climate change effects on predator/prey interactions: how can we ...
climate change effects on predator/prey interactions: how can we ...
climate change effects on predator/prey interactions: how can we ...
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Research <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>effects</str<strong>on</strong>g> of <str<strong>on</strong>g>climate</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
Models worldwide attempt to model animal distributi<strong>on</strong>s <strong>on</strong><br />
predicted habitat maps<br />
Predicti<strong>on</strong>s:<br />
1. Few species go extinct<br />
a. unsuitable c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s for persistence<br />
b. out competed by invading/pi<strong>on</strong>eering species<br />
2. Many species will dramatically c<strong>on</strong>tract in distributi<strong>on</strong><br />
a. increased fragmentati<strong>on</strong><br />
b. reduced resilience in populati<strong>on</strong> dynamics (more vulnerable to<br />
extincti<strong>on</strong> with perturbati<strong>on</strong>s)<br />
3. Others will extend their range<br />
a. usually at the expense of another species (e.g. the alpine<br />
chipmunk being displaced by lodgepole chipmunk)<br />
Community compositi<strong>on</strong> is going to <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g>