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Analysis of regional spatial planning and decision making ... - Plurel

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industrial labour force decreased from 100,000 in 1989 to 15,000 persons in late 1994<br />

(Doehler & Rink 1996, p. 267).<br />

Both westward migration (mainly <strong>of</strong> younger, well-educated people) <strong>and</strong> the shock <strong>of</strong><br />

post-transition economic recession led to a sharp decrease <strong>of</strong> fertility (so-called “lowest <strong>of</strong><br />

low” birth rates which culminated in 1994 with 0.77 children per woman). As a result <strong>and</strong><br />

additionally related to rising longevity, the urban population is ageing; this process is<br />

presumed to accelerate within the next decades (City <strong>of</strong> Leipzig 2006, p. 29, 23).<br />

10000<br />

10000<br />

Migration balance<br />

5000<br />

0<br />

-5000<br />

-10000<br />

-15000<br />

-20000<br />

Migration balance<br />

Natural population growth<br />

Population saldo<br />

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006<br />

5000<br />

0<br />

-5000<br />

-10000<br />

-15000<br />

-20000<br />

Natural population growth<br />

Figure 4. Changes <strong>of</strong> natural population growth, migration balance <strong>and</strong> total<br />

population balance 1990-2006<br />

Population losses brought about increasing residential vacancies, a phenomenon which<br />

was set into the spotlight as a general eastern German challenge (Reference). In Leipzig,<br />

the maximum vacancy rate was reached in early 2000 with 62,500 vacant flats (20% <strong>of</strong> the<br />

total stock). In late 2005, vacancies could be reduced to 45,000 flats (14% <strong>of</strong> the total<br />

stock) – due to demolition, a further rise in households <strong>and</strong> a stabilisation <strong>of</strong> the<br />

population (City <strong>of</strong> Leipzig 2006, pp. 12-13). While housing vacancies were mostly<br />

concentrated in the old housing stock (pre-war or Wilhelminian style with 18% <strong>and</strong> 1919-<br />

1945 housing stock with 19%; City <strong>of</strong> Leipzig 2006, p. 13), large housing estates from the<br />

socialist period are increasingly affected.<br />

Page 17 • PLUREL D 3.3.Leipzig • November 2008, Annette Sinn, Dagmar Haase, Anne Walde

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