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Roland Berger Strategy Consultants<br />

content<br />

Fresh th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g <strong>for</strong> decision makers<br />

Opportunities <strong>for</strong> <strong>mobile</strong><br />

<strong>telephone</strong> <strong>operators</strong> <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>rural</strong> <strong>areas</strong> | Customers<br />

<strong>in</strong> the countryside are different<br />

| They need unique<br />

offer<strong>in</strong>gs | Wireless network<br />

<strong>operators</strong> have to<br />

reth<strong>in</strong>k their approach |<br />

Suitable strategies are<br />

already available<br />

December 2011


SuCCESS IN RuRal MaRKETS:<br />

NEW CuSTOMERS FOR<br />

TElECOMMuNICaTION BuSINESSES<br />

Large population <strong>in</strong> <strong>rural</strong> <strong>areas</strong> * :<br />

India ≈ 800 m<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a ≈ 865 m<br />

-<br />

Net subscriber additions <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>rural</strong> <strong>areas</strong> 2007-2010 * :<br />

India ≈ 107 m<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a ≈ 128 m<br />

x<br />

Desire <strong>for</strong><br />

<strong>mobile</strong><br />

phones:<br />

90%<br />

=<br />

Potential customers:<br />

≈ 1.29 bn<br />

* examples


content Rural Markets<br />

Sometime <strong>in</strong> the mid-1980s, the first <strong>mobile</strong> phones appeared <strong>in</strong> Hollywood films, as a status<br />

symbol <strong>for</strong> the rich and powerful. Gone are those days. Today <strong>mobile</strong> communication is so<br />

commonplace that the markets of the <strong>in</strong>dustrialized world are thought to have reached<br />

saturation po<strong>in</strong>t. Mobility players f<strong>in</strong>d it hard to achieve even meager growth rates <strong>in</strong> these<br />

markets. Th<strong>in</strong>gs look totally different <strong>in</strong> emerg<strong>in</strong>g and develop<strong>in</strong>g countries, where <strong>mobile</strong><br />

phones are less widespread.<br />

But this is chang<strong>in</strong>g fast. The demand <strong>for</strong> <strong>mobile</strong> communication <strong>in</strong> these countries is high, as<br />

the growth rates <strong>in</strong> several key emerg<strong>in</strong>g markets show (Egypt, Brazil, Ch<strong>in</strong>a, India, Indonesia,<br />

Nigeria, Pakistan and Thailand). Here, 570 million new <strong>mobile</strong> phone subscribers were added<br />

between 2007 and 2010. However, these new customers are not all city dwellers, as you might<br />

th<strong>in</strong>k. There is considerable demand <strong>for</strong> <strong>mobile</strong> communication among the <strong>rural</strong> population<br />

too. Most of the 570 million new customers, 303 million to be exact, live <strong>in</strong> <strong>rural</strong> <strong>areas</strong>. And the<br />

growth cont<strong>in</strong>ues: Well over 90% of those currently without a <strong>mobile</strong> phone want one.<br />

"Metropolitan" bus<strong>in</strong>ess models do not work <strong>in</strong> the countryside<br />

Un<strong>for</strong>tunately, this demand does not automatically translate <strong>in</strong>to big profits. Product design,<br />

sales and market<strong>in</strong>g models established <strong>in</strong> the cities cannot simply be transferred to the<br />

countryside. Equipp<strong>in</strong>g sparsely populated <strong>areas</strong> with the technical <strong>in</strong>frastructure needed <strong>for</strong><br />

comprehensive <strong>mobile</strong> coverage does not come cheap: <strong>in</strong> fact, the costs <strong>in</strong>crease as one penetrates<br />

more remote markets. At the same time, s<strong>in</strong>ce the <strong>rural</strong> population has a low average<br />

<strong>in</strong>come, the Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) tends to reduce with remoteness.<br />

On a hayride<br />

PROFIT Rural<br />

PROFIT City<br />

Mobile <strong>telephone</strong> <strong>operators</strong> should also take the path<br />

to the countryside if they look out <strong>for</strong> new customers.<br />

In the long run, ignor<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>rural</strong> population's need <strong>for</strong> <strong>mobile</strong> communication <strong>for</strong> the above<br />

reasons is not a good idea. It would leave the field wide open to competitors. And s<strong>in</strong>ce customer<br />

growth <strong>in</strong> <strong>rural</strong> <strong>areas</strong> is at least as fast as that <strong>in</strong> urban <strong>areas</strong>, significant market share<br />

would be lost. Relatively low ARPU among new customers can be compensated <strong>for</strong> by high<br />

volumes. Not to mention the additional image boost.<br />

Among companies who have entered the <strong>rural</strong> market, the successful ones are those who see<br />

their <strong>rural</strong> customers as a separate customer group that has to be addressed with specially<br />

tailored concepts. Companies who simply transfer the concepts they have established <strong>in</strong> big<br />

cities to the countryside, are dest<strong>in</strong>ed to fail.<br />

Tak<strong>in</strong>g the network to the countryside<br />

Expand<strong>in</strong>g a network <strong>in</strong> <strong>rural</strong> regions us<strong>in</strong>g urban quality yardsticks <strong>for</strong> network coverage and<br />

speech quality is expensive and complicated. A strategy of expand<strong>in</strong>g cheaply and quickly with<br />

moderate quality of network coverage is more promis<strong>in</strong>g. This may reduce quality, but quality<br />

can be improved once there are enough customers spend<strong>in</strong>g enough money. The opposite<br />

strategy of a high-quality but slow and expensive network expansion not only reduces f<strong>in</strong>ancial


Roland Berger Strategy Consultants<br />

capacity <strong>for</strong> other <strong>in</strong>vestments but leaves a company vulnerable to faster competitors. Collaborative<br />

approaches at an <strong>in</strong>dustry-level or with governmental support are also be<strong>in</strong>g explored,<br />

especially <strong>in</strong> African countries.<br />

Tailor<strong>in</strong>g the product to <strong>rural</strong> customer segments<br />

It is also important to face the fact that not all <strong>rural</strong> consumers are the same. Farmers,<br />

students, <strong>rural</strong> workers or <strong>rural</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess owners have, <strong>for</strong> example, different <strong>in</strong>come levels,<br />

<strong>in</strong>ternet usage, and different communications habits and needs. One product does not fit all.<br />

Companies have to understand that <strong>rural</strong> customers need to be segmented and their value<br />

proposition drivers understood. This consumer <strong>in</strong>sight should be used to design tailored products<br />

and services <strong>for</strong> <strong>rural</strong> consumers.<br />

Small is beautiful<br />

MAKE<br />

IT<br />

SMALL<br />

To offer <strong>rural</strong> customers smaller packages proved to<br />

be a successful bus<strong>in</strong>ess model, as other companies<br />

found out.<br />

Af<strong>for</strong>dability is key ...<br />

In general, the average <strong>in</strong>come of <strong>rural</strong> customer target groups is much lower than <strong>in</strong> big cities.<br />

Differences of a few cents can mean a lot to them – af<strong>for</strong>dability is essential. Other <strong>in</strong>dustries<br />

can provide ideas <strong>for</strong> new approaches. Food corporation Nestlé, <strong>for</strong> example, reduced the size<br />

of coffee and milk powder packages and sold them at a lower price – successfully, as the sales<br />

figures show. Nestlé's Bono cookies are an excellent example: The packet size was reduced<br />

from 200 to 140 grams, and sales rose 40% as a result. Consumer products giant Procter &<br />

Gamble had a similar experience when it reduced the size of toothpaste tubes and detergent<br />

sachets.<br />

Cav<strong>in</strong>Kare, a producer of beauty and personal care products, took a slightly different route. The<br />

company identified how much local customers <strong>in</strong> India would be will<strong>in</strong>g to pay <strong>for</strong> shampoo –<br />

and created the appropriate package size. It paid off: The company ga<strong>in</strong>ed a 40% market share.<br />

Tak<strong>in</strong>g a page from this playbook, an Asian <strong>mobile</strong> phone provider applied this model: It modified<br />

its pay-as-you-go contract to allow users a m<strong>in</strong>imum balance of just USD 5 cents – with<br />

great success.<br />

All these examples follow the same idea: Successful companies often reduce entry barriers <strong>for</strong><br />

their ma<strong>in</strong> target group by tailor<strong>in</strong>g the product to the pocket of the customer. This helps the<br />

product to penetrate the market and built a customer habit, which could lead to last<strong>in</strong>g loyalty<br />

over time.<br />

... but value-adds are still possible<br />

Besides the very price-sensitive target group, the <strong>rural</strong> population also consists of segments<br />

who aren't conv<strong>in</strong>ced by cheapest offers alone. Here, another strategy could be promis<strong>in</strong>g: To<br />

l<strong>in</strong>k the core product – <strong>in</strong> our case, country dwellers' desire <strong>for</strong> <strong>mobile</strong> communication – with<br />

other services relevant to the target group. Ch<strong>in</strong>a Mobile, <strong>for</strong> example, developed an offer<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>for</strong> the target group of farmers that provides a subscription to farm<strong>in</strong>g-related <strong>in</strong><strong>for</strong>mation on<br />

prices and price trends <strong>in</strong> addition to their <strong>mobile</strong> phone contract.<br />

Us<strong>in</strong>g this and similar other value-added approaches, Ch<strong>in</strong>a Mobile ga<strong>in</strong>ed nearly 13% new<br />

customers <strong>in</strong> 2010, total<strong>in</strong>g to 523 million users. Revenue from value-added bus<strong>in</strong>ess reached<br />

RMB 151.4 billion (USD 63.6 billion), represent<strong>in</strong>g an annual growth rate of more than 15% and<br />

account<strong>in</strong>g <strong>for</strong> roughly 31% of Ch<strong>in</strong>a Mobile Group's operat<strong>in</strong>g venue. Ch<strong>in</strong>a Mobile uses a cen-


content Rural Markets<br />

tral plat<strong>for</strong>m, but localized the operation <strong>in</strong> deliver<strong>in</strong>g content on a prov<strong>in</strong>ce or region basis. The<br />

key of success also lies <strong>in</strong> cooperation, e.g. the company <strong>for</strong>med a relationship with <strong>in</strong>dividual<br />

specialists like a card manufacturer, who created a menu embedded card.<br />

Other add-on services are possible, <strong>in</strong> the realm of healthcare, <strong>for</strong> example: In emerg<strong>in</strong>g and<br />

develop<strong>in</strong>g countries there is a lack of all-around healthcare provision <strong>for</strong> most of the <strong>rural</strong><br />

population. The next medical service station is often far away. At the same time, many widespread<br />

diseases such as tuberculosis or HIV require regular care and <strong>in</strong>tensive monitor<strong>in</strong>g<br />

by medical professionals. A good use of <strong>mobile</strong> phone technology would be to query certa<strong>in</strong><br />

key parameters with the patient and transmit them digitally to the doctor <strong>in</strong> charge. With this,<br />

specialist advice is possible even at remote <strong>rural</strong> cl<strong>in</strong>ics and non-frequent visits to the doctor<br />

can be compensated partially at least.<br />

Access granted<br />

554<br />

m<br />

539<br />

m<br />

522<br />

m<br />

570<br />

m<br />

584<br />

m<br />

Another promis<strong>in</strong>g value-added area <strong>for</strong> <strong>mobile</strong> <strong>operators</strong> is <strong>mobile</strong> bank<strong>in</strong>g. In sub-Saharan<br />

Africa, <strong>for</strong> example, over 470 million people earn less than the equivalent of USD 10 a day – but<br />

together, they would be able to deposit almost EUR 60 billion annually, yet only one <strong>in</strong> five has<br />

a bank account at all. By contrast, even the lowest earners <strong>in</strong> Africa usually have a <strong>mobile</strong> phone.<br />

In other emerg<strong>in</strong>g and develop<strong>in</strong>g countries there is a similar situation: In India, a Roland Berger<br />

case study found that 230 million cellphone users currently make little or no use of bank<strong>in</strong>g services.<br />

This number is likely to <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the years ahead s<strong>in</strong>ce the population is grow<strong>in</strong>g faster<br />

than the banks' new customer bus<strong>in</strong>ess. So why not leverage the appeal of <strong>mobile</strong> telephony to<br />

l<strong>in</strong>k bank<strong>in</strong>g services and <strong>mobile</strong> communication Of course, the banks would benefit from such<br />

a scheme, but so would <strong>mobile</strong> phone companies. They could stand out from their competitors<br />

by offer<strong>in</strong>g these value-added services and expand their customer base. Several banks already<br />

started to tie up with the telecom-companies to roll out their bus<strong>in</strong>esses <strong>in</strong> <strong>rural</strong> <strong>areas</strong>.<br />

Reach<strong>in</strong>g out to remote customers – economically<br />

Alongside network expansion and product design, the right sales setup is crucial <strong>for</strong> successfully<br />

w<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g new customers <strong>in</strong> the countryside. Revenues at <strong>rural</strong> po<strong>in</strong>ts of sale tend to be a<br />

lot lower than <strong>in</strong> cities, with comparatively high cost to serve the channels. The traditional topdown<br />

sales hierarchy of one national distributor, several regional distributors and local retailers<br />

does not always work <strong>in</strong> the <strong>rural</strong> <strong>areas</strong>.<br />

4 Q<br />

2009<br />

1 Q<br />

2010<br />

2 Q<br />

2010<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a Mobile's subscription uptake has <strong>in</strong>creased<br />

steadily quarter after quarter, after provid<strong>in</strong>g<br />

af<strong>for</strong>dable value-added services to <strong>rural</strong> users.<br />

Further <strong>in</strong><strong>for</strong>mation<br />

3 Q<br />

2010<br />

4 Q<br />

2010<br />

One successful strategy is to set up <strong>rural</strong> distributors alongside the regional urban distributors,<br />

with shared costs and <strong>in</strong>frastructure. These <strong>rural</strong> distributors know the local market well<br />

and can handle it via micro-distributors, which are either small town retailers or semi-urban/<br />

<strong>rural</strong> retailers. Many companies shy away from this approach because they fear reduced visibility<br />

and control <strong>in</strong> the supply cha<strong>in</strong>, and also dim<strong>in</strong>ished ability to "push" material <strong>in</strong>to cha<strong>in</strong>.<br />

However, these challenges can be addressed with an active sales management approach.<br />

Follow<strong>in</strong>g this idea consequently results <strong>in</strong> down-to-earth solutions conv<strong>in</strong>c<strong>in</strong>g by their simplicity:<br />

Stockists <strong>in</strong> <strong>rural</strong> <strong>areas</strong> can use cycles and even boats <strong>for</strong> their distribution and there<strong>for</strong>e<br />

overcome <strong>in</strong>frastructural contra<strong>in</strong>ts – and by do<strong>in</strong>g so, reach customers <strong>in</strong> remote <strong>areas</strong> or<br />

t<strong>in</strong>y settlements, <strong>for</strong> which even a distribution via sub-trucks or vans would be too elaborate.<br />

Altogether, a cheap and quick-to-establish way to service new customers <strong>in</strong> <strong>rural</strong> <strong>areas</strong>. On the<br />

Roland Berger Strategy Consultants has developed<br />

strategies <strong>for</strong> the bank<strong>in</strong>g sector <strong>in</strong> sub-Saharan<br />

Africa.


Roland Berger Strategy Consultants<br />

downside, these solutions are not scalable, as there is no network of consolidated service<br />

providers.<br />

Expand<strong>in</strong>g exist<strong>in</strong>g sales partnerships or establish<strong>in</strong>g new cooperations with bigger companies<br />

is faster and less capital-<strong>in</strong>tensive. F<strong>in</strong>ally, there is the possibility to use exist<strong>in</strong>g mass<br />

distribution systems like PDS and post services. The advantage lies with<strong>in</strong> its great reach and<br />

its established, trusted channel. But it comes at the expense of less control over a standardized<br />

brand image and sometimes <strong>in</strong>ertia toward the distribution of new products – and is thus more<br />

suitable <strong>for</strong> regions with lower customer potential.<br />

Spread the product<br />

Companies who are successful <strong>in</strong> <strong>rural</strong> <strong>areas</strong> use<br />

different distribution channels – as long as these are<br />

cheap and quick to establish.<br />

Consumer goods-companies leveraged <strong>in</strong>novative partnerships to drive distribution reach and<br />

fundamentally alter distribution economics. Some of them outsourced last mile distribution<br />

by tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g key <strong>in</strong>fluencers from each neighborhood <strong>in</strong> <strong>areas</strong> where conventional distribution<br />

networks can not economically reach.<br />

Expla<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the value added<br />

A small-scale but focused sales approach also helps companies demonstrate to potential<br />

customers the value added of their products. Nokia, <strong>for</strong> example, deploys "sales<strong>mobile</strong>s" <strong>in</strong><br />

emerg<strong>in</strong>g and develop<strong>in</strong>g countries – small vans <strong>in</strong> which sales reps tour the country promot<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the latest services and add-on offer<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>for</strong> the "farmers of today". The Korean white goods<br />

manufacturer LG takes a similar approach to expla<strong>in</strong> its microwave product group, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g<br />

cook<strong>in</strong>g demonstrations <strong>in</strong> a small van. And Unilever's Shakti program <strong>in</strong> India collaborates<br />

with local female entrepreneurs who advise their clientele on health and hygiene matters as<br />

well as sell<strong>in</strong>g them the appropriate products. Local sales representatives are able to elim<strong>in</strong>ate<br />

suspicion, answer questions and demonstrate the product live – benefits that not every store<br />

can offer. This small-scale channel means that <strong>rural</strong> sales will never be as cheap as <strong>in</strong> cities. But<br />

<strong>in</strong>volvement specially tailored to the region and target group can certa<strong>in</strong>ly be worthwhile, as it<br />

also boosts the brand.<br />

Consumer Education <strong>in</strong> general helps to grow bus<strong>in</strong>ess. To expla<strong>in</strong> the benefits of cellular mobility<br />

to non-users reaches out to new potential. F<strong>in</strong>ally, technology gives <strong>mobile</strong> <strong>operators</strong> <strong>opportunities</strong><br />

to create <strong>in</strong>expensive sale models, <strong>for</strong> example by launch<strong>in</strong>g e-recharge systems to top<br />

up credit on a pay-as-you-go phone – but this technology of course also needs to be expla<strong>in</strong>ed.


content Rural Markets<br />

Good th<strong>in</strong>gs come <strong>in</strong> threes<br />

Success factors <strong>for</strong> <strong>rural</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />

The right way <strong>for</strong> a <strong>mobile</strong> operator to do bus<strong>in</strong>ess <strong>in</strong> <strong>rural</strong> <strong>areas</strong> depends partly on which<br />

target groups have the most customer potential, which markets competitors already occupy<br />

and which sales <strong>for</strong>mats can be used. Roland Berger has identified three key factors<br />

based on its experience from various customer projects:<br />

1. Product design: The product must be tailored to the target group's needs, whether <strong>in</strong><br />

terms of entry-level prices or regular costs. The product could also be made more appeal<strong>in</strong>g<br />

through add-on services (e.g. <strong>mobile</strong> bank<strong>in</strong>g). Simply transferr<strong>in</strong>g popular metropolitan<br />

products to the countryside will not work.<br />

2. Sales and distribution: Rural sales activities need to be organized on a smaller scale<br />

and with more focus. Only then can they meet the <strong>rural</strong> population's needs and expectations.<br />

In some cases, partnerships may play a key role, possibly <strong>in</strong>volv<strong>in</strong>g a loss of control<br />

which needs to be managed. Partnerships can also be used to leverage scale and<br />

expand reach. Innovations <strong>in</strong> distribution models will fundamentally reduce cost and<br />

improve effectiveness.<br />

Brand and market<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Product design<br />

Sales and distribution<br />

Roland Berger Strategy Consultants identified three<br />

key factors <strong>for</strong> success <strong>in</strong> <strong>rural</strong> markets.<br />

3. Brand and market<strong>in</strong>g: Only if the benefits of the offer<strong>in</strong>g and possible add-on services<br />

are clear will <strong>rural</strong> customers be won over. Rural customers value the experience of local<br />

contact people such as their local shopkeeper. It is essential to th<strong>in</strong>k beyond the traditional<br />

and use non-traditional and local media effectively.<br />

For <strong>mobile</strong> <strong>operators</strong>, it's about more than only growth beyond the metropolitan <strong>areas</strong>. The<br />

enlargement of customer base also strengthens the company as a whole – and there<strong>for</strong>e<br />

also <strong>in</strong> the cities. The <strong>in</strong>troduction of new distribution models enhances know-how with<strong>in</strong><br />

the company. And new collaboration models could also prove as valuable <strong>for</strong> the bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />

<strong>in</strong> metropolitan <strong>areas</strong>. To master the above mentioned challenges there<strong>for</strong>e are a task <strong>for</strong><br />

all market participants.<br />

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS, PLEASE FEEL<br />

FREE TO CONTACT US:<br />

Chandan Joshi, Partner<br />

+65 6622 – 5480<br />

chandan.joshi@rolandberger.com<br />

Thomas Klotz, Partner<br />

+65 6622 – 5478<br />

thomas_klotz@sg.rolandberger.com<br />

th<strong>in</strong>k:act CONTENT<br />

Publisher:<br />

Prof. Dr. Burkhard Schwenker, Dr. Mart<strong>in</strong> C. Wittig<br />

Project management: Dr. Kather<strong>in</strong>e Nöll<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Roland Berger Strategy Consultants GmbH<br />

Am Sandtorkai 41<br />

20457 Hamburg<br />

+49 40 37631 – 4421<br />

news@rolandberger.com<br />

www.th<strong>in</strong>k-act.<strong>in</strong>fo


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