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Seamless prediction

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Prediction systems<br />

l<br />

Statistical<br />

l<br />

l<br />

l<br />

l<br />

analyse 100 years of data for relationships<br />

Easy to fool yourself (and others)<br />

Much used in tropics: Monsoons India, Indonesia, West Africa,<br />

hurricanes, seasonal <strong>prediction</strong> US<br />

Often misused: summer and winter <strong>prediction</strong>s for Europe

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