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Submission by Imperial Tobacco Australia Limited (PDF 600 KB)

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figures set out below, ITA would challenge the accuracy of this statement. Importantly, the<br />

consultation paper also notes that „continued effort is required to prevent an increase in<br />

the availability and use of illicit tobacco products …‟, acknowledging concern that higher<br />

prices may lead consumers to substitute legal products with illegal ones.<br />

There is strong evidence to support the view that there is a direct causal link between<br />

increases in tobacco prices and increases in illicit trade in tobacco. This is due<br />

predominantly to the fact that duty and/or excise are not paid on illicit tobacco products,<br />

making them less than half the price of legal products. A recent report prepared <strong>by</strong><br />

Deloitte states: „The illicit tobacco market in <strong>Australia</strong> for 2011 is estimated to total 2.264<br />

million kilograms of tobacco which is equivalent to 13.4% of the estimated legal tobacco<br />

market … The proportion of survey respondents who reported purchasing illicit tobacco<br />

has increased since 2010.‟ Deloitte‟s tracking of illicit tobacco trade between 2009 and<br />

2012 shows that after a significant tobacco excise increase (25%) in 2010 there was a<br />

statistically significant spike in illicit trade. Subsequently, engagement in illicit trade has<br />

slowly stabilised, correlating with a stabilisation of prices for legal tobacco. ITA fears that<br />

another sharp increase in tobacco excise would result in another spike in the number of<br />

consumers who substitute legal, properly regulated, tobacco products for contraband,<br />

counterfeit or unbranded (loose) tobacco products.<br />

The illicit trade in tobacco significantly undermines a number of public health initiatives<br />

relating to smoking. First, illicit tobacco products have not been manufactured in a<br />

regulated environment, may contain unknown substances and otherwise not comply with<br />

<strong>Australia</strong>n manufacturing requirements (such as Reduced Fire Risk compliance). Second,<br />

the levels of tar, nicotine and other ingredients in cigarettes sold on the black market are<br />

not subject to government regulation or scientific scrutiny. Third, pushing consumers<br />

towards illicit trade exposes them to criminal groups who demonstrate no regard for public<br />

safety and health, rather than encouraging consumers to engage with responsible<br />

manufacturers and retailers. Anecdotal evidence suggests that criminal groups often<br />

supply tobacco to children, who may not represent a profitable market for illicit trade<br />

without the additional adult demand for black market tobacco products. In short, criminals<br />

involved in the manufacture and supply of illicit tobacco products are unaccountable for<br />

their products and their activities, engaging in a range of conduct that is directly conflicting<br />

with the public interest.<br />

Any further increase in excise tax would undermine the work undertaken <strong>by</strong> the industry,<br />

business groups and government authorities to combat illicit trade in tobacco products.<br />

Finally, the illicit trade in tobacco products also undermines the government‟s revenue<br />

raising capabilities as taxes cannot be collected from illegal sellers of cigarettes.<br />

Approximately $1 billion in revenue is lost annually as a result of the tobacco black market<br />

and the livelihoods of many small businesses are put at risk.<br />

The above Deloitte report also demonstrates that consumers have a high level of<br />

awareness of the availability of cheap illicit products. The consultation paper<br />

acknowledges that „[i]n 2010, nearly half of smokers aged 14 years or older had seen or<br />

heard of unbranded loose tobacco known as “chop chop”.‟ The awareness of these<br />

products, and their continued availability, makes the potential for consumers to move to<br />

illicit tobacco as a result of sharp tax increases greater. ITA submits that the government<br />

should be concerned particularly about low income consumers feeling pressure to<br />

substitute expensive legal products with comparatively inexpensive illegal products. Lower<br />

income consumers have higher price elasticity than higher income consumers. The<br />

consultation paper acknowledges this <strong>by</strong> stating that „[o]ver the period January 1999 to<br />

3

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