 30%.<br />

Infrastructure:<br />

• Infrastructure capacity lagging far behind industry <strong>and</strong> consumer dem<strong>and</strong><br />

growth – particularly India.<br />

• Power crisis in India as supply falls short of growing dem<strong>and</strong>.<br />

• Inefficient bureaucracy an impediment to efficiency. Political interference in<br />

much needed reforms like labor laws – can make business life pretty onerous in<br />

India <strong>and</strong> Vietnam.<br />

25<br />

26<br />

13


The “prescription”<br />

• Sweat assets in place – maximize capacity utilization<br />

• Bring down operating working capital days<br />

• Continue to drive sales growth<br />

– Invest in advanced technological capability <strong>and</strong> capacity<br />

– Stepwise program based on first sweating assets in place<br />

• Innovation<br />

– Drive Asia NASP program (New Applications, New Structures, New<br />

Processes <strong>and</strong> Products)<br />

– Current rate 24% of annual sales<br />

• Drive quality <strong>and</strong> service excellence – maintain lead over competition<br />

The “prescription” (cont.)<br />

• Drive business excellence program for cost out<br />

– Second wave of six sigma being rolled out<br />

– New ERP in India <strong>and</strong> ERP initiatives in Thail<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Vietnam<br />

– NASP being used for improving material efficiency<br />

• Control all expenses despite high inflation<br />

– Reduce as percent to sales<br />

– Current percentage below 2007<br />

• Complete sales price increase implementation<br />

• Improve HR initiatives to control attrition <strong>and</strong> improve team capability<br />

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14


Success stories<br />

Cadbury relationship strong through innovation<br />

• Cadbury needed premium differentiated <strong>packaging</strong><br />

for chocolate for children.<br />

• <strong>Huhtamaki</strong> developed a uniquely attractive<br />

holographic enhanced high barrier laminate.<br />

• Solution phase 2: added “glow in dark” to the<br />

package.<br />

• New Cadbury relationship with <strong>Huhtamaki</strong><br />

Vietnam: appointed in Aug’08 as global supplier<br />

for Cadbury TNCC product range – start 2009.<br />

The Panadol counterfeit issue<br />

• Panadol is a life saving OTC drug for Nigerians.<br />

However, over 50% of “Panadol” was found<br />

counterfeit.<br />

• <strong>Huhtamaki</strong> developed first in the world a unique<br />

anti-counterfeit hologram to protect each line of<br />

tablets in Panadol strip pack.<br />

• Solution phase 2: hologram to protect each tablet<br />

separately. Commercial supplies Q4’2008. Dupont Diamond Award<br />

for Technical Excellence<br />

Success stories (cont.)<br />

Team work in <strong>Huhtamaki</strong> Flexibles Global drives new development of retort pet food<br />

<strong>packaging</strong> for Mars Thail<strong>and</strong> factory for export to Japan. Commercial 2007.<br />

Christian Fenn-Barrabass<br />

Ronsberg, Germany<br />

Sawitree Buranapaiboon<br />

<strong>Huhtamaki</strong> Thail<strong>and</strong><br />

Carlo Alberto Zaggia<br />

Global Innovation Director<br />

29<br />

Ashish Pradhan<br />

Technical Director, India<br />

30<br />

15


Summary<br />

• Asia Flexibles <strong>market</strong> represents a clear growth opportunity<br />

• <strong>Huhtamaki</strong> is well positioned for growth in Asia<br />

• However, real challenges in the <strong>market</strong> must be overcome – for which<br />

the action plan is clear<br />

Thank you for your attention!<br />

www.huhtamaki.com » Investors<br />

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