Mistra Arctic Futures Annual Report 2011 (pdf)

#8 Draft version by
Spring 2013
#9 Draft version by
Spring 2013
#10 Draft version by
Spring 2013
The economic value of ecosystem services (ES) in Lofoten - a contingent valuation study
In this paper we presents the results of an ex ante economic valuation study focusing on the willingness of the
Norwegian general public to pay to avoid a future oil spill in the Lofoten area. The main economic sectors in the
Lofoten area are the oil and gas industry, fishery and tourism. To varying degrees, these sectors affect and depend
on ES such as diversity, recreation and scenery. A monetary value of avoiding a decreased provision of ES will be
estimated by analyzing the impact on ES resulting from a future oil spill, as well as existing policy measures, using
the contingent valuation method. The results of the paper are of interest, as we believe that non-use values will
represent a large share of the total economic value of ES in Lofoten, and the Arctic in general.
Costs and benefits of oil/gas exploration versus designating the Lofoten-Barents Sea as a World Heritage Area
The Lofoten-Barents Sea area is characterized by valuable resources and ecosystem services (ES), which can lead to
conflict. In this paper we discuss the costs and benefits of two potential future scenarios of Lofoten-Barents Sea: 1)
oil/gas exploration and extraction; and 2) the designation of a World Heritage Area. The results from the contingent
valuation study (#8) will be used as an important input to the paper. An evaluation of distributional impacts (i.e.,
who wins and who loses) of different policy actions will be one major contribution of the paper. The results will be
of general interest, as our scenarios focus on resource conflicts that are shared across the Arctic region as a whole.
A framework for analysing the sustainability of governance options for Arctic natural resources
In this paper we will present the results of our development of an analytical framework by combining game theory,
studies of environmental governance, cost-benefit analysis and economic valuation of ecosystem services. The
framework is based on the Lofoten-Barents Sea case study, but its general applicability to other Arctic issues will
be discussed.
#11 January 2013 Annual Project Report, year 2 (2012)
This report will contain a description of the project work accomplished in 2012.
#12 January 2014 Annual Project Report, year 3 (2013)
In this report we will: (1) detail specific project accomplishments to date; (2) summarize the overall project, and; (3)
present the final transdisciplinary framework.
#13 Dec
2013
PhD Thesis by Maria Noring. Proposed title: Environmental valuation for decision and policy-making purposes.
#14 June 2013 PhD Thesis by Eric Sjöberg. (Title to be determined)
#15 2014 PhD Thesis by Linus Hasselström. Proposed title: Stated preferences practices vs. policy needs.
[e] 14 Nov 2011 “Arctic Games” presented at Workshop of Political Theory and Policy Analysis, Indiana
University, USA.
[f] 11 Jan 2012 “Valuing marine ecosystem services affected by oil spills in the Baltic Sea & the
Northeast Atlantic” Presented at oil spill valuation workshop as part of initiating
collaboration with Norwegian researchers (Oslo, Norway).
[g] 16 Mar 2012 “Arctic Games Lofoten case study” presentation at Network meeting of Women in
Salten for Enterprise Development (GLØD), Norway.
Upcoming conferences
[h]
[i]
23-25 April
2012
16-19 June
2012
Other project activities – completed
“Pricing Ecosystem Services in Practice: Policies and Possibilities” to be presented at
Stockholm+40 – Partnership Forum for Sustainable Development.
“Ecosystem services at risk from oil spills in the Barents Sea” to be presented at
International Society of Ecological Economics 2012 conference, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
[j] 8 Feb 2012 Meeting in Stockholm with IVL Swedish Environmental Research Institute, resulting in
cooperation with oil-spill specialists Jonas Fejes and Annika Tegeback.
[k] 15 Feb 2012 Meeting in Stockholm with the Beijer Institute of Ecological Economics, which is
involved in Arctic social-science research (see, e.g., www.access-eu.org). The meeting
resulted in further cooperation with ecologist Åsa Jansson, and a presentation by Anne-
Sophie Crépin at the Stakeholder Meeting at the Embassy of Canada on 27 March 2012
(see [p]).
[l] 27 Feb 2012 Project and programme used as a research example in guest lecture for an Introductory
Course in Microeconomics, Department of Economics, Stockholm University.
[m]
7 March
2012
Stakeholder meeting/focus group in Bodø, Norway, with representatives of, e.g., general
industry development, fisheries, the oil industry, the county administration and the
research community (anthropology and marine biology).
Presentation by AS
Presentation by SC
Presentation by MKF
Forum moderated by SC and LH
Presentation by MN, participation by LH
Presentation and participation by LH,
ÅS
Presentation and participation by TS, FF,
ÅS, ES, MN, CH
Presentation by TS
MN, LH, MKF, AS, Lofoten stakeholders
TABLE 3 OUTREACH AND COMMUNICATION
Activity Date Outreach or communication activity Our activity (see Table 1 for initials)
Conferences attended
[a]
10-11 Feb
2011,
5-6 Oct 2011
[b] 16 Mar 2011,
26 Mar 2012
VIP Project Workshops: Nordic Top Research on Adaptation of Arctic Communities to
the Climate Change. Workshop I in Helsinki 10-11 February 2011 and Workshop II in
Copenhagen 5-6 October 2011.
Polar Forum, Stockholm, Sweden.
Participation by TS (Workshop I) and
GK (Workshop II)
Participation by CH, MN, GK, ÅS, FF
(2011), MN (2012)
[c] 26 April 2011 The New Arctic workshop, Utrikespolitiska Institutet, Stockholm. Participation by ES, MN, GK
[d]
22-26 June
2011
“A framework for sustainable governance of Arctic natural resources” at ICASS VII, the
Seventh International Congress of Arctic Social Sciences, Akureyri, Iceland.
Presentation by MN and ES
[n]
[o]
[p]
13 March
2012
23 March
2012
27 March
2012
“Arctic Games” brown bag seminar at New Economic School, Moscow.
Telephone conference with environmental economists in Norway to explore
collaboration and co-funding possibilities (Henrik Lindhjem, Kristin Magnussen and
Ståle Navrud).
Mistra Arctic Futures in a Global Context Stakeholder Meeting at the Embassy of
Canada, Stockholm.
Presentation by SI
Participation by ÅS, SC, MN, LH, CH
Presentation by TS and Anne-Sophie
Crépin, The Beijer Institute (invited by
Arctic Games)
[q] Various Two project meetings for all team members in Stockholm (7-8 April 2011) and Lofoten (8-9 March 2012). Most team members
participated in the Annual Programme Meeting in Abisko 16-18 May 2011. TS has represented the project at Programme Meetings
in Stockholm (17 Feb 2011, 25 Oct 2011, 17 Feb 2012) and Umeå (12 Apr 2011). Further, MN participated in a workshop on 21
September 2011 at Østfoldforskning (Oslo, Norway) about the EDecIDE project work on trade-offs between different environmental
impacts or damages in connection with carbon capture and storage and the Arctic region.
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