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July–August 20<strong>14</strong> Volume 74, Number 4<br />

RCMI<br />

The Journal of the Royal Canadian Military Institute<br />

Founded 1890<br />

SITREP<br />

J.R. ‘Digger’ MacDougall places<br />

a Canadian flag on a soldier’s<br />

grave at the 70th Anniversary<br />

commemoration of the D–Day<br />

Landings, June 20<strong>14</strong>.<br />

Inside this Issue<br />

—J.R. MACDOUGALL<br />

Defending our Northern Coast: Contextualizing the<br />

Arctic Offshore Patrol Ships by Timothy Choi...............................................................3<br />

Canadian Counter-terrorism: From Preventer to Responder by Kyle Wierks..........................6<br />

Vocal Critic of N. Korea’s Nuclear Ambition and Belligerence: A Retired<br />

PLA General’s View on Geopolitics in Northeast Asia by Weixin Lu............................9<br />

Celebrating the 70th anniversary of D-Day by J. R. ‘Digger’ MacDougall..........................13<br />

Book Review: “The Great Escape: A Canadian Story”<br />

by Ted Barris reviewed by Maj Thomas K. Fitzgerald................................................15<br />

www.rcmi.org


From the Editor’s Desk<br />

It is appropriate now that the summer’s heat is upon us that<br />

we examine Canada’s upcoming Arctic Offshore Patrol<br />

Ships (AOPSs), the first armed vessels to be built in over<br />

two decades in this country. Timothy Choi argues that while<br />

the AOPSs, as currently envisioned, could use some improvements, they are far<br />

from the “cool” commentary that critics make them out to be.<br />

Kyle Wierks debunks the belief held by some that Canada is considered to<br />

be a refuge for international terrorists due to supposedly lax immigration laws,<br />

inadequate focus on security and defence and inferior counter-terrorism capabilities.<br />

He counters that despite this criticism of Canadian counter-terrorism,<br />

Canada’s experience with terrorism over the past ninety years has resulted in a<br />

very strong counter-terrorism framework existing in Canada today.<br />

Weixin Lu provides a fascinating examination of the geopolitical balance<br />

in northeast Asia through the commentary of retired People’s Liberation Army<br />

(PLA) Lieutenant General Wang Hongguang, a vocal critic of North Korea’s<br />

nuclear ambition and belligerence. Seen as a strong military voice, his analysis<br />

of regional security and China’s policies, particularly geopolitical dynamics in<br />

Northeast Asia, not only have drawn international analysts’ attention, but also<br />

has led to heated debates among Chinese citizens whose reactions are decidedly<br />

mixed over international issues.<br />

Major Thomas Fitzgerald a frequent reviewer of books for <strong>Sitrep</strong> offers a<br />

review of Ted Barris’ latest book The Great Escape: A Canadian Story.<br />

On the occasion of the 70 th Anniversary of the Invasion of Normandy,<br />

RCMI member J.R. ‘Digger’ MacDougall reports with reverence on the wreath<br />

laying ceremonies and services 7–9 June in Normandy. This series of events<br />

marked the 49th anniversary of his first visit to the D-Day landing areas when<br />

as a Captain he commanded a 100-man Guard of Honour in 1965 as part of the<br />

dedication ceremonies for a Cairn which was erected to honour the fallen of the<br />

Fort Garry Horse (10th Armored Regiment) during the invasion. He writes, “It<br />

was truly a worthwhile life experience to be there and remember the contribution<br />

of so many Canadians.”<br />

Sincerely,<br />

Col Chris Corrigan (ret’d) CD, MA<br />

Executive Director,<br />

Editor of <strong>Sitrep</strong> and Chair of the Security Studies Committee<br />

Copyright © 20<strong>14</strong> RCMI ISSN 0316-5620 SITREP may be fully reproduced in whole or in part for academic research or institutional<br />

purposes, provided that the author’s and the institute’s copyright is acknowledged. The views expressed are those of the author(s) and<br />

do not necessarily represent the views of the Institute or its members.<br />

Royal Canadian Military Institute<br />

Founded 1890<br />

Patron<br />

His Excellency the Right Honourable<br />

David Johnston, C.C., C.M.M., C.O.M., C.D.<br />

The Governor General of Canada<br />

Vice Patrons<br />

The Honourable David C. Onley, O.Ont<br />

Lieutenant Governor of Ontario<br />

General Thomas J. Lawson, CMM, CD<br />

Chief of the Defence Staff<br />

His Worship Rob Ford<br />

Mayor of Toronto<br />

Officers & Directors<br />

HCol Gilbert W. Taylor—President<br />

LCdr/Dr. Michael J. Hoare, CD—Vice President<br />

Col W. Allan Methven, CD–—Vice President<br />

Mr. Gilbert S. Lamothe—Secretary/Treasurer<br />

LCol Donald R. Fisher, CD—Director<br />

BGen Paul A. Hayes, OMM, CD—Director<br />

Capt Stewart C. Kellock, MOM, OStJ, CD—Director<br />

LCol C. Edward Rayment, CD—Director<br />

Capt John E. Thompson, CD—Director<br />

Executive Director and Editor<br />

Col (ret’d) Chris Corrigan, CD, MA<br />

Past President<br />

Col James R. Breithaupt, KStJ, CD, QC<br />

Special Consultant to the Board<br />

LCol Jeffery J. Dorfman, OMM, CD<br />

Honoraries<br />

Col (ret’d) John Clarry, MBE, ED, CD, QC<br />

Honorary President<br />

MGen Richard Rohmer, OC, CMM, DFC, O.Ont,<br />

KStJ, OL, Legion d’Honneur, QC<br />

Honorary Vice President<br />

O.Ont, KStJ, CD, QC<br />

LCol (ret’d) Bruce W. Savage, CD<br />

Honorary Curator<br />

Mr. J. L. Granatstein, OC, FRSC<br />

Dr. Desmond Morton, OC<br />

Honorary Historian<br />

Mr. Arthur Manvell<br />

Honorary Librarian<br />

LCol J. Roy Weir , CD, AdeC, QC<br />

Honorary Solicitor<br />

Chaplains<br />

Maj The Rev Gillian Federico, CD<br />

The Rev Martin Keatings<br />

LCdr The Rev J. David Mulholland<br />

Capt The Rev Mark L. Sargent, CD<br />

General Manager<br />

Mr. Michael T. Jones<br />

Director of Communications/Assistant Editor<br />

Mr. Eric S. Morse<br />

Official Publication of the<br />

Royal Canadian Military Institute<br />

426 University Avenue,<br />

Toronto, Ontario, M5G 1S9<br />

416-597-0286/1-800-585-1072<br />

Fax: 416-597-6919<br />

Editorial E-Mail: ccorrigan1@cogeco.ca<br />

Website: www.rcmi.org<br />

2 SITREP


Defending our Northern Coast: Contextualizing the<br />

Arctic Offshore Patrol Ships<br />

by Timothy Choi<br />

PARTICIPANT IN THE 16 TH<br />

CDAI GRADUATE STUDENT SYMPOSIUM<br />

Over the past several years, severe criticisms have come<br />

forth regarding Canada’s upcoming Arctic Offshore<br />

Patrol Ships (AOPSs), which will be the first armed<br />

vessels to be built in over two decades in this country. This<br />

article argues that while the AOPSs, as currently envisioned,<br />

could use some improvements, they are far from the “blunder”<br />

that critics have make them<br />

out to be. In setting out my<br />

arguments, I will reference the<br />

April 2013 report published<br />

by the Canadian Centre for<br />

Policy Alternatives and the<br />

Rideau Institute, authored by<br />

Michael Byers and Stewart<br />

Webb, entitled “Titanic Blunder:<br />

Arctic/Offshore Patrol<br />

Ships on Course for Disaster.”<br />

Although criticisms have<br />

been published in a variety<br />

of media, most of them are<br />

covered in the report by Byers<br />

and Webb, making it ideal for<br />

the purposes of this article.<br />

Perhaps one of the most<br />

prominent criticisms of the<br />

AOPSs has been the extent<br />

of its ice-breaking capability.<br />

Infamously derided as a mere<br />

“slushbreaker”, this critique<br />

has followed the design since<br />

its conception. This perception<br />

of the AOPSs inadequate ice-breaking capability was a<br />

result of early comparisons between them and the pre-2007<br />

election promise of three heavy icebreakers. This comparison,<br />

however, is unfair and irrelevant. For an armed ice-capable<br />

Timothy Choi is a PhD student at the Centre for Military and Strategic<br />

Studies, University of Calgary. He holds a Master of Strategic Studies degree<br />

from the University of Calgary and a B.A. in International Studies and History<br />

from Simon Fraser University. His research interest invariably focuses<br />

on naval affairs and his dissertation will examine 21st century Scandinavian<br />

naval procurement.<br />

vessel, the important thing is not how much ice it can break in<br />

absolute terms, but rather, how much ice it can break in comparison<br />

to other countries’ ice-capable warships. The AOPSs is<br />

to be built to a Polar Class 5 standard, which allows it to break<br />

up to one metre of first-year ice. How does this compare to<br />

other Arctic nations’ armed ice-capable vessels<br />

Quite favourably. The Danish Thetis class patrol frigates<br />

are also capable of up to one-metre ice, while their smaller<br />

but newer Knud Rasmussen class can operate only up to 80<br />

centimetres of ice—less than the AOPSs. The Norwegian Navy<br />

does not have ice-capable vessels, though their Coast Guard<br />

does in the form of the three old Nordkapp and newer Svalbard<br />

ships. In both those cases, photos indicate they appear<br />

to be capable of operations in one-metre ice, though written<br />

sources do not indicate an official number. As for the United<br />

States, the sorry state of their icebreaking fleet is well-known.<br />

The production of SITREP is made possible in part by the generosity of the<br />

Langley Bequest, which is made in honour of Major Arthur J Langley CD<br />

and Lt (N/S) Edith F Groundwater Langley<br />

JULY—AUGUST <strong>14</strong> 3


With only two unarmed polar-capable ships (USCG Cutters<br />

Healy and Polar Star) and no new vessels in the near future,<br />

the United States is possibly the least capable nation for making<br />

a subtle force-based challenge to Canadian Arctic claims.<br />

Obviously, they could use much more potent military force<br />

that are not Arctic-specific, but it is doubtful our close ally<br />

would resort to such overt means over maritime boundary and<br />

Northwest Passage disputes. In essence, the United States lacks<br />

the means for subtle shows of force in an Arctic environment<br />

– they either have no presence, or too much. As for the final<br />

member of the Arctic Ocean states, Russia does have a fleet<br />

of ice-capable armed vessels, but they are six old members of<br />

the Ivan Susanin class Coast Guard ships. The ice capability of<br />

these ships is not published, but their size suggests roughly the<br />

same capability as the Norwegian Coast Guard vessels. In any<br />

case, Russia actually has fewer disputes with Canada than the<br />

other Arctic states, as it is in Russia’s best interests to support<br />

Canada’s view that the Northwest Passage is internal Canadian<br />

waters, since this would strengthen Russia’s own claim to its<br />

Northern Sea Route. In sum, then, Canada’s AOPSs will be<br />

able to operate in just as much ice as any other Arctic state’s<br />

armed ice-capable vessel. Should a foreign warship enter<br />

Canada’s ice-covered waters, we, too, are certain to be able to<br />

have a presence of our own up there.<br />

Byers and Webb have also claimed that the AOPSs’ costsaving<br />

traditional design makes it less suitable for operating<br />

in ice compared to the “double-acting” hull of the Svalbard.<br />

However, in my communiqués with a former member of the<br />

Svalbard crew, I was informed that the unique “stern first”<br />

function of that ship was never used on an operational basis<br />

during that crewmember’s year of duty, which included deep<br />

winter (December to August). The lack of a “double-acting”<br />

hull on the Danish ships also has not appeared to negatively<br />

affect their operations in Greenlandic waters. It would appear<br />

that the lack of a “double-acting” hull for the AOPS will not<br />

significantly impede its operations in Arctic waters, if the<br />

experiences of other nations’ ships are any indication.<br />

But being able to enter ice-covered waters is one thing—<br />

will the AOPSs be enough to deter any of the opposing Arctic<br />

assets Byers and Webb assert that there is no need for an<br />

armed presence in the Arctic, while the AOPSs’ proposed<br />

weapons fit of one 25mm cannon and two .50 calibre machine<br />

guns would be insufficient for non-Arctic patrol duties. While<br />

I concede the possibility of a full-out naval war between Arctic<br />

powers over resource and boundary limitations is highly unlikely,<br />

the scenario of a foreign warship attempting to escort<br />

shipping or resource extraction assets through Canadian or<br />

disputed waters is a very real challenge we must be ready to<br />

address. In this context, how do the combat capabilities of the<br />

other Arctic warships compare to the AOPSs In sum, it is<br />

accurate to say that although the AOPSs will be outmatched<br />

on a one-on-one basis, the disparity is not so much that the<br />

AOPSs has no choice but to simply roll over and surrender.<br />

To be more specific, although the Danish, Norwegian, and<br />

Russian vessels are equipped with larger guns (57mm and<br />

76mm), they are not equipped with anti-ship missiles, and are<br />

not impervious to the AOPSs’ 25mm. The mere threat and risk<br />

of suffering casualties as a result of an AOPS captain’s decision<br />

to open fire is sufficient deterrent to any of the aforementioned<br />

foreign ice-capable vessels. In essence, the AOPS armament<br />

enables that time-honoured tradition of “a shot across the<br />

bow”—that Canada is serious about defending its territory,<br />

and that any violations would result in an unwanted escalation<br />

of violence. The AOPSs do not have to be able to outright sink<br />

its potential competitors; they merely have to establish a cost<br />

for challenging their authority. As for the critics’ point that<br />

a 25mm gun is insufficient for patrol duties: their proposal<br />

of the Australian Armidale class (which has its own critics)<br />

is hardly logical, given that it is also equipped with a 25mm<br />

gun. More concretely, if our Atlantic or Pacific coasts are being<br />

threatened with something that requires more firepower<br />

than a 25mm gun, then there is the rest of our Navy that can<br />

(and should) be put into play.<br />

But back to the Arctic: to be present depends on the ships<br />

having the range necessary to get to the North. Here, critics<br />

find another point to deride - namely, that the AOPSs’ 6,800<br />

nautical mile range is insufficient for Arctic duties, especially<br />

when compared to the 10,000 nm ranges of large icebreakers<br />

in the Coast Guard. On the face of it, the critics are correct—6,800<br />

nm suffices to only get the AOPS from Halifax to<br />

the entrance of the Northwest Passage (NWP) and back with<br />

only a thousand nautical miles or so to spare for local patrol<br />

purposes. While the establishment of the Nanisivik refuelling<br />

base at the eastern entrance of the NWP will alleviate this<br />

problem, critics point out that the decreased scale and scope<br />

of Nanisivik reduces the amount of time an AOPS can spend<br />

in the North. However, what the critics have failed to articulate<br />

is just how, exactly, the reduced scale of Nanisivik will impede<br />

AOPS operations. Just because the station will no longer be<br />

permanently manned, that does not mean it will lack the extra<br />

fuel capacity needed to sustain an AOPS for the duration of its<br />

tour of duty in the area. Furthermore, the 6800 nm figure is<br />

based upon a constant speed of <strong>14</strong> knots, which is fairly high<br />

for a vessel whose maximum speed is meant to be 17 knots -<br />

ships rarely travel at such a high relative speed on a constant<br />

basis. Thus, an AOPS’ range can be significantly increased if<br />

it were to transit at a lower speed. As well, the AOPS design<br />

includes an area for three cargo containers—presumably an<br />

ad hoc arrangement can be devised to adapt this area for<br />

extra fuel bladders should any of the above options prove<br />

impossible. In the past, ships operating in the High North<br />

have had to carry all of their fuel with them because of a lack<br />

of refuelling stations in the area—such will not be the case by<br />

the time the AOPSs enter service, making the relatively low<br />

organic range less problematic.<br />

On the issue of maximum speed, the critics also claim<br />

it is insufficient. They assert that 17 knots would not allow an<br />

AOPS to catch up to a speedboat conducting illicit activities.<br />

4 SITREP


Again, they claim that an alternative smaller and faster vessel,<br />

such as the aforementioned Armidales or the Americans’<br />

Sentinels, be purchased instead. Putting aside for the moment<br />

that the Canadian Coast Guard already has the Sentinel class<br />

in the form of the new Hero class patrol ships, these two<br />

options are hardly a significant step above the AOPSs for<br />

catching speedboats. The Armidales and Sentinels/Heros are<br />

capable of 25 knots—faster than an AOPS, yes, but hardly<br />

enough to catch a 30-plus-knot smuggler runabout. In fact,<br />

the AOPS has an advantage over the two smaller ships: it will<br />

have a helicopter on board. Needless to say, no conventional<br />

speedboat can really outrun a helicopter. Therefore, given the<br />

choice between a slow ship equipped with a helicopter versus<br />

a faster ship that is still not fast enough, the decision should<br />

be obvious.<br />

As for helicopter operations, the AOPS is meant to fully<br />

operate all Coast Guard helicopters, while having the ability<br />

to land and stow the large helicopters flown (or to be flown)<br />

by the Royal Canadian Air Force: the CH-<strong>14</strong>9 Cormorant<br />

and the CH-<strong>14</strong>8 Cyclone. Critics believe that the lack of a<br />

helicopter haul-down system (“Beartrap”) on the AOPS will<br />

severely hinder its ability to employ helicopters in high sea<br />

conditions. However, the AOPS design includes provisions for<br />

it to be refitted with such a system at a future date—though<br />

the ships will not be equipped with it when they are built.<br />

Should operational conditions clearly indicate the necessity<br />

of a haul-down system, it could be installed fairly cheaply. But<br />

even in the absence of such a system, helicopters can still land<br />

on an AOPS in high sea states in an emergency—consider,<br />

for example, the famous video showing a Lynx helicopter<br />

performing an unassisted landing on the deck of the Knud Rasmussen<br />

during trials while the ship was pitching and rolling at<br />

extreme angles. Evidently, unless one were to claim Canadian<br />

pilots are inferior to the ones on that Lynx, it is clear that the<br />

lack of a helicopter haul-down system does not categorically<br />

preclude the AOPS from using helicopters in high sea states.<br />

I have put forth a rather optimistic picture of the AOPS<br />

design and its adequacy for operations in the coming decades.<br />

Much of this adequacy depends on it continuing to face adversaries<br />

that are armed roughly equal to it. This would change,<br />

of course, if the Arctic were to become ice-free for greater<br />

periods of time. In such a case, foreign states can deploy much<br />

more powerful non-ice-capable warships into Canadian waters<br />

- warships that the AOPS and its 25mm gun cannot deter.<br />

With climate change continuing to take its toll on the Arctic<br />

sea ice, such a scenario may come sooner rather than later.<br />

However, one should keep in mind that if our waters are open<br />

for other countries’ naval ships, then they would be open to<br />

our own as well. An AOPS may not be able to deter another<br />

Arctic state’s frigate or destroyer, but a Canadian Halifax class<br />

frigate or future Surface Combatant can. Meanwhile, during<br />

the winter, the AOPSs can continue to ensure sovereignty in<br />

our waters. Thus, should the ice in fact melt earlier and more<br />

extensively than expected, Canada’s investment in the AOPS<br />

would not be for nought—the ice will remain in winter, and<br />

an ice-capable vessel required for that period, while the rest<br />

of the Royal Canadian Navy will be able to assist during summer<br />

melts.<br />

That said, the AOPS could have some improvements.<br />

In particular, it lacks an underwater surveillance capability.<br />

Given that we know foreign submarines have operated in<br />

our waters in years past, it would seem to be a prudent step<br />

on our part to equip the AOPSs with anti-submarine warfare<br />

(ASW) capabilities. Although the AOPS design specifies<br />

for it to be equipped with provisions for the deployment of<br />

“towed bodies” (e.g. towed sonar array) from the stern container<br />

area, such a sonar system would not work well in the<br />

ice-infested waters of the North, as the sonar towing cable<br />

would easily become entangled in the ice. Therefore, a robust<br />

ASW capability for the AOPS would require a hull-mounted<br />

sonar; while one may fear that this would impair the ship’s<br />

ice-breaking capabilities, the fact that the Danish ice-capable<br />

Thetis class also has a hull-mounted sonar suggests that this is<br />

not an insurmountable problem. Furthermore, I would also<br />

suggest the AOPS to be equipped with magazine storage for<br />

the CH-<strong>14</strong>8 Cyclone helicopter, allowing it to rearm while on<br />

board. Current plans for the AOPSs do not indicate any storage<br />

capacity for helicopter munitions.<br />

Despite these drawbacks, the Arctic Offshore Patrol Ship<br />

design has great promise for increasing Canada’s ability to<br />

monitor and defend our Arctic waters. Most criticisms of the<br />

AOPSs fail to take a comparative perspective. These critiques<br />

often take the ships out of the international and domestic<br />

contexts, examining them only in arbitrary absolute terms<br />

without regard for how they stand up to potential adversaries.<br />

Furthermore, some critics fail to offer viable alternatives, or<br />

propose alternatives that do not actually improve upon the<br />

AOPS design. As mentioned, the AOPS are not heavily armed,<br />

but that is because neither are its potential opponents. They are<br />

not fast, but that is alleviated by its organic helicopter capability.<br />

They do not have as much range as full icebreakers, but<br />

that is because there will be a new forward refuelling point.<br />

In essence, every criticism of the AOPS design can be easily<br />

debunked via a close examination of the spatial, military, and<br />

temporal context in which the ships are to serve. To paraphrase<br />

a certain science fiction character: she may not look like much,<br />

but she’s got it where it counts. <br />

The views expressed are those of the author and do not<br />

necessarily reflect the views of the Institute<br />

or its members.<br />

Notes<br />

1 Most data on AOPS design sourced from Department of National Defence,<br />

AOPS SRD - Draft. Department of National Defence, September 15, 2010.<br />

2 Data on AOPS helicopter capabilities sourced from Department of National<br />

Defence, Arctic/Offshore Patrol Ship Helicopter/Ship Interface Requirements Rev 4.<br />

Department of Defence, October 13, 2010.<br />

JULY—AUGUST <strong>14</strong> 5


Canadian Counter-terrorism:<br />

From Preventer to Responder<br />

by Kyle Wierks<br />

Canada has often been considered by outside nations to<br />

be a refuge for international terrorists. Its supposedly<br />

lax immigration laws, inadequate focus on security<br />

and defence, and lack of counter-terrorism experience have<br />

led to foreign nations, especially the United States of America,<br />

label Canada as having inferior counter-terrorism capabilities.<br />

Despite these common ideas of Canadian counter-terrorism,<br />

Canada’s experience with terrorism over the past ninety years<br />

has greatly informed its current counter-terrorism policies to<br />

create a very strong counter-terrorism framework in Canada<br />

today. From the early 1920s to present day, Canada has responded<br />

swiftly and harshly to all terrorist threats on its soil. In<br />

the last decade and a half, we have even seen Canada turn from<br />

being a responder to terrorism to a preventer of terrorist acts.<br />

Canada’s experience with terrorism really began in the<br />

1920s located mainly in the province of British Columbia.<br />

The Doukhobors were an ethno-religious group originating<br />

in Russia who then went through a split in the late 1910s.<br />

Emerging from this religious split were the Sons of Freedom,<br />

a radical arm of the Doukhobors who despised the supposed<br />

secularism that was prevalent in Canada at the time. The Sons<br />

of Freedom began an arson campaign in the early 1920s, targeting<br />

secular buildings and symbols of government power<br />

such as railways. As the terror campaign continued through<br />

the 1940s and ‘50s, the BC government struck back, leading<br />

to a peak in terrorist conflict in the early 1960s. Through<br />

the government’s harsh response, the authorities eventually<br />

arrested the main body of Sons of Freedom terrorists in the<br />

mid-1960s and essentially shut down their operations. Though<br />

the Sons of Freedom were all but eradicated, they did rise<br />

again, briefly, in the early 1980s, but have never been a major<br />

threat to Canada since the 1960s.<br />

The early 1960s also saw the materialization of another<br />

terrorist group, le Front de Libération du Québec (FLQ). The<br />

FLQ was a nationalist terror group based out of Montreal that<br />

was dedicated to the secession of Quebec from Canada by<br />

any means necessary. Their bombing campaign in the earlyto<br />

mid-1960s brought a strong response from the Canadian<br />

government, who ordered the arrests of the FLQ leadership.<br />

By 1968, most of the FLQ’s leaders were either in prison or<br />

in exile, and a new leadership rose up to take their place. Up<br />

until then, the FLQ’s bombing campaigns had been targeting<br />

buildings and purposefully avoiding casualties, but under<br />

this new leadership, all of that changed. The FLQ became<br />

Kyle Wierks is a first year Master’s student in political science at the University<br />

of Alberta studying international relations and Canadian politics with a<br />

focus on international and Canadian security. He hopes to finish his degree<br />

in Summer 20<strong>14</strong>.<br />

PARTICIPANT IN THE 16 TH<br />

CDAI GRADUATE STUDENT SYMPOSIUM<br />

increasingly more violent and lethal until things came to a<br />

head in October, 1970.<br />

The October Crisis of 1970 (also known as the FLQ<br />

Crisis) started on October 5 when the FLQ kidnapped a British<br />

official named James Cross. Two days later, the Canadian<br />

government declared war on the FLQ and the military rolled<br />

into Montreal. Then, on October 10, another cell of the FLQ<br />

kidnapped Quebec Minister of Labour Pierre Laporte. The<br />

War Measures Act (now defunct) was evoked by Prime Minister<br />

Pierre Trudeau on October 15, suspending civil liberties<br />

throughout Quebec, and Canadian soldiers lined the streets;<br />

curfews were put in place and on October 16 over 500 people<br />

were arrested in Montreal alone, though all were later released.<br />

Then, on October 17, Minister Laporte was found dead.<br />

The Army remained in Montreal for months. On November<br />

6, 1970, Bernard Lortie, one of Minister Laporte’s<br />

kidnappers, was arrested. The Canadian Army, the Royal<br />

Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP), and the Quebec Provincial<br />

Police (QPP) all worked together to fight back and arrest<br />

members of the FLQ. James Cross’s freedom was negotiated<br />

on December 3 in exchange for passage for his kidnappers to<br />

Cuba. The last of Minister Laporte’s kidnappers were arrested<br />

on December 28. The Canadian Army left Montreal in February<br />

of 1971, but the FLQ remained until 1973, when they were<br />

finally eradicated by the QPP.<br />

The 1960s was also an important decade in the USA, because<br />

in 1959 the Cuban dictator Fulgencio Batista, a friend of<br />

America, was deposed and replaced by Fidel Castro. The 1960s<br />

saw growing tensions between the USA and Cuba culminating<br />

in the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis. In this time, the USA cut off<br />

all foreign relations with Cuba, but Canada retained its relations<br />

with both countries. American nationalists saw this as a<br />

slight to their country and some Americans regarded Canada<br />

as an ally of their enemy. The mid-1960s saw the beginning<br />

of an anti-Cuba terror campaign launched against Canada<br />

by American nationalists. Though the threat levels were low<br />

and the attacks were mostly isolated, the anti-Cuban terrorists<br />

conducted campaigns in the mid-1960s, the early-1970s, and<br />

the final time in 1980. However, with cooperation between<br />

Canadian and American law enforcement leading to multiple<br />

arrests, combined with a decreased level of tensions between<br />

Cuba and America, the American nationalist attacks never<br />

occurred again after 1980.<br />

After the final attack by anti-Cuban terrorists in 1980,<br />

the following six years saw Canada face multiple terror threats.<br />

Not only did the Doukhobor Sons of Freedom re-emerge for<br />

five years (1981-1986), but there was also new threats facing<br />

Canada. A British Columbian “hippie” terrorist group calling<br />

6 SITREP


themselves Direct Action (labelled the “Squamish Five” by<br />

the media) carried out non-lethal bombing attacks on several<br />

industrial/commercial targets from Toronto to BC in 1982.<br />

All of its members were arrested at a roadblock in January<br />

1983. There were also two more very important terror groups<br />

operating in Canada in the 1980s: Armenian terrorists and<br />

Sikh terrorists.<br />

Armenian terrorist activities first began in 1982 when<br />

a group called the Justice Commandos of the Armenian<br />

Genocide (JCAG) attacked and murdered a Turkish military<br />

attaché working in Canada. Another Armenian group called<br />

the Armenian Secret Army for the Liberation of Armenia<br />

(ASALA) attempted to kill another Turkish diplomat in<br />

Canada, but failed. In all, between 1982 and 1985 Armenian<br />

terrorists carried out five attacks on Turkish targets, one attack<br />

on a Swiss target, and one attack on a Canadian target.<br />

The last attack came in early 1985 when Armenian terrorists<br />

assaulted the Turkish embassy in Ottawa with a van full of<br />

explosives. They killed a security guard, took eleven people<br />

hostage (the Turkish ambassador managed to escape), and<br />

blockaded themselves in the embassy. The resulting standoff<br />

between the terrorists and the police lasted for four hours<br />

before the terrorists gave up and surrendered. Two weeks later,<br />

as the terrorists were being held in custody, other Armenian<br />

terrorists threatened to detonate explosives in the Montreal<br />

and Toronto subways unless their arrested brethren were set<br />

free. The Canadian government refused, and the threatened<br />

attacks never came to fruition. The captured terrorists were<br />

convicted and received sentences ranging from nine years to<br />

life in prison. Incidentally, the attack on the Turkish embassy<br />

was the last Armenian terrorist attack anywhere in the world.<br />

While the Armenian terror attacks ended in the conviction<br />

of those involved, Canada’s experience with Sikh terrorism<br />

in the 1980s did not fare so well. Sikh extremists began<br />

their campaign in 1984 with attacks on Indian diplomats and<br />

Indian buildings in Canada as a response to the Indian government’s<br />

attack on a sacred Sikh shrine. But their most important<br />

attack, which was also the single most deadly terrorist attack<br />

originating out of Canada, was the Air India bombing on June<br />

23, 1985. An Air India flight left Vancouver, BC, where Sikh<br />

extremists had placed explosives in the cargo hold. While the<br />

plane was flying over the Atlantic Ocean on its way to Ireland,<br />

the explosives detonated, blowing up the airplane and killing<br />

all 329 people aboard, most of whom were Indo-Canadians.<br />

The Canadian Security and Intelligence Service (CSIS), which<br />

had been created barely a year before this attack, was tasked<br />

with heading up the investigation. The fledgling intelligence<br />

service found itself wrapped up in political red tape and had<br />

difficulty working with the RCMP to conduct its investigations.<br />

There were no convictions this time, but when Sikh<br />

extremists tried to reproduce their attack on an Air India<br />

flight leaving Montreal a year later, the attempted bombing<br />

was stopped before it could succeed.<br />

Canada learned from both its successes and failures with<br />

terrorism and in the late 1980s convened two special Senate<br />

committees (followed by a third in 1999) to lay out the foundation<br />

for counter-terrorism policy in Canada. Then September<br />

11, 2001, changed the world’s understanding of terrorism.<br />

Suddenly, terrorism was at the forefront of public policy and<br />

public concern around the world. Canada responded to the<br />

international call, spearheaded by the USA, to move its fight<br />

against terrorism to foreign lands. So Canada went to Afghanistan,<br />

where it stayed for over a decade, fighting to bring<br />

peace to Afghanistan and to remove the terrorist haven there.<br />

And the Canadians fought bravely, as tens of thousands of<br />

Canadian soldiers have served in Afghanistan with over 155<br />

courageous Canadians giving their lives.<br />

While Canada’s fight against terrorism had gone international,<br />

it still faced a very real threat of terror activity<br />

within its own borders. Canada’s first domestic response to the<br />

9/11 terror attacks was the passing of the Anti-Terrorism Act,<br />

which received Royal Assent in December of the same year.<br />

This Act criminalized the act of terrorism and provided law<br />

enforcement with special powers when investigating charges<br />

of terrorism. Some of the Act’s provisions were removed in<br />

2007, but a recent Senate bill, the 2012 Combating Terrorism<br />

Act, reinstated some of these provisions while creating new<br />

criminal offences for assisting terror activities, both domestic<br />

and abroad, and leaving Canada to partake in terror activities.<br />

The first person to be arrested and convicted under the<br />

2001 Anti-Terrorism Act was Mohammad Momin Khawaja,<br />

who was arrested March 29, 2004, for conspiring with British<br />

terrorists to detonate a bomb in Britain and was convicted<br />

October 29, 2008. He was sentenced to 10.5 years in prison.<br />

The year 2006 saw a new terror threat emerge: the Toronto<br />

18. CSIS first caught wind of this group in 2002 when<br />

it intercepted a communication between Fahim Ahmad, who<br />

was trying to set up a terrorist cell in Toronto, and known<br />

jihadists living outside of Canada. CSIS did not act right away,<br />

but kept Ahmad under surveillance. Two years later, it came<br />

across communications by Ahmad and Zakaria Amara to a<br />

known jihadist website. At the same time, it received information<br />

from a Toronto imam that the two men were spreading<br />

jihadist sentiments in his mosque. With both men now under<br />

surveillance, CSIS became concerned that this was no longer<br />

an isolated action and in 2005 recruited a Canadian Muslim<br />

named Mubin Shaikh to befriend Ahmad and Amara. In December<br />

2005, Ahmad and Amara held a jihadist training camp.<br />

Shaikh, who was a former member of the Canadian military,<br />

told his new friends that he shared their jihadist sentiments<br />

and would be willing to help train their new recruits. With<br />

his help, CSIS and the RCMP were able to set up surveillance<br />

to watch the training camp and gather information.<br />

Over the next several months, CSIS and the RCMP discovered<br />

that Ahmad and Amara were planning some sort of<br />

bomb attack. They already had enough evidence to arrest the<br />

pair for running a terrorist training camp, but they wanted<br />

JULY—AUGUST <strong>14</strong> 7


more charges. So the RCMP sent one of its own officers,<br />

Shaher Elsohemy, to make contact with the group. Elsohemy<br />

told the group that he was able to get them the chemicals they<br />

needed to build their bombs. After several months of building<br />

a relationship with Amara, Elsohemy made the final sale<br />

of the chemicals on June 2, 2006. Immediately following the<br />

transaction, Elsohemy’s fellow RCMP officers swept in and<br />

arrested Amara and executed a search warrant on his house.<br />

In the following 24 hours, 17 people were arrested for their<br />

participation in the Toronto 18 plot and the 18 th member was<br />

arrested two months later. These 18 people were arrested and<br />

convicted for a large number of terrorism-related crimes,<br />

including gathering materials to build fertilizer bombs which<br />

they planned to detonate at the Toronto Stock Exchange, CFB<br />

Trenton, CSIS headquarters, and possibly even the Parliament<br />

Buildings in Ottawa.<br />

Though the Toronto 18 is possibly the most well-known<br />

terrorist plot in Canada since 9/11, it is not the only one. In<br />

August 2010, three people were arrested in Ottawa and Montreal<br />

for their plot to detonate improvised explosive devices<br />

(IEDs) on the Montreal subway, at the Canadian Parliament,<br />

and several other locations. One man, Hiva Alizadeh, was the<br />

focus on the investigation, and the other two men were only<br />

discovered after they made contact with him. For this reason,<br />

authorities remain concerned that they might be part of a<br />

larger terror cell, but this has never been proven.<br />

There have been more examples of terrorist plots in Canada<br />

in the past year, as well. Two men were arrested in April<br />

2013 for their role in a plot to blow up a VIA Rail line as it ran<br />

through Canada. They were arrested after a joint operation by<br />

Canadian and American law enforcement agencies. Two more<br />

people were arrested on July 1, 2013, in Abbotsford, BC. This<br />

couple were operating alone in their plot to plant homemade<br />

bombs at the British Columbia Legislature Building and then<br />

detonate them during the Canada Day celebrations that would<br />

take place there later that evening.<br />

It is interesting to watch as Canada’s experience with terrorism<br />

has changed the way in which it fights terrorism, but<br />

not the way in which it reacts to it. Allow me to expand on that.<br />

Prior to the 1990s, Canada was always acting in response to<br />

terrorism. There would be a terrorist attack and then Canada<br />

would respond by launching an investigation or declaring war<br />

on the terrorists. Canada was often successful in its response to<br />

terrorism (with the exception of the Air India investigation),<br />

but it was always one step behind the terrorists. CSIS and the<br />

Senate committees in the 1980s and ‘90s were designed to<br />

change this, which they did. There has not been a successful<br />

terrorist attack on Canadian soil since 1989, when a bus was<br />

hijacked for several hours before the hijacker surrendered (and<br />

even that might not have been an act of terrorism). Instead,<br />

Canada is now an effective preventer of terrorism. Rather than<br />

responding to terrorists after there is an attack, Canada’s law<br />

enforcement and security services are able to work together<br />

to target potential terrorists, place them under surveillance,<br />

and stop terror activities before they begin. Much of this new<br />

strategy is laid out in Canada’s Counter-Terrorism Strategy, the<br />

latest edition of which was released in 2013.<br />

However, while Canada’s strategy in fighting terrorism<br />

has changed, its reaction to terrorism, as I already stated, has<br />

not. With only a few exceptions, every terrorist activity in<br />

Canada, both plotted and carried out, has resulted in the arrest,<br />

death, exile, or other punishment of the terrorists or their<br />

organization. While it may be true that when terrorist groups<br />

such as the FLQ or ASALA were broken up by Canadian law<br />

enforcement not all of their members were actually arrested,<br />

it is also true that Canada has always responded to terrorism<br />

with a strong hand. Terrorists have been arrested and convicted<br />

with long jail sentences. When terror groups emerge in<br />

Canada, they have historically been eradicated quite quickly.<br />

Canada is not the weak, terrorist haven of a nation that other<br />

countries might think; it has a history of dealing harshly and<br />

quickly with terrorists, both within its own borders and, more<br />

recently, outside of its borders. 1 <br />

The views expressed are those of the author and do not<br />

necessarily reflect the views of the Institute<br />

or its members.<br />

Notes<br />

1 The historical information included in this article comes from a variety of<br />

sources. However, much of information about Canada’s experience with terrorism<br />

prior to 2001 came from a paper titled “The (un)peaceable kingdom Terrorism<br />

and Canada before 9/11” written by David Charters. That being said, the author<br />

used many different sources to supplement this information. The information<br />

used to lay out the history of Canadian terrorism after 9/11 has come primarily<br />

from news articles, government reports/websites, and various press releases.<br />

8 SITREP


Vocal Critic of N. Korea’s Nuclear Ambition and Belligerence: A<br />

Retired PLA General’s View on Geopolitics in Northeast Asia<br />

by Weixin Lu<br />

In China’s state-run media a group of star commentators<br />

with military background frequently comment on<br />

hot geopolitical topics. Among them stands out retired<br />

People’s Liberation Army(PLA) Lieutenant General Wang<br />

Hongguang, a vocal critic of North Korea’s nuclear ambition<br />

and belligerence. Seen as a strong military voice, his analysis of<br />

regional security and China’s policies, particularly geopolitical<br />

dynamics in Northeast Asia, not only have drawn international<br />

analysts’ attention, but also has led to heated debates among<br />

Chinese citizens whose reactions are decidedly mixed over<br />

international issues.<br />

After having retired from active duty as deputy commander<br />

of the Nanjing Military Region, Wang currently sits<br />

on the National Committee of the Chinese People’s Political<br />

Consultative Conference(CPPCC), the country’s top political<br />

advisory body. At 65, he is from a military family. His father,<br />

Wang Jianqing, was an army commander in East China before<br />

rising to the rank of major general. His father-in-law, Gao<br />

Houliang, was political commissar of the PLA air force in<br />

the late-1970s.<br />

Potential Nuclear Contamination from North Korea<br />

North Korea’s pursuit of nuclear weapons and its capricious<br />

nature annoy its Chinese ally. In the Chinese media and<br />

academic community there is a consensus that it is time to<br />

get tougher with rather than be tolerant toward Pyongyang.<br />

Wang’s commentary is simply reflective of popular sentiments.<br />

“China would be most likely affected by nuclear contamination<br />

from North Korea because the North’s nuclear facilities<br />

are mainly built alongside the China-North Korea border, and<br />

the Chinese government should make every effort to persuade<br />

the North to drop nuclear programs, at least stop the fourth<br />

test,” He wrote in an article titled “The Nuke Contamination<br />

Would Be Disaster for China If N.Korean Nuke Sites under<br />

Attack by US, S.Korea” in Global Times on 16 December 2013,<br />

an outspoken nationalist newspaper affiliated with the Chinese<br />

ruling party’s mouthpiece People’s Daily.<br />

The article appeared in the wake of the execution of<br />

North Korean supreme leader Kim Jong-un’s uncle Jang<br />

Song Thaek, once considered the country’s No. 2 official who<br />

helped young Kim come to power two years ago. The political<br />

earthquake reflected the unpredictability of the Kim regime,<br />

and underscored the urgency of the North’s nuclear issue. The<br />

Weixin Lu, a previous contributor to <strong>Sitrep</strong>, is a freelance writer with a focus<br />

on China issues and East Asia geopolitics. He analyzes the international issues<br />

in the region and provides a unique commentary based on his journalistic<br />

instinct. He has written articles on China and East Asia geopolitics for several<br />

Canadian Institutes.<br />

incident too highlighted a prolonged rift between China and<br />

the North given that Jang was seen as a pro-Beijing leader<br />

responsible for facilitating economic co-operation with China.<br />

In the article Wang expressed China’s disgruntlement<br />

and frustration with North Korea’s nuclear pursuit that has<br />

created a serious threat to China’s security as well as a lingering<br />

instability in the region. In his view, North Korea’s stability first<br />

conforms to China’s interests, and the North’s denuclearization,<br />

a precondition for stability on the Peninsular, is more<br />

attuned to China’s interests.<br />

The six-party talks that aim to dismantle the North’s<br />

nuclear program through negotiations have stalled for five<br />

years due to Pyongyang’s withdrawal. The North wants to have<br />

direct dialogue with the United States, though Washington<br />

tries to avoid it. North Korea, Wang acknowledged, has insisted<br />

on talks as a nuclear state with the United States on an<br />

equal footing, thus leaving China in an awkward situation as<br />

a middleman between them. On the other hand, the United<br />

States has allied with Japan and South Korea and mobilized<br />

support of the international community, exerting heavy pressure<br />

upon the North. Therefore, Wang argued, the standoff<br />

of both sides has simply created instability on the Peninsular.<br />

The North’s ruling party maintained “the Byungjin<br />

Policy,” or “economic development and nuclear weapons together”<br />

at its national conference in March 2013. The policy<br />

highlights Pyongyang’s determination to develop nuclear<br />

arms. Given that, Wang predicted, there will be no feasible<br />

solution to the North’s denuclearization any time soon, and<br />

instability is expected to continue on the Peninsular.<br />

Wang detailed potential fallouts brought about by the<br />

North’s nuclear pursuit. China, he cautioned, is subject to<br />

threats from North Korea’s nuclear program due to its nuclear<br />

sites’ proximity to China. The radioactive leak from the North’s<br />

regular tests could drift to China’s territory. In the event of a<br />

mishap, it would be an incalculable catastrophe to Northeast<br />

China.<br />

The earthquake, triggered by the North’s third nuclear<br />

test in 12 February, 2013 resulted in distinct tremors in<br />

China’s Yanbian region neighbouring to North Korea. If the<br />

test upgraded, the tremors would be much stronger and possibly<br />

bring about earthquake disasters in China. If the North’s<br />

delivery vehicle deviated from its route and fell in Chinese<br />

territory, it could cause more damage. “So China should take<br />

precautions for potential mishaps,” Wang argued.<br />

Wang too expressed concerns over the geopolitical challenge<br />

from US military presence in the region due to North<br />

Korea’s development of nuclear bombs and long-range missiles<br />

to carry them. In response to the North’s nuclear program, he<br />

JULY—AUGUST <strong>14</strong> 9


noted, the United States has been deploying anti-missile systems<br />

in South Korea, Japan, the high seas and America’s west<br />

coast. “The North’s missile technology would not be able to<br />

pose a threat to continental America, but the US pre-emptive<br />

deployment is in essence aiming at China’s limited strategic<br />

nuclear capability, thus offsetting China’s minimum nuclear<br />

deterrence against the United States and threatening China’s<br />

strategic security,” Wang concluded.<br />

Bringing emphasis to the potential nuclear disaster from<br />

the North, if a high-intensity earthquake occurred or North<br />

Korean nuclear facilities were attacked by the US and South<br />

Korea alliance when the situation spiralled out of control on<br />

the Peninsula, the nuclear contamination from damaged sites<br />

would be worse than Japan’s Fukushima accident. “It would<br />

be a total disaster for China,” Wang insisted.<br />

North Korea’s nuclear program not only has posed a<br />

threat to China, the United States, South Korea, Japan and<br />

Russia, but also inflicted pain upon the North itself. “For stability<br />

on the Peninsula and in Northeast Asia, China should<br />

make every effort to persuade the North to abandon its nuclear<br />

program,” arguing “China should demand the United States<br />

and South Korea not deploy nuclear weapons on the Peninsula<br />

—VIRALREAD.COM<br />

and not use them against the North.”<br />

The retired general expressed a pragmatic view that<br />

China should do more as a major player on the North’s denuclearisation.<br />

The international community and Chinese<br />

public are aware that China has enjoyed more than 60 years of<br />

traditional friendship with North Korea providing the largest<br />

aid to and exerting a special influence on the North, so China<br />

should use the leverage to the best of its power. Meanwhile,<br />

China should let the North know consequences if it continues<br />

the fourth nuclear test.<br />

China’s recent dealing with two Koreas has somehow<br />

corroborated Wang’s analysis. President Xi Jin-ping’s two-day<br />

visit to Seoul early July, 20<strong>14</strong>, as a return for his South Korean<br />

counterpart Park Geun-hye’s visit to Beijing a year ago, has<br />

highlighted China’s diplomatic priority, placing Seoul ahead<br />

of Pyongyang. During Mr.Xi’s visit, both countries reportedly<br />

agreed that the North’s denuclearisation must be “achieved at<br />

all costs.” The trip could be seen as a move to hedge against<br />

the US-led alliance.<br />

Strengthening ties with Seoul, Beijing has snubbed<br />

Pyongyang. After nearly three years in power, Kim Jong-un<br />

has not received an invitation to China, nor has he invited<br />

10 SITREP


Mr.Xi to Pyongyang, a significant thermometer to measure<br />

the temperature of bilateral relations. Kim’s father Kim Jong-yi<br />

and grandfather Kim Il-sung paid numerous visits to China<br />

during their lifelong reign. In spite of this, China is expected<br />

to maintain a lukewarm sometimes strained ties with the<br />

North, providing economic aid and political support the<br />

isolated regime badly needs. The North’s geopolitical value<br />

has decreased, but China still sees it as a buffer zone at least<br />

psychologically.<br />

Query Assessment of North Korea’s Military<br />

North Korea’s military strength including conventional<br />

forces and nuclear capability has frequently been discussed<br />

in international media and academic communities. After the<br />

publication of US and South Korean reports on the North’s<br />

military each year, experts would analyse them and debate<br />

about the validity of the North’s military estimation.<br />

In an article titled “N. Korean Military Largely Overestimated”<br />

in Global Times on 31 May 2013, Wang questioned<br />

the validity of the recent US and South Korea’s assessment of<br />

North Korean military power, particularly a conspicuous imbalance<br />

of the ratio of equipment to personnel. According to<br />

the South’s annual report, the North has 3,500 towed artillery<br />

guns, 4,400 self-propelled artillery guns, 4,800 multi-barrel<br />

launchers (or 5,100 estimated by Americans), 7,500 mortars<br />

and 11,000 anti-aircraft guns. In addition, the North has 4,100<br />

tanks and 2,100 armoured vehicles.<br />

Based on calculation, Wang said, those artillery pieces<br />

could equip sixty-five towed artillery regiments, eighty-one<br />

self-propelled artillery regiments, eighty-nine multi-barrel<br />

launch regiments (or ninety-three regiments according to<br />

American data), thirty-seven large-calibre mortar regiments<br />

and three hundred and five anti-aircraft gun regiments.<br />

Given the context, North Korea would have half a<br />

million artillery troops totally comprising more than one<br />

hundred artillery divisions. And the North’s tanks and armoured<br />

vehicles could equip about a dozen tank divisions.<br />

Then there are the North’s 200,000 special forces, and after<br />

that only 100,000 troops are left for logistic support mission.<br />

“So, where are the North’s infantry units now” asked Wang,<br />

pointing out an outstanding imbalance in the North’s military<br />

establishment that was respectively revealed in the US and<br />

South Korea’s reports.<br />

According to the article titled “DoD Issues New Threat<br />

Report North Korea” in Military Times, 9 March, 20<strong>14</strong>, North<br />

Korea has the fourth largest military in the world in terms of<br />

manpower, with as many as 1.2 million people serving on active<br />

duty, including the ground forces, air force, navy, strategic<br />

rocket forces and a special operation force.<br />

Routine maintenance is a huge cost estimated at roughly<br />

three billion US dollars. “Actually North Korea could not afford<br />

it,” Wang asserted. “Given that, much of its equipment is<br />

believed to be sealed up. When out of service for a long time,<br />

the equipment would literally be nearly scrapped.” With satellite<br />

technology, the United States and South Korea should<br />

have a pretty good idea of what is going on with the North’s<br />

military equipment.<br />

Wang too rebutted an account that “North Korea has the<br />

ability to saturate Seoul with up to half a million shells within<br />

an hour.” In reality, the retired PLA commander explained,<br />

each time an artillery gun can continuously deliver only one or<br />

two units of fire, maximum one hundred or so shells. Given the<br />

circumstance, five thousand guns would be needed to fire half<br />

a million shells. However, when five thousand artillery guns<br />

were closely deployed, roughly one gun for every ten metres,<br />

along the terrain in front of the areas neighbouring Seoul,<br />

they would easily be targeted by the US and South Korean<br />

forces. The North Korean army would have great difficulty<br />

concealing pre-positioning moves.<br />

In fact, Wang noted, except for 170mm propelled guns<br />

and 240mm multi-barrel launchers, most of the North’s<br />

artillery guns fall short of Seoul, which is 40-50 kilometres<br />

away from the 38th parallel dividing line. And there is a demilitarized<br />

zone along the line, a buffer area four kilometres<br />

wide. Given that, the version of “the North’s artillery delivery<br />

of a heavy bombardment on Seoul” is not tenable, Wang<br />

concluded.<br />

A more realistic threat to the US-South Korea alliance,<br />

is from the North’s one hundred surface to surface missiles<br />

mounted on trucks, which have a range of 200 kilometres<br />

covering the whole northern areas of South Korea. South<br />

Korean media quoted the South’s intelligence saying that<br />

North Korea could possibly test the advanced 300mm rocket<br />

launchers whose range is at 180 kilometres. Wang queried the<br />

information. “The Russian ‘Smerch’ 300mm multiple rocket<br />

launcher has a 70 kilometres-range. Since the North has no<br />

capability to manufacture the third generation main battle<br />

tank, how could it make a much highly sophisticated artillery<br />

piece” Wang doubted.<br />

Wang’s analysis partially coincides with the remarks<br />

by Anthony Cordesman, Arleigh Burke Chair in Strategy at<br />

the Center for Strategic and International Studies. “Artillery<br />

is not that lethal,” Cordesman asserted. “It takes a long time<br />

for it to produce the densities of fires to go beyond terrorism<br />

and harassment.” Even in a worst scenario, where both U.S.<br />

and South Korean forces are somehow paralyzed or otherwise<br />

engaged, and North Korea fires its 170mm artillery batteries<br />

and 240mm rocket launchers with total impunity, the grim<br />

reality would not live up to the hype. Flattening, levelling or<br />

otherwise destroying a city is an obsolete tactic. The firestorms<br />

of the past century have been replaced with surgical, precisionguided<br />

strikes, Cordesman noted.<br />

In conclusion Wang noted that the exaggeration of<br />

the North’s strength was a psychological warfare waged by<br />

the United States and two Koreas. With a “powerful” North<br />

Korean army stationed at the border, South Korean military<br />

would be able to seek more funding from the national assembly.<br />

Meanwhile, talks of the North’s threats would help to<br />

JULY—AUGUST <strong>14</strong> 11


promote “patriotic education” among South Koreans. In the<br />

event of a war, the South could easily switch to the wartime<br />

system, Wang thought.<br />

When confronted with “highly militarized” North Korea,<br />

the United States would have sufficient justification to<br />

strengthen its military presence in South Korea, advancing its<br />

Asia strategy and “legitimately” deploying anti-missile systems<br />

in the region. On the other hand, Wang said, North Korea’s<br />

silence on the US and South Korean assessment is intended to<br />

impress the world with its inflated military, thus threatening<br />

the neighbours and gaining from “the brink of war policy.”<br />

Considering Wang’s military background, his analysis<br />

of the North’s artillery is very likely a reflection of the real<br />

strength. Given that the artillery troops are major part of<br />

North Korean army, the assessment he provided reflects to a<br />

certain extent the general level of the North’s military forces.<br />

The North’s Missile nearly Hits a Chinese Flight<br />

North Korea’s provocations frequently grab media<br />

headlines. On 4 March 20<strong>14</strong> North Korea fired several shortrange<br />

missiles toward the Sea of Japan passing through the<br />

commercial air route from Tokyo to Shenyang, a northeastern<br />

Chinese city, just six minutes before a Chinese airliner flew<br />

through the trajectory of one of these missiles, according to<br />

South Korean military.<br />

“The Chinese authorities should strongly criticize North<br />

Korea’s irresponsible act and make the North ensure that no<br />

similar incident will happen,” Wang Hongguang noted in an<br />

article titled “N.Korean Rocket Passing through China’s Air<br />

Route Is Dangerous “ in Global Times on 11 March 20<strong>14</strong>,<br />

adding that the North’s act had seriously threatened the safety<br />

of a flight on this passage if the news proved to be true. The<br />

article came three days after the mysterious disappearance of<br />

a Malaysia Air flight on its way from Kuala Lampur to Beijing,<br />

thus sparking extra concerns over North Korea’s apparently<br />

reckless acts that would endanger aviation safety in the region.<br />

Wang disagreed with some online comments that said<br />

Seoul was “making a fuss about it” and “provoking dissension<br />

between Beijing and Pyongyang.” From a military perspective<br />

he assessed the North’s provocation as high risk. In the military<br />

drill, he noted, co-ordination of the air force and ground artillery<br />

unit is an important part of training programs. Without<br />

co-ordination, a friendly fire could otherwise inflict casualties<br />

upon its own forces in actual combat.<br />

Wang cited the specifications of North Korea’s 300mm<br />

rocket launcher that was mentioned in the incident. When<br />

the launcher’s range is set at 50-60 kilometers, the maximum<br />

trajectory height is about <strong>14</strong>,000 meters. And when the range<br />

is at 150-kilometers, the maximum trajectory height reaches<br />

as high as 30,000 meters. Given that the maximum altitude of<br />

a large commercial jet is at between 10,000 to 12,000 meters,<br />

the Chinese airliner in this incident was just under the trajectory<br />

height of the North’s rocket.<br />

In actual combat, Wang explained, co-ordination of artillery<br />

strikes and air force attacks in the same area is prepared<br />

beforehand, and the interval between the two attacks is usually<br />

set at two or three minutes. During an exercise, the interval<br />

will be prolonged up to ten minutes to ensure safety. In this<br />

incident, six minutes of interval between a North Korean missile<br />

and a Chinese flight is an extremely short time differential.<br />

Furthermore, civil aviation had received no notice of military<br />

drill from North Korea in advance.<br />

North Korea’s act, Wang argued, was totally against the<br />

international norm and ordinary military practice, since a<br />

country that holds a military exercise should be responsible<br />

for ensuring no civil aircraft fly into the relevant airspace during<br />

the time. “In order to prevent accidental harm to civilian<br />

flights, military exercise command centers should inform air<br />

traffic control authorities of the upcoming drills in advance.<br />

Usually the military yields to airlines, and sometimes airlines<br />

adjust their routes and flying time,” Wang said. “The schedules<br />

of the flights could be postponed up to half a day, thus ensuring<br />

the absolute safety of civil aviation.”<br />

In this case, Wang noted, North Korea fired missiles<br />

toward the Sea of Japan. Given that the region was far from<br />

China’s territory, it would be difficult for China to track the<br />

trajectory of the North’s missiles. North Korea was fully aware<br />

that its rockets would run across the Chinese flight’s route<br />

and could see from its radar system that the Chinese airliner<br />

was scheduled to fly into this danger zone. But North Korean<br />

military ignored it giving an order to fire rockets.<br />

In the article he expressed China’s military’s strong indignation<br />

against the North’s reckless act. North Korea “manifested<br />

a rather unfriendly attitude toward China,” Wang noted,<br />

adding that relevant Chinese authorities should not downplay<br />

the incident with diplomatic rhetoric like “the Chinese flight<br />

flew over North Korean airspace normally on that day with<br />

nothing special” or “China will verify the relevant situation<br />

with the relevant party and express necessary concerns over<br />

that.” The relevant authorities here are believed to refer to<br />

China’s foreign ministry.<br />

Neither the Pyongyang regime nor its embassy in Beijing<br />

has as of now clarified media reports on the rocket launch<br />

incident. Usually North Korean diplomats would react to<br />

such international media report they deem slanderous or<br />

malicious. For instance, a Chinese professor noted in a commentary<br />

in Global Times, 20 December 2013 that most of<br />

cemeteries for Chinese army martyrs in North Korea lie in<br />

waste. The accounts raised Chinese readers’ eyebrows. One<br />

month later, a North Korean diplomat in Beijing furiously<br />

denied the accounts in the same newspaper questioning the<br />

author’s political motive.<br />

Reflection on the Korean War from New Perspective<br />

With North Korea relentlessly pursuing nuclear weapons,<br />

China has shown displeasure with its long-time ally,<br />

Continued on page 16<br />

12 SITREP


Celebrating the 70th anniversary of D-Day<br />

by J. R. ‘Digger’ MacDougall<br />

RCMI member J.R. ‘Digger’ MacDougall missed the<br />

Cavalry Luncheon this year to participate in the<br />

celebrations of the 70th anniversary of D-Day. He<br />

planned to attend the events on Canadian and American<br />

landing areas, but traffic congestion, tight security and long<br />

lineups limited access to all sites.<br />

This was also the 49th anniversary of Digger’s first visit<br />

to the D-Day landing areas when as a Captain he commanded<br />

a 100 man Guard of Honour in 1965 as part of the dedication<br />

ceremonies for a Cairn which was erected to honour the fallen<br />

of the Fort Garry Horse (10th Armored Regiment) during<br />

the invasion. On D-Day 1944 The FGH landed with the first<br />

waves of The Queen’s Own Rifles of Canada, the North Shore<br />

Regiment and le Regiment de la Chaudiere.<br />

Coincidental with the visit of Digger and his wife Nancy<br />

to Normandy was a visit by members of the Fort Garry Horse<br />

Association who were tracing the path of the Garries from<br />

their Forming Up Place (FUP) in England, through the landing<br />

and battle sites into Caen and the Falaise Gap. The Mac-<br />

Dougall’s joined the FGH Association group and participated<br />

in wreath laying ceremonies and services 7-9 June.<br />

A great deal of authenticity was provided by local organizations<br />

from around Europe and even collectors from<br />

North America who wore period allied uniforms and drove<br />

around the beach areas in armoured vehicles, jeeps, trucks,<br />

and an assortment of pre-war and wartime civilian vehicles.<br />

There were even tented camp areas set up for visitors to view.<br />

Security was extremely tight throughout the entire<br />

province of Normandy on 6 June due to the visits of heads of<br />

state from around the world, including Queen Elizabeth and<br />

members of our royal family. Even cow paths were guarded<br />

with armed security agents and local residents as well as<br />

tourists and official visitors required security stickers on their<br />

vehicles. Hundreds if not thousands of vehicles were turned<br />

back daily from security points.<br />

Some of Canadian Wounded Warriors of Afghanistan at the Memorial Service at the War Cemetery.<br />

—J.R. MACDOUGALL<br />

JULY—AUGUST <strong>14</strong> 13


Highlights of the return to Normandy<br />

for the MacDougalls<br />

• Participation with the Afghanistan Wounded Warriors<br />

of Canada in official services at the Canadian War Cemetery<br />

at Beny-sur-mer.<br />

• Official wreath laying ceremonies and services at FGH<br />

Markers on the advance to Caen 1944.<br />

• Accepting an invitation to read the names of Canadian<br />

D-Day War Dead.<br />

• Visit to the Juno Beach Centre and the monument to<br />

Canadians.<br />

• Visit to the newly named Canada House on Juno Beach,<br />

which is a living memorial to the Queen’s Own Rifles of<br />

Canada and The Fort Garry Horse and other regiments<br />

which accompanied them during the invasion.<br />

• Visits to the FGH Cairn erected in 1965 and to the FGH<br />

Memorial erected by the Association In 2002.<br />

• Visits to several memorials erected by regiments and<br />

associations in the landing area.<br />

• There will continue to be annual celebrations and services<br />

to mark the anniversary of the D-Day landings to<br />

honour the allies, their regiments, their fallen and the<br />

survivors; however, this 70th anniversary will probably<br />

be the last big celebration with survivors present.<br />

Digger told <strong>Sitrep</strong>: “Throughout the entire visits to<br />

Normandy, Nancy and I recalled every day the words from<br />

RL Binyon’s The Fallen:”<br />

They went with songs to the battle, they were young,<br />

Straight of limb, true of eye, steady and aglow.<br />

They were staunch to the end against odds uncounted;<br />

They fell with their faces to the foe.<br />

They shall grow not old, as we that are left grow old:<br />

Age shall not weary them, nor the years condemn.<br />

At the going down of the sun and in the morning<br />

We will remember them.<br />

“We are proud of the achievements of those who, like my<br />

father, served during World War II. We are proud to have been<br />

in the position to honour those who participated in the D-Day<br />

landing and memorialize those who fell, never to rise again.<br />

Being on Sword, Juno and Gold Beaches and experiencing the<br />

vastness of the ground that our troops had to cross in order<br />

to survive the landing made the whole event so much more<br />

meaningful for all who were there. It was truly a worthwhile<br />

life experience to be there and remember the contribution of<br />

so many Canadians.” <br />

—J.R. MACDOUGALL<br />

Left: Canadian Ambassador to France (later Governor General) Jules Leger with Capt MacDougall at<br />

commemoration ceremonies in 1965. Right: Capt MacDougall at Fort Garry Horse Cairn,<br />

where he commanded the FGH Guard of Honour in 1965<br />

<strong>14</strong> SITREP


Book Review: “The Great Escape: A Canadian Story” by Ted Barris<br />

reviewed by Maj Thomas K. Fitzgerald<br />

Winston Churchill was once asked how history would<br />

judge him and his leadership in the Second World<br />

War. Churchill responded that history would be kind<br />

to him because he would write it. An ancillary to the notion that<br />

the victors write history is the national conceit that only one<br />

ally won the war to the almost absolute<br />

exclusion of the efforts of the others.<br />

Popular history has adopted the idea<br />

that Canadians played an inconsequential<br />

part in the winning of the war. Even<br />

in descriptions of less than significant<br />

war time events, the role of Canadians<br />

is downplayed or ignored altogether. So<br />

it is that when Hollywood portrayed the<br />

mass escape of seventy-six airmen from<br />

Stalag Luft III, a PW camp for Royal Air<br />

Force and Royal Canadian Air Force members, on 24 March 1944,<br />

nary a Canadian is portrayed as participating in the planning or<br />

execution of the escape even though nine who participated in the<br />

escape- three were captured and returned and six of “The Fifty”<br />

were murdered- were Canadians. 1 If, for no other reason than<br />

“setting the record straight” noted and award winning author Ted<br />

Barris’ book The Great Escape is a valuable and necessary read.<br />

The facts of the “Great Escape” are familiar to most but what<br />

is unknown to many is the role Canadians played in the planning<br />

of the escape. Wally Floody of Chatham, the “tunnel king,” who,<br />

with his partner John Weir of Toronto, planned and dug “Tom,<br />

Dick and Harry.” Tom Pengelly of Weston forged many of the<br />

documents used by the escapers. George Sweanor of Port Hope<br />

was instrumental in the security section of the “X” organization,<br />

monitoring the guards (the “goons”) as they entered and left the<br />

camp and Richard Bartlett of Vancouver who, for five years, kept<br />

a clandestine radio away from the Germans so that the prisoners<br />

could listen to the BBC were but a small few of the Canadians<br />

involved in planning the escape.<br />

Drawing on a wealth of archival, secondary materials<br />

and, most importantly, interviews with the dwindling number of<br />

survivors, their families and POW associations, Barris weaves a<br />

fascinating story of the backgrounds, war time service and daily<br />

lives of the kreigies (Kreigsgefangenen) or prisoners. One is left<br />

astounded and with an immense sense of national pride at the<br />

ingenuity and tenacity of these airmen who, under the very noses<br />

of their captors, dug a series of lengthy tunnels under the wire,<br />

produced the necessary clothing and official documents for the<br />

escape and, eventually, escaped, all the while trying to prevent<br />

the Germans from discovering their efforts. Their escapes commenced<br />

almost from the day they were captured usually in a most<br />

impromptu and often hilarious manner until the very day of their<br />

liberation. Whether motivated by their duty as officers, a desire<br />

to get back at the “goons” or out of simple boredom, Canadians<br />

participated in every type of escape and contributed their skills<br />

in their various preparations.<br />

The sense of amusement which the reader might have from<br />

reading The Great Escape does not take away from the serious<br />

nature of escapes by PWs during the latter part of the war. By<br />

1944, Aktion Kugel (Operation Bullet) and more precisely Stufe<br />

III (Grade III) decreed that all recaptured fliers were to be turned<br />

over to the Gestapo for interrogation and eventual execution.<br />

Kugel was the basis for the murder of Hank Birkland (Spearhill),<br />

Gordon Kidder (St. Catharines), Patrick Langford (Edmonton),<br />

Edward McGill (Toronto), James Wernham (Winnipeg) and<br />

George Wiley (Windsor) following their recapture. 2<br />

The liberation of the Canadians did not, for many, end their<br />

captivity. As Barris eloquently writes, many suffered from what<br />

today would be called post-traumatic stress disorder and spent<br />

countless years battling depression, sleepless nights, anger, guilt<br />

and a sense of disillusionment with the whole idea of the escape.<br />

For many, their return to Canada allowed them to return to the<br />

anonymity of civilian life with little public acknowledgement of<br />

their efforts until the release of the movie.<br />

Barris’ The Great Escape is a thoroughly enjoyable book.<br />

It combines a tremendous story with larger than life characters.<br />

It is highly recommended for those who prefer their history<br />

with little contextual analysis and great drama. It sets the record<br />

straight that the Canadian airman was a resourceful and intrepid<br />

individual who played a very real role in the final victory. <br />

“The Great Escape: A Canadian Story” by Ted Barris Toronto<br />

Thomas Allan Publishers 2013 ISBN 978-1-77102-272-9,<br />

288 pages $33.99.<br />

The views expressed are those of the author and do not<br />

necessarily reflect the views of the Institute<br />

or its members.<br />

Other Recommended Reading:<br />

Dancocks, Daniel, G., In Enemy Hands: Canadian Prisoners of<br />

War 1939-1945, Edmonton: Hurtig Publishers, 1983.<br />

Greenfield, Nathan, “The Forgotten: Canadian POWs, Escapers<br />

and Evaders in Europe, 1939-1945,” Toronto: Harper-<br />

Collins, 2013.<br />

Morton, Desmond, Silent Battle: Canadian Prisoners of War in<br />

Germany 19<strong>14</strong>-1919, Toronto: Lester Publishers Ltd., 1992.<br />

Notes<br />

1 The Great Escape. Directed: John Sturges. United Artists, 1963. James Garner<br />

plays Lt. Robert Hendley, the “Scrounger” who is portrayed as an American<br />

who enlists in the RCAF.<br />

2 Following the end of the war, a number of field Gestapo officers were tried<br />

for the murder of the fifty escapees. Fourteen were hanged for their roles in the<br />

murders on 27 February 1948 at Hameln Jail. With the exception of Polizeiassistant<br />

Erich Zacharias who was hanged for the murder of Gordon Kidder, no<br />

other person was brought to justice for the murder of the other five Canadians:<br />

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/home/moslive/article-2285629/Nazi-killers-How-Great-<br />

Escape-murders-led-post-war-Europes-biggest-manhunts.html<br />

JULY—AUGUST <strong>14</strong> 15


North Korea—continued from page 12<br />

switching the bilateral relations to a normal state-to-state level<br />

from so-called “blood-nurtured friendly relations,” a bond<br />

forged in the 1950-53 Korean War. Remarkably, China’s official<br />

media have on many occasions neutrally termed hostilities<br />

of more than 60 years ago “the Korean War” rather than “the<br />

War to Resist US Aggression and Aid Korea” that has been<br />

used since the time when the Chinese army entered the war.<br />

China’s conventional thinking has long seen the participation<br />

of the Korean War as part of its military’s legendary legacy<br />

that is reflected in the formation of the existing eighteen elite<br />

PLA combined corps, most of which entered the war.<br />

Against the backdrop, Wang brought up a pragmatic<br />

perspective to look at the Korean War and its consequences<br />

ensuing. “With regard to the country’s unification and development,<br />

China has now been encumbered with consequences<br />

from the Korean War that ended more than 60 years ago,”<br />

Wang noted in an essay titled “China Encumbered with<br />

Consequences from Korean Issues in History” in National<br />

Human History of the late September issue 2013, a subsidiary<br />

magazine of People’s Daily. Wang went into detail about<br />

Korea’s traditional ties with imperial China during ancient<br />

time. Historically the Peninsular witnessed numerous seesaws<br />

between strategic offence and defence, threatening the<br />

central government of imperial China, sometimes even with<br />

destructive consequences.<br />

While reviewing the modern Chinese history, Wang<br />

thought that due to the Korean War, China’s military strategy<br />

was diverted to the Peninsula from Taiwan, thus leading to the<br />

separation of the island from Mainland China. Although the<br />

United States re-bolstered up the Chiang Kai-shek government<br />

in June 1950 out of multiple considerations, the outbreak of<br />

the Korean War definitely was one of the major reasons. When<br />

the war occurred, “China’s leaders too had significant differences<br />

over the decision to enter it or not,” Wang recalled. “But<br />

eventually they decided to send the troops.” Here Wang obviously<br />

skipped the real reasons behind the outbreak of the War.<br />

China is fearful that its modernization would be held<br />

up once again as Pyongyang has been persisting in nuclear<br />

weapons amid the growing tensions in the region. “With the<br />

country faced with the North’s nuclear arms issue and instability<br />

on the Peninsula, China’s strategic opportunity would be<br />

affected by the tension there as did in history,” Wang noted,<br />

adding that “we should not underestimate North Korea’s commitment<br />

to nuclear programs, and should put it directly to<br />

the North that no matter whether it goes ahead with nuclear<br />

tests or not, make sure no immediate contamination to China’s<br />

territory.” In the essay Wang unequivocally delivered Beijing’s<br />

disgruntlement over the North’s nuclear program and grave<br />

concerns over the regional tension. Wang reiterated a position<br />

that the country would not see a historic recurrence any more.<br />

With China boosting its ties with Seoul as a hedge<br />

against the US and Japan influences, Japan eventually adopting<br />

a controversial collective self-defence policy, Pyongyang<br />

continuing provocative rocket launches while showing reconciliatory<br />

posture over the issue of abducted Japanese nationals<br />

for Tokyo’s easing certain sanctions, and Seoul sharing with<br />

Beijing a mistrust of Japan’s new assertive military role and<br />

of its obscurity of cruel invasion history, regional forces are<br />

interactively in flux. In spite of these, as the US-dominated<br />

regional defence measures are in full swing, and each East<br />

Asia government is entangled in domestic issues, a geopolitical<br />

equilibrium is likely to maintain in the region. <br />

The views expressed are those of the author and do not<br />

necessarily reflect the views of the Institute<br />

or its members.<br />

Abstracts of proposed presentations from Masters<br />

and Doctoral students in the realm of security and defence<br />

are being accepted in two rounds, with deadlines<br />

for submission of 12 May (first round) and 15 September<br />

(second round). Between 16 and 20 presenters (circa 5<br />

to 7 panels) will be accepted. Applicants will be notified<br />

of the result of their submission within 10 days of the<br />

deadline they submit against. The final draft of presentation<br />

papers (maximum 4,000 words) must be submitted<br />

by no later than 29 September.<br />

Cash prizes of $1,000, $500 and $250 will be<br />

16 SITREP<br />

Call for Papers<br />

17th Annual CDAI Graduate Student Symposium<br />

“Canada’s Security and Defence Interests”<br />

October 16–17, 20<strong>14</strong>, Currie Hall, RMC Kingston<br />

http://www.cdainstitute.ca/en/symposium<br />

presented to the top three presenters, who will also be<br />

offered an honorarium of $2,000 each to develop their<br />

presentations for publication in a CDA Institute publication.<br />

An additional prize of $750, the Colonel Peter<br />

Hunter Award will be presented by the Royal Canadian<br />

Military Institute (RCMI). The recipient of the Colonel<br />

Peter Hunter Award will also be offered the opportunity<br />

to develop the paper into an RCMI publication.<br />

Please send all presentation abstracts with your<br />

institutional affiliation and contact information (no more<br />

than one page) by email to policy@cdainstitute.ca.

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