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Bake-off Bakery Markets in the EU 2008/9-2014 - Gira

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<strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> <strong>Bake</strong>ry <strong>Markets</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong><br />

2009/2010 - <strong>2014</strong><br />

Opportunities, Strategies & Forecasts for <strong>the</strong> next 5 Years<br />

The latest edition of <strong>Gira</strong>'s unique, 4-yearly <strong>EU</strong> frozen dough markets programme<br />

France - Germany - Italy - Poland - Spa<strong>in</strong> - United K<strong>in</strong>gdom<br />

Austria - Belgium - Czech Republic - Denmark - F<strong>in</strong>land - Hungary - <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands - Portugal - Sweden - & Switzerland<br />

A Multi-Client Study completed <strong>in</strong> December 2010, for:<br />

– <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> <strong>Bake</strong>ry Products Manufacturers<br />

– Industrial <strong>Bake</strong>rs<br />

– Wholesalers and Importers <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Bake</strong>ry Cha<strong>in</strong><br />

– Retailers & Caterers<br />

– Mach<strong>in</strong>ery and Packag<strong>in</strong>g Suppliers<br />

– F<strong>in</strong>ancial Investors.<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> 2011<br />

13, chem<strong>in</strong> du Levant<br />

F - 01210 Ferney-Voltaire<br />

Tel : (33) 4 50 40 24 00 Fax : (33) 4 50 40 24 02<br />

E-mail : a.fremaux@girafood.com Web site : www.girafood.com


Why Buy this Study<br />

Current market uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties mean <strong>the</strong>re is real need now for expert <strong>in</strong>sight <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> future of <strong>EU</strong> bake-<strong>off</strong>.<br />

This third edition of one of <strong>Gira</strong>'s most successful studies supplies all <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>formation & analyses you need.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> globally static <strong>EU</strong> bakery market, bake-<strong>off</strong> products are almost unique <strong>in</strong> <strong>off</strong>er<strong>in</strong>g high growth prospects, and <strong>the</strong>y have<br />

already become a key target for almost all European <strong>in</strong>dustrial bakers. But where are <strong>the</strong> best opportunities<br />

Which circuits (now that even hard discounters are adopt<strong>in</strong>g bake-<strong>off</strong>), which products (recipes and formats), and which bake-<strong>off</strong><br />

technologies should be targeted<br />

And who will <strong>the</strong> w<strong>in</strong>ners be The frantic M&A activity seen <strong>in</strong> bake-<strong>off</strong> before <strong>the</strong> economic crisis is sure to pick up aga<strong>in</strong> once it is over.<br />

The current recession is accelerat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> pre-exist<strong>in</strong>g market and <strong>in</strong>dustry trends, creat<strong>in</strong>g both greater opportunities and bigger threats for all<br />

operators. The bake-<strong>off</strong> market and its suppliers will be very different <strong>in</strong> 5 years from now ...<br />

Operators throughout <strong>the</strong> supply cha<strong>in</strong> all agree that bake-<strong>off</strong> is THE future - how best should you make it YOUR future<br />

For <strong>the</strong> ANSWERS it gives you ... where is this major trend lead<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Which countries, markets & product categories will show <strong>the</strong> best growth over <strong>the</strong> next 5 years Facts, figures & forecasts<br />

How important will bake-<strong>off</strong> products really become <strong>in</strong> each market Which technologies will be <strong>the</strong> w<strong>in</strong>ners<br />

How will retailers' and foodservice cha<strong>in</strong>s' bakery production methods and procurement develop<br />

How will <strong>the</strong> fresh bakery product <strong>off</strong>er and production methods develop <strong>in</strong> (hard) discount retail and <strong>in</strong> C-stores<br />

Which of today's major manufacturers represent supplier best practice - will it still be <strong>the</strong>m <strong>in</strong> 5 years<br />

For <strong>the</strong> STRATEGIC INSIGHTS & RECOMMENDATIONS it provides you with ... what does it mean for me<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Adapt<strong>in</strong>g product ranges and bake-<strong>off</strong> technologies to consumer demand and to <strong>the</strong> production methods of each channel<br />

Benefit<strong>in</strong>g from <strong>the</strong> grow<strong>in</strong>g demand for convenience<br />

Optimal distribution of bake-<strong>off</strong> products for manufacturers<br />

Tak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> opportunities that foreign markets <strong>off</strong>er - but also defend<strong>in</strong>g home markets aga<strong>in</strong>st foreign imports<br />

Lessons from recent history – benchmarks – examples – and developed, strategic profiles of all <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> operators.<br />

And for all <strong>the</strong> analyses, current data & forecasts that will allow manufacturers and retailers to optimise<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir situation today and to develop solid strategies and action plans for tomorrow.<br />

<strong>Gira</strong>'s unrivalled experience & expertise <strong>in</strong> <strong>EU</strong> bakery markets make it<br />

uniquely capable of carry<strong>in</strong>g out this most demand<strong>in</strong>g assignment.<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> 2011<br />

Contact: Anne Fremaux Tel. +33 4 50 40 24 00 e-mail a.fremaux@girafood.com<br />

2


A Full-coverage Study of <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong>'s<br />

<strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> <strong>Markets</strong> & Industry<br />

This is <strong>the</strong> third time that we have carried out this unique study of bake-<strong>off</strong> bakery markets <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong>.<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> is now <strong>the</strong> accepted reference po<strong>in</strong>t for <strong>the</strong> whole bakery <strong>in</strong>dustry.<br />

Scope<br />

Products All bake-<strong>off</strong> products & technologies: key products (bread, viennoiserie, patisserie, hot savoury snacks); key<br />

technologies (ready to prove, ready to bake, thaw & serve); all storage forms (frozen, chilled & ambient)<br />

<strong>Markets</strong> All distribution circuits: modern and traditional retail, hard discount, foodservice and wholesalers<br />

Countries All <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> <strong>EU</strong> bake-<strong>off</strong> markets: France, Germany, Italy, Poland, Spa<strong>in</strong>, <strong>the</strong> UK, Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic,<br />

Denmark, F<strong>in</strong>land, Hungary, <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands, Portugal, Sweden - as well as Switzerland<br />

Operators Strategic profiles of all <strong>the</strong> major <strong>in</strong>dustrial bake-<strong>off</strong> bakery products suppliers<br />

When 2001 – 2004 – 2009/10 – Forecasts through <strong>2014</strong>.<br />

PRESENTATION<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY (~ 200 pages)<br />

What you get<br />

♦ A half-day, tailored presentation highlight<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> key research conclusions and<br />

recommendations for you.<br />

♦ Compar<strong>in</strong>g and contrast<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> structure and dynamics of bake-<strong>off</strong> bakery<br />

markets throughout Europe: product/market/operator opportunities, 5 years<br />

forecast<strong>in</strong>g, conclusions and strategic recommendations for all operators.<br />

♦ League Table of <strong>the</strong> Top bake-<strong>off</strong> manufacturers.<br />

COUNTRY REPORTS (over 2,000 pages) ♦ The 16 major <strong>EU</strong> markets. Exhaustive coverage of bake-<strong>off</strong> dynamics & drivers <strong>in</strong><br />

each market and its supply cha<strong>in</strong>, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g:<br />

- <strong>Bake</strong>ry products consumption dynamics - The demand for bake-<strong>off</strong> products - <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry & supply analysis<br />

- Distribution structures: retail and foodservice - Ma<strong>in</strong> criteria govern<strong>in</strong>g production methods - Strategic profiles of <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> producers<br />

- Fresh bakery products production methods - Methods of procurement - Conclusions, Forecasts & Recommendations<br />

Report<br />

Cost<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> 2011<br />

Tim<strong>in</strong>g & Cost<br />

Completed December 2010 – Available <strong>in</strong> one hard-copy and all files on CDRom - <strong>in</strong> English<br />

Euros 25,000 (before any tax) for <strong>the</strong> full report. Part subscription options are also available (see page 19 of <strong>the</strong><br />

Proposal).<br />

Contact: Anne Fremaux Tel. +33 4 50 40 24 00 e-mail a.fremaux@girafood.com<br />

3


Proposal Contents<br />

Page<br />

1. Introduction 5<br />

2. Study objectives 12<br />

3. Scope 14<br />

4. Methodology 16<br />

5. Structure & contents of <strong>the</strong> reports 17<br />

6. Subscription 19<br />

7. <strong>Gira</strong>'s bakery sector clients 20<br />

Annexe 1: Syn<strong>the</strong>sis volume contents 21<br />

Annexe 2: Country report contents e.g. Austria 22<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> 2011<br />

4


1. Introduction to <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong> bake-<strong>off</strong> markets<br />

In a context of a globally stagnant bakery product<br />

consumption <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong>, bake-<strong>off</strong> products <strong>off</strong>er<br />

huge growth prospects:<br />

<strong>Bake</strong>ry production from bake-<strong>off</strong> is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>the</strong><br />

detriment of <strong>in</strong>-store scratch production and fresh<br />

deliveries<br />

Mean<strong>in</strong>g that this market is grow<strong>in</strong>g by 3% to 13% per<br />

year - depend<strong>in</strong>g on <strong>the</strong> country<br />

And this may soon be re<strong>in</strong>forced by <strong>the</strong> renewal of fresh<br />

bakery product consumption, after years of decl<strong>in</strong>e.<br />

<strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> bakery products are now <strong>the</strong> key target<br />

for almost all of Europe's <strong>in</strong>dustrial bakers, as<br />

<strong>the</strong>y <strong>off</strong>er real growth opportunity <strong>in</strong> all markets.<br />

But where really are <strong>the</strong> best opportunities<br />

In which countries Where are <strong>the</strong> biggest markets, <strong>the</strong><br />

markets where <strong>the</strong>re are most - and least - growth<br />

prospects… and why<br />

In which circuits Modern retailers used to be <strong>the</strong> driver<br />

of <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry, but even artisan bakers are com<strong>in</strong>g<br />

round to bake-<strong>off</strong> – and what about hard-discount...<br />

For which products Are bread and viennoiserie<br />

def<strong>in</strong>itely <strong>the</strong> w<strong>in</strong>ners, or should producers target sweet<br />

and savoury snack products<br />

With which technology Are <strong>the</strong>re threats for <strong>the</strong><br />

dom<strong>in</strong>ant technology of ready-to-bake<br />

<strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> is clearly <strong>the</strong> future – But how best to<br />

make it YOUR future<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> 2011<br />

35,000<br />

30,000<br />

25,000<br />

('000 tonnes)<br />

20,000<br />

15,000<br />

10,000<br />

5,000<br />

0<br />

9%<br />

<strong>Bake</strong>ry products production methods<br />

& share of bake-<strong>off</strong>, <strong>EU</strong>-16<br />

12%<br />

15%<br />

2001 2004 2009 <strong>2014</strong><br />

Industrial -<br />

Prepacked home-bak<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Industrial -<br />

Prepacked long-life<br />

Industrial -<br />

<strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong><br />

Industrial -<br />

Fresh f<strong>in</strong>ished<br />

Retailers <strong>in</strong>-store<br />

scratch bak<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Artisan bakers<br />

scratch bak<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Source: <strong>Gira</strong><br />

This new unique database and analysis <strong>in</strong>cludes<br />

several key elements:<br />

The largest <strong>EU</strong> New Member States are covered:<br />

Poland, Hungary and <strong>the</strong> Czech Republic<br />

A special focus has been made on <strong>the</strong> strong-growth<br />

hot savoury pastry snacks segment<br />

Specific attention has been put on <strong>the</strong> fresh bakery<br />

supply strategies of hard-discounters and C-stores<br />

And, not <strong>the</strong> least, it <strong>in</strong>cludes a league table rank<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

top European producers – A REAL FIRST!<br />

5


At a glance – The Competitive Dynamics driv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

bake-<strong>off</strong> markets<br />

2. <strong>Bake</strong>ry products<br />

distribution prospects<br />

• Retail competition & new actors<br />

<strong>in</strong> fresh bakery supplies<br />

• Foodservice and OOH<br />

1. <strong>Bake</strong>ry products<br />

consumption<br />

trends<br />

• Fresh versus prepacked<br />

• Consumer preferences<br />

Source: <strong>Gira</strong><br />

<strong>Gira</strong> 2011<br />

<strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> markets<br />

1. Types of products<br />

2. Bought by whom<br />

3. How produced<br />

4. What degree of<br />

convenience<br />

5. Supplied by whom<br />

5. Structure of <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry<br />

• Top bake-<strong>off</strong> producers<br />

• Strategies<br />

3. Production strategy<br />

options<br />

• From scratch bak<strong>in</strong>g on-site<br />

• Resell<strong>in</strong>g fresh bread<br />

• <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong><br />

4. Level of<br />

convenience <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong><br />

• Ready-to-prove<br />

• Ready-to-bake<br />

• Thaw & serve<br />

6


Key consumer trends <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong>-16 bakery market<br />

1. Fresh bakery products and bread are<br />

still dom<strong>in</strong>ant<br />

With respectively 73% and 81% of total bakery<br />

consumption, fresh products and bread dom<strong>in</strong>ate<br />

bakery consumption <strong>in</strong> <strong>EU</strong>-16.<br />

However <strong>the</strong>se proportions as well as future trends<br />

vary considerably from one country to ano<strong>the</strong>r:<br />

Fresh bakery products consumption is expected to start<br />

to grow aga<strong>in</strong> through <strong>2014</strong><br />

But savoury pastry will lead product growth.<br />

In a globally mature market, <strong>the</strong>se contrast<strong>in</strong>g trends<br />

may represent opportunities or threats for operators<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> cha<strong>in</strong>.<br />

Food trends have impacted bakery products<br />

<strong>in</strong> different ways:<br />

Viennoiserie and patisserie have been hit by <strong>the</strong><br />

economic crisis and by <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g health concerns<br />

Whereas bread has benefited from <strong>the</strong>se trends<br />

And savoury pastry products are surf<strong>in</strong>g on <strong>the</strong> snack<br />

and food-on-<strong>the</strong>-go trend<br />

Traditional, regional & ethnic, pleasure, convenience,<br />

“free-from”… are among o<strong>the</strong>r trends that affect<br />

bakery product markets <strong>in</strong> different ways.<br />

Successful suppliers and retailers must have a<br />

good understand<strong>in</strong>g of <strong>the</strong> drivers & brakes of<br />

bakery consumption, as well as understand<strong>in</strong>g<br />

each markets’ specificities.<br />

9,000<br />

<strong>Bake</strong>ry products consumption<br />

<strong>in</strong> 2009<br />

by technology & by product<br />

9,000<br />

('000 tonnes)<br />

Prepacked home-bak<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Prepacked long-life<br />

Fresh<br />

('000 tonnes)<br />

Savoury pastry<br />

Patisserie<br />

Viennoiserie<br />

Bread<br />

0<br />

Source: DE <strong>Gira</strong> FR IT UK PL ES NL BE CZ HU PT AT SE CH DK FI<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> 2011<br />

<strong>EU</strong>-16 Countries<br />

0<br />

Source:<br />

DE<br />

<strong>Gira</strong><br />

FR IT UK PL ES NL BE CZ HU PT AT SE CH DK FI<br />

<strong>EU</strong>-16 Countries<br />

7


Fresh bakery products distribution dynamics<br />

2. <strong>Bake</strong>ry products retail trends<br />

Modern retailers now hold 31% of fresh bakery<br />

product distribution <strong>in</strong> <strong>EU</strong>-16, and <strong>the</strong>y are expected<br />

to become <strong>the</strong> number one circuit by <strong>2014</strong>.<br />

They <strong>off</strong>er great opportunities as:<br />

They are fur<strong>the</strong>r concentrat<strong>in</strong>g<br />

They are look<strong>in</strong>g for rationalisation of <strong>the</strong> bakery <strong>off</strong>er,<br />

production methods and bake-<strong>off</strong> supplies<br />

And <strong>the</strong>y want more and more convenience.<br />

Even if artisan bakers will show fur<strong>the</strong>r decl<strong>in</strong>e, <strong>the</strong>y<br />

<strong>off</strong>er profitable opportunities for those bake-<strong>off</strong><br />

manufacturers who can target <strong>the</strong>m properly.<br />

The “o<strong>the</strong>r retail” sector may also be a promis<strong>in</strong>g<br />

sector, especially petrol stations and convenience<br />

stores <strong>in</strong> some specific countries.<br />

But <strong>the</strong> most significant new element <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> equation<br />

is <strong>the</strong> grow<strong>in</strong>g presence of hard-discounters <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

distribution of fresh bakery products and bake-<strong>off</strong>:<br />

Their rang<strong>in</strong>g and buy<strong>in</strong>g methods (limited product<br />

range, high volume/low price) will have far-reach<strong>in</strong>g<br />

structural implications for <strong>the</strong> whole <strong>in</strong>dustrial bakery<br />

sector – and IT HAS ALREADY STARTED!<br />

Our Study gives real strategic <strong>in</strong>sight for this sector.<br />

The grow<strong>in</strong>g importance of Foodservice<br />

The economic downturn has impacted this channel,<br />

but <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> long-run foodservice demand is expected<br />

to rebound to pre-crisis levels and should rema<strong>in</strong><br />

an important growth market for bakery products:<br />

Cater<strong>in</strong>g will even become <strong>the</strong> number one distribution<br />

channel for some fresh bakery products<br />

The impact of eat<strong>in</strong>g-out will be positive for all bakery<br />

products.<br />

This is a market with real potential, but one which<br />

requires specific position<strong>in</strong>g and supplies.<br />

% volume growth pa 2009/<strong>2014</strong><br />

3.0%<br />

1.5%<br />

<strong>Bake</strong>ry cha<strong>in</strong>s<br />

Commercial<br />

cater<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Artisan bakers<br />

Modern<br />

retailers<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r retail<br />

Social cater<strong>in</strong>g<br />

0.0%<br />

0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000<br />

-1.5%<br />

Trends <strong>in</strong> fresh bakery distribution - 2009/<strong>2014</strong><br />

<strong>Gira</strong>'s new Study focus on <strong>the</strong>se major trends –<br />

emphasiz<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> major growth areas and<br />

opportunities that <strong>the</strong>y represent for suppliers.<br />

-3.0%<br />

Source: <strong>Gira</strong><br />

Market volume 2009 ('000t)<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> 2011<br />

8


Production strategy options<br />

3. Scratch aga<strong>in</strong>st bake-<strong>off</strong><br />

It is no accident that bake-<strong>off</strong> is on <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease as all<br />

retailers f<strong>in</strong>d it more and more difficult to get qualified<br />

bakers to produce from scratch <strong>in</strong>-store.<br />

Among some drivers and brakes to <strong>the</strong> development of<br />

bake-<strong>off</strong> are:<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Broaden<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> product range<br />

The improv<strong>in</strong>g quality of bake-<strong>off</strong> products<br />

Freez<strong>in</strong>g storage capacity<br />

Flexibility<br />

Competition from premium scratch bak<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Investment needed<br />

No skilled staff needed, etc.<br />

Our Study analyses and quantifies <strong>the</strong> future impact of<br />

all of <strong>the</strong>se, by products, by sector & by country.<br />

Orig<strong>in</strong> of fresh bread sold by modern retailers - 2009<br />

4. Level of convenience <strong>in</strong> bake-<strong>off</strong><br />

The Study has identified <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> opportunities for<br />

each type of bake-<strong>off</strong> technology, from raw to "thaw<br />

& serve" products, as well as exam<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g specific key<br />

aspects:<br />

The rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g potential (if any) for "prove-<strong>in</strong>-<strong>the</strong>-oven"<br />

products<br />

Specific recipes, formats and formulations required<br />

Choos<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> optimum price level(s)<br />

And <strong>the</strong> share of chilled and ambient bake-<strong>off</strong> products.<br />

<strong>Gira</strong>'s research has updated, by product and by<br />

circuit, <strong>the</strong> development stage of each technology –<br />

and <strong>the</strong> rate at which development will take place <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> future.<br />

Cater<strong>in</strong>g bake-<strong>off</strong> viennoiserie consumption -<br />

2001/<strong>2014</strong><br />

Resell<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Source: <strong>Gira</strong><br />

From<br />

scratch<br />

bak<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong><br />

('000t raw weight)<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> 2011<br />

Source: <strong>Gira</strong><br />

AT BE CZ DK FI FR Countries<br />

DE HU IT NL PL PT ES SE CH UK<br />

Scratch bak<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> frozen<br />

<strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> chilled<br />

Re-sell<strong>in</strong>g<br />

0<br />

Source: <strong>Gira</strong><br />

2001 2004 2009 <strong>2014</strong><br />

Ready to prove Ready to bake Fully baked<br />

9


Industrial bakers must respond to <strong>the</strong> challenge<br />

5. Optimis<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> <strong>off</strong>er:<br />

Our Study provides complete market & competitor coverage, <strong>in</strong>dicat<strong>in</strong>g not only which countries are <strong>off</strong>er<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>the</strong> best opportunities for bake-<strong>off</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment, but also why.<br />

As well as market size and growth, all <strong>the</strong> major strategic issues for bake-<strong>off</strong> producers have been covered:<br />

By country, product and circuit: <strong>the</strong> highest potential recipes, formats and bake-<strong>off</strong> technologies<br />

Toge<strong>the</strong>r with <strong>the</strong> customer adaptation and services needed to accompany <strong>the</strong> products:<br />

• Price strategies<br />

• <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> solutions<br />

• Tailor-made services.<br />

Def<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g distribution strategies:<br />

<strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> product distribution is becom<strong>in</strong>g a strategic issue for all operators, who will <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly need to know:<br />

The degree of centralisation of retailer purchas<strong>in</strong>g to expect <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> future<br />

The logistic constra<strong>in</strong>ts for each client – and <strong>the</strong> way to respond to <strong>the</strong>m<br />

The impact of <strong>in</strong>ternational wholesalers and importers on each domestic market and its producers.<br />

In a grow<strong>in</strong>g competitive environment, is forward <strong>in</strong>tegration a solution<br />

Target<strong>in</strong>g export markets:<br />

Each country's bakery <strong>in</strong>dustry is no longer limited just to that<br />

country's frontiers and cul<strong>in</strong>ary traditions:<br />

On average, almost 20% of bake-<strong>off</strong> producers' turnover is generated on<br />

export markets<br />

And <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong>'s New Member States have been identified as particularly<br />

attractive targets – but is it already too late<br />

The Study identifies <strong>the</strong> w<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g strategies for importers & enter<strong>in</strong>g<br />

new export markets.<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> 2011<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

Trade ('000 t raw weight)<br />

<strong>EU</strong>-16 trade bake-<strong>off</strong> balance - 2009<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

-50<br />

-100<br />

-150<br />

Exports<br />

Imports<br />

Import<br />

Export<br />

Net trade<br />

Source: <strong>Gira</strong><br />

FR DE ES PT HU PL FI Countries DK CZ SE IT AT CH BE NL UK<br />

10


M&A <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> bak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustry is still far from over:<br />

bake-<strong>off</strong> operators will cont<strong>in</strong>ue to consolidate<br />

<strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> Industry structures<br />

<strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> has become a "real" <strong>in</strong>dustry, with its own optimal<br />

structures and its own dynamics. The over 200 bake-<strong>off</strong><br />

producers analysed by <strong>Gira</strong> allow a unrivalled<br />

understand<strong>in</strong>g of this <strong>in</strong>dustry, that has for long been<br />

fragmented.<br />

Recent M&A activity and concentration has led to a new<br />

face of <strong>the</strong> bakery <strong>in</strong>dustry:<br />

With fierce competition between <strong>the</strong> mult<strong>in</strong>ational bakery groups<br />

With new players grow<strong>in</strong>g considerably <strong>in</strong> importance at <strong>EU</strong> level<br />

While some national players are becom<strong>in</strong>g bigger and bigger<br />

And some markets are still “closed” (<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> hands of vertically<br />

<strong>in</strong>tegrated companies).<br />

There is still high potential for <strong>in</strong>ternational growth<br />

through M&A <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> bake-<strong>off</strong> market<br />

But will it be just <strong>the</strong> exist<strong>in</strong>g large groups that drive fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />

consolidation - with what likelihood of success – and on which<br />

markets<br />

Or will we see o<strong>the</strong>r bake-<strong>off</strong> manufacturers and <strong>in</strong>vestors tak<strong>in</strong>g<br />

on a European dimension as dynamic national operators look for<br />

opportunities beyond <strong>the</strong>ir frontiers<br />

Typology and share of bake-<strong>off</strong> producers<br />

2009<br />

Small<br />

sized<br />

Integrated<br />

Source: <strong>Gira</strong> compilation<br />

Medium<br />

sized<br />

Multi<br />

national<br />

groups<br />

Large<br />

companies<br />

The lead<strong>in</strong>g bake-<strong>off</strong> suppliers'<br />

zones of activities – and <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

growth strategies<br />

This new Study of bake-<strong>off</strong> supplies all <strong>the</strong> necessary analyses, strategies, forecasts and<br />

profiles of <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong>'s top 50 bake-<strong>off</strong> companies.<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> 2011<br />

11


2. Study objectives<br />

The key objective of our Study has been to measure <strong>the</strong> bake-<strong>off</strong> market and to situate it <strong>in</strong> its dynamic<br />

context - its <strong>in</strong>dustry structures, its country and regional coverage, and <strong>the</strong> many different strategies of<br />

its operators and <strong>the</strong>ir clients.<br />

This is all shown over a time horizon go<strong>in</strong>g from 2001, via <strong>the</strong> present day (2009/10), to <strong>2014</strong> - <strong>the</strong> date by<br />

which those trends which are only <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir <strong>in</strong>fancy today will have fully materialised.<br />

We have taken full account of <strong>the</strong> impact of <strong>the</strong> present economic crisis on markets and raw material<br />

procurement and <strong>in</strong>vestment strategies.<br />

Our Study looks at both <strong>the</strong> supply and <strong>the</strong> demand constra<strong>in</strong>ts for <strong>the</strong> medium term, distill<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> lessons from<br />

both <strong>in</strong>to a series of strategic conclusions and recommendations for operators along <strong>the</strong> supply cha<strong>in</strong>.<br />

The above have obliged us to carry out <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g sub-analyses:<br />

Draw<strong>in</strong>g up a complete overview of <strong>the</strong> bakery consumption markets <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> chosen countries,<br />

us<strong>in</strong>g a clear segmentation of this vast, under-documented and highly complex market:<br />

• By product: bread, viennoiserie, patisserie, savoury pastry snacks<br />

• By conservation method: fresh vs. prepacked<br />

• By distribution channel<br />

Analys<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> trends <strong>in</strong> all retail and cater<strong>in</strong>g markets for all categories of bakery products: ranges of<br />

products, fresh bakery counter vs. prepacked, quality segmentations, packag<strong>in</strong>g, brand<strong>in</strong>g & market<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Describ<strong>in</strong>g and expla<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> fresh bakery products production/supply strategies <strong>in</strong> each of <strong>the</strong> countries<br />

covered – for each distribution circuit<br />

Provid<strong>in</strong>g an exhaustive description and quantification of bake-<strong>off</strong> markets and supply:<br />

• Volume and market share of bake-<strong>off</strong> products <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> bakery market – by product and by technology<br />

• Customer outlets: criteria for choos<strong>in</strong>g a production method<br />

• Methods of procurement of bake-<strong>off</strong> products by circuits.<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> 2011<br />

12


Study objectives (2)<br />

[cont<strong>in</strong>ued]<br />

Identify<strong>in</strong>g and analys<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> bake-<strong>off</strong> producers <strong>in</strong> each country:<br />

• A review of <strong>the</strong> product ranges and technology policies of <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> bake-<strong>off</strong> bakery products manufacturers<br />

• A rank<strong>in</strong>g by producer and country<br />

A detailed analysis of trade <strong>in</strong> bake-<strong>off</strong> products<br />

Qualitative and quantitative forecasts through <strong>2014</strong>.<br />

2009 has been our basis for current data, but <strong>in</strong> view of <strong>the</strong> importance of <strong>the</strong> current economic crisis, we<br />

also give our estimates for 2010.<br />

A large part of our results and analyses has also come from draw<strong>in</strong>g up <strong>the</strong> extensive bake-<strong>off</strong> manufacturer<br />

profiles <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> each Country Report.<br />

These cover all <strong>the</strong> <strong>EU</strong>'s (and Switzerland's) major manufacturers and constitute a unique body of<br />

research <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>mselves<br />

They <strong>in</strong>clude all data currently available (and <strong>Gira</strong>'s own <strong>in</strong>formed estimates where data is lack<strong>in</strong>g)<br />

... toge<strong>the</strong>r with a SWOT <strong>in</strong> each profile, based on <strong>Gira</strong>'s assessment of <strong>the</strong> company <strong>in</strong> its markets<br />

and competitive environment.<br />

Hav<strong>in</strong>g reached our objective of describ<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> dynamics of <strong>the</strong> present situation and forecast<strong>in</strong>g through<br />

<strong>the</strong> next 5 years, we have completed <strong>the</strong> process with a series of recommendations for operators, both <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> Country Reports and, of a more general nature, <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Syn<strong>the</strong>sis volume.<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> 2011<br />

13


3. Scope and coverage<br />

S<strong>in</strong>ce its first research on European bake-<strong>off</strong> bakery markets <strong>in</strong> 2001, <strong>Gira</strong> has been us<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> same product<br />

categories <strong>in</strong> each country, <strong>in</strong> order to standardise product def<strong>in</strong>itions and thus allow <strong>in</strong>ternational comparison.<br />

And <strong>in</strong> each Country Report, extensive descriptions and photos are given of <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> products <strong>in</strong> each <strong>Gira</strong><br />

product category, "for <strong>the</strong> avoidance of doubt".<br />

<strong>Gira</strong>'s <strong>Bake</strong>ry Product Categories<br />

Bread<br />

• Standard (white) bread, special bread and soft bread<br />

• Large pieces (baguette, loaf) and small breads (rolls,<br />

sandwich bread…)<br />

Viennoiserie<br />

• Puff pastry: croissant, pa<strong>in</strong> chocolate, most Danish pastries<br />

• Risen dough: brioches, milk bread<br />

• Fried dough: doughnut, berl<strong>in</strong>er<br />

Patisserie (dessert cakes)<br />

• Cakes, sponge cakes, muff<strong>in</strong>s, madele<strong>in</strong>es<br />

• Tarts and pies (pastry bases filled with fruit, cream…)<br />

• Cream pastries (Genoese biscuits + cream)…<br />

"Savoury pastry snacks"<br />

For <strong>the</strong> first time ever, special coverage has be given to savoury<br />

bakery products, eaten as hot snacks.<br />

<strong>Bake</strong>ry Consumer Product Categories<br />

• Fresh products<br />

• Prepacked long-life products<br />

• Prepacked products for home-bak<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> 2011<br />

<strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> Technologies<br />

The different bake-<strong>off</strong> technologies are also<br />

clearly identified.<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Ready to prove<br />

• Raw bakery products<br />

Ready to bake<br />

• Part-baked/pre-proved bakery<br />

products<br />

• Prove-<strong>in</strong>-<strong>the</strong>-oven products<br />

Thaw & serve<br />

• Fully baked bakery products<br />

Where relevant, <strong>the</strong>re is also a segmentation by<br />

<strong>the</strong> conservation method of <strong>the</strong> bake-<strong>off</strong> bakery<br />

products concerned:<br />

• Frozen<br />

• Chilled<br />

• Ambient.<br />

14


Scope and coverage (2)<br />

Distribution<br />

Retail:<br />

• Modern Retailers: hyper- & supermarkets, hard<br />

discount<br />

• Traditional retailers: artisan bakers<br />

• <strong>Bake</strong>ry cha<strong>in</strong>s<br />

• O<strong>the</strong>r retail: small grocery stores, petrol stations and<br />

convenience stores<br />

Foodservice:<br />

• Commercial<br />

• Collective/<strong>in</strong>stitutional cater<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Countries<br />

The Study covers all aspects of bakery products and<br />

bake-<strong>off</strong> - production, trade, consumption etc. - <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

16 ma<strong>in</strong> <strong>EU</strong> markets:<br />

France, Germany, Italy, Poland, Spa<strong>in</strong>, <strong>the</strong> UK<br />

Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic, Denmark, F<strong>in</strong>land,<br />

Hungary, <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands, Portugal, Sweden - and<br />

Switzerland.<br />

The above 16 countries are <strong>the</strong> top producers of<br />

bake-<strong>off</strong> and represent more than 90% of total <strong>EU</strong><br />

production.<br />

<strong>Bake</strong>ry Manufacturers<br />

All operators are analysed; essentially <strong>the</strong> bake-<strong>off</strong><br />

manufacturers, but also, where relevant,<br />

compet<strong>in</strong>g fresh and prepacked bakery products<br />

producers.<br />

Particular attention has been paid to <strong>the</strong> largest<br />

and <strong>the</strong> most dynamic companies, s<strong>in</strong>ce it is <strong>the</strong>y<br />

that are creat<strong>in</strong>g tomorrow's <strong>in</strong>dustry by driv<strong>in</strong>g<br />

consolidation and exports.<br />

Almost 70 bake-<strong>off</strong> producers have been profiled<br />

All available <strong>in</strong>formation is given and analysed (<strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> form of a SWOT) for each company.<br />

And for <strong>the</strong> first time ever, a League Table of <strong>the</strong><br />

Top 50 <strong>EU</strong> bake-<strong>off</strong> manufacturers (by bake-<strong>off</strong><br />

turnover) has been specially prepared for our<br />

Study.<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> 2011<br />

15


4. Methodology<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> has been research<strong>in</strong>g and analys<strong>in</strong>g European bakery markets for over 30 years.<br />

We have Europe's largest databank of reports, statistics and, above all, top management contacts for all of <strong>the</strong><br />

countries covered here.<br />

Work on <strong>the</strong> study was carried out between January and October 2010. It has <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>the</strong> <strong>Gira</strong> three<br />

"classic" research methodologies - each one supplement<strong>in</strong>g and controll<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>rs:<br />

1. Extensive documentary research:<br />

Our <strong>in</strong>-house bakery and bake-<strong>off</strong> products, retail, cater<strong>in</strong>g and <strong>in</strong>dustry databanks<br />

The trade press, exist<strong>in</strong>g studies, <strong>in</strong>ternet resources, company websites etc.<br />

National production and foreign trade statistics - contacts with adm<strong>in</strong>istrations and producer associations.<br />

2. About 350 <strong>in</strong>-depth <strong>in</strong>terviews with decision-makers <strong>in</strong>:<br />

Industrial bakers<br />

Their flour and <strong>in</strong>gredient suppliers<br />

Wholesale distributors and importers<br />

Hypermarkets and supermarkets<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r important retail operators (bakery cha<strong>in</strong>s, hard-discount, c-stores)<br />

Major cater<strong>in</strong>g operators<br />

Professional organisations and syndicates<br />

Packag<strong>in</strong>g system and equipment suppliers.<br />

<strong>Gira</strong>'s reputation <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> sector allows us unrivalled access to those very managers who are actively mak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> future.<br />

3. Extensive <strong>in</strong>dicative store-checks<br />

An <strong>in</strong>-store reality-check.<br />

Verify<strong>in</strong>g product ranges, price position<strong>in</strong>g, packag<strong>in</strong>g and merchandis<strong>in</strong>g developments, and not<strong>in</strong>g new and <strong>in</strong>novative<br />

products.<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> 2011<br />

16


5. Structure & contents of <strong>the</strong> Reports<br />

The Study is made up of <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g reports (for a total of over 2, 000 pages):<br />

1. Syn<strong>the</strong>sis volume: around 200 pages <strong>in</strong><br />

Powerpo<strong>in</strong>t<br />

This br<strong>in</strong>gs toge<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs from <strong>the</strong><br />

country reports and profiles, analys<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> pan-<br />

European developments and outlook, assess<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>the</strong> stage of market development <strong>in</strong> different<br />

countries and provid<strong>in</strong>g forecasts for all <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong><br />

issues.<br />

It draws conclusions on all aspects of <strong>the</strong> w<strong>in</strong>ners<br />

and losers <strong>in</strong> bake-<strong>off</strong> production and distribution.<br />

It specifically targets opportunities and <strong>in</strong>cludes<br />

strategic and far-reach<strong>in</strong>g analysis and<br />

benchmark<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

It covers:<br />

<strong>Bake</strong>ry products consumption & distribution dynamics<br />

Total and fresh bakery products production methods,<br />

by product and by circuit<br />

The market and prospects for bake-<strong>off</strong> bakery<br />

products<br />

<strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> bakery products production and trade<br />

overview<br />

European bake-<strong>off</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry structure and competitive<br />

environment<br />

Market threats and opportunities<br />

W<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g strategies<br />

A League Table of <strong>the</strong> top 50 bake-<strong>off</strong> producers.<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> 2011<br />

2. Country Reports : 100 to 200 pages each, <strong>in</strong><br />

Word<br />

These are provided for each of <strong>the</strong> 16 bake-<strong>off</strong><br />

markets covered. They are comprehensive<br />

analyses, and are structured as follows:<br />

National Executive Summary: key f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs and<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustry characteristics. Market dynamics. Change -<br />

drivers and brakes. Forecasts and recommendations<br />

<strong>Bake</strong>ry products consumption dynamics:<br />

• Consumer markets and trends<br />

• Distribution structure and detailed analysis of <strong>the</strong><br />

current <strong>off</strong>er<br />

Fresh bakery products production strategies:<br />

• Fresh bakery products supply by sector (scratch<br />

bak<strong>in</strong>g, bake-<strong>off</strong>, resell<strong>in</strong>g)<br />

• Criteria for choos<strong>in</strong>g a production method and a<br />

bake-<strong>off</strong> technology<br />

• Methods of procurement of bake-<strong>off</strong> products<br />

The market for bake-<strong>off</strong> bakery products:<br />

• Overview of demand<br />

• National bake-<strong>off</strong> production and trade<br />

• <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry structure and characteristics,<br />

degree of concentration, ownership, key players<br />

(with profiles) etc.<br />

• Procurement methods, wholesalers/importers.<br />

17


<strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> companies' profiles<br />

Profiles<br />

Each country Report also presents<br />

developed Profiles of all <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong><br />

bake-<strong>off</strong> manufacturers.<br />

In all <strong>the</strong>re are 68 Profiles (<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>the</strong> subsidiaries of major groups),<br />

cover<strong>in</strong>g all <strong>the</strong> top <strong>EU</strong> (and Swiss)<br />

producers, whatever <strong>the</strong>ir country of<br />

orig<strong>in</strong>.<br />

The Profiles provide <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>in</strong>formation:<br />

Company background: historical<br />

comments, ownership, company figures<br />

<strong>Bake</strong>ry activities and manufactur<strong>in</strong>g<br />

facilities<br />

<strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> activity and position<strong>in</strong>g:<br />

product ranges, technologies used<br />

Distribution channels<br />

Ma<strong>in</strong> elements of strategy<br />

Ma<strong>in</strong> events of recent years<br />

Future trends<br />

A SWOT analysis.<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> 2011<br />

Company Group Country Company Group Country<br />

Agritech IT Hiestand Polska Aryzta PL<br />

Ankerbrot AG AT Inter Europol PL<br />

Anton Haubenberger AT Jowa Migros CH<br />

<strong>Bake</strong> Five NL Kern & Sammet CH<br />

Bakkersland NL Klemme DE<br />

BCS BCS Group FR Kuchen Peter AT<br />

Bellsola ES La Lorra<strong>in</strong>e LLBG BE<br />

Berlys ES La Lorra<strong>in</strong>e CZ LLBG CZ<br />

B<strong>in</strong>di S.I.P.A. IT Lanterna Alimentari IT<br />

Bridor Le Duff FR Lieken Group DE<br />

Coppenrath & Wiese DE Mart<strong>in</strong>e Spécialités FR<br />

Country Style Foods UK Neuhauser Neuhauser FR<br />

CSM Iberia CSM ES Nordic <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> Vaasan Group SE<br />

CSM Iberica CSM PT Nowakowski LLBG PL<br />

Délice de France Aryzta UK Pan&Co Die Backstube Prod. AT<br />

Délifrance Nutrixo FR Panamar Panstar Group ES<br />

Délifrance Nutrixo IT Panavi Vandemoortele FR<br />

Délifrance Nutrixo BE Panicongelados PT<br />

Délifrance Nutrixo UK Panike PT<br />

Delifrance Plska Nutrixo PL Panpor Neuhauser PT<br />

Délitrade CH Richetti IT<br />

Edna International DE R<strong>in</strong>a Europe Eurobakers CZ<br />

Europastry Europastry ES Romer's CH<br />

Europastry Pt Europastry PT S<strong>in</strong>nack DE<br />

Fazer FI Speedibake ABF UK<br />

Fletchers <strong>Bake</strong>ries UK Strock-Brot AT<br />

Fornetti HU Unibake Lantmannen SE<br />

Forno d'Asolo IT Unibake Lantmannen DK<br />

Fredy's CH Unibake Benelux Lantmannen BE<br />

Granmilano Sammontana IT Unibake Poland Lantmannen PL<br />

Gunnar Dafgard SE Unibake SE Lantmannen SE<br />

Harry Brot DE Vaasan Oy Vaasan Group FI<br />

Hiestand Aryzta CH Vamix Cz Vandemoortele CZ<br />

Hiestand & Suhr Aryzta DE Vandemoortele Vandemoortele BE<br />

18


6. Subscription<br />

The full Study is available <strong>in</strong> English <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> form of 17 separate reports (1 Syn<strong>the</strong>sis + 16 Country<br />

Reports).<br />

Subscribers receive one hard copy of <strong>the</strong> reports purchased and a CDRom <strong>in</strong> searchable and pr<strong>in</strong>table<br />

PDF format.<br />

Purchasers of at least <strong>the</strong> Syn<strong>the</strong>sis volume and one o<strong>the</strong>r Country Report are entitled to a half-day<br />

presentation of results and recommendations tailored to <strong>the</strong>ir particular requirements at no o<strong>the</strong>r cost<br />

than <strong>the</strong> travel expenses of <strong>the</strong> presenter to <strong>the</strong> subscriber's <strong>off</strong>ice (provid<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> presentation takes place<br />

<strong>in</strong> Western or Central Europe).<br />

The subscription price for <strong>the</strong> complete Study is <strong>EU</strong>R 25,000 (before any tax). The price <strong>in</strong>cludes:<br />

• The Syn<strong>the</strong>sis volume, <strong>the</strong> 16 Country Reports<br />

• A half-day, tailored presentation of results.<br />

The follow<strong>in</strong>g purchase options are also available:<br />

− S<strong>in</strong>gle Country Report subscription: <strong>EU</strong>R 7,500<br />

− Syn<strong>the</strong>sis volume + one Country Report <strong>EU</strong>R 19,500<br />

− The Syn<strong>the</strong>sis volume is available separately at <strong>EU</strong>R 14,500<br />

In this latter case, <strong>the</strong> half-day presentation is available at an additional cost of <strong>EU</strong>R 2,000 (plus travel).<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r comb<strong>in</strong>ations of reports can be priced on request.<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> 2011<br />

19


7. <strong>Gira</strong>'s clients <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> bakery sector<br />

AB-Mauri IRE Daunat FR Meca<strong>the</strong>rm FR<br />

AIBI Delices du Palais FR Mitsui & co Benelux BE<br />

AIT FR Délifrance FR Monoprix FR<br />

Ancel FR Duke Street Capital FR Nederlands Bakkerij Centrum NL<br />

Aoste FR Dupont de Nemours CH Nestlé France FR<br />

Aryzta CH EDF FR Nudespa ES<br />

Asemac ES Europa<strong>in</strong> FR Nutrixo FR<br />

At-Kearney FR Europastry ES Oetker DE<br />

Atlas Advisors UK European Flour Mill<strong>in</strong>g Association Panotel FR<br />

Axa Asset Management FR European Union Pan-Star ES<br />

<strong>Bake</strong>mark Ingrédients France FR Fazer AB FI Pasquier FR<br />

BCS Group FR Fortis Private Equity BE Pastisart ES<br />

Bellsola ES Friesland Camp<strong>in</strong>a NL Patisfrance Puratos FR<br />

Berly's ES GB-Ingrédients FR Phil Savours FR<br />

Bimbo Sara Lee Group ES GB-Plange FR Pomona FR<br />

Bongra<strong>in</strong> FR Générale des Far<strong>in</strong>es FR Puratos BE<br />

Bridor FR Grands Moul<strong>in</strong>s de Paris FR Qualium FR<br />

Carrefour FR Holder FR Rabobank NL<br />

Ceres HU HU Intermarché FR RHM UK<br />

Chequers Capital FR Ipasa ES Rich Products Corp. USA<br />

CIBC USA JBT Food Tech SE Sasa Industries FR<br />

CLFS FR Kerry Ravifruits FR Smilde <strong>Bake</strong>ry NL<br />

CMA DE Kraft Foods FR Sofrapa<strong>in</strong> FR<br />

CNIEL FR Lantmännen Unibake DK Système U FR<br />

Confédération de la Boulangerie FR Leclerc Galec FR Transgourmet FR<br />

Copal<strong>in</strong>e FR Lesaffre FR Unif<strong>in</strong>e Food and <strong>Bake</strong> DE<br />

Corman BE Limagra<strong>in</strong>s FR Unigra<strong>in</strong>s FR<br />

Coup de Pâtes FR Lion Capital UK Uniq UK<br />

Credit Suisse UK LLI Euromills AT Vandemoortele BE<br />

CSM <strong>Bake</strong>ry Supplies NL Mapple Leaf Foods CA We<strong>in</strong>berg Capital FR<br />

Danisco FR Mart<strong>in</strong>e Spécialités FR Yamazaki Bak<strong>in</strong>g JP<br />

Danone FR Mc Key Holdco FR ZMP DE<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> 2011<br />

20


Annexe 1: <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> Syn<strong>the</strong>sis Contents<br />

Glossary 5<br />

Coverage and methodology 6<br />

Def<strong>in</strong>ition of products 7<br />

1. Executive summary and recommendations<br />

to <strong>EU</strong> players 13<br />

1.1 <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> bakery products market opportunities 15<br />

1.2 <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> bakery products outlets opportunities 21<br />

1.3 <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> bakery products production and trade overview 22<br />

1.4 Industry structure 28<br />

1.5 Conclusions & recommendations 30<br />

2. <strong>Bake</strong>ry products markets and dynamics 40<br />

2.1 <strong>Bake</strong>ry products consumption overview 41<br />

2.2 Fresh bakery products consumption dynamics 54<br />

2.3 Fresh bakery products distribution circuits 70<br />

2.4 Trends <strong>in</strong> retail sector 78<br />

2.5 Trends <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> cater<strong>in</strong>g sector 87<br />

3. <strong>Bake</strong>ry products production methods 95<br />

3.1 Operators <strong>in</strong> total bakery production 96<br />

3.2 Operators <strong>in</strong> fresh bakery production 99<br />

3.3 Fresh bakery products production methods 105<br />

4. The market for bake-<strong>off</strong> bakery products 111<br />

4.1 The market for bake-<strong>off</strong> bread 113<br />

4.2 The market for bake-<strong>off</strong> viennoiserie 123<br />

4.3 The market for bake-<strong>off</strong> patisserie 133<br />

4.4 The market for bake-<strong>off</strong> savoury pastry 142<br />

4.5 The market for pastry bases 147<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> 2011<br />

5. Fresh bakery products production methods and demand<br />

for bake-<strong>off</strong> by sector 151<br />

5.1 Overall fresh bakery products production methods by sector 152<br />

5.2 Artisan bakers’ production methods and bake-<strong>off</strong> demand 153<br />

5.3 Modern retailers’ production methods and bake-<strong>off</strong> demand 158<br />

5.4 <strong>Bake</strong>ry cha<strong>in</strong>s’ production methods and bake-<strong>off</strong> demand 169<br />

5.5 O<strong>the</strong>r retail sectors’ production methods and bake-<strong>off</strong> demand 173<br />

5.6 Cater<strong>in</strong>g sectors’ production methods and bake-<strong>off</strong> demand 176<br />

5.7 Overall bake-<strong>off</strong> demand by sector 183<br />

5.8 Methods of procurement of bake-<strong>off</strong> bakery products 186<br />

6. <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> bakery products production and trade overview 189<br />

6.1 <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> bread production and trade 191<br />

6.2 <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> viennoiserie production and trade 198<br />

6.3 <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> patisserie production and trade 206<br />

6.4 <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> savoury pastry production and trade 212<br />

6.5 <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> pastry bases production and trade 217<br />

7. European bake-<strong>off</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry structure and competitive<br />

environment 219<br />

7.1 <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry structure 220<br />

7.2 <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> companies League table 230<br />

7.3 Strategy options of bake-<strong>off</strong> companies 236<br />

21


Annexe 2: <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> Country Report Contents (1)<br />

e.g. Austria<br />

Summary 1<br />

I. Overall context 1<br />

I.1 <strong>Bake</strong>ry products consumption overview and dynamics 1<br />

I.2 Trends <strong>in</strong> fresh bakery products distribution 2<br />

I.3 Share of bake-<strong>off</strong> <strong>in</strong> fresh bakery products consumption 4<br />

I.31 Fresh bread 4<br />

I.32 Fresh viennoiserie 6<br />

I.33 Fresh patisserie 6<br />

I.34 Fresh savoury pastry 7<br />

II. Prospects for bake-<strong>off</strong> bakery products 9<br />

II.1 The market for bake-<strong>off</strong> bakery products 9<br />

II.2 <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> bakery products demand by type of outlet 10<br />

II.21 Artisan bakers 10<br />

II.22 Modern retailers 10<br />

II.23 <strong>Bake</strong>ry cha<strong>in</strong>s 11<br />

II.24 Cater<strong>in</strong>g sectors 11<br />

II.3 <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> bakery products production 11<br />

II.31 National production 11<br />

II.32 Self-sufficiency 13<br />

II.33 Structural aspects 13<br />

III.W<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g strategies 14<br />

III.1 Drivers and brakes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> bake-<strong>off</strong> markets 14<br />

III.2 Products and channels opportunities 14<br />

III.3 Opportunities for importers 14<br />

III.4 Opportunities for bake-<strong>off</strong> producers 15<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> 2011<br />

1. <strong>Bake</strong>ry market structure 1<br />

1.1 <strong>Bake</strong>ry products consumption patterns 1<br />

1.11 Demographics and economy 1<br />

1.12 Overall bakery products consumption 3<br />

1.121 Food consumption habits 3<br />

1.122 <strong>Bake</strong>ry products consumption 3<br />

1.13 Bread 6<br />

1.131 Consumer markets 6<br />

1.132 Bread consumption habits 11<br />

1.133 Trends <strong>in</strong> consumption towards <strong>2014</strong> 11<br />

1.14 Viennoiserie 12<br />

1.141 Consumer markets 12<br />

1.142 Viennoiserie consumption habits 13<br />

1.143 Trends <strong>in</strong> consumption towards <strong>2014</strong> 13<br />

1.15 Patisserie 14<br />

1.151 Consumer markets 14<br />

1.152 Patisserie consumption habits 15<br />

1.153 Trends <strong>in</strong> consumption towards <strong>2014</strong> 15<br />

1.16 Savoury pastry 16<br />

1.161 Consumer markets 16<br />

1.162 Savoury pastry consumption habits 16<br />

1.163 Trends <strong>in</strong> consumption towards <strong>2014</strong> 18<br />

1.2 Fresh bakery products distribution channels 19<br />

1.21 Breakdown of fresh bakery products distribution 19<br />

1.211 Fresh bread distribution channels 19<br />

1.212 Fresh viennoiserie distribution channels 21<br />

1.213 Fresh patisserie distribution channels 23<br />

1.214 Fresh savoury pastry distribution channels 24<br />

1.22 Retail distribution overview 25<br />

1.221 Artisan bakers 25<br />

1.222 Modern retail<strong>in</strong>g 28<br />

1.223 <strong>Bake</strong>ry cha<strong>in</strong>s 35<br />

1.224 O<strong>the</strong>r retail sectors 37<br />

1.23 Cater<strong>in</strong>g overview 39<br />

22


Annexe 2: <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> (Austria) Report Contents (2)<br />

2. Fresh bakery products production strategies 43<br />

2.1 Artisan bakers 43<br />

2.11 <strong>Bake</strong>ry products production methods 43<br />

2.12 Ma<strong>in</strong> criteria govern<strong>in</strong>g production methods 44<br />

2.2 Modern retailers 46<br />

2.21 <strong>Bake</strong>ry products production methods 46<br />

2.211 Fresh bread production methods 47<br />

2.212 Fresh viennoiserie production methods 48<br />

2.213 Fresh patisserie production methods 48<br />

2.214 Fresh savoury pastry production methods 49<br />

2.22 Ma<strong>in</strong> criteria govern<strong>in</strong>g production methods 49<br />

2.23 Profiles of significant retailers 51<br />

2.231 Rewe Austria 51<br />

2.232 Spar 54<br />

2.3 <strong>Bake</strong>ry cha<strong>in</strong>s 58<br />

2.31 <strong>Bake</strong>ry products production methods 58<br />

2.311 Fresh bread production methods 58<br />

2.312 Fresh viennoiserie production methods 59<br />

2.313 Fresh patisserie production methods 59<br />

2.314 Fresh savoury pastry production methods 59<br />

2.32 Ma<strong>in</strong> criteria govern<strong>in</strong>g production methods 60<br />

2.33 Profiles of significant bakery cha<strong>in</strong>s 60<br />

2.4 O<strong>the</strong>r retail sectors 61<br />

2.5 Cater<strong>in</strong>g sectors 62<br />

2.51 <strong>Bake</strong>ry products production methods 62<br />

2.511 Fresh bread production methods 63<br />

2.512 Fresh viennoiserie production methods 64<br />

2.513 Fresh patisserie production methods 65<br />

2.514 Fresh savoury pastry production methods 65<br />

2.52 Ma<strong>in</strong> criteria govern<strong>in</strong>g production methods 67<br />

2.6 Summary of fresh bakery products supply structure 68<br />

2.61 Fresh bread 68<br />

2.611 Fresh bread supply structure 68<br />

2.612 Share of bake-<strong>off</strong> <strong>in</strong> fresh bread consumption 69<br />

2.62 Fresh viennoiserie 70<br />

2.621 Fresh viennoiserie supply structure 70<br />

2.622 Share of bake-<strong>off</strong> <strong>in</strong> fresh viennoiserie consumption 71<br />

2.63 Fresh patisserie 71<br />

2.631 Fresh patisserie supply structure 71<br />

2.632 Share of bake-<strong>off</strong> <strong>in</strong> fresh patisserie consumption 72<br />

2.64 Fresh savoury pastry 73<br />

2.641 Fresh savoury pastry supply structure 73<br />

2.642 Share of bake-<strong>off</strong> <strong>in</strong> fresh savoury pastry consumption 74<br />

3. The market for bake-<strong>off</strong> bakery products 75<br />

3.1 Overview of <strong>the</strong> bake-<strong>off</strong> bread market 75<br />

3.11 The demand for bake-<strong>off</strong> bread 75<br />

3.12 Ma<strong>in</strong> outlets for bake-<strong>off</strong> bread 78<br />

3.2 Overview of <strong>the</strong> bake-<strong>off</strong> viennoiserie market 80<br />

3.21 The demand for bake-<strong>off</strong> viennoiserie 80<br />

3.22 Ma<strong>in</strong> outlets for bake-<strong>off</strong> viennoiserie 82<br />

3.3 Overview of <strong>the</strong> bake-<strong>off</strong> patisserie market 83<br />

3.31 The demand for bake-<strong>off</strong> patisserie 83<br />

3.32 Ma<strong>in</strong> outlets for bake-<strong>off</strong> patisserie 84<br />

3.4 Overview of <strong>the</strong> bake-<strong>off</strong> savoury pastry market 85<br />

3.41 The demand for bake-<strong>off</strong> savoury pastry 85<br />

3.42 Ma<strong>in</strong> outlets for bake-<strong>off</strong> savoury pastry 86<br />

3.5 Pastry bases 86<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> 2011<br />

23


Annexe 2: <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> (Austria) Report Contents (3)<br />

4. National bake-<strong>off</strong> bakery products production 87<br />

4.1 Overview of bake-<strong>off</strong> bakery products supply 87<br />

4.11 <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> bread supply 87<br />

4.111 <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> bread balance 87<br />

4.112 Trends <strong>in</strong> bake-<strong>off</strong> bread production 88<br />

4.12 <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> viennoiserie supply 88<br />

4.121 <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> viennoiserie balance 88<br />

4.122 Trends <strong>in</strong> bake-<strong>off</strong> viennoiserie production 89<br />

4.13 <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> patisserie supply 89<br />

4.131 <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> patisserie balance 89<br />

4.132 Trends <strong>in</strong> bake-<strong>off</strong> patisserie production 90<br />

4.14 <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> savoury pastry supply 90<br />

4.141 <strong>Bake</strong>-<strong>off</strong> savoury pastry balance 90<br />

4.142 Trends <strong>in</strong> bake-<strong>off</strong> savoury pastry production 90<br />

4.15 Pastry bases supply 90<br />

4.2 Structure of national bake-<strong>off</strong> bakery products production 91<br />

4.21 Overall structure of bakery <strong>in</strong>dustry 91<br />

4.211 Industrial bakery products production 91<br />

4.212 Industry background 92<br />

4.22 Ma<strong>in</strong> national operators <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> bake-<strong>off</strong> sector 93<br />

4.221 Structure and ma<strong>in</strong> operators 93<br />

4.222 Strategy options 94<br />

4.23 Short profiles of ma<strong>in</strong> suppliers 95<br />

4.231 Ankerbrot AG 95<br />

4.232 Anton Haubenberger GesmbH 99<br />

4.233 Ströck-Brot GmbH 102<br />

4.234 Kuchen Peter Konditoreien GesmbH 105<br />

4.235 Pan&Co – Die Backstube Produktions-Und Vertriebs GmbH 105<br />

4.3 Methods of procurement of frozen bakery products 110<br />

4.31 Methods of procurement 110<br />

4.32 Wholesalers/Distributors 111<br />

4.33 The <strong>in</strong>dustry commercial delegations = importers 113<br />

<strong>Gira</strong> 2011<br />

24

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