Session I - Future Strategic - Dr Dennis Bushnell [Read ... - Stan Deyo

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SOME IT “PREDICTIONS” • Quantum computing initially available in 5 years • 15% of all power today is used by computers, will reach 60% by 2010 • Wearable/implantable (on-person) electronics--comms, computing, sensory augmentation, health monitoring, brain stimulation Future Strategic Issues, 7/01
AI (AND BEYOND) COMPUTING Human Brain Characteristics/Capabilities • 100 billion neurons • 100 trillion connections • 200 calculations/second, (slow) speed of neural circuitry • 20 million billion calculations/second • Excellent at (parallel-computing) pattern recognition, “poor” at sequential thinking • Operates via “random tries” Machine Capabilities • Currently, 10,000 billion calculations/second; 100,000 billion by 2004 • By 2010, 20 million billion is available (by 2025, on a PC) • By 2030, PC has collective computing power of a town full of human minds Future Strategic Issues, 7/01
Page 1 and 2: Dennis M. Bushnell Chief Scientist
Page 3 and 4: THIS PRESENTATION BASED ON “FUTUR
Page 5 and 6: Utilization/Application of 2025+ Pr
Page 7 and 8: Need to Plan “Differently” •
Page 9 and 10: Humans Have “Taken Over” and Va
Page 11 and 12: NanoTechnology Research • 29% in
Page 13 and 14: • Hunter-Gatherer - “Nature Pro
Page 15 and 16: Worldwide IT Revolution • Comms/C
Page 17: IT Status • 10E6 improvements in
Page 21 and 22: THE “IMAGINATION ENGINE” aka
Page 23 and 24: Global Problems/“Solutions” •
Page 25 and 26: Motivational learner/web-based asyn
Page 27 and 28: The “Ultimate” Education Approa
Page 29 and 30: Probable Circa 2025 Societal Change
Page 31 and 32: Of Particular Concern Uncontrolled/
Page 33 and 34: AN EMERGING MULTIPOLAR ECONOMIC WOR
Page 35 and 36: Examples Confluence of IT/Bio/Nano
Page 37 and 38: Revolutionary Power Generation/Stor
Page 39 and 40: Aluminum/Vortex Combustor • Micro
Page 41 and 42: Some Sensor “Swarms” • SMART
Page 43 and 44: Micro Dust Weaponry A Mechanical An
Page 45 and 46: (Agreed Upon) Assumptions, Combat i
Page 47 and 48: Cruise Missiles (Potential Outlook)
Page 49 and 50: Antipersonnel MW/RF Weaponry • He
Page 51 and 52: Often “Fingerprintless” Bio Arc
Page 53 and 54: An (Existing Bio Calmative - VEE (V
Page 55 and 56: What is Apparently “Legal” •
Page 57 and 58: High Energy Density Materials (HEDM
Page 59 and 60: Blast Wave Accelerator • Global P
Page 61 and 62: “Slingatron” for Global Precisi
Page 63 and 64: EXAMPLE: POTENTIAL “COMPETITOR”
Page 65 and 66: Summary - Major Influences of IT/Bi
Page 67 and 68: ROBOTICS “IN THE LARGE” (saves
Page 69 and 70:
Robotic Intelligence • Two “fla
Page 71 and 72:
Future Strategic Issues, 7/01 WHAT
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“Natural Warfare” • Sensors:
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Potential Future “Orders of Magni
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Potential En-route Logistic Vulnera
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Future Strategic Issues, 7/01 Sampl
Page 81 and 82:
Future Strategic Issues, 7/01 Examp
Page 83 and 84:
(Civilian) IW Examples/CONUS • (N
Page 85 and 86:
Future Strategic Issues, 7/01 And T
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“Then Year” “Peer Competitors
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• MINES “Anti-Access” • Hor
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Counter U.S. Logistics • Take out
Page 93 and 94:
Exploit “CNN Syndrome” • Sink
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Fundamental Military Issues/Metrics
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CONCERNING (CURRENT) FARTHER TERM (
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Trends Summary • Tele-everything
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“Circa 2025” Future Strategic I
Page 103 and 104:
• “Non-explosive Warfare” (ps
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Future(s) of SOF • Becomes THE (o
Page 107 and 108:
Changing Nature of Warfare Hunter/
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What is needed is a “Then Year”
Page 111 and 112:
In the second half of the 1900’s
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(Usual) Reactions to this Presentat
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Session I - Future Strategic - Dr Dennis Bushnell [Read ... - Stan Deyo

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