State Bailouts in an Era of Financial Crisis ... - Global Trade Alert
State Bailouts in an Era of Financial Crisis ... - Global Trade Alert
State Bailouts in an Era of Financial Crisis ... - Global Trade Alert
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emerg<strong>in</strong>g <strong>an</strong>d develop<strong>in</strong>g economies has been more muted, except for economies <strong>in</strong> central <strong>an</strong>d<br />
Eastern Europe. Develop<strong>in</strong>g countries also confronted the crisis with sharply reduced deficit <strong>an</strong>d<br />
debt levels th<strong>an</strong> they had at the start <strong>of</strong> the decade. Stronger fiscal positions <strong>an</strong>d lower debt created<br />
room for <strong>an</strong> active response to the crisis, which helped lessen the impact <strong>an</strong>d duration <strong>of</strong> the<br />
downturn compared with past crises.<br />
As global growth is restored <strong>an</strong>d countercyclical fiscal support is withdrawn, budget deficits should<br />
decl<strong>in</strong>e gradually with debt stabiliz<strong>in</strong>g <strong>an</strong>d then trend<strong>in</strong>g down. However, improvements <strong>in</strong> fiscal<br />
bal<strong>an</strong>ces brought about by the restoration <strong>of</strong> growth will not be sufficient to stabilize public debt<br />
levels <strong>an</strong>d further adjustment. Nevertheless, most Afric<strong>an</strong> governments have little capacity to fund<br />
policy <strong>in</strong>terventions to address the crisis. Effective economic govern<strong>an</strong>ce cont<strong>in</strong>ues to be lack<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong><br />
m<strong>an</strong>y countries, <strong>an</strong>d responses are projected to be restra<strong>in</strong>ed by the relative unavailability <strong>of</strong> foreign<br />
reserves, <strong>in</strong>sufficient budgetary marg<strong>in</strong>s for enact<strong>in</strong>g fiscal stimulus packages, <strong>an</strong>d restrictions on<br />
<strong>in</strong>curr<strong>in</strong>g further external debt <strong>in</strong> countries that have benefited from <strong>in</strong>ternational debt relief.<br />
Afric<strong>an</strong> countries used measures sp<strong>an</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g from stimulus package to specific targeted measures <strong>an</strong>d<br />
budget revision. Although, it is quite early to assess the effectiveness <strong>of</strong> the measures taken, it could<br />
be argued that these measures provided some k<strong>in</strong>d <strong>of</strong> cushion to the countries that adopted them. It<br />
resulted from the <strong>an</strong>alysis that Afric<strong>an</strong> countries need to be pro‐active to prevent their economies to<br />
suffer a full blow <strong>of</strong> external shocks. It should also be ensured that bailout strategies <strong>in</strong>cluded exit<br />
strategies that are time bound <strong>an</strong>d satisfy certa<strong>in</strong> pre‐conditions that must be fulfilled Moreover<br />
Afric<strong>an</strong> countries need to put the exist<strong>in</strong>g RECs to play <strong>in</strong> deal<strong>in</strong>g with these external shocks rather<br />
th<strong>an</strong> engag<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> solitary actions.<br />
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