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Detecting changes in the rate Poisson process

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CUSUM test and Lorden’s criterion<br />

Discrete time, i.i.d. observations.<br />

Pdf before and after <strong>the</strong> change: f ∞ (ξ n ), f 0 (ξ n )<br />

S<strong>in</strong>ce change time τ is unknown<br />

sup 06τ 6t<br />

n=τ+1<br />

t<br />

Σn=1<br />

t<br />

f 0 (ξ n )<br />

Σlog( )<br />

f ∞ (ξ n )<br />

-<strong>in</strong>f 06τ6t Σn=1<br />

> ν<br />

f 0 (ξ n )<br />

log( )<br />

f 0 (ξ n )<br />

f ∞ (ξ n )<br />

f ∞ (ξ n )<br />

τ<br />

log( )<br />

> ν<br />

u t<br />

– m t<br />

> ν<br />

G.V. Moustakides: <strong>Detect<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>changes</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>rate</strong> of a <strong>Poisson</strong> <strong>process</strong> 8

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