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From Market Anomalies to Behavioural Finance

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Overreaction can result from a rational<br />

expectation model<br />

• In ‘Competing theories of financial anomalies’ Brav<br />

& Hea<strong>to</strong>n (2002) gave a ‘rational’ explanation <strong>to</strong><br />

market underreaction and overreaction<br />

• µ<br />

t<br />

= a s<strong>to</strong>ck’s dividend at day t, µ<br />

t<br />

= µ (a<br />

constant),but µ is unknown. Inves<strong>to</strong>rs use a<br />

Bayesian approach <strong>to</strong> estimate µ . This will result in<br />

overreaction

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