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Tamarack Pests

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Predicted impacts of winter low temperatures on Eastern larch<br />

beetle populations<br />

Larvae are extremely<br />

cold-tolerant –most<br />

survive winters.<br />

Low winter<br />

temperatures<br />

increased 0.25C /yr<br />

1964-2004.<br />

Adult survival has<br />

increased 0.7% /yr<br />

from 1964-2004.<br />

Greater overwintering<br />

success by ELB and<br />

may lead to increased<br />

tree mortality<br />

Minimum annual temperature (°C)<br />

-24<br />

-26<br />

-28<br />

-30<br />

-32<br />

-34<br />

-36<br />

-38<br />

-40<br />

-42<br />

-44<br />

-46<br />

0.0<br />

1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005<br />

Winter temperatures for Isle, MN<br />

Year<br />

Larval survival<br />

Adult survival<br />

just south of Mille Lacs Lake<br />

1.0 100%<br />

0.8 80%<br />

0.6 60%<br />

0.4 40%<br />

0.2 20%<br />

From -Proceedings Society of American foresters, 2008, Reno, Nevada<br />

In Press- Forrest Health Monitoring 2008, National Report 29<br />

8<br />

0<br />

%<br />

Proportionate survival (predicted)

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