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UNIVERSITY OF ROCHESTER STR 403 Professor Gerard Wedig ...

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<strong>UNIVERSITY</strong> <strong>OF</strong> <strong>ROCHESTER</strong><br />

WILLIAM E. SIMON GRADUATE SCHOOL <strong>OF</strong><br />

BUSINESS ADMINI<strong>STR</strong>ATION<br />

<strong>STR</strong> <strong>403</strong><br />

<strong>Professor</strong> <strong>Gerard</strong> <strong>Wedig</strong><br />

Economic Theory<br />

Office: CS3 – 160J<br />

Of Organizations Phone: 273-1647<br />

Winter, 2009<br />

Email: wedig@simon.rochester.edu<br />

Assistant: Kate Walsh<br />

MIDTERM EXAMINATION ANSWERS<br />

Mean: 41.4<br />

Standard Deviation: 8.8<br />

Name____________________________________<br />

1) This is a closed book, closed note exam.<br />

2) The clarity and succinctness of your answers are crucial. Think first and use a<br />

well structured approach to answering each question. Neither I nor the graders are<br />

obligated to search for the correct answer in the midst of unrelated or incorrect<br />

material.<br />

3) All answers should be completed in the space provided<br />

4) Most or all of the questions can be answered with just a few carefully selected<br />

sentences.<br />

Question 1 (10 Pts.)<br />

Question 2 (10 Pts.)<br />

Question 3 (10 Pts.)<br />

Question 4 (10 Pts.)<br />

Question 5 (10 Pts.)<br />

Question 6 (10 Pts.)<br />

____________<br />

____________<br />

____________<br />

____________<br />

____________<br />

____________<br />

Total ___________


1. Economic Man (10 Pts.)<br />

In the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) edition of Tuesday, February 10 th , 2009, it was reported<br />

that car accident deaths in the U.S. fell in 2008. Moreover, the article also reported that<br />

the death rate also fell per mile driven.<br />

The WSJ article goes on to say that gasoline prices were significantly higher in 2008 than<br />

in past years and that most automobiles achieve their best gas mileage at speeds<br />

between 30 MPH and 60 MPH. Finally, assume that fatalities are generally associated<br />

with high rates of speed, often in excess of 75MPH.<br />

a. (4 Pts.) Use the economic model of behavior to offer an explanation for how the<br />

rise in gas prices could have lead to a reduction in mortality per mile driven in<br />

2008. Be sure to mention relevant key assumptions of the economic model in<br />

your explanation.<br />

Answer: In the economic model of behavior, individuals substitute among goods based on<br />

their relative prices. As gas prices go up, the price of speed on the highway goes up as well.<br />

This causes individuals to demand less of it and to slow down. This will reduce the death<br />

rate per mile driven.<br />

Partial Credit: 2 pts for explaining that the price of going fast has increased and 2 pts for<br />

drawing the implications of this.<br />

b. (6 Pts.) For years, many advocacy groups have advocated strict enforcement of<br />

highway speed limits in order to reduce the mortality rate per mile driven.<br />

o<br />

According to the economic model of behavior discussed in class, what<br />

factor reduces the effectiveness of speed limits as a device to control<br />

driving speeds<br />

Answer: In class we noted that individuals are clever and creative. They have devised<br />

methods to evade the legal constraint against going fast by using radar detectors etc.<br />

Partial Credit: 2 pts for “clever and creative” and 1 pt for the rest of the answer.<br />

o<br />

Using the lessons from part a) can you suggest alternative public policy<br />

for reducing highway mortality<br />

Answer: An alternative policy that might work would be to raise the tax on gasoline. This<br />

will cause people to slow down voluntarily and reduce mortality.<br />

Partial Credit: 1 pt for valid suggestion and 2 pts for rest of the answer.


2. Agency Costs (10 pts.)<br />

A factory manager wants to hire an employee to assemble products. Suppose that the<br />

employee is capable of two effort levels (“Low” and “High”) resulting in the following<br />

costs and value creation.<br />

EFFORT LEVEL COST <strong>OF</strong> EMPLOYEE<br />

EFFORT<br />

PRODUCT VALUE<br />

CREATED<br />

Low $100 $200<br />

High $200 $500<br />

In this case, “Cost of Employee Effort” is the dollar-equivalent cost to the employee of<br />

exerting the effort levels indicated. “Product Value Created” is the amount that the<br />

employee’s effort adds to the company’s value.<br />

a. (3 Pts.) Provide a concise definition of “agency costs.”<br />

Answer: Agency costs arise where individuals do not bear the full costs (or reap the full<br />

benefits) of their actions. Agency costs include Out-of-pocket costs to control incentive<br />

problems and Residual loss because it does not pay to perfectly control incentive problems.<br />

Partial credit: 2 pts for a reasonable definition and 1 pt for mentioning both out of pocket<br />

costs and residual loss.<br />

b. (4 Pts.) Assume that, due to difficulties in monitoring, only a low effort contract<br />

can be enforced. What is the value of the resulting agency cost Explain your<br />

answer.<br />

Answer: The agency cost is the loss in contract value from not being able to enforce the high<br />

effort contract. Surplus from the low effort contract is $100 while it is $300 from the high<br />

effort contract. So the agency cost is the difference, or $200.<br />

Partial Credit: 4 pts for a correct numerical answer and nothing incorrect said in the<br />

explanation. 2 pts potential partial credit for a good explanation but the wrong numerical<br />

answer. 2 pts partial credit for the correct numerical answer but faulty reasoning behind the<br />

answer.<br />

c. (3 Pts.) Assume that if the plant manager invests $50 in plant supervision, the<br />

high effort level can be enforced. Will the manager make this investment What<br />

is the dollar value of agency cost now Will the employee oppose such an<br />

investment Explain.<br />

Answer: Yes he will make the investment because the reduction in agency cost exceeds $50.<br />

Agency cost is now $50, the out-of-pocket cost referred to in part (a). The employee will not<br />

oppose this so long as he is paid fair compensation (or better) for his effort. The employer<br />

can afford to compensate them for their added effort given the increase in value created.<br />

Partial Credit: 1 pt for each part.


3. Decision Rights (C vs. D) (10 Pts.)<br />

The modern automobile industry has changed greatly in the past 50 years. Years ago,<br />

when General Motors controlled 50% of the American market, there were roughly 30 car<br />

models around, half of which were made by General Motors. Production runs for<br />

individual models were large – for example, GM produced over 500,000 Chevy Impalas<br />

per year.<br />

Now, there are over 600 different models on the market, General Motors’ market share<br />

has eroded to a fraction of its previous level and a successful single care model may sell<br />

300,000 copies over its entire lifetime. A couple of years ago, an article in the Economist<br />

reported, “the trick is to make different models using the same underpinnings of parts<br />

unseen by consumers.” (Please ignore the effects of the recent financial crisis in<br />

formulating your answers below).<br />

a. (5 Pts.) In the “old days” the organizational structure of General Motors, known<br />

for its different automobile divisions, was famous for both centralizing and<br />

decentralizing key tasks. For example, marketing and new model introduction<br />

decisions were centralized while key operating and engineering decisions were<br />

decentralized to the divisions, whose managers were incented based upon the<br />

profits of their division.<br />

What was the rationale for centralizing marketing and decentralizing operational<br />

decisions in the “old” GM model<br />

Answer: Because GM controlled such a large share of the market, any new model<br />

introduction or marketing campaign risked cannibalizing its own market. Hence, new<br />

model introductions and marketing needed to be coordinated centrally. Likewise, because<br />

production runs were so large at each division, each division could achieve economies of<br />

scale on their own. Hence production decisions could be decentralized.<br />

Partial credit:<br />

3 pts for marketing and 3 pts for production, maximum of 5.<br />

b. (5 Pts.) In the new era described above, it makes sense to re-evaluate the<br />

allocation of marketing and production decision rights. How do changes in<br />

GM’s environment change the way in which marketing and operating decision<br />

rights should be allocated Explain your reasoning.<br />

In the new era, marketing and model introductions can be decentralized because GM does<br />

not cannibalize its own market as much and because there is intense competition to market<br />

in a timely fashion. On the other hand, production and engineering decisions need to be<br />

centralized because divisions need to share parts and car platforms. These decisions need to<br />

be coordinated across divisions.<br />

Partial credit: Same as part a.


4. U Vs. M Form (10 Pts.)<br />

An owner-manager operates several retail clothing stores in a single market.<br />

The manager has a unique South American source for the company’s inventory of<br />

original alpaca clothing. Organizationally, the company uses a classic “U form” model<br />

of organization. That is, the owner-manager closely supervises and coordinates all of<br />

the major business functions, including purchasing, retail (store) management,<br />

marketing and finance. Individual managers also oversee these functions so that, for<br />

example, there is a head of marketing who reports directly to the owner. The owner<br />

provides bonuses to her top managers based upon subjective evaluations of their work.<br />

Because of its recent success, the company is planning to open locations (new stores) in a<br />

neighboring state. The owner will not be able to monitor the new stores as effectively<br />

as she monitors local operations.<br />

a. (5 Pts.) A recent graduate of this class has suggested to the owner that she use an<br />

“M form” management structure for the new stores. Each new store would be a<br />

unique “product” or division with its own decision rights over inventory,<br />

marketing and overall store operations. Each store would also have its own P<br />

and L statement.<br />

List and explain (2) advantages this would provide compared to the case where<br />

the new store operations were simply folded into the existing U form.<br />

Answer: The major advantage is that each store manager can be held accountable for their<br />

own performance by using the store’s P and L statement. This helps to address the problem<br />

of monitoring cited above. Second, providing the store managers with decision rights over<br />

issues such as marketing and inventory will allow them to make use of specific knowledge<br />

about conditions in their own market.<br />

Partial Credit: 3 Pts for the first advantage (with explanation) and 2 pts for the second.<br />

b. (3 Pts.) List and explain one disadvantages or concern that the owner might have<br />

with the M form strategy for new stores.<br />

Answer: The company may lose the advantage of scale in areas such as marketing. Also, the<br />

stores in the other state may compete with one another (not coordinate their efforts.)<br />

Partial credit: 1 pt for a disadvantage and 2 pts for the explanation.<br />

c. (2 Pts.) Why does it make sense to continue to centralize a function such as finance<br />

(payroll, taxes, treasury etc.)<br />

Answer: There is nothing unique about these functions that justify each store coordinating<br />

them. They are also scalable. Finally, there is considerable risk to the company as a whole if<br />

they are performed incorrectly.<br />

Partial Credit: 2 pts for a valid reason with explanation.


5. Incentives (10 Pts.)<br />

Most experts predict that the current recession will extend well into the coming year<br />

(2009) and perhaps into 2010. During this time period, sales for most companies are<br />

expected to decline relative to their prior year values, although considerable uncertainty<br />

remains about what will actually happen to sales in 2009 (greater uncertainty than in the<br />

past).<br />

Consider an electronics manufacturing company, with its own sales force. In this<br />

company, 40% of compensation has historically been based upon commissions (a fixed<br />

percentage of sales made is paid to the sales force). The sales people each sell in<br />

different assigned territories. The territories, while different, have similar sales<br />

environments and are equally impacted by the current recession, so that a salesperson<br />

using the same effort and ability will book the same sales in any of the territories.<br />

a. (5 Pts.) The head of sales has suggested that “it would be unfair and unwise to<br />

base 40% of salesperson’s pay upon commissions in 2009, when it is well know<br />

that sales will decline in the coming year”.<br />

Using the theory of incentive pay and performance assessment, suggest and<br />

explain a legitimate reason to support this position. Your reasons should<br />

explain why it would be unwise for the firm to place the same weight on<br />

commission-based pay in the coming year, using the theory of incentive pay<br />

and performance assessment.<br />

Answer: The environment is characterized by greater risk and uncertainty which theory<br />

says should reduce the reliance on incentive pay.<br />

Partial credit: 2 pts for reason and 3 pts for explanation.<br />

b. (5 Pts.) Suggest a way to change or reform the commission-based system in the<br />

coming year so that it may work more effectively in the context of the general<br />

climate of economic uncertainty.<br />

Answer: Relative performance assessment may work. Presumably the sales territories are<br />

equally affected by the economy, so RPE can be used to remove the uncertainty of the<br />

economic climate.<br />

Partial Credit: 2 pts for answer and 3 pts for explanation.


6. (10 Pts.) Incentives and Performance Assessment Measures<br />

In the early 1990s, a major manufacturing company lagged behind its competitors in<br />

worker safety. Injuries were up to 10 times as high compared to other top firms. Most<br />

injuries occurred due to a combination of plant conditions (unsafe arrangement of<br />

machines and processes) or worker carelessness (e.g., putting hands inside of machines<br />

during repair).<br />

In response, this company undertook a major initiative to change company culture and<br />

improve the injury rate. The major elements of the program were: 1) visible support by<br />

executive and divisional leadership (strong message: “we care about this”); 2) education<br />

programs that were attended by the leadership of each plant and; 3) a statement from<br />

management that each plant manager would be held accountable for promoting a health<br />

and injury free environment, although no explicit incentive plans were provided.<br />

a. (4 Pts) If the company wanted to promote safety at the plant level, why didn’t it<br />

simply allocate safety goals to each plant manager together with explicit<br />

incentives to achieve them List and explain (2) difficulties that might exist with<br />

using a scheme of this type. Be specific.<br />

Answer: The difficulties with an incentive scheme would be: 1) setting reasonable standards<br />

for improvement with no knowledge of what was attainable in the short run; 2) it may have<br />

been difficult to find reasonable metrics of improvement that wouldn’t be gamed (e.g.,<br />

workers may be encouraged to not report injuries if the manager was rewarded for holding<br />

the injury rate down); 3) the multi-task principal-agent problem may make if difficult to<br />

configure effective incentives without sacrificing productivity; 4) top management may have<br />

specific knowledge about how to improve safety that needs to be transmitted to the plants.<br />

Partial Credit: 2 pts for each difficulty with setting standards (with explanation).<br />

b. (3 Pts.) Given the difficulties that you cited in part (a), what role did visible signs<br />

of management’s support for safety play in achieving the safety goals<br />

Answer: Incentives to improve safety were implicit. Management has to engender trust that<br />

it would reward good safety performance, even in the absence of explicit incentives. Visible<br />

signs of support for safety improvement were a way to engender trust that desired behaviors<br />

would be rewarded.<br />

Partial Credit: 2 pts for mentioning implicit incentives, 1 pt for explanation.<br />

c. (3 Pts.) Given the types of incentives in play, would you expect improvements in<br />

safety to take longer than the case where (workable) explicit incentives were<br />

provided Explain.<br />

It would take longer because managers would first have to develop a trust and understanding<br />

that safety really matters. This would take time as reputation is only developed based on<br />

tangible responses that occur in response to given actions (e.g., managers with good safety<br />

records actually get promoted). Partial Credit: 1 pt for answer and 2 pts for explanation.

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