Paul Yarossi and Roger Ward - HNTB Corporation - US Chamber of ...
Paul Yarossi and Roger Ward - HNTB Corporation - US Chamber of ...
Paul Yarossi and Roger Ward - HNTB Corporation - US Chamber of ...
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UNITED STATES CHAMBER OF COMMERCE<br />
GLOBAL WATER STRATEGY SUMMIT<br />
Confronting Water Infrastructure Challenges<br />
March 18, 2010<br />
Presentation by:<br />
<strong>Paul</strong> <strong>Yarossi</strong>, president <strong>HNTB</strong> Holdings Ltd<br />
<strong>Roger</strong> <strong>Ward</strong>, vice president <strong>and</strong> national leader water pr<strong>of</strong>essional services
• SIZE OF THE <strong>US</strong> WATER MARKET<br />
2
• AGING INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
• Decades <strong>of</strong> under-investment have left a legacy <strong>of</strong> decaying<br />
infrastructure<br />
• ASCE Report Card for 2009<br />
▪ Wastewater D-<br />
▪ Drinking water D-<br />
▪ Levees D-<br />
3
• LACK OF INVESTMENT<br />
• Water is a capital-intensive industry<br />
4
• LACK OF INVESTMENT<br />
RELATIVE CAPITAL INVESTMENT TO REVENUE RATIO FOR A RANGE OF UTILITIES<br />
5
• LACK OF INVESTMENT<br />
• Low user fees <strong>and</strong> public ownership has resulted in difficulty<br />
attracting the necessary capital to the sector.<br />
• Stimulus package expected to provide only limited relief<br />
• Other sources <strong>of</strong> capital (developer contributions, bond issues)<br />
are cut back<br />
• Investment is likely to become more crisis-driven<br />
• Projections from 2011 forward indicate rapid acceleration <strong>of</strong><br />
investment in pipe rehabilitation (CAGR: water 15%, sewer 17%)<br />
6
• SCARCITY<br />
• Fixed renewable water supply + growing dem<strong>and</strong> = Scarcity<br />
• Dem<strong>and</strong> rising in parts <strong>of</strong> <strong>US</strong> which have lowest natural<br />
water availability<br />
• Aquifers are being drained significantly faster than they are being<br />
replenished in some parts <strong>of</strong> the country.<br />
• Water rights trading, desalination, <strong>and</strong> water reuse are potential,<br />
but not universally popular, potential solutions<br />
• Forecast $15.5 billion will be invested in desalination <strong>and</strong> water<br />
reuse between 2009-2016<br />
7
• SCARCITY<br />
EFFECT OF DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE <strong>US</strong>A, FALL 2008<br />
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• SCARCITY<br />
<strong>US</strong>$ PER CAPITA DRINKING WATER NEEDS BY STATE<br />
9
• PRIVATE SECTOR PARTICIPATION<br />
• Strong political resistance to private sector involvement in the<br />
<strong>US</strong> water sector<br />
▪ 8.8% <strong>of</strong> population is served by regulated private water utilities<br />
▪ 6.5% is served by private operators contracted by municipal<br />
utility owners<br />
▪ Will tax incentives, need for more complex technologies, <strong>and</strong><br />
aging <strong>of</strong> municipal workforce create additional opportunities for<br />
the private sector in the future?<br />
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• DESIGN-BID-BUILD<br />
• Will continue to be the procurement model <strong>of</strong> first choice, particularly where schedule is not a<br />
critical factor<br />
• DESIGN-BUILD<br />
• Will grow in popularity, especially where more complex arrays <strong>of</strong> technologies are involved <strong>and</strong><br />
when regulatory <strong>and</strong> judicial deadlines will not be met by Design-Bid-Build procurement<br />
time lines (approximately 1/3 <strong>of</strong> states allow for DB project delivery)<br />
• DESIGN-BUILD-OPERATE<br />
• Will grow rapidly, especially among small medium-sized communities where recruiting trained<br />
staff is a challenge<br />
• DESIGN-BUILD-FINANCE-OPERATE<br />
• A longer-term underlying growth trend is expected as smaller communities under regulatory<br />
pressure to upgrade their treatment plants see value in outsourcing finance <strong>and</strong> public debt<br />
financing limitations<br />
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• State Revolving Funds set up by EPA to help municipalities comply<br />
with environmental regulations.<br />
▪<br />
▪<br />
Clean Water State Revolving Fund<br />
Drinking Water State Revolving Fund<br />
• State Revolving Funds have been the mechanism through with the<br />
Obama administration has chosen to incorporate water in the<br />
economic stimulus package.<br />
▪<br />
▪<br />
$4 billion for Clean Water State Revolving Fund<br />
$2 billion for Drinking Water State Revolving Fund<br />
12
• INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT<br />
EPA 20 YEAR INVESTMENT REQUIREMENT ESTIMATES<br />
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FORECAST OF CAPITAL EXPENDITURE IN <strong>US</strong> WATER AND WASTEWATER<br />
INFRASTRUCTURE 2007-2016<br />
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• Federal/State<br />
• Exp<strong>and</strong> annual funding <strong>of</strong> the State Revolving Fund (SRF) for<br />
Clean Water to $5B <strong>and</strong> Drinking Water to $3.5B<br />
• Establish Water Trust Fund, structured like Highway Trust Fund,<br />
to provide $12B annually for drinking water <strong>and</strong> wastewater<br />
infrastructure needs, based on:<br />
▪ Water Based Beverages Fee<br />
▪ Product Disposal Fee<br />
▪ Pharmaceuticals Fee<br />
▪ Clean Water Restoration Tax<br />
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• PRIVATE<br />
• Provide long-term debt financing instruments to match long-term<br />
useful life <strong>of</strong> assets (e.g. useful life <strong>of</strong> water mains, sewers <strong>and</strong><br />
tunnels 50 – 100 years)<br />
• Provide leasing <strong>of</strong> major assets<br />
• Provide alternate project delivery<br />
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• LOCAL GOVERNMENT<br />
• Establish “True Value” water <strong>and</strong> wastewater user rates<br />
• Open up alternate project delivery <strong>and</strong> private financing<br />
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UNITED STATES CHAMBER OF COMMERCE<br />
GLOBAL WATER STRATEGY SUMMIT<br />
Confronting Water Infrastructure Challenges<br />
Discussion