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Professor Martin White - UK Faculty of Public Health

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Looking to the future, building on the past –<br />

public health research in the 21 st Century<br />

<strong>Faculty</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Public</strong> <strong>Health</strong> Conference, July 2012<br />

<strong>Martin</strong> <strong>White</strong><br />

Newcastle University<br />

www.fuse.ac.uk


<strong>Public</strong> health research in the 21 st century<br />

> What has happened to public health research over<br />

the last 15 years<br />

> How has public health research responded to<br />

emerging challenges and opportunities<br />

> What are the major, future challenges for public<br />

health research<br />

> How well is academia and its relationship with the<br />

public health system placed to respond to these<br />

challenges<br />

> What next


What has happened to public health research<br />

over the last 15 years<br />

> Influential shifts in thinking:<br />

• Models for intervention research (e.g. MRC framework)<br />

• EBM movement, NICE public health guidance etc.<br />

• Emergence <strong>of</strong> translational research<br />

> Transformation <strong>of</strong> research funding<br />

> Unprecedented expansion <strong>of</strong> capacity<br />

> Loss <strong>of</strong> academic public health specialists<br />

> Disconnection between public heath academia and<br />

practice


Research on smoking in South Asian men<br />

Problem<br />

Definition<br />

Solution<br />

Generation<br />

Innovation<br />

Testing<br />

Intervention<br />

Demonstration<br />

Intervention<br />

Implementation<br />

Epidemiological<br />

study <strong>of</strong><br />

cardiovascular risk<br />

among South Asian<br />

ethnic minority<br />

groups in Newcastle<br />

Qualitative studies<br />

<strong>of</strong> South Asian men<br />

to gain deeper<br />

understanding <strong>of</strong><br />

smoking in their<br />

culture<br />

Small scale<br />

evaluative trial,<br />

testing efficacy and<br />

acceptability <strong>of</strong><br />

community based<br />

intervention<br />

RCT <strong>of</strong> community<br />

outreach<br />

intervention to<br />

promote smoking<br />

cessation among<br />

South Asian men<br />

Systematic review<br />

on the cultural<br />

adaptation <strong>of</strong><br />

interventions for<br />

ethnic minorities<br />

Review <strong>of</strong> evidence<br />

<strong>of</strong> effectiveness for<br />

smoking cessation<br />

interventions<br />

Qualitative study to<br />

assess acceptability<br />

and feasibility <strong>of</strong><br />

evidence-based<br />

interventions<br />

Bhopal et al. Heterogeneity in coronary heart disease and risk factors<br />

in Indian, Pakistani, Bangladeshi and European origin populations.<br />

BMJ, 1999; 319: 215-220.<br />

Bush et al. Understanding influences on smoking in Bangladeshi and<br />

Pakistani adults: a community based qualitative study. BMJ, 2003;<br />

326: 962-6.<br />

<strong>White</strong> et al. Quitting smoking and experience <strong>of</strong> smoking cessation<br />

interventions among Bangladeshi and Pakistani adults: public and<br />

pr<strong>of</strong>essional views. J Epidemiol Community <strong>Health</strong> 2006;60:405-411.<br />

Begh et al. Promoting smoking cessation in Pakistanis and<br />

Bangladeshis in the <strong>UK</strong>: cluster randomised controlled trial <strong>of</strong> trained<br />

community outreach workers. Trials, 2011;12:197<br />

Liu et al. Adapting health promotion interventions to meet the needs<br />

<strong>of</strong> ethnic minority groups: mixed methods evidence synthesis. <strong>Health</strong><br />

Technology Assessment (in press)


Research funding<br />

> 2004 – National Prevention Research Initiative (NPRI) launched -<br />

£33m invested in 74 projects by a panel <strong>of</strong> 16 funders, led by MRC<br />

> 2005 – <strong>Public</strong> <strong>Health</strong> Research Consortium (PHRC) launched by<br />

Department <strong>of</strong> <strong>Health</strong> - £7.7m invested over 10 years in research<br />

on national policy priorities, including major evaluations<br />

> 2005 MRC Population <strong>Health</strong> Sciences Research Network<br />

established - £2.5m over 5 years<br />

> 2008 – 5 <strong>Public</strong> <strong>Health</strong> Research Centres <strong>of</strong> Excellence funded by<br />

a panel <strong>of</strong> 8 funders, under auspices <strong>of</strong> <strong>UK</strong>CRC – £41m over 10<br />

years (+SCPHRP - £9m, 10 years)<br />

> 2009 – NIHR <strong>Public</strong> <strong>Health</strong> Research programme<br />

launched - £10m/year, >£30m to date<br />

>£131m<br />

> 2012 – NIHR School for <strong>Public</strong> <strong>Health</strong> Research<br />

investment<br />

launched - £20m over 5 years initially<br />

in 12 years


Expansion <strong>of</strong> capacity<br />

> NIHR Fellowships programme – doctoral, post-doc,<br />

career development, career scientist<br />

> Growth <strong>of</strong> public health masters’ programmes<br />

> Capacity building initiatives – <strong>UK</strong>CRC PHRCoEs: >50<br />

new staff, >50 PhD studentships<br />

> Research project and programme funding =<br />

significant expansion <strong>of</strong> research staff numbers<br />

> RAE/REF and investment in higher education –<br />

expansion <strong>of</strong> research intensive universities


How has research responded to challenges<br />

and opportunities <strong>of</strong> last 15 years<br />

> Major shifts in research focus:<br />

• Emergence and development <strong>of</strong> behavioural<br />

sciences<br />

• Expansion <strong>of</strong> Intervention development research<br />

• Systematic reviews underpinning intervention<br />

research<br />

• Natural experimental evaluations<br />

• Translational research<br />

• More rigorous methodological research


2008/09 Q1<br />

2008/09 Q2<br />

2008/09 Q3<br />

2008/09 Q4<br />

2009/10 Q1<br />

2009/10 Q2<br />

2009/10 Q3<br />

2009/10 Q4<br />

2010/11 Q1<br />

2010/11 Q2<br />

2010/11 Q3<br />

Smoking prevalence: SHAs in England<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

North East SHA North West SHA Yorkshire and The Humber SHA<br />

East Midlands SHA West Midlands SHA East <strong>of</strong> England SHA<br />

London SHA South East Coast SHA South Central SHA<br />

South West SHA<br />

England<br />

0%


Domains to inform our understanding <strong>of</strong> what affects<br />

midwives’ pr<strong>of</strong>essional behaviours<br />

Knowledge<br />

Interaction<br />

between<br />

midwife and<br />

pregnant<br />

woman<br />

Factors<br />

influencing<br />

the behaviour<br />

<strong>of</strong> the<br />

pregnant<br />

woman


Evaluation <strong>of</strong> a modified care pathway to promote<br />

increased smoking cessation rates among pregnant<br />

women: a proposed randomised stepped wedge trial<br />

Allocation<br />

blocks<br />

2012 2013*<br />

Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug<br />

Area 1 (2<br />

Trusts)<br />

Area 2 (3<br />

trusts)<br />

Area 3 (1<br />

trust)<br />

Area 4 (2<br />

trusts)<br />

Control steps: full data collection, no intervention<br />

Initial intervention delivery: training and implementation, leading to full fidelity<br />

Full intervention delivery at full fidelity


What are the major, future challenges for<br />

public health research<br />

> Economy – global development , climate change,<br />

epidemiological transition, demographic shifts, boom<br />

and bust<br />

> Globalisation – public health threats from<br />

communicable diseases, climate change, environmental<br />

disasters and degradation<br />

> Inequality – widening due to economy and IGIs<br />

> Corporate power – Big Tobacco, Big Alcohol, Big Food,<br />

Big <strong>Health</strong> Care, Big everything...<br />

> Evidence-free policy and practice –initiatives with no<br />

prior evidence and no evaluation


How well is public health research placed to<br />

respond to these challenges<br />

> Infrastructure is strong and growing , but...<br />

• Needs to be less inward looking, more outward<br />

facing<br />

• Needs to build relationships to address new kinds<br />

<strong>of</strong> public health challenges<br />

• Needs to intensify focus on translation<br />

• Need to be more adventurous with policy<br />

evaluation<br />

• Needs to really grasp nettle <strong>of</strong> tackling health<br />

inequalities


The Change4Life convenience store evaluation


Intervention-generated inequalities<br />

“Unintended and unwanted variations in<br />

outcomes for individuals or population<br />

sub-groups that result from any element <strong>of</strong><br />

any [health] intervention”<br />

<strong>White</strong> M, Adams J, Heywood P. How and why do interventions that increase health<br />

overall widen inequalities within populations In Babones S (Ed.). <strong>Health</strong>, inequality<br />

and society. Bristol: Policy Press, 2009.


The points in intervention pathways at which<br />

socio-economic gradients can arise<br />

Provision<br />

Macro-needs<br />

assessment<br />

Provision <strong>of</strong><br />

services<br />

Micro-needs<br />

assessment<br />

Provision <strong>of</strong><br />

Interventions<br />

L H L H<br />

L H<br />

L H<br />

<strong>Health</strong> Outcome<br />

Long term<br />

compliance<br />

Efficacy <strong>of</strong><br />

intervention<br />

Uptake <strong>of</strong><br />

intervention<br />

L H L H L H L H<br />

Response


Meta-analysis: odds <strong>of</strong> receiving surgery for lung<br />

cancer - low versus high SEP


The relationship between water fluoridation and socioeconomic<br />

deprivation on tooth decay in 5-year-old children<br />

Jones CM, Worthington H. BDJ 1999; 186(8): 397-400


What next<br />

> Academia needs to embrace the outside world,<br />

including public health policy and practice<br />

• More research in and for the real world<br />

• Co-production <strong>of</strong> research with policy and practice<br />

• Shared events<br />

> <strong>UK</strong> PHR needs to decide how much to invest in<br />

global health research<br />

> <strong>Public</strong> health practice needs to ‘walk the talk’ with<br />

evidence based public health<br />

> Implications for public health training – in research<br />

and evidence awareness and skills<br />

> FPH has a role to play...


Links: flagship public health research initiatives<br />

> PHRSN http://www.populationhealthsciences.org/<br />

> <strong>UK</strong>CRC PHRCoEs http://www.esrc.ac.uk/about-esrc/what-wedo/our-research/ukcrc.aspx<br />

> NIHR PHR http://www.phr.ac.uk/<br />

> PHRC http://phrc.lshtm.ac.uk/<br />

> NIHR SPHR http://www.sheffield.ac.uk/scharr/sphr<br />

> NICE <strong>Public</strong> <strong>Health</strong> http://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/phg/


Thanks and more…<br />

> Thanks to the many people who I have worked with over many years who have<br />

shaped my thinking and collaborated on research, including members <strong>of</strong>: the <strong>Public</strong><br />

<strong>Health</strong> Research Consortium, <strong>UK</strong>CRC <strong>Public</strong> <strong>Health</strong> Research Centres <strong>of</strong> Excellence,<br />

NIHR School for <strong>Public</strong> <strong>Health</strong> Research, NIHR <strong>Public</strong> <strong>Health</strong> Research Board, NICE<br />

Centre for <strong>Public</strong> <strong>Health</strong> Excellence, MRC Population <strong>Health</strong> Sciences Research<br />

Network, and my colleagues in the Institute <strong>of</strong> <strong>Health</strong> & Society, Newcastle<br />

University.<br />

> Contact details<br />

www.fuse.ac.uk<br />

martin.white@ncl.ac.uk<br />

Skype & twitter: martinwhite33<br />

Tel: +44 (0)191 222 6275<br />

The author is funded in part by Fuse, the Centre for Translational Research in <strong>Public</strong> <strong>Health</strong>, a <strong>UK</strong>CRC <strong>Public</strong><br />

<strong>Health</strong> Research: Centre <strong>of</strong> Excellence. Funding from the British Heart Foundation, Cancer Research <strong>UK</strong>,<br />

Economic and Social Research council, Medical Research Council, and the National Institute for <strong>Health</strong> Research,<br />

under the auspices <strong>of</strong> the <strong>UK</strong> Clinical Research Collaboration, is greatly acknowledged. Opinions expressed in this<br />

presentation do not necessarily represent those <strong>of</strong> the funders.

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