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The relationship between DSGE and VAR models - cemmap

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Y t D 8Y t 1 C D" t (24)<br />

with<br />

8 D C A C 0 C 1 C 0 : (25)<br />

Proposition 3 (<strong>VAR</strong>(p)). <strong>The</strong> <strong>DSGE</strong> model (2) has a <strong>VAR</strong>(p) representation if <strong>and</strong> only if<br />

2<br />

3 1 2<br />

3<br />

0 1 : : : p 1 1 2 : : : p<br />

<br />

2 : : : pC1 D 1 : : : p 0 1<br />

0 : : : p 2<br />

0 0<br />

1 : : : p 1<br />

6 : :<br />

:: : : 7 6 : :<br />

:: : : 7<br />

4<br />

5 4<br />

5<br />

0 p 1<br />

0 p 2<br />

: : : 0 0 p 2<br />

0 p 3<br />

: : : 1<br />

where i D E Y t Yt 0<br />

i<br />

: In this case, the <strong>VAR</strong>(p) representation is<br />

h<br />

0<br />

Y t D 8 Yt 0<br />

1 : : : Y t pi 0 C ut (27)<br />

with<br />

<strong>and</strong><br />

E u t u 0 <br />

t D 0<br />

2<br />

8 D <br />

1 : : : p 6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

<br />

1 : : : p 6<br />

4<br />

3<br />

0 1 : : : p 1<br />

0 1<br />

0 : : : p 2<br />

: :<br />

:: : : 7<br />

5<br />

0 p 1<br />

0 p 2<br />

: : : 0<br />

3<br />

0 1 : : : p 1<br />

0 1<br />

0 : : : p 2<br />

:<br />

: : :: : 7<br />

5<br />

0 p 1<br />

0 p 2<br />

: : : 0<br />

1<br />

1 2<br />

6<br />

4<br />

0 1<br />

0 2<br />

:<br />

0 p<br />

3<br />

(26)<br />

(28)<br />

: (29)<br />

7<br />

5<br />

Ravenna (2007) similarly derives conditions for the existence of a nite order <strong>VAR</strong> representation<br />

of a <strong>DSGE</strong> model written in a different state-space form, which makes the distinction<br />

<strong>between</strong> endogenous state variables (W t ) <strong>and</strong> exogenous state variables (Z t ) explicit:<br />

W t D RW t 1 C SZ t (30)<br />

Y t D PW t 1 C Q Z t<br />

Z t D 8Z t 1 C " t :<br />

15

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