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©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong>


April 20, 2010<br />

<strong>Health</strong> Care Reform: PL 111–148 and<br />

Aging Services Providers<br />

Aging Services of Michigan<br />

Annual Conference & Trade Show<br />

Presented by Kathleen M. Griffin, Ph.D.<br />

©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong>


Topics<br />

•PL 111–148: Short-term, Mid-term, Long-term<br />

Changes<br />

•Biggest Challenges for Aging Services Providers<br />

– Medicare Cuts and Changes<br />

– Accountable Care Organizations and Bundling<br />

– Home- and Community-Based Services (HCBS)<br />

– Transparency Requirements<br />

•Strategic Imperatives for Aging Services<br />

Providers<br />

– More on strategies in next session<br />

©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />

2


PL 111–148: <strong>Health</strong> Care Delivery<br />

and Payment Changes<br />

•Short-term: Next three years, production model<br />

payment system remains largely in place—with<br />

Medicare payment reductions but most delivery<br />

system changes not yet effected<br />

•Mid-term: Three to seven years out, health<br />

delivery reforms phase in, and new payment<br />

incentives begin to tip the balance<br />

•Long-term: Disease/chronic care-centered<br />

systems of care become the predominant clinical<br />

and competitive model<br />

Adapted from Sg2 Chairman’s Letter January 2010: Imperatives for Growth and Performance<br />

©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />

3


Medicare Cuts and Changes<br />

• Market basket reductions<br />

– MedPAC recommendation = 0% MB increase FY 2011 for SNFs and<br />

HHAs<br />

– Market basket adjustments<br />

• HHAs, -1% 2011, 2012 and 2013; then productivity adjustments of<br />

-1% beginning 2015<br />

• SNFs, productivity adjustments beginning FY2012 = ($14B) over 10 years<br />

• Payment revisions<br />

– SNFs, RUG IV delayed to FY2011, but concurrent therapy<br />

adjustment, look- back period change, and MDS 3.0 effective<br />

10/01/2010<br />

– HHAs, rebasing (no more than -3.5%/year) 2014–2017<br />

©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />

4


Medicare Cuts and Changes (continued)<br />

• Value-based purchasing<br />

– Payment based on achieving certain<br />

thresholds for quality measures: Plan to<br />

Congress by FY 2011<br />

– MedPAC<br />

• SNFs report on avoidable rehospitalizations<br />

and percentage of<br />

Medicare discharged home; assessment at<br />

admission and discharge; actual direct<br />

nursing costs<br />

• CMS should identify patients most likely to<br />

benefit from HHAs, and develop outcome<br />

measures<br />

©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />

5


Why Post-Acute Targeted for<br />

Medicare Cuts: Spending<br />

MedPAC (2009): Medicare Post-Acute<br />

Spending Increases Fueled by SNFs and HHAs<br />

©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />

6


Avoidable Hospital Readmission<br />

Penalties<br />

• Medicare payments reduced for avoidable admissions for three<br />

conditions as of October 1, 2012:<br />

– Likely the conditions for which hospitals now report readmissions:<br />

• Congestive heart failure (CHF)<br />

• Heart attack (AMI)<br />

• Pneumonia<br />

– In FY 2015, the number of conditions may be increased<br />

• Payment formula: payments for avoidable readmissions,<br />

aggregate Medicare payments to a hospital:<br />

– Subject to a “floor”—payment reductions will be no greater than<br />

percentage of aggregate Medicare payments to hospitals:<br />

• FY2013 1%<br />

• FY2014 2%<br />

©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />

• FY2015 and beyond 3%<br />

7


Why Post-Acute Targeted for Medicare<br />

Cuts: Use and Re-hospitalizations<br />

©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />

8


Accountable Care Organizations<br />

(ACOs)<br />

• A new shared savings program, 1/1/2012<br />

• Integration of physicians, hospitals, post-acute providers,<br />

outpatient, and ancillaries<br />

• Responsible for all Part A and Part B care; more than 5,000<br />

Medicare beneficiaries; three-year contracts with CMS<br />

• Objective: reduce overall Medicare costs<br />

• Incentive: ACOs share in cost savings versus “normal” marketbased<br />

payment for Medicare beneficiaries<br />

• Many large health care systems preparing; employing<br />

physicians as first step<br />

SNFs and HHAs will be in or out—<br />

not everyone will play in Medicare space<br />

©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />

9


Bundled Episodic Payment<br />

• Bundling = payment to a single provider entity of one<br />

amount for the full range of care during a hospitalization<br />

episode<br />

– Episodic payment related to acute hospitalization:<br />

-3 through +30 days<br />

– Hospitalization, re-hospitalization, post-acute care, outpatient<br />

hospital services including ED, physicians<br />

• Pilot begins 1/1/2013; if spending reductions, expand at<br />

least by 1/1/2016<br />

• Initial focus on one or more of eight conditions<br />

• Payment: either single bundle or via bids<br />

©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />

10


Chronic Care Management and Homeand<br />

Community-Based Services (HCBS)<br />

• CLASS Program—1/1/2011, voluntary insurance program for<br />

purchasing community living assistance services and supports<br />

• Medical Homes—24/7 one-stop shopping for primary care; possible<br />

capitated payment for all health care management of Medicaid (law)<br />

and Medicare (demonstration) beneficiaries<br />

• Independence at Home—NP and physician house calls with 24/7<br />

availability (demonstration)<br />

• Money Follows Person—Rebalancing Demonstration extension<br />

through FY 2016<br />

•Senate bill stated that Congress should<br />

financially encourage LTC services and supports<br />

at home, not just institutional<br />

©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />

11


Impact of HCBS Trends on MI<br />

(2007 Data)<br />

SNF Beds Per 1,000 65+ SNF Occupancy %<br />

• Increases in LTC at home decreases SNF bed need<br />

• Some mitigation due to demographics, but may be offset by<br />

technology advances<br />

• Home care companies are growing and are attractive to investors<br />

©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />

12


SNF Transparency and Consumer<br />

Information<br />

• 21 pages in law<br />

• Some highlights:<br />

– 2010: disclose ownership<br />

– 2011:<br />

• NH Compare—direct care staff, census<br />

and case mix, employee tenure and turnover,<br />

hppd direct care<br />

• Standard complaint form<br />

• Demonstration–Monitor quality and compliance of chains<br />

– 2012: Cost Report—details on direct care, indirect, capital, and<br />

administrative costs<br />

– 2013: Compliance program to prevent/detect criminal, civil, and<br />

administrative violations<br />

©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />

13


Three Strategic Imperatives for<br />

Aging Services Providers<br />

Address hospitals’<br />

biggest concerns:<br />

• Length of stay<br />

(LOS)<br />

• Pending readmission<br />

penalties<br />

Enhance your<br />

post-acute and<br />

home care<br />

continuum<br />

Create a<br />

cluster care<br />

continuum<br />

In the new health care delivery system, skilled nursing providers who are<br />

lone rangers in the institutional long-term care business will be—in the<br />

Medicaid business<br />

©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />

14


A Final Thought for Aging<br />

Services Providers<br />

If everything seems under control,<br />

you're just not going fast enough.<br />

©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />

Mario Andretti 15


Thank You<br />

Kathleen M. Griffin, Ph.D.<br />

National Director, Post-Acute and<br />

Senior Services<br />

Phone: 480-922-9366<br />

kathleeng@hdgi1.com<br />

<strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />

4400 Baker Road, Suite 100, Minneapolis, MN 55343<br />

763.537.5700 fax: 763.537.9200<br />

www.healthdimensionsgroup.com<br />

©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />

16


©2010 <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Dimensions</strong> <strong>Group</strong> 17

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