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Front Cover May - WorldCargo News Online

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CONTAINER INDUSTRY<br />

Box funding on the increase<br />

The continuing buoyancy of<br />

the global container shipping<br />

industry has kept demand for<br />

new box equipment strong<br />

and world container output<br />

looks certain to recover further<br />

this year in comparison<br />

to 2002 and 2001. Even though<br />

the final production figure is<br />

unlikely to regain its former<br />

peak of almost 2 mill TEU<br />

achieved in 2000, it might not<br />

fall too far short. Current projections<br />

suggest that up to 1.8<br />

mill TEU will be built as all<br />

types this year, which compares<br />

with around 1.6 mill<br />

TEU delivered in 2002 and just<br />

1.3 mill TEU in 2001.<br />

The year 2003 will, therefore,<br />

be a strong one for container investment<br />

and is already generating<br />

a significant requirement for extra<br />

funding. For, in addition to the expected<br />

increase in output, newbuild<br />

prices are currently rising as well -<br />

a reflection of the continued<br />

strength of demand and recent<br />

jumps in the cost of steel and other<br />

raw materials. Average Chinese exworks<br />

prices are now virtually back<br />

to their previous high point in<br />

2000, when they last topped<br />

US$1,500 per 20ft standard unit.<br />

The cost of more specialised reefers<br />

and tanks is increasing too.<br />

On the up<br />

Upwards of US$3.6 bill is forecast<br />

to be spent on new box equipment<br />

in the current year, which is well<br />

up on 2002 and 2001, but falls short<br />

of the record US$3.86 bill invested<br />

in 2000. Around US$2 bill will<br />

likely be committed to dry freight<br />

boxes in 2003, with over US$1.1<br />

bill due to be spent on reefers.<br />

Despite the fact that the majority<br />

of TEU deliveries planned<br />

for 2003 will go to the leasing sector,<br />

as was the case in 2002, shipping<br />

lines (and other transport operators)<br />

will continue to account<br />

for the largest share of all purchasing<br />

in pure investment terms as a<br />

consequence of their proportionally<br />

greater procurement of reefers,<br />

tanks, domestic containers and<br />

other higher value specials.<br />

Indeed, in response to the<br />

more upbeat state of the shipping<br />

market in 2003, shipping lines<br />

have already shown a much<br />

greater willingness to purchase/<br />

finance equipment for their<br />

owned fleets than was the case last<br />

year. During 2002, many lines<br />

opted to make more use of leased<br />

equipment, some because they<br />

feared a renewed downturn in the<br />

market, while others had other<br />

calls on their capital, primarily to<br />

pay for new vessels ordered when<br />

the market outlook was more propitious.<br />

Most lines were also suffering<br />

a decline in revenue/earnings<br />

at the time, which lessened<br />

their scope for further borrowing.<br />

Strong recovery<br />

The majority of lines have since<br />

witnessed a strong recovery in<br />

their performance and are currently<br />

experiencing real shortfalls<br />

in box equipment.<br />

And if these factors were not<br />

sufficient incentive to attract shipping<br />

lines back into the purchasing<br />

arena, the latest drop in global<br />

interest rates, to their lowest level<br />

in a generation, has provided another<br />

impetus. Furthermore, there<br />

is, as yet, no apparent shortage of<br />

funds available globally for container<br />

purchase, even though some<br />

categories of buyer are clearly better<br />

placed than others.<br />

The major leasing companies,<br />

by virtue of their strong asset bases<br />

and stable balance sheets, are still<br />

able to raise most of the funds they<br />

need by using asset-based<br />

Newbuild container investment by owner and container type<br />

for 2000-2003 (US$ million)<br />

2000 2001 2002 2003*<br />

Leasing companies<br />

Dry freight 1,040 535 1,035 1,085<br />

Integral reefer 330 230 340 365<br />

Tank 105 65 110 120<br />

Other** 50 35 30 30<br />

Total 1,525 865 1,515 1,600<br />

Operators †<br />

Dry freight 1,250 890 720 900<br />

Integral reefer 690 700 755 780<br />

Tank 110 127 85 105<br />

Other** 285 238 180 195<br />

Total 2,335 1,955 1,740 1,980<br />

Global total 3,860 2,820 3,255 3,580<br />

Leaseco share (%) 39.5 30.7 46.5 44.7<br />

Operator share (%) 60.5 69.3 53.5 55.3<br />

Notes: *Projected at second quarter. **Includes palletwide, swap<br />

body and US domestic containers. † Includes all purchases made<br />

by, or financed for, shipping lines and other transport companies.<br />

Source: Leasing company and manufacturing data<br />

securitisation or more conventional<br />

bank borrowing, revolving<br />

credit or note issuance.<br />

Secure future<br />

Securitisation, because it utilises<br />

the borrowers’ equity/assets to<br />

part underwrite the loan, has become<br />

a popular option for the<br />

leasing sector as it can cut financing<br />

costs significantly in comparison<br />

to straight bank debt.<br />

At least six of the largest leasing<br />

names (GE SeaCo, Textainer,<br />

Tr iton, Interpool, Gold and<br />

Florens) have used securitisation<br />

to fund their recent fleet growth,<br />

while it is contributing a big share<br />

of the US$1.5 bill plus being raised<br />

annually by lessors to cover their<br />

new box investment.<br />

Illustrative is Interpool, which<br />

has recently raised another US$50<br />

mill through its long-running<br />

securitisation programme. This<br />

generated finance worth US$500<br />

mill for the lessor in 2002.<br />

Credit lines of comparable<br />

type and size have been tapped by<br />

Textainer and Triton, each of<br />

which is likely invest up to<br />

US$150 mill in new box equipment<br />

this year. GE SeaCo will<br />

similarly finance at least another<br />

US$150 mill of new (mainly specialised)<br />

containers in 2003, which<br />

is close to the sum it invested during<br />

2002. A broadly comparable<br />

outlay is also forecast for Florens,<br />

which also committed to over<br />

US$150 mill of new container<br />

investment in 2002.<br />

At the same time, Capital Lease<br />

has secured up to US$150 mill from<br />

its investor partners in Germany, for<br />

expenditure in 2003, while Cronos,<br />

acting through its new joint financing<br />

venture with Fortis Bank, has<br />

raised over US$70 mill. Sizeable<br />

internal funding (worth well over<br />

US$100 mill) has, meanwhile, been<br />

raised by Transamerica Leasing,<br />

while additional new funds have<br />

been secured by Gold Container,<br />

via its parent Touax Group, and by<br />

Unit Equipment Services (UES)<br />

backed by investors in Germany/<br />

Switzerland. The notable exception<br />

is Gateway, which is still concluding<br />

its longstanding financial restructure<br />

and has yet to confirm any<br />

investment for this year.<br />

Pulling back<br />

Nevertheless, despite the buoyant<br />

market and the apparent abundance<br />

of available finance, some<br />

major banks are known to have<br />

pulled back from supporting the<br />

container sector. This has certainly<br />

restricted the access of some shipping<br />

lines to new funding, as the<br />

latter are generally less able to exploit<br />

other financing vehicles, such<br />

as securitisation, due to their more<br />

complex structure and operations.<br />

This, on the other hand, has<br />

created further opportunities for<br />

the more specialised end of the<br />

The demand for all types of<br />

finance lease was naturally down<br />

slightly in 2002, as compared to<br />

earlier years when shipping lines<br />

were investing more aggressively,<br />

but still accounted for a relatively<br />

big outlay. Much of US$1.75 bill<br />

of new boxes purchased in 2002<br />

by transport operators for their<br />

own fleets was acquired through<br />

finance leasing and per diem rates<br />

are generally reported to have held<br />

up more strongly than in the operating<br />

term lease sector. Moreocontainer<br />

financing sector and<br />

particularly the providers of highly<br />

tailored packages, which are less<br />

daunted by cyclical swings in demand<br />

and continue to offer a wide<br />

(and growing) range of finance<br />

lease options. The latter range from<br />

the most straightforward type of<br />

lease-purchase, featuring a standard<br />

write-down of the debt over<br />

8-10 years, to more sophisticated<br />

structured financing deals containing<br />

various early-break options.<br />

As with the operating lease<br />

business, the number of participants<br />

offering finance lease remains relatively<br />

select and unchanging.<br />

Amongst the best-known firms to<br />

focus on this sector are Unitas,<br />

Container Leasing A/S, ING Lease,<br />

HVB Leasing (formerly Bank Austria<br />

Creditanstalt) and Nordea<br />

Finans Danmark (formerly<br />

Unileasing), though the latter is understood<br />

to have written a decreasing<br />

amount of container business<br />

during the past two years. Finance<br />

leases are also available from the<br />

majority of operating container lessors,<br />

with Interpool and Transamerica<br />

Leasing (TAL) amongst the<br />

most active in this area.<br />

More to come<br />

Despite the departure of GE Capital<br />

Container Finance from the<br />

box finance sector, the above firms<br />

have since been joined by newcomers,<br />

UES and Grand View Development<br />

(HK) Ltd, both of<br />

which are committing heavily to<br />

finance lease in addition to building<br />

up sizeable operating fleets.<br />

<strong>WorldCargo</strong><br />

news<br />

ver, demand will be even greater<br />

this year, when operators are expected<br />

to fund almost US$2 bill<br />

of new box purchases.<br />

Container Leasing of Denmark,<br />

with its long track record,<br />

remains very committed to the<br />

finance-lease sector. It is continuing<br />

to focus on the niche end of<br />

the market, putting together<br />

highly tailored deals covering container<br />

(and vessel) purchases, typically<br />

in the US$25-50 mill range.<br />

Spokesman, Ernst Neilsen, confirmed<br />

that the demand for finance<br />

leasing from shipping lines<br />

is increasing again and will be<br />

greater this year than in 2002.<br />

Unitas is similarly active, despite<br />

conceding that the market<br />

has been tough of late. The company,<br />

which controls a current<br />

equipment portfolio of around<br />

200,000 TEU, financed to the tune<br />

of US$350 mill, has recently recruited<br />

Jonathan Harrison formerly<br />

with GE Capital Container<br />

Finance) as its new CEO and is<br />

looking to build stronger partnerships<br />

with its existing client base.<br />

However, Harrison is mindful<br />

of the way the container business<br />

has been scaling up in recent years,<br />

and stated bluntly that “even an injection<br />

of US$1 bill does not go<br />

far today.” In short, any firm specialising<br />

in container financing has<br />

increasingly to aim high. ❏<br />

<strong>May</strong> 2003 51

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