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Global Trends in Clean Energy Investment - Clean Energy Ministerial

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PV MODULE PRICES, 1976–2012<br />

($/W)<br />

100<br />

1976<br />

PRICES HAVE FALLEN<br />

75% SINCE 2008<br />

45% IN PAST YEAR<br />

10<br />

1985<br />

2003<br />

1<br />

2006<br />

2012<br />

2012<br />

0.1<br />

1 10 100 1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000<br />

historic prices<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>ese c-Si module prices<br />

First Solar th<strong>in</strong>-film module cost<br />

Notes: Inflation adjustment us<strong>in</strong>g US PPI, R2 of c-Si regression = 0.94, R2 of FSLR regression = 0.98;<br />

data s<strong>in</strong>ce 2007 based on Bloomberg New <strong>Energy</strong> F<strong>in</strong>ance Solar Spot Market Price Index<br />

/ / / /<br />

experience curve<br />

Th<strong>in</strong>-film experience curve<br />

MW (log)<br />

Source: Paul Maycock, Bloomberg New<br />

<strong>Energy</strong> F<strong>in</strong>ance, FSLR fil<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

MICHAEL LIEBREICH, 25 APRIL 2012 TWITTER: @MLiebreich 15

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