Navy story.indd - Mars Group Kenya Publications
Navy story.indd - Mars Group Kenya Publications
Navy story.indd - Mars Group Kenya Publications
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zambia<br />
The Titanic sails at dawn<br />
The opposition offered its voters refuge on Noah’s Ark, but it sank<br />
and Mwanawasa is back<br />
The polls were wrong and<br />
Michael Sata lost to incumbent<br />
President Levy Patrick<br />
Mwanawasa, whose solid 42 per cent<br />
of the vote came overwhelmingly<br />
from rural areas. In some large towns<br />
Sata’s supporters clashed with security<br />
forces when late returns showed the<br />
extent of his defeat, but things soon<br />
quietened down. Hakainde Sammy<br />
Hichilema of the three-party United<br />
Democratic Alliance took 25 per cent<br />
with a huge majority in his native<br />
Southern Province. Former Vice-<br />
President General Godfrey Miyanda<br />
took two per cent and Kenneth<br />
Kamwili Ngondo managed less than<br />
one per cent.<br />
Of the 3.9 million registered<br />
voters, 2.7 mn. took part, a turnout<br />
of 70 per cent, one of the highest in<br />
recent years. Sata’s Patriotic Front<br />
(PF) party was planning to petition<br />
against the election result following<br />
claims that some continuencies<br />
overcounted Mwanawasa’s votes and<br />
constituencies in Lusaka and the<br />
Copperbelt undercounted Sata’s. But<br />
Sata said on 17 October he would<br />
refuse to sign the petition because it<br />
worked against his new tactics.<br />
The next five years In<br />
his inaugural speech on 3 October,<br />
Mwanawasa called for national<br />
unity, praised his opponents and<br />
urged them to consider working<br />
with him because they raised<br />
fundamental issues which cannot be<br />
ignored. The ceremony, attended by<br />
Presidents Hifikepunye Pohamba<br />
of Namibia and Jakaya Kikwete<br />
of Tanzania, was held under tight<br />
security. Mwanawasa acknowledged<br />
Sata’s campaign skills and shortly<br />
afterwards left for a holiday to ‘reflect<br />
on his next five years’. Some doubt<br />
whether he can complete his second<br />
term in office. He suffered a minor<br />
stroke in April and may leave the dayto-day<br />
running of government to his<br />
new Vice-President Rupiah Bwezani<br />
Banda. His energetic wife Maureen<br />
Kakubo Mwanawasa is tipped to<br />
take a leading role.<br />
The capital, Lusaka and Copperbelt<br />
provinces voted massively for Sata<br />
who also picked up a huge amount<br />
of votes in Central, Luapula and<br />
Northern provinces, strongholds of<br />
the ruling Movement for Multiparty<br />
Democracy (MMD). Mwanawasa’s<br />
former Vice-President Lupando<br />
Katoloshi Mwape and his Defence<br />
Minister Wamundila Muliokela lost<br />
their parliamentary seats.<br />
The decisive votes came from<br />
Western, North-Western and Eastern<br />
provinces, where Mwanawasa’s party<br />
scooped up most of the parliamentary<br />
seats. The MMD’s good performance<br />
in rural areas rewarded its sound<br />
agriculture policies: steady supplies of<br />
fertiliser and farm inputs along with<br />
an effective crop marketing system,<br />
promoted by the Food Reserve Agency.<br />
The President’s vote was substantial<br />
even in areas where he came second.<br />
Mwanawasa says the Bemba<br />
people (one of whom is<br />
Sata) have chosen to be<br />
in opposition and he has<br />
promoted many Eastern<br />
politicians. The new<br />
Vice-President Rupiah<br />
Banda, 69, served as<br />
Foreign Minister under ex-President<br />
Kenneth Kaunda and helped turn<br />
Eastern province from its traditional<br />
support for Kaunda to the MMD.<br />
Sata and Hichilema both disputed<br />
the result but said they would not<br />
challenge it in the Supreme Court.<br />
Sata claims that there was systematic<br />
vote-rigging. Verification, especially<br />
on the Copperbelt, has shown that his<br />
vote was under-recorded. Hichilema<br />
claims the same pattern in Southern<br />
province. Foreign observers gave the<br />
results a clean bill of health, but local<br />
monitors raised glaring disparities<br />
and demanded verification. In some<br />
instances, the recorded vote for the<br />
presidency was far less than that for<br />
the simultaneous parliamentary and<br />
local government elections.<br />
Sata’s parallel life Sata’s<br />
PF gained total control of the main<br />
urban municipalities in Lusaka,<br />
Copperbelt, Luapula and Northern<br />
provinces, where he says he will run a<br />
parallel structure of local government<br />
to implement his campaign promises.<br />
He announced reductions of local<br />
property taxes, asked his lawyers to<br />
review a lease between Lusaka City<br />
Council and Chinese investors to<br />
give Zambians control of a big market<br />
and urged Zambians to apply for<br />
allocations of land within the city.<br />
Mwanawasa threatens to jail<br />
Sata for treason if he tries to run a<br />
parallel government: ‘Sata is pushing<br />
his luck too far. I will sort him<br />
out’. Legally, local government is<br />
autonomous, though the minister of<br />
local government may dissolve nonperforming<br />
councils. Mwanawasa<br />
may consider dissolving PF councils<br />
and calling by-elections; he says<br />
‘Zambians forget easily’ and may not<br />
vote for Sata.<br />
Plenty of legal battles are<br />
anticipated. Mwanawasa’s new<br />
Minister of Local Government, Sylvia<br />
Masebo, was politically groomed by<br />
Sata when she was Deputy Mayor of<br />
Lusaka and is a close personal friend<br />
of Wynter Kabimba, the PF’s Shadow<br />
Minister of Local Government, who<br />
‘Sata is pushing his luck too<br />
far. I will sort him out.’<br />
has been assigned to supervise the PFrun<br />
councils. The friendly rivals may<br />
work for peace on local government.<br />
After the election Sata’s militant<br />
supporters overpowered the riot<br />
police, torched vehicles and took<br />
control of various slums in Lusaka<br />
and Copperbelt; armed soldiers were<br />
called in, and the violence ended when<br />
Sata appealed for calm. Most security<br />
personnel voted for Sata, including at<br />
a State House polling station where<br />
the presidential guards and their<br />
families vote. Military barracks also<br />
voted for the opposition and transfers<br />
are expected in the defence forces.<br />
On 8 October, at a football match<br />
against South Africa at the 35,000-<br />
seat Independence Stadium, fans<br />
showed their support for Sata during<br />
<br />
2 0 O c t o b e r 2 0 0 6 - V o l 4 7 - N ° 2 1 - A f r i c a C o n f i d e n t i a l