TECH NOTES FOCUS ON: BRENT CRUDE OIL ICE NEWS
TECH NOTES FOCUS ON: BRENT CRUDE OIL ICE NEWS
TECH NOTES FOCUS ON: BRENT CRUDE OIL ICE NEWS
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FEBRUARY 2009<br />
<strong>FOCUS</strong> <strong>ON</strong>: <strong>BRENT</strong> <strong>CRUDE</strong> <strong>OIL</strong><br />
<strong>ICE</strong> Futures Europe has been home of the Brent Crude futures<br />
contract for more than two decades. The <strong>ICE</strong> Brent<br />
futures contract has always been financially settled, originally<br />
taking as its basis Brent crude, which is blended<br />
from a group of crude streams within the Brent and Ninian<br />
systems in the North Sea.<br />
In July 2002, the North Sea forward market, on which the<br />
Brent futures contract is based, was modified to include<br />
additional grades Forties and Oseberg, with Ekofisk added<br />
as an additional component in June 2007. This complex<br />
is now known as BFOE — Brent, Forties, Oseberg<br />
and Ekofisk. The physical market for setting the price of<br />
dated Brent or dated BFOE is based upon an assessment<br />
by the price reporting agencies to reflect the most competitive<br />
spot value of Brent, Forties, Oseberg and Ekofisk.<br />
The lowest price is chosen to avoid the potential for adverse<br />
upward price movements as three of the four crude<br />
oils would act as a floating cap. Total daily production<br />
of the crude oils within the BFOE complex are around<br />
1.2-mil barrels per day, compared to daily West Texas<br />
Intermediate (WTI) daily production of around 350,000<br />
barrels per day.<br />
Crude Oil Country API Gravity (º) Sulfur (%)<br />
Brent UK 38.5 0.41<br />
Forties UK 40.3 0.56<br />
Oseberg Norway 37.8 0.27<br />
Ekofisk UK/Norway 37.5 0.24<br />
Source: Petroleum Intelligence Weekly Crude oil handbook 2008<br />
Unlike Forties, Oseberg or Ekofisk, Brent is rarely used by<br />
European refiners: most is transported to and refined in<br />
North America as a gasoline-rich blend.<br />
Dated Brent or BFOE is the benchmark for pricing twothirds<br />
of the world’s traded crude oil by volume. Crude<br />
oil blends as far apart as Russia, Africa, the Middle East<br />
— and occasionally Asia-Pacific — are priced as a differential<br />
to Brent (i.e., Brent plus or minus $1.00). Like WTI,<br />
Brent is classified as a light, sweet blend, which means it<br />
contains higher value hydrocarbons than a heavier crude<br />
oil and is lower in sulfur content (i.e., “sweet”).<br />
Continues on page 2.<br />
<strong>TECH</strong> <strong>NOTES</strong><br />
Cleared PJM options now available on<br />
Web<strong>ICE</strong> and via the broker market<br />
<strong>ICE</strong> Tip: Web<strong>ICE</strong> now offers GTC orders for<br />
<strong>ICE</strong> Futures Europe<br />
New OTC Clearing Guide now available<br />
Setup and Maintain YJ Message Consoles,<br />
Distribution Lists and Activity Consoles with<br />
Linked Folders<br />
New Version of <strong>ICE</strong> Platform Launched<br />
Version 12.200 of the <strong>ICE</strong> Platform was successfully<br />
launched on January 26. This latest upgrade allows<br />
<strong>ICE</strong> to move the Henry Hub OTC markets to Trading<br />
Engine and will dramatically reduce round trip times<br />
while increasing throughput in this important market.<br />
It also offers many other enhancements and key architectural<br />
changes that will set the stage for options<br />
upgrades and market data segregation, including enhancements<br />
to clearing administration, Web<strong>ICE</strong> and<br />
<strong>ICE</strong>Block, which will be rolled out later in the year.<br />
<strong>ICE</strong> <strong>NEWS</strong><br />
<strong>ICE</strong> Named 2008 Derivatives Exchange of<br />
the Year by Risk Magazine<br />
<strong>ICE</strong> Reports Strong Energy Futures Volume for<br />
January 2009<br />
<strong>ICE</strong> Annual Shareholder Meeting Set for May 14<br />
<strong>ICE</strong> Achieves Record Volume for 2008<br />
<strong>ICE</strong> Clear Europe Receives Settlement Designation<br />
from Financial Services Authority (FSA)
<strong>ICE</strong> IN <strong>FOCUS</strong><br />
2<br />
<strong>FOCUS</strong> <strong>ON</strong>: <strong>BRENT</strong> <strong>CRUDE</strong> <strong>OIL</strong> (continued)<br />
On <strong>ICE</strong>’s electronic platform, <strong>ICE</strong> Brent trades alongside<br />
the <strong>ICE</strong> WTI contract, which is a benchmark contract for<br />
North American crude oil. This enables users to trade the<br />
two largest crude oil futures markets on a single platform.<br />
Because of WTI’s particular suitability for gasoline production<br />
in a region dominated by that refined product, and<br />
because of the cost of freight to pull Brent across the Atlantic<br />
Basin, WTI has historically traded at a $1 to $2 per<br />
barrel premium over Brent.<br />
4<br />
2<br />
0<br />
-2<br />
-4<br />
-6<br />
-8<br />
First nearby spread history for <strong>ICE</strong> Brent and <strong>ICE</strong> WTI<br />
history since January 2008<br />
Unlike WTI, which is a pipeline delivered crude stream, the<br />
North Sea grades are all sold on an FOB (Free on Board)<br />
cargo basis, which means the oil is easily sold anywhere in<br />
the world. WTI is a US-domiciled crude oil which cannot<br />
be re-sold into the international market. This means that<br />
Brent is not subject to the same limitations around storage<br />
as WTI, and is more exposed to developments in the<br />
international market.<br />
Recent developments<br />
In April and May 2007, the historical pricing relationship inverted<br />
when a premium began to emerge for Brent against<br />
WTI. This was largely due to storage capacity problems at<br />
Cushing, Oklahoma, which depressed the value of WTI relative<br />
to other crude oils in the US Gulf coast and beyond.<br />
The inversion re-emerged in December 2008 with a surge<br />
in stocks at Cushing and weakening U.S. demand for crude<br />
oil. Cushing oil stocks are 17.7-mil bbl higher than a year<br />
ago and are currently at a new all time high level of 33.5-<br />
mil barrels, according to the latest report from Societe<br />
Generale (US Petroleum Report dated January 28, 2009).<br />
-10<br />
02/01/08<br />
18/01/08<br />
03/02/08<br />
19/02/08<br />
06/03/08<br />
22/03/08<br />
Source: <strong>ICE</strong> Futures Europe historical data<br />
07/04/08<br />
The duration, depth and size of the premium for Brent<br />
has strengthened into 2009. Since the beginning of December<br />
2008, the front month WTI spread has averaged<br />
-$3.62 per barrel (contango), compared to -$2.43 per barrel<br />
(contango) for Brent.<br />
During the period of the previous price inversion in April<br />
and May 2007, on average, the front 24 contract months<br />
for Brent were trading at a premium to WTI. However,<br />
from the middle of December and into January, the depth<br />
of the inversion extended to an average of around 60 contract<br />
months. With the distortions at Cushing, the International<br />
Energy Agency observed in its January monthly<br />
report that Brent was “arguably more reflective of global<br />
oil market sentiment.”<br />
Continues on page 3<br />
23/04/08<br />
09/05/08<br />
25/05/08<br />
10/06/08<br />
26/06/08<br />
Prompt Brent Spread<br />
12/07/08<br />
28/07/08<br />
13/08/08<br />
29/08/08<br />
14/09/08<br />
30/09/08<br />
16/10/08<br />
Prompt WTI Spread<br />
01/11/08<br />
17/11/08<br />
03/12/08<br />
19/12/08<br />
04/01/09<br />
20/01/09<br />
PRODUCTS & SERV<strong>ICE</strong>S<br />
New <strong>ICE</strong> OTC Cleared Energy Contracts: Print full list<br />
February 13 Launch for Cleared Ag Swaps<br />
NGI Indices to be Exclusive to <strong>ICE</strong> in May<br />
<strong>ICE</strong> Announces Third Set of New OTC Cleared Contracts<br />
<strong>ICE</strong> Launches Dozens of New Cleared Contracts Including<br />
Gas, Heating Oil and PJM West Real Time<br />
<strong>ICE</strong>’s Product Guide: Specs for all <strong>ICE</strong> Contracts<br />
NOTE FROM THE <strong>ICE</strong> HELP DESK<br />
Resolve trade disputes fast. If there is a trade issue, it is<br />
very important for <strong>ICE</strong> to be able to reach you immediately.<br />
To ensure your information is up to date, simply<br />
left click on “Admin/Edit my contact information” at<br />
the top of your Web<strong>ICE</strong> screen. Then click again on<br />
“information/update” to revise.<br />
When contacting the <strong>ICE</strong> Help Desk, please have your<br />
<strong>ICE</strong> User ID ready to provide to the <strong>ICE</strong> representative.<br />
This will help us resolve your issue as quickly as<br />
possible.<br />
<strong>ICE</strong> MILLI<strong>ON</strong>S<br />
FX FUTURES<br />
Free real-time<br />
prices<br />
** Note: As of May 1, 2009 <strong>ICE</strong> will require all Web<strong>ICE</strong><br />
users to operate with a minimum Java version of<br />
1.6.0_03. Please check with your IT staff to be ready<br />
for this change. The new version will allow <strong>ICE</strong> to ensure<br />
that customers receive the new functionality and<br />
performance enhancements we strive to deliver.
<strong>ICE</strong> IN <strong>FOCUS</strong><br />
3<br />
A WORD FROM JEFF SPRECHER<br />
Recognizing that the financial services sector has faced many<br />
challenges over the past 18 months, I wanted to take a moment<br />
to thank you for your continued business.<br />
While we share our industry’s concern about the broader<br />
business cycle, I am optimistic about the opportunities that<br />
tend to arise amid such challenges. Through your input and<br />
partnership, we have established a marketplace that offers<br />
the transparency, products and stability required to manage<br />
risk in uncertain times. In 2008, <strong>ICE</strong> reported record contract<br />
volume, Importantly, responding to needs in the marketplace,<br />
we launched a new clearinghouse, introduced a range of new<br />
products and made significant progress in our credit default<br />
swaps strategy. In the first few weeks of this year, we have announced<br />
over 50 new cleared OTC contracts. And this month,<br />
<strong>ICE</strong> Clear U.S. will be the first U.S. clearing house to clear ag<br />
swap contracts, including sugar, coffee and cocoa.<br />
We’ll continue to strive to lead the industry in growth and innovation<br />
in 2009 and beyond. Thank you for your business,<br />
and please let us know if you have any feedback that might<br />
help us better serve you.<br />
<strong>FOCUS</strong> <strong>ON</strong>: <strong>BRENT</strong> <strong>CRUDE</strong> <strong>OIL</strong> (continued)<br />
Through January 28, 2009, <strong>ICE</strong> Brent futures closed higher<br />
than WTI futures on 31 consecutive trading days. And<br />
on January 15, 2009, the Brent premium reached a record<br />
of $10.58 on an intra-day basis. As the Financial Times observed<br />
on January 18, “This is not the first time WTI has<br />
diverged from other benchmarks, but the discrepancy is<br />
far more severe this time.” In a January 2009 report, Barclays<br />
commented, “…if you want to take a position based<br />
on balances and fundamentals, it is perhaps better for the<br />
moment to stick to Brent or other non-WTI exposure.”<br />
Storage capacity at Cushing is often cited as a limitation<br />
of WTI. Increasing supplies of Canadian crudes have<br />
exacerbated the Cushing issue, as pipelines required to<br />
take crude oil from Canada to the U.S. Gulf Coast have<br />
not been constructed, adding to storage build-ups around<br />
Cushing. Between October 2008 and January 2009, oil<br />
stocks at Cushing more than doubled to 33 million barrels.<br />
With this increase, the pressure on the front WTI intermonth<br />
spread has intensified. The contango for the front<br />
WTI spread fell to -$8.14/bbl on January 15 2009. At the<br />
start of 2009, the front WTI spread settled at -$3.87/bbl.<br />
Differential spreads between WTI and other U.S. Gulf<br />
coast crude oils have also begun to break down. The WTI<br />
spread has reversed against Light Louisiana Sweet (LLS)<br />
and other non-Cushing delivered (and non-exchange<br />
traded) grades against which it usually sells at a premium.<br />
The IEA noted its January report that there is evidence of<br />
traders doing deals on a non-WTI related basis.<br />
Why trade <strong>ICE</strong> Brent Crude futures<br />
Hedgers, commercials and traders who require exposure<br />
to global economic trends should consider the <strong>ICE</strong> Brent<br />
Crude futures contract. Brent prices are heavily influenced<br />
by global supply and demand fundamentals. Its liquidity<br />
is ensured by substantial commercial paper. Because it<br />
serves as a pricing mechanism for producers and refiners,<br />
it offers exposure not available in other markets.<br />
Benefits of Brent Crude on the <strong>ICE</strong> Platform<br />
1<br />
2<br />
3<br />
4<br />
5<br />
6<br />
<strong>ICE</strong> Clear Europe offers competitive initial margins and inter-month<br />
spread charges, including a 90% margin offset between Brent and<br />
WTI, the most liquidly traded arbitrage market on any exchange.<br />
Swaps traders in the crude markets can mark to market their positions<br />
against a liquid Brent tradable marker at 16:30 London time.<br />
Because European product prices are set at this time, traders and<br />
refiners who need to lock in a crack spread can do so.<br />
Several Middle East producers use the exchange derived Brent<br />
Weighted Average Price (BWAVE) to price crude oils for European<br />
customers. Customers exposed to the BWAVE price are able to<br />
hedge exposure on a liquid exchange using the liquid <strong>ICE</strong> Brent<br />
Crude futures contract.<br />
Gasoil Crack: Trading the Gasoil crack will result in two separate<br />
positions in the underlying futures markets for Brent and Gasoil.<br />
The settlement of each leg will be respective expiry of the Brent<br />
and Gasoil futures contracts as made public by <strong>ICE</strong> Futures Europe.<br />
Upon expiry of the Brent leg, holders of a Gasoil crack trade will<br />
then be left with a long or short position in the Gasoil market which<br />
will then be settled on expiry of the relevant underlying <strong>ICE</strong> Gasoil<br />
futures contract.<br />
<strong>ICE</strong> is increasing its OTC Cleared offerings in the Brent market. A<br />
large family of related OTC instruments have emerged that price in<br />
relation to the <strong>ICE</strong> Brent futures contract. Current products include<br />
Dated to Front-Line swaps, Brent CFD swaps, Dated Brent swaps<br />
and WTI/Brent 1st line swaps as a differential.<br />
For more information, visit <strong>ICE</strong>’s Product Guide.<br />
Futures style Options on <strong>ICE</strong> Brent Crude futures are also available<br />
with plans for additional contracts in 2009.<br />
For more information, visit <strong>ICE</strong>’s Product Guide.<br />
<strong>ICE</strong> EDUCATI<strong>ON</strong> <strong>ICE</strong> EVENTS QUICK LINKS<br />
Feb 11: Fundamental Analysis - Energy Markets<br />
Feb 11: Electricity Market & Trading Program<br />
Feb 12: Charting & Technical Analysis<br />
View the 2009 <strong>ICE</strong> Education<br />
Course Calendar<br />
Email education@theice.com<br />
for more information<br />
Feb 8-10: MFA Network 2009 - Key Biscayne, FL<br />
Feb 8-10: 5 Kingsman Sugar Conference, Dubai<br />
Feb 11-13: Western Barley Growers Assoc., Alberta<br />
Feb 16 - 19: IP Week – London<br />
Feb 18-19: OPIS NGL Fundamental Executive<br />
Education Series - Houston, TX<br />
Feb 21-24: Traders Expo - New York, NY<br />
Feb 22-24: Grain World - Winnipeg<br />
C<strong>ON</strong>TACT US<br />
<strong>ICE</strong> WEBSITE<br />
HOLIDAY CALENDAR<br />
NOTE: On February 16, both <strong>ICE</strong> Futures<br />
U.S. and <strong>ICE</strong> Futures Canada will be closed<br />
in observance of U.S. Presidents Day and<br />
Louis Riel Day. Read More.