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Final Program World Congress on Risk - The Society for Risk Analysis

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M<strong>on</strong>day Mini-Symposia 2:00 - 3:30 pm (c<strong>on</strong>tinued)<br />

<strong>The</strong>n the risk assessment issues addressed in the cleanup of the<br />

Capitol Hill Anthrax Site will be c<strong>on</strong>sidered, from selecti<strong>on</strong> of the<br />

fumigant, to the extent of the cleanups, and finally the important<br />

nati<strong>on</strong>al security and policy issues. <strong>The</strong> role of envir<strong>on</strong>mental sampling<br />

in identifying and characterizing anthrax c<strong>on</strong>taminati<strong>on</strong> at sites<br />

and in testing the efficacy of the subsequent cleanup(s) will be discussed,<br />

with emphasis <strong>on</strong> advances made in sampling since the<br />

attacks, and current recommendati<strong>on</strong>s <strong>for</strong> sampling. <strong>The</strong> review<br />

process <strong>for</strong> chemical agents to treat anthrax c<strong>on</strong>taminati<strong>on</strong> will be<br />

discussed, including the safety and efficacy issues that must be<br />

c<strong>on</strong>sidered, with a comparis<strong>on</strong> of the three agents used to fumigate<br />

sites. <strong>The</strong> safety issues that must be addressed in the treatment of<br />

very large sites will also be addressed. <strong>The</strong> roles of two independent,<br />

multi-disciplinary expert panels in the cleanup process of the Department<br />

of State mail facility will be summarized, including the<br />

value they add to the process. <strong>The</strong> evoluti<strong>on</strong> of the clearance process<br />

<strong>for</strong> productive re-use of the sites will be presented, including<br />

the significant risk assessment and risk communicati<strong>on</strong> issues c<strong>on</strong>sidered.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Final</str<strong>on</strong>g>ly, the data base <strong>for</strong> assessing risk of c<strong>on</strong>tracting anthrax<br />

and the current criteria <strong>for</strong> judging how clean is safe will be<br />

addressed.<br />

Room: Tintoretto 1<br />

M-MS.4 <strong>Risk</strong> Assessment and Decisi<strong>on</strong> Making Related<br />

to Major Accident Hazards<br />

Organizer: Olivier Salvi, INERIS, France<br />

Speakers: Hourtolou, D. (INERIS); Lacoursiere, J.-P. (University of<br />

Sherbrook); Zugman Do Coutto, R. (UNEP); Turney, R. (EPSC)<br />

Recent major technological accidents (Enschede, 2000;<br />

Toulouse, 2001 ; Lagos, 2002) have shown that politicians and riskdecisi<strong>on</strong><br />

makers are facing difficulties to manage technological<br />

risk. This situati<strong>on</strong> is probably due to, <strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong>e hand, the complexity of<br />

the issue, and <strong>on</strong> the other hand, citizens loss of trust in politics.<br />

Indeed, in our knowledge-based society, citizens want to be in<strong>for</strong>med<br />

and require transparent decisi<strong>on</strong>-making processes. But the decisi<strong>on</strong>-makers<br />

behaviour regarding risk-related problems is not c<strong>on</strong>vincing.<br />

<strong>The</strong> soluti<strong>on</strong>s to change the situati<strong>on</strong> seem to be both scientific<br />

and societal. <strong>The</strong> increasing complexity of industrial systems<br />

and the c<strong>on</strong>science that the role of humans is a key issue to c<strong>on</strong>trol<br />

major accident hazards have str<strong>on</strong>gly emphasised the need <strong>for</strong> approaches<br />

that integrate a holistic visi<strong>on</strong> of the industrial systems with<br />

the c<strong>on</strong>cepts, models and tools from various sciences : engineering,<br />

psychology, sociology, management etc. <strong>The</strong>re is a real scientific<br />

challenge to develop risk assessment methods that take into<br />

account this complexity. C<strong>on</strong>cerning the societal aspect, the ef<strong>for</strong>ts<br />

must focus <strong>on</strong> the in<strong>for</strong>mati<strong>on</strong> and participati<strong>on</strong> in the risk management<br />

processes of all stakeholders, including the public. It has l<strong>on</strong>g<br />

been recognised that increasing public participati<strong>on</strong> is an essential<br />

element in improving envir<strong>on</strong>mental and risk-related decisi<strong>on</strong>s. When<br />

the various stakeholders are aware of risk issues and involved in<br />

decisi<strong>on</strong>-making, the soluti<strong>on</strong>s inevitably become more sensible<br />

and legitimate. <strong>The</strong> selected talks of this symposium present several<br />

initiatives in the <str<strong>on</strong>g>World</str<strong>on</strong>g> to better assess major accident hazards<br />

11<br />

and to help decisi<strong>on</strong>-makers to deal with risk issues. In particular, the<br />

symposium will describe the achievement of works that integrate the<br />

complexity of the systems in risk assessment, and that improve the<br />

public comprehensi<strong>on</strong> and awareness. Olivier SALVI (INERIS,<br />

France) Chairman David Hourtolou (INERIS, France) ARAMIS<br />

Project : Development of an Accidental <strong>Risk</strong> Assessment Methodology<br />

in the Framework of the Seveso II directive. Jean-Paul Lacoursière<br />

(University of Sherbrook, Canada) Implicati<strong>on</strong> of the public in riskrelated<br />

decisi<strong>on</strong> making in Canada Ruth Coutto (UNEP APELL<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Program</str<strong>on</strong>g>me, Internati<strong>on</strong>al) <strong>The</strong> strategy <strong>for</strong> the community involvement<br />

in emergency preventi<strong>on</strong> and preparedness programmes<br />

Robin Turney (European Process Safety Centre, UK) Role of the<br />

industry in major accident preventi<strong>on</strong><br />

Room: Tintoretto 2<br />

M-MS.5 <strong>The</strong> Challenge of Terrorism - Examining<br />

Psychological and Cultural Factors Affecting <strong>Risk</strong><br />

Management<br />

Organizer: Bill Durodie, King’s College L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong><br />

Speakers: Wessely, S. (King’s College L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>); Furedi, F. (University<br />

of Kent at Canterbury); Gears<strong>on</strong>, J. (UK House of Comm<strong>on</strong>s);<br />

Durodie, B. (King’s College L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>)<br />

<strong>The</strong> need to achieve a balanced and coherent resp<strong>on</strong>se to<br />

the events of September 11th 2001 poses significant dilemmas <strong>for</strong><br />

governments. In the United Kingdom this has been encapsulated in<br />

the phrase alert but not alarmed. Yet, despite warnings as to the<br />

adverse c<strong>on</strong>sequences of acting up<strong>on</strong> general or vague in<strong>for</strong>mati<strong>on</strong>,<br />

resp<strong>on</strong>sible authorities have come under tremendous pressure<br />

to be seen to be resp<strong>on</strong>ding to speculative c<strong>on</strong>cerns in order<br />

not to be complacent. Such acti<strong>on</strong>s can in turn drive public c<strong>on</strong>cerns<br />

and in some instances have necessitated policy U-turns that<br />

undermine public c<strong>on</strong>fidence. This suggests an urgent need to<br />

understand and incorporate the psychiatric literature examining the<br />

limitati<strong>on</strong>s of providing reassurance without challenging fundamental<br />

beliefs, as well as the risk communicati<strong>on</strong> literature that points to<br />

the need <strong>for</strong> clarity, c<strong>on</strong>sistency and engagement, into the new policies.<br />

Am<strong>on</strong>gst the comm<strong>on</strong> problems and assumpti<strong>on</strong>s to be explored<br />

in this sessi<strong>on</strong> are; How new is the so-called new terrorism?<br />

What are the psychological c<strong>on</strong>sequences of living in a state of<br />

heightened c<strong>on</strong>cern? To what extent have pre-existing fears been<br />

reinterpreted and reinvigorated through the prism of terrorism? Why<br />

is society identifying its vulnerabilities and not its strengths? And, are<br />

there cultural asymmetries relating to risk-taking and risk-aversi<strong>on</strong><br />

that terrorists make use of? In particular we seek to examine the<br />

limitati<strong>on</strong>s of resp<strong>on</strong>ses to terrorism that focus primarily up<strong>on</strong> technical<br />

change. <strong>The</strong>se can take the <strong>for</strong>m of demands <strong>for</strong> better intelligence,<br />

detecti<strong>on</strong> instruments, protecti<strong>on</strong> equipment and new structures<br />

of governance such as the Department of Homeland Security<br />

or the Civil C<strong>on</strong>tingencies Secretariat. Most commentators agree<br />

that real resilience depends <strong>on</strong> a human element. How then, can<br />

we re-engage the publics hearts and minds in a period of mistrust,<br />

with a view to re-<strong>for</strong>ging a more positive visi<strong>on</strong> of what advanced<br />

societies have to offer?

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