Embedded/Real-Time Operating Systems - VDC Research
Embedded/Real-Time Operating Systems - VDC Research
Embedded/Real-Time Operating Systems - VDC Research
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<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools Practice<br />
Chris Rommel – Vice President<br />
Steve Balacco – Director<br />
André Girard – Senior Analyst<br />
Jared Weiner – Analyst<br />
Executive Brief<br />
Strategic Insights 2012: <strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools Market<br />
<strong>Embedded</strong>/<strong>Real</strong>-<strong>Time</strong> <strong>Operating</strong> <strong>Systems</strong><br />
April 2012<br />
Volume 1 | Track 2: <strong>Embedded</strong> Software Engineering Technologies<br />
vdcresearch.com<br />
© 2012 <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group, Inc.<br />
<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools<br />
0
<strong>Research</strong> Summary<br />
About this research program<br />
Strategic Insights 2012: <strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools Market<br />
Market Opportunities and Forecasts in 2011 – 2014<br />
The full research program includes:<br />
• Market Definition &<br />
Segmentation Maps<br />
• Market Estimates &<br />
Forecasts for 2011 – 2014<br />
• Competitive Position,<br />
Share & Direction<br />
The Strategic Insights 2012: <strong>Embedded</strong><br />
Software & Tools Market research program<br />
provides granular data and detailed analysis<br />
on the biggest issues and trends in the<br />
embedded software market in order to help<br />
clients identify, define, prioritize, plan and<br />
attack the best market opportunities. In<br />
order to help clients fully apply the research,<br />
clients also receive Analyst Inquiry <strong>Time</strong> so<br />
that they may: get our Analyst’s commentary<br />
on specific decisions and strategies for their<br />
company, have a deeper-dive conversation<br />
related to a specific issue or trends covered<br />
in the research or a discuss the definitions,<br />
assumptions and methodologies driving the<br />
segmentation models and forecasts in the<br />
report.<br />
• <strong>Embedded</strong> System Engineer<br />
Requirements, Preferences<br />
& Investment Plans<br />
• Definition & Analysis of<br />
Key Issues, Forces & Trends<br />
This executive brief provides an overview of<br />
our coverage and analysis for this volume.<br />
The full research report offers deeply<br />
segmented data and analysis that is<br />
extremely actionable and we encourage<br />
you to contact us to learn more.<br />
vdcresearch.com<br />
© 2012 <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group, Inc.<br />
<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools<br />
1
Ways to Work With Us<br />
Our market research is the basis for the many other ways that <strong>VDC</strong> can help you to grow your<br />
business. Our clients rely on us to provide actionable insights that support their most important<br />
strategic initiatives including: corporate development projects, opportunity assessments and lead<br />
generation programs.<br />
vdcresearch.com<br />
© 2012 <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group, Inc.<br />
<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools<br />
2
Market Segmentation<br />
Segmentation of <strong>VDC</strong>’s research<br />
Geographic Regions<br />
• Americas<br />
• EMEA<br />
• Asia-Pacific<br />
Industry Segments<br />
<strong>Embedded</strong> Software &<br />
Tools Market Technologies<br />
• <strong>Embedded</strong>/<strong>Real</strong>-<strong>Time</strong><br />
<strong>Operating</strong> <strong>Systems</strong><br />
• Android & Linux in the <strong>Embedded</strong><br />
<strong>Systems</strong> Market<br />
• Mobile <strong>Operating</strong> <strong>Systems</strong><br />
• Virtualization for Mobile &<br />
<strong>Embedded</strong> <strong>Systems</strong><br />
• Multicore Components & Tools<br />
• Safety & Security<br />
• Automotive/Rail/<br />
Transportation<br />
• Consumer Electronics<br />
• Industrial Automation<br />
• Medical Devices<br />
• Military/Aerospace<br />
• Mobile Phones<br />
• Office/Business Automation<br />
• Retail Automation<br />
• Telecom/Datacom<br />
• Others<br />
vdcresearch.com<br />
© 2012 <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group, Inc.<br />
<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools<br />
3
Scope & Methodology<br />
To develop this report, <strong>VDC</strong> employed the following research methods:<br />
• Phone Interviews – <strong>VDC</strong> conducted phone<br />
interviews with executive managers, senior<br />
managers and product marketing managers at<br />
leading operating system suppliers.<br />
• Web-Based Surveys – An extensive survey<br />
was distributed to the embedded engineering<br />
community with the primary purpose of<br />
understanding the market’s interest, opinions,<br />
and trends. Developers surveyed to date<br />
include subscribers to eg3.com, <strong>Embedded</strong><br />
Gurus, and Ganssle Group, as well as<br />
<strong>Research</strong> Now, and <strong>VDC</strong>’s internal developer<br />
panel. Entry into a drawing for an Apple iPad<br />
as well as guaranteed $10 Amazon.com gift<br />
certificate or choice of a $10 donation to<br />
FIRST (a charitable organization helping to<br />
promote the sciences to the next generation of<br />
engineers) for the first 400 respondents to<br />
complete the survey was offered as an<br />
incentive to respond.<br />
o <strong>VDC</strong>’s 2012 <strong>Embedded</strong> Engineering Survey is<br />
open and still in the field. Data collected from<br />
the survey will be delivered as part of Track 3:<br />
<strong>Embedded</strong> <strong>Systems</strong> Engineering Survey Data<br />
series of reports, as well as other reports<br />
within the Strategic Insights 2012: <strong>Embedded</strong><br />
Software & Tools Market service year as<br />
required.<br />
• Secondary <strong>Research</strong> – Secondary sources<br />
of information include government trade<br />
statistics, financial documents including 10Ks,<br />
10Qs and annual reports, trade press articles,<br />
trade association statistics, websites, and<br />
business directories.<br />
• Data Analysis – <strong>VDC</strong> used SPSS, an<br />
industry standard statistical software<br />
package and Microsoft Excel for most of<br />
the statistical analysis and modeling within<br />
this report. These analyses were performed<br />
using proprietary <strong>VDC</strong> tools and techniques.<br />
• Foreign Exchange – <strong>VDC</strong> used oanda.com<br />
to develop a calendar year average for<br />
vendors who report their data in foreign<br />
currencies.<br />
• Calendar Year Revenue Adjustments –<br />
Because the full study analyzes shipments of<br />
software development solutions on a<br />
calendar year basis, vendors’ fiscal year<br />
revenues had to be adjusted accordingly.<br />
Adjustments were based upon internally<br />
developed metrics of industry participants’<br />
monthly and quarterly revenue profiles.<br />
vdcresearch.com<br />
© 2012 <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group, Inc.<br />
<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools<br />
4
Market Overview<br />
Devices are coming – billions of devices are already here – and software is<br />
everywhere<br />
<strong>Embedded</strong> devices and systems have permeated<br />
where we live, where we work, how we travel, and<br />
how we communicate. Billions of devices shipping<br />
on an annual basis that span various applications<br />
include high availability, safety-critical, and security<br />
requirements.<br />
“At one time, embedded devices were something<br />
you found on the factory floor; now, everyone is<br />
using some form of personal embedded device:<br />
smartphones, tablets, etc.”<br />
- <strong>Embedded</strong> OS supplier<br />
Historically many of these types of devices would<br />
have limited resources with respect to processor<br />
performance, memory, and connectivity - creating<br />
islands of technology and disconnected data. The<br />
availability of more complex system/hardware<br />
architectures, more advanced software, and<br />
connectivity has created new scenarios for smart,<br />
smarter, and now as some would refer to as<br />
“intelligent systems” creating new experiences for<br />
business and consumers.<br />
For business, the opportunity is immense.<br />
<strong>Embedded</strong> devices located at the edge of networks<br />
can be linked to a cloud computing architecture<br />
and to the backend enterprise IT ecosystem upon<br />
which data aggregation and analytics can drive<br />
near real-time business decisions. It also opens up<br />
the possibilities for new types of applications to be<br />
created that can result in new value-add services.<br />
<strong>Embedded</strong> operating system (EOS) suppliers have<br />
long recognized the challenges faced by original<br />
equipment manufacturers (OEMs);<br />
• Development budgets under scrutiny;<br />
• Tight delivery timeframes;<br />
• New functionality;<br />
• Insufficient resources; and<br />
• A competitive landscape (Margins under<br />
pressure).<br />
However, EOS vendors must be vigilant and<br />
maintain flexibility in meeting evolutionary changes<br />
within device development platforms to meet<br />
customers’ requirements around security, support<br />
for new hardware architectures, embedded<br />
virtualization, cloud computing, and other emerging<br />
trends within the market.<br />
“We’re seeing less economic uncertainty than<br />
we have in recent years. While we’re seeing<br />
market activity pick up, economic and geopolitical<br />
hurdles remain. Despite this, the<br />
economic climate of recent years has only<br />
exacerbated the requirement to deliver time-tomarket<br />
and cost benefits.”<br />
- <strong>Embedded</strong> OS supplier<br />
Some EOS suppliers have begun to focus there<br />
attention and resources on enterprise markets<br />
specifically around secure solutions. Other<br />
suppliers have looked to divest certain aspects of<br />
their business and redefine their strategic direction<br />
with a focus on growing existing customers. Some<br />
are faced with uncertain austerity measures with<br />
military budgets worldwide and the potential for<br />
reduced spending on new electronic system<br />
projects.<br />
For these and many other reasons, the embedded<br />
software market remains a challenging<br />
environment for software solution providers and<br />
will continue to accommodate a variety of OSs.<br />
OEMs will need to determine what features and<br />
capabilities best meet their needs.<br />
Many EOS vendors have evolved from offering a<br />
discrete product to integrated and optimized<br />
solutions including development tools, middleware,<br />
professional services, and other key solution<br />
elements critical to their customers’ success.<br />
vdcresearch.com<br />
© 2012 <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group, Inc.<br />
<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools<br />
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Strategic Issues, Trends & Market Drivers<br />
Roll-Your-Own (RYO) OS is the primary competition –internal OEM engineering<br />
organizations<br />
<strong>VDC</strong> has observed over the years that suppliers<br />
of commercial OSs will almost always cite rollyour-own<br />
OSs and OEM internal engineering<br />
organizations as their primary competition.<br />
“RYO is our primary competition. However, as<br />
software complexity continues to increase,<br />
companies are looking for reliable, fully tested<br />
and well-supported commercial platforms.”<br />
- <strong>Embedded</strong> OS supplier<br />
As the requirements for embedded systems have<br />
changed, OEMs face increasing levels of<br />
complexity from integrating new silicon<br />
architectures to the development and integration<br />
of in-house developed code, commercially<br />
available software components, and open source<br />
software. All of these issues present unique<br />
challenges to OEMs that demand a disciplined<br />
approach to developing, testing, and integrating<br />
software which represents the increasing<br />
importance of device software.<br />
“The advantages of an in-house OS is that it is<br />
usually well known and understood by the<br />
company using it. Free development tools can<br />
have the advantage of lower cost to application<br />
developers if the quality is adequate.”<br />
- <strong>Embedded</strong> OS supplier<br />
<strong>Embedded</strong> engineers responding to our surveys<br />
cite a gradual migration within their product<br />
development to increasing use of commercially<br />
available and supported OSs. RYO OS users are<br />
faced with the same market forces as the<br />
commercial user community in terms of increased<br />
product complexity in hardware and software,<br />
competitive time-to-market pressures, and the<br />
need to minimize inefficiencies across projects.<br />
The major roadblock in switching RYO OS users<br />
to commercial OS users continues to be cost,<br />
control, and inertia. Commercial OS vendors<br />
need to work closely as part of an education,<br />
relationship sell, to provide a compelling case to<br />
overcome these issues.<br />
“Engineering organizations need to look at their<br />
ongoing maintenance costs for supporting inhouse<br />
OS's/tools and see how that compares<br />
to the use of a commercial OS. The internal<br />
development cost to add new processor<br />
support, BSP support, SMP support, new<br />
features, and certification to an in-house OS<br />
can be prohibitive to the in-house developers.”<br />
- <strong>Embedded</strong> OS supplier<br />
As software complexity continues to increase,<br />
engineering organizations are looking for<br />
reliable, fully tested and well-supported<br />
commercial platforms that can enable product<br />
development to quickly adapt to key<br />
technology trends (i.e., multicore, virtualization,<br />
safety/security certification, etc.). Niche<br />
markets will continue to have a RYO need and<br />
it becomes a trade off as to when these niche<br />
markets become big enough for a commercial<br />
vendor to step in and fill the need. In working<br />
closely with RYO OS users, commercial OS<br />
vendors must gain their trust and give them<br />
reasons to change.<br />
OEMs, especially large companies who<br />
support multiple product lines, are increasingly<br />
using product line management techniques for<br />
software. In this case, companies are<br />
strategically architecting core assets for reuse<br />
across multiple products. A common OS, APIs,<br />
development tools, and middleware enable<br />
developers to focus on the application and<br />
enable the reuse of software code across<br />
different generations of products and product<br />
lines. OEMs will look to scale back the use of<br />
RYO OSs and consolidate on commercial OSs<br />
that offer broad functionality and scalability that<br />
can be used across a variety of products.<br />
vdcresearch.com<br />
© 2012 <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group, Inc.<br />
<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools<br />
6
Market Segmentation, Estimates & Forecasts<br />
Uneven market growth in 2011 – slower growth expected over the forecast period<br />
Worldwide Shipments of <strong>Embedded</strong> /<br />
<strong>Real</strong>-<strong>Time</strong> <strong>Operating</strong> <strong>Systems</strong> &<br />
Related Services<br />
2011-2014<br />
In 2011, growth in the market was uneven and<br />
the rate of growth below what <strong>VDC</strong> had<br />
forecasted from last year. Suppliers in the<br />
market expressed mixed views on the state of<br />
the market in 2011 and the challenges they<br />
faced during the course of the year.<br />
“First half of the year was still difficult with delayed<br />
projects but second half was much better.”<br />
- <strong>Embedded</strong> OS supplier<br />
(Millions of Dollars)<br />
<strong>VDC</strong> estimates that the market for<br />
embedded/real-time operating systems<br />
increased slightly more that 5% from 2010.<br />
Over the forecast period we expect this market<br />
segment to grow at a combined annual rate of<br />
less than 6% per year through 2014.<br />
OEMs have been affected by the global<br />
economy where companies have reduced<br />
staff, yet productivity expectations are<br />
increasing. The economic uncertainty tends to<br />
drive lower project costs (hardware<br />
consolidation, hardware platform choices, free<br />
tools and software, etc.) and cause project<br />
delays or cancellations.<br />
2011 2012 2013 2014<br />
“The embedded market has suffered extensively<br />
from the economic downturn over the last year. It is<br />
common for deals to take much longer to close than<br />
in years past. Customers are much more careful with<br />
their money these days.”<br />
- <strong>Embedded</strong> OS supplier<br />
<strong>VDC</strong> expects that the fast changing pace of<br />
technology and new functionality demands will<br />
continue to affect OEM decisions in a<br />
move to commercially available software<br />
platforms creating growth opportunities.<br />
vdcresearch.com<br />
© 2012 <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group, Inc.<br />
<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools<br />
7
About the Team<br />
For further information about <strong>VDC</strong>’s Strategic Insights 2012: <strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools<br />
Market – Track 2: <strong>Embedded</strong> Software Engineering Technologies, Volume 1:<br />
<strong>Embedded</strong>/<strong>Real</strong>-<strong>Time</strong> <strong>Operating</strong> <strong>Systems</strong> report, contact:<br />
For Pricing Information Contact:<br />
Mike Collette<br />
VP, Sales & Enterprise Accounts<br />
508.653.9000 x112<br />
info@vdcresearch.com<br />
VIEW FULL BIO<br />
<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools Team<br />
Chris Rommel<br />
Vice President<br />
VIEW FULL BIO<br />
Steve Balacco<br />
Director<br />
VIEW FULL BIO<br />
Jared Weiner<br />
Analyst<br />
VIEW FULL BIO<br />
André Girard<br />
Senior Analyst<br />
VIEW FULL BIO<br />
vdcresearch.com<br />
© 2012 <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group, Inc.<br />
<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools<br />
8
About <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong><br />
Market Intelligence for Technology Executives. <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group<br />
provides market research and advisory services to the world's top technology<br />
executives. Our clients rely on us to provide actionable insights to support their most<br />
important strategic decisions. The firm is organized around four practices, each with<br />
its own focused area of coverage including: automatic identification and data<br />
collection, embedded hardware, embedded software and enterprise mobility.<br />
Please visit our website at www.vdcresearch.com to learn more, or call 508.653.9000.<br />
AutoID & Transaction<br />
Automation<br />
MEET THE TEAM<br />
<strong>Embedded</strong> Hardware<br />
& <strong>Systems</strong><br />
MEET THE TEAM<br />
Mobile & Wireless<br />
MEET THE TEAM<br />
Industrial Automation<br />
& Control<br />
MEET THE TEAM<br />
<strong>Embedded</strong> Software<br />
& Tools<br />
MEET THE TEAM<br />
Emerging<br />
Technologies<br />
ABOUT THE PRACTICE<br />
vdcresearch.com<br />
© 2012 <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group, Inc.<br />
<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools<br />
9
2012 Notice of © opyright<br />
The entire contents of Strategic Insights 2012: <strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools Market – Track 2: <strong>Embedded</strong><br />
Software Engineering Technologies, Volume 1: <strong>Embedded</strong>/<strong>Real</strong>-<strong>Time</strong> <strong>Operating</strong> <strong>Systems</strong> are proprietary to<br />
<strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group, Inc. (<strong>VDC</strong>), and may not be distributed in either original or reproduced form to anyone<br />
outside the client’s internal organization within five (5) years of the report date without prior written permission<br />
of <strong>VDC</strong>.<br />
<strong>VDC</strong> has devoted its best efforts to obtain for and provide to its clients as accurate data as is possible.<br />
Nevertheless, we cannot be held responsible for incorrect information provided to us by vendors, users, or<br />
others that we interview. Nor can we be held responsible for forecasts of the future evolution of an industry,<br />
which, in retrospect, proves inaccurate. Our goal is to provide the best possible analysis of an industry,<br />
utilizing data obtained through a time-proven and rigorous research methodology, for our clients to employ<br />
in developing strategies to compete in an uncertain and ever-changing business environment.<br />
Trademark Acknowledgement<br />
Many names of companies, associations, technologies, products and product types, etc. mentioned in this<br />
report comprise Trademarks, either registered or non-registered, owned by various entities. These are too<br />
numerous to mention individually. <strong>VDC</strong> acknowledges that ownership of these Trademarks exist and<br />
requests that readers acknowledge this as well.<br />
vdcresearch.com<br />
© 2012 <strong>VDC</strong> <strong>Research</strong> Group, Inc.<br />
<strong>Embedded</strong> Software & Tools<br />
10