©2010 Health Dimensions Group
©2010 Health Dimensions Group
©2010 Health Dimensions Group
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©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong>
April 20, 2010<br />
<strong>Health</strong> Care Reform: PL 111–148 and<br />
Aging Services Providers<br />
Aging Services of Michigan<br />
Annual Conference & Trade Show<br />
Presented by Kathleen M. Griffin, Ph.D.<br />
©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong>
Topics<br />
•PL 111–148: Short-term, Mid-term, Long-term<br />
Changes<br />
•Biggest Challenges for Aging Services Providers<br />
– Medicare Cuts and Changes<br />
– Accountable Care Organizations and Bundling<br />
– Home- and Community-Based Services (HCBS)<br />
– Transparency Requirements<br />
•Strategic Imperatives for Aging Services<br />
Providers<br />
– More on strategies in next session<br />
©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
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PL 111–148: <strong>Health</strong> Care Delivery<br />
and Payment Changes<br />
•Short-term: Next three years, production model<br />
payment system remains largely in place—with<br />
Medicare payment reductions but most delivery<br />
system changes not yet effected<br />
•Mid-term: Three to seven years out, health<br />
delivery reforms phase in, and new payment<br />
incentives begin to tip the balance<br />
•Long-term: Disease/chronic care-centered<br />
systems of care become the predominant clinical<br />
and competitive model<br />
Adapted from Sg2 Chairman’s Letter January 2010: Imperatives for Growth and Performance<br />
©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
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Medicare Cuts and Changes<br />
• Market basket reductions<br />
– MedPAC recommendation = 0% MB increase FY 2011 for SNFs and<br />
HHAs<br />
– Market basket adjustments<br />
• HHAs, -1% 2011, 2012 and 2013; then productivity adjustments of<br />
-1% beginning 2015<br />
• SNFs, productivity adjustments beginning FY2012 = ($14B) over 10 years<br />
• Payment revisions<br />
– SNFs, RUG IV delayed to FY2011, but concurrent therapy<br />
adjustment, look- back period change, and MDS 3.0 effective<br />
10/01/2010<br />
– HHAs, rebasing (no more than -3.5%/year) 2014–2017<br />
©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
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Medicare Cuts and Changes (continued)<br />
• Value-based purchasing<br />
– Payment based on achieving certain<br />
thresholds for quality measures: Plan to<br />
Congress by FY 2011<br />
– MedPAC<br />
• SNFs report on avoidable rehospitalizations<br />
and percentage of<br />
Medicare discharged home; assessment at<br />
admission and discharge; actual direct<br />
nursing costs<br />
• CMS should identify patients most likely to<br />
benefit from HHAs, and develop outcome<br />
measures<br />
©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
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Why Post-Acute Targeted for<br />
Medicare Cuts: Spending<br />
MedPAC (2009): Medicare Post-Acute<br />
Spending Increases Fueled by SNFs and HHAs<br />
©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
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Avoidable Hospital Readmission<br />
Penalties<br />
• Medicare payments reduced for avoidable admissions for three<br />
conditions as of October 1, 2012:<br />
– Likely the conditions for which hospitals now report readmissions:<br />
• Congestive heart failure (CHF)<br />
• Heart attack (AMI)<br />
• Pneumonia<br />
– In FY 2015, the number of conditions may be increased<br />
• Payment formula: payments for avoidable readmissions,<br />
aggregate Medicare payments to a hospital:<br />
– Subject to a “floor”—payment reductions will be no greater than<br />
percentage of aggregate Medicare payments to hospitals:<br />
• FY2013 1%<br />
• FY2014 2%<br />
©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
• FY2015 and beyond 3%<br />
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Why Post-Acute Targeted for Medicare<br />
Cuts: Use and Re-hospitalizations<br />
©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
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Accountable Care Organizations<br />
(ACOs)<br />
• A new shared savings program, 1/1/2012<br />
• Integration of physicians, hospitals, post-acute providers,<br />
outpatient, and ancillaries<br />
• Responsible for all Part A and Part B care; more than 5,000<br />
Medicare beneficiaries; three-year contracts with CMS<br />
• Objective: reduce overall Medicare costs<br />
• Incentive: ACOs share in cost savings versus “normal” marketbased<br />
payment for Medicare beneficiaries<br />
• Many large health care systems preparing; employing<br />
physicians as first step<br />
SNFs and HHAs will be in or out—<br />
not everyone will play in Medicare space<br />
©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
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Bundled Episodic Payment<br />
• Bundling = payment to a single provider entity of one<br />
amount for the full range of care during a hospitalization<br />
episode<br />
– Episodic payment related to acute hospitalization:<br />
-3 through +30 days<br />
– Hospitalization, re-hospitalization, post-acute care, outpatient<br />
hospital services including ED, physicians<br />
• Pilot begins 1/1/2013; if spending reductions, expand at<br />
least by 1/1/2016<br />
• Initial focus on one or more of eight conditions<br />
• Payment: either single bundle or via bids<br />
©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
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Chronic Care Management and Homeand<br />
Community-Based Services (HCBS)<br />
• CLASS Program—1/1/2011, voluntary insurance program for<br />
purchasing community living assistance services and supports<br />
• Medical Homes—24/7 one-stop shopping for primary care; possible<br />
capitated payment for all health care management of Medicaid (law)<br />
and Medicare (demonstration) beneficiaries<br />
• Independence at Home—NP and physician house calls with 24/7<br />
availability (demonstration)<br />
• Money Follows Person—Rebalancing Demonstration extension<br />
through FY 2016<br />
•Senate bill stated that Congress should<br />
financially encourage LTC services and supports<br />
at home, not just institutional<br />
©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
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Impact of HCBS Trends on MI<br />
(2007 Data)<br />
SNF Beds Per 1,000 65+ SNF Occupancy %<br />
• Increases in LTC at home decreases SNF bed need<br />
• Some mitigation due to demographics, but may be offset by<br />
technology advances<br />
• Home care companies are growing and are attractive to investors<br />
©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
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SNF Transparency and Consumer<br />
Information<br />
• 21 pages in law<br />
• Some highlights:<br />
– 2010: disclose ownership<br />
– 2011:<br />
• NH Compare—direct care staff, census<br />
and case mix, employee tenure and turnover,<br />
hppd direct care<br />
• Standard complaint form<br />
• Demonstration–Monitor quality and compliance of chains<br />
– 2012: Cost Report—details on direct care, indirect, capital, and<br />
administrative costs<br />
– 2013: Compliance program to prevent/detect criminal, civil, and<br />
administrative violations<br />
©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
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Three Strategic Imperatives for<br />
Aging Services Providers<br />
Address hospitals’<br />
biggest concerns:<br />
• Length of stay<br />
(LOS)<br />
• Pending readmission<br />
penalties<br />
Enhance your<br />
post-acute and<br />
home care<br />
continuum<br />
Create a<br />
cluster care<br />
continuum<br />
In the new health care delivery system, skilled nursing providers who are<br />
lone rangers in the institutional long-term care business will be—in the<br />
Medicaid business<br />
©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
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A Final Thought for Aging<br />
Services Providers<br />
If everything seems under control,<br />
you're just not going fast enough.<br />
©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Mario Andretti 15
Thank You<br />
Kathleen M. Griffin, Ph.D.<br />
National Director, Post-Acute and<br />
Senior Services<br />
Phone: 480-922-9366<br />
kathleeng@hdgi1.com<br />
<strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
4400 Baker Road, Suite 100, Minneapolis, MN 55343<br />
763.537.5700 fax: 763.537.9200<br />
www.healthdimensionsgroup.com<br />
©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
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©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong> 17