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<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools Practice<br />

Chris Rommel – Vice President<br />

Steve Balacco – Director<br />

André Girard – Senior Analyst<br />

Jared Weiner – Analyst<br />

Executive Brief<br />

Strategic Insights 2012: <strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools Market<br />

<strong>Embedded</strong>/<strong>Real</strong>-<strong>Time</strong> <strong>Operating</strong> <strong>Systems</strong><br />

April 2012<br />

Volume 1 | Track 2: <strong>Embedded</strong> Software Engineering Technologies<br />

vdcresearch.com<br />

© 2012 <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group, Inc.<br />

<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools<br />

0


<strong>Research</strong> Summary<br />

About this research program<br />

Strategic Insights 2012: <strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools Market<br />

Market Opportunities and Forecasts in 2011 – 2014<br />

The full research program includes:<br />

• Market Definition &<br />

Segmentation Maps<br />

• Market Estimates &<br />

Forecasts for 2011 – 2014<br />

• Competitive Position,<br />

Share & Direction<br />

The Strategic Insights 2012: <strong>Embedded</strong><br />

Software & Tools Market research program<br />

provides granular data and detailed analysis<br />

on the biggest issues and trends in the<br />

embedded software market in order to help<br />

clients identify, define, prioritize, plan and<br />

attack the best market opportunities. In<br />

order to help clients fully apply the research,<br />

clients also receive Analyst Inquiry <strong>Time</strong> so<br />

that they may: get our Analyst’s commentary<br />

on specific decisions and strategies for their<br />

company, have a deeper-dive conversation<br />

related to a specific issue or trends covered<br />

in the research or a discuss the definitions,<br />

assumptions and methodologies driving the<br />

segmentation models and forecasts in the<br />

report.<br />

• <strong>Embedded</strong> System Engineer<br />

Requirements, Preferences<br />

& Investment Plans<br />

• Definition & Analysis of<br />

Key Issues, Forces & Trends<br />

This executive brief provides an overview of<br />

our coverage and analysis for this volume.<br />

The full research report offers deeply<br />

segmented data and analysis that is<br />

extremely actionable and we encourage<br />

you to contact us to learn more.<br />

vdcresearch.com<br />

© 2012 <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group, Inc.<br />

<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools<br />

1


Ways to Work With Us<br />

Our market research is the basis for the many other ways that <strong>VDC</strong> can help you to grow your<br />

business. Our clients rely on us to provide actionable insights that support their most important<br />

strategic initiatives including: corporate development projects, opportunity assessments and lead<br />

generation programs.<br />

vdcresearch.com<br />

© 2012 <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group, Inc.<br />

<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools<br />

2


Market Segmentation<br />

Segmentation of <strong>VDC</strong>’s research<br />

Geographic Regions<br />

• Americas<br />

• EMEA<br />

• Asia-Pacific<br />

Industry Segments<br />

<strong>Embedded</strong> Software &<br />

Tools Market Technologies<br />

• <strong>Embedded</strong>/<strong>Real</strong>-<strong>Time</strong><br />

<strong>Operating</strong> <strong>Systems</strong><br />

• Android & Linux in the <strong>Embedded</strong><br />

<strong>Systems</strong> Market<br />

• Mobile <strong>Operating</strong> <strong>Systems</strong><br />

• Virtualization for Mobile &<br />

<strong>Embedded</strong> <strong>Systems</strong><br />

• Multicore Components & Tools<br />

• Safety & Security<br />

• Automotive/Rail/<br />

Transportation<br />

• Consumer Electronics<br />

• Industrial Automation<br />

• Medical Devices<br />

• Military/Aerospace<br />

• Mobile Phones<br />

• Office/Business Automation<br />

• Retail Automation<br />

• Telecom/Datacom<br />

• Others<br />

vdcresearch.com<br />

© 2012 <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group, Inc.<br />

<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools<br />

3


Scope & Methodology<br />

To develop this report, <strong>VDC</strong> employed the following research methods:<br />

• Phone Interviews – <strong>VDC</strong> conducted phone<br />

interviews with executive managers, senior<br />

managers and product marketing managers at<br />

leading operating system suppliers.<br />

• Web-Based Surveys – An extensive survey<br />

was distributed to the embedded engineering<br />

community with the primary purpose of<br />

understanding the market’s interest, opinions,<br />

and trends. Developers surveyed to date<br />

include subscribers to eg3.com, <strong>Embedded</strong><br />

Gurus, and Ganssle Group, as well as<br />

<strong>Research</strong> Now, and <strong>VDC</strong>’s internal developer<br />

panel. Entry into a drawing for an Apple iPad<br />

as well as guaranteed $10 Amazon.com gift<br />

certificate or choice of a $10 donation to<br />

FIRST (a charitable organization helping to<br />

promote the sciences to the next generation of<br />

engineers) for the first 400 respondents to<br />

complete the survey was offered as an<br />

incentive to respond.<br />

o <strong>VDC</strong>’s 2012 <strong>Embedded</strong> Engineering Survey is<br />

open and still in the field. Data collected from<br />

the survey will be delivered as part of Track 3:<br />

<strong>Embedded</strong> <strong>Systems</strong> Engineering Survey Data<br />

series of reports, as well as other reports<br />

within the Strategic Insights 2012: <strong>Embedded</strong><br />

Software & Tools Market service year as<br />

required.<br />

• Secondary <strong>Research</strong> – Secondary sources<br />

of information include government trade<br />

statistics, financial documents including 10Ks,<br />

10Qs and annual reports, trade press articles,<br />

trade association statistics, websites, and<br />

business directories.<br />

• Data Analysis – <strong>VDC</strong> used SPSS, an<br />

industry standard statistical software<br />

package and Microsoft Excel for most of<br />

the statistical analysis and modeling within<br />

this report. These analyses were performed<br />

using proprietary <strong>VDC</strong> tools and techniques.<br />

• Foreign Exchange – <strong>VDC</strong> used oanda.com<br />

to develop a calendar year average for<br />

vendors who report their data in foreign<br />

currencies.<br />

• Calendar Year Revenue Adjustments –<br />

Because the full study analyzes shipments of<br />

software development solutions on a<br />

calendar year basis, vendors’ fiscal year<br />

revenues had to be adjusted accordingly.<br />

Adjustments were based upon internally<br />

developed metrics of industry participants’<br />

monthly and quarterly revenue profiles.<br />

vdcresearch.com<br />

© 2012 <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group, Inc.<br />

<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools<br />

4


Market Overview<br />

Devices are coming – billions of devices are already here – and software is<br />

everywhere<br />

<strong>Embedded</strong> devices and systems have permeated<br />

where we live, where we work, how we travel, and<br />

how we communicate. Billions of devices shipping<br />

on an annual basis that span various applications<br />

include high availability, safety-critical, and security<br />

requirements.<br />

“At one time, embedded devices were something<br />

you found on the factory floor; now, everyone is<br />

using some form of personal embedded device:<br />

smartphones, tablets, etc.”<br />

- <strong>Embedded</strong> OS supplier<br />

Historically many of these types of devices would<br />

have limited resources with respect to processor<br />

performance, memory, and connectivity - creating<br />

islands of technology and disconnected data. The<br />

availability of more complex system/hardware<br />

architectures, more advanced software, and<br />

connectivity has created new scenarios for smart,<br />

smarter, and now as some would refer to as<br />

“intelligent systems” creating new experiences for<br />

business and consumers.<br />

For business, the opportunity is immense.<br />

<strong>Embedded</strong> devices located at the edge of networks<br />

can be linked to a cloud computing architecture<br />

and to the backend enterprise IT ecosystem upon<br />

which data aggregation and analytics can drive<br />

near real-time business decisions. It also opens up<br />

the possibilities for new types of applications to be<br />

created that can result in new value-add services.<br />

<strong>Embedded</strong> operating system (EOS) suppliers have<br />

long recognized the challenges faced by original<br />

equipment manufacturers (OEMs);<br />

• Development budgets under scrutiny;<br />

• Tight delivery timeframes;<br />

• New functionality;<br />

• Insufficient resources; and<br />

• A competitive landscape (Margins under<br />

pressure).<br />

However, EOS vendors must be vigilant and<br />

maintain flexibility in meeting evolutionary changes<br />

within device development platforms to meet<br />

customers’ requirements around security, support<br />

for new hardware architectures, embedded<br />

virtualization, cloud computing, and other emerging<br />

trends within the market.<br />

“We’re seeing less economic uncertainty than<br />

we have in recent years. While we’re seeing<br />

market activity pick up, economic and geopolitical<br />

hurdles remain. Despite this, the<br />

economic climate of recent years has only<br />

exacerbated the requirement to deliver time-tomarket<br />

and cost benefits.”<br />

- <strong>Embedded</strong> OS supplier<br />

Some EOS suppliers have begun to focus there<br />

attention and resources on enterprise markets<br />

specifically around secure solutions. Other<br />

suppliers have looked to divest certain aspects of<br />

their business and redefine their strategic direction<br />

with a focus on growing existing customers. Some<br />

are faced with uncertain austerity measures with<br />

military budgets worldwide and the potential for<br />

reduced spending on new electronic system<br />

projects.<br />

For these and many other reasons, the embedded<br />

software market remains a challenging<br />

environment for software solution providers and<br />

will continue to accommodate a variety of OSs.<br />

OEMs will need to determine what features and<br />

capabilities best meet their needs.<br />

Many EOS vendors have evolved from offering a<br />

discrete product to integrated and optimized<br />

solutions including development tools, middleware,<br />

professional services, and other key solution<br />

elements critical to their customers’ success.<br />

vdcresearch.com<br />

© 2012 <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group, Inc.<br />

<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools<br />

5


Strategic Issues, Trends & Market Drivers<br />

Roll-Your-Own (RYO) OS is the primary competition –internal OEM engineering<br />

organizations<br />

<strong>VDC</strong> has observed over the years that suppliers<br />

of commercial OSs will almost always cite rollyour-own<br />

OSs and OEM internal engineering<br />

organizations as their primary competition.<br />

“RYO is our primary competition. However, as<br />

software complexity continues to increase,<br />

companies are looking for reliable, fully tested<br />

and well-supported commercial platforms.”<br />

- <strong>Embedded</strong> OS supplier<br />

As the requirements for embedded systems have<br />

changed, OEMs face increasing levels of<br />

complexity from integrating new silicon<br />

architectures to the development and integration<br />

of in-house developed code, commercially<br />

available software components, and open source<br />

software. All of these issues present unique<br />

challenges to OEMs that demand a disciplined<br />

approach to developing, testing, and integrating<br />

software which represents the increasing<br />

importance of device software.<br />

“The advantages of an in-house OS is that it is<br />

usually well known and understood by the<br />

company using it. Free development tools can<br />

have the advantage of lower cost to application<br />

developers if the quality is adequate.”<br />

- <strong>Embedded</strong> OS supplier<br />

<strong>Embedded</strong> engineers responding to our surveys<br />

cite a gradual migration within their product<br />

development to increasing use of commercially<br />

available and supported OSs. RYO OS users are<br />

faced with the same market forces as the<br />

commercial user community in terms of increased<br />

product complexity in hardware and software,<br />

competitive time-to-market pressures, and the<br />

need to minimize inefficiencies across projects.<br />

The major roadblock in switching RYO OS users<br />

to commercial OS users continues to be cost,<br />

control, and inertia. Commercial OS vendors<br />

need to work closely as part of an education,<br />

relationship sell, to provide a compelling case to<br />

overcome these issues.<br />

“Engineering organizations need to look at their<br />

ongoing maintenance costs for supporting inhouse<br />

OS's/tools and see how that compares<br />

to the use of a commercial OS. The internal<br />

development cost to add new processor<br />

support, BSP support, SMP support, new<br />

features, and certification to an in-house OS<br />

can be prohibitive to the in-house developers.”<br />

- <strong>Embedded</strong> OS supplier<br />

As software complexity continues to increase,<br />

engineering organizations are looking for<br />

reliable, fully tested and well-supported<br />

commercial platforms that can enable product<br />

development to quickly adapt to key<br />

technology trends (i.e., multicore, virtualization,<br />

safety/security certification, etc.). Niche<br />

markets will continue to have a RYO need and<br />

it becomes a trade off as to when these niche<br />

markets become big enough for a commercial<br />

vendor to step in and fill the need. In working<br />

closely with RYO OS users, commercial OS<br />

vendors must gain their trust and give them<br />

reasons to change.<br />

OEMs, especially large companies who<br />

support multiple product lines, are increasingly<br />

using product line management techniques for<br />

software. In this case, companies are<br />

strategically architecting core assets for reuse<br />

across multiple products. A common OS, APIs,<br />

development tools, and middleware enable<br />

developers to focus on the application and<br />

enable the reuse of software code across<br />

different generations of products and product<br />

lines. OEMs will look to scale back the use of<br />

RYO OSs and consolidate on commercial OSs<br />

that offer broad functionality and scalability that<br />

can be used across a variety of products.<br />

vdcresearch.com<br />

© 2012 <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group, Inc.<br />

<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools<br />

6


Market Segmentation, Estimates & Forecasts<br />

Uneven market growth in 2011 – slower growth expected over the forecast period<br />

Worldwide Shipments of <strong>Embedded</strong> /<br />

<strong>Real</strong>-<strong>Time</strong> <strong>Operating</strong> <strong>Systems</strong> &<br />

Related Services<br />

2011-2014<br />

In 2011, growth in the market was uneven and<br />

the rate of growth below what <strong>VDC</strong> had<br />

forecasted from last year. Suppliers in the<br />

market expressed mixed views on the state of<br />

the market in 2011 and the challenges they<br />

faced during the course of the year.<br />

“First half of the year was still difficult with delayed<br />

projects but second half was much better.”<br />

- <strong>Embedded</strong> OS supplier<br />

(Millions of Dollars)<br />

<strong>VDC</strong> estimates that the market for<br />

embedded/real-time operating systems<br />

increased slightly more that 5% from 2010.<br />

Over the forecast period we expect this market<br />

segment to grow at a combined annual rate of<br />

less than 6% per year through 2014.<br />

OEMs have been affected by the global<br />

economy where companies have reduced<br />

staff, yet productivity expectations are<br />

increasing. The economic uncertainty tends to<br />

drive lower project costs (hardware<br />

consolidation, hardware platform choices, free<br />

tools and software, etc.) and cause project<br />

delays or cancellations.<br />

2011 2012 2013 2014<br />

“The embedded market has suffered extensively<br />

from the economic downturn over the last year. It is<br />

common for deals to take much longer to close than<br />

in years past. Customers are much more careful with<br />

their money these days.”<br />

- <strong>Embedded</strong> OS supplier<br />

<strong>VDC</strong> expects that the fast changing pace of<br />

technology and new functionality demands will<br />

continue to affect OEM decisions in a<br />

move to commercially available software<br />

platforms creating growth opportunities.<br />

vdcresearch.com<br />

© 2012 <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group, Inc.<br />

<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools<br />

7


About the Team<br />

For further information about <strong>VDC</strong>’s Strategic Insights 2012: <strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools<br />

Market – Track 2: <strong>Embedded</strong> Software Engineering Technologies, Volume 1:<br />

<strong>Embedded</strong>/<strong>Real</strong>-<strong>Time</strong> <strong>Operating</strong> <strong>Systems</strong> report, contact:<br />

For Pricing Information Contact:<br />

Mike Collette<br />

VP, Sales & Enterprise Accounts<br />

508.653.9000 x112<br />

info@vdcresearch.com<br />

VIEW FULL BIO<br />

<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools Team<br />

Chris Rommel<br />

Vice President<br />

VIEW FULL BIO<br />

Steve Balacco<br />

Director<br />

VIEW FULL BIO<br />

Jared Weiner<br />

Analyst<br />

VIEW FULL BIO<br />

André Girard<br />

Senior Analyst<br />

VIEW FULL BIO<br />

vdcresearch.com<br />

© 2012 <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group, Inc.<br />

<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools<br />

8


About <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong><br />

Market Intelligence for Technology Executives. <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group<br />

provides market research and advisory services to the world's top technology<br />

executives. Our clients rely on us to provide actionable insights to support their most<br />

important strategic decisions. The firm is organized around four practices, each with<br />

its own focused area of coverage including: automatic identification and data<br />

collection, embedded hardware, embedded software and enterprise mobility.<br />

Please visit our website at www.vdcresearch.com to learn more, or call 508.653.9000.<br />

AutoID & Transaction<br />

Automation<br />

MEET THE TEAM<br />

<strong>Embedded</strong> Hardware<br />

& <strong>Systems</strong><br />

MEET THE TEAM<br />

Mobile & Wireless<br />

MEET THE TEAM<br />

Industrial Automation<br />

& Control<br />

MEET THE TEAM<br />

<strong>Embedded</strong> Software<br />

& Tools<br />

MEET THE TEAM<br />

Emerging<br />

Technologies<br />

ABOUT THE PRACTICE<br />

vdcresearch.com<br />

© 2012 <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group, Inc.<br />

<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools<br />

9


2012 Notice of © opyright<br />

The entire contents of Strategic Insights 2012: <strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools Market – Track 2: <strong>Embedded</strong><br />

Software Engineering Technologies, Volume 1: <strong>Embedded</strong>/<strong>Real</strong>-<strong>Time</strong> <strong>Operating</strong> <strong>Systems</strong> are proprietary to<br />

<strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group, Inc. (<strong>VDC</strong>), and may not be distributed in either original or reproduced form to anyone<br />

outside the client’s internal organization within five (5) years of the report date without prior written permission<br />

of <strong>VDC</strong>.<br />

<strong>VDC</strong> has devoted its best efforts to obtain for and provide to its clients as accurate data as is possible.<br />

Nevertheless, we cannot be held responsible for incorrect information provided to us by vendors, users, or<br />

others that we interview. Nor can we be held responsible for forecasts of the future evolution of an industry,<br />

which, in retrospect, proves inaccurate. Our goal is to provide the best possible analysis of an industry,<br />

utilizing data obtained through a time-proven and rigorous research methodology, for our clients to employ<br />

in developing strategies to compete in an uncertain and ever-changing business environment.<br />

Trademark Acknowledgement<br />

Many names of companies, associations, technologies, products and product types, etc. mentioned in this<br />

report comprise Trademarks, either registered or non-registered, owned by various entities. These are too<br />

numerous to mention individually. <strong>VDC</strong> acknowledges that ownership of these Trademarks exist and<br />

requests that readers acknowledge this as well.<br />

vdcresearch.com<br />

© 2012 <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group, Inc.<br />

<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools<br />

10

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