Housing - dnssab
Housing - dnssab
Housing - dnssab
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7 th Annual Mental Health and<br />
Addiction Day for Service<br />
Providers<br />
DNSSAB Community Services<br />
Review, Based on the Ontario<br />
Disability Support Program<br />
(ODSP) Client Population.<br />
Presented by D. Plumstead, MBA;<br />
DNSSAB Researcher<br />
April 15, 2008
This Presentation:<br />
• About Nipissing District & DNSSAB<br />
• Best & Promising Practices in<br />
Human Services Delivery: ODSP<br />
Community Services Review<br />
• Outcome of Review<br />
• Present Status<br />
• Policy and Service Delivery<br />
Implications
Nipissing District and Ontario
Nipissing District<br />
Temagami<br />
Bear Island 1<br />
Témiscamingue<br />
Nipissing, Unorganized, North Part<br />
West Nipissing / Nipissing Ouest<br />
North Bay<br />
Nipissing 10<br />
Nipissing<br />
Bonfield<br />
East Ferris<br />
Mattawan Mattawa<br />
Calvin<br />
Papineau-Cameron<br />
Chisholm<br />
Nipissing, Unorganized, South Part<br />
Parry Sound<br />
South Algonquin<br />
Muskoka<br />
Haliburton
About Nipissing District<br />
Temagami<br />
Bear Island 1<br />
West Nipissing / Nipissing Ouest<br />
Nipissing 10<br />
Parry Sound<br />
Nipissing, Unorganized, North Part<br />
North Bay<br />
Nipissing<br />
Bonfield<br />
East Ferris<br />
Chisholm<br />
Muskoka<br />
Mattawan Mattawa<br />
Calvin<br />
‣ Established in 1858: the oldest<br />
of the 10 Districts in Northern<br />
Ontario.<br />
Témiscamingue<br />
Comprised of 11<br />
Municipalities, 2 Unincorporated<br />
Territories (North & South), and<br />
2 First Nations.<br />
‣ Part of the economic region of<br />
Northeastern Ontario Area:<br />
17,000 sq. km.<br />
‣ Papineau-Cameron<br />
Population (2006) ~ 86,000, or<br />
15% of Northeastern Ontario.<br />
Density ~ 5 people /sq. km.<br />
‣ Cultural Diversity:<br />
Nipissing, Unorganized, South Part<br />
approximately 25% of the<br />
District’s population is<br />
Francophone.<br />
Haliburton<br />
South Algonquin<br />
8.5% of the population is<br />
Aboriginal and 5% are<br />
Immigrants.
About DNSSAB<br />
Temagami<br />
Bear Island 1<br />
West Nipissing / Nipissing Ouest<br />
Nipissing 10<br />
Nipissing, Unorganized, North Part<br />
North Bay<br />
Nipissing<br />
Bonfield<br />
East Ferris<br />
Chisholm<br />
Mattawan Mattawa<br />
Calvin<br />
Témiscamingue<br />
Papineau-Cameron<br />
STRUCTURE<br />
Board established<br />
Feb.1, 1999: A<br />
merger of the District<br />
Welfare<br />
Administration Board<br />
(DWAB) and City<br />
Social Services<br />
Comprised of 12<br />
elected Municipal<br />
Counselors<br />
Parry Sound<br />
Nipissing, Unorganized, South Part<br />
Represents eleven<br />
(11) Municipalities<br />
and two (2)<br />
South Algonquin<br />
Unincorporated<br />
Territories<br />
Muskoka<br />
Haliburton
About DNSSAB<br />
SERVICES<br />
Temagami<br />
Bear Island 1<br />
Témiscamingue<br />
Ontario Works<br />
(OW)<br />
West Nipissing / Nipissing Ouest<br />
Nipissing 10<br />
Nipissing, Unorganized, North Part<br />
North Bay<br />
Nipissing<br />
Bonfield<br />
East Ferris<br />
Chisholm<br />
Mattawan Mattawa<br />
Calvin<br />
Papineau-Cameron<br />
Ontario Disability<br />
Support Program<br />
(ODSP)<br />
Children’s Services<br />
Social <strong>Housing</strong><br />
Homelessness<br />
Parry Sound<br />
Nipissing, Unorganized, South Part<br />
Emergency Medical<br />
Services (EMS)<br />
South Algonquin<br />
Muskoka<br />
Haliburton
ODSP Community Services Review and<br />
Best Practices – making the Connection<br />
The ODSP Community Services Review:<br />
• Is community- based research (base camp) -analyzed needs<br />
and gaps at the community level<br />
• Is evidence-based (quantitatively & qualitatively)<br />
• Employed a methodology that led to a desired result<br />
• Lends itself to continuous learning and improvement<br />
• Facilitates learning and knowledge transfer while building<br />
relationships along the way<br />
• Provides a benchmark for moving forward
ODSP Community Services<br />
Review, 2006: what & why?<br />
What<br />
• A study to review the needs of the ODSP clients<br />
for community services and the capacity of the<br />
community to deliver services, based upon these<br />
needs.
ODSP Community Services<br />
Review, 2006: what & why?<br />
What<br />
• A study to review the needs of the ODSP clients<br />
for community services and the capacity of the<br />
community to deliver services, based upon these<br />
needs.<br />
Why?<br />
• Because the DNSSAB Board and Management Team<br />
identified a relatively large ODSP caseload in Nipissing<br />
District (approx. 3500 people in a population of 85,000)-<br />
they wondered about the impact on community services and<br />
if there were needs and gaps.
ODSP Community Services<br />
Review, 2006: what & why?<br />
What<br />
• A study to review the needs of the ODSP clients<br />
for community services and the capacity of the<br />
community to deliver services, based upon these<br />
needs.<br />
Why?<br />
• Because the DNSSAB Board and Management Team<br />
identified a relatively large ODSP caseload in Nipissing<br />
District (approx. 3500 people in a population of 85,000)-<br />
they wondered about the impact on community services and<br />
if there were needs and gaps.<br />
• In response to the above, an initial study was undertaken<br />
(MCSS /MCYS 2005) and it confirmed the following - the<br />
highest provincial ODSP caseload per capita, a relatively<br />
high number of dependent children and a high rate of<br />
mental illness:
Nipissing District ODSP<br />
Caseload, 2005<br />
Caseload: 2.5X, Dependent Children: 3X, average<br />
ODSP Caseload: Nipissing District & Ontario, 2005<br />
Population: adults (18 yrs. >) and<br />
children (< 17 yrs.)<br />
6%<br />
5%<br />
4%<br />
3%<br />
2%<br />
1%<br />
0%<br />
Caseload Dependent<br />
Children<br />
Caseload<br />
Dependent<br />
Children<br />
Nipissing District Ontario<br />
Adults (18>) 5.5% 2.4%<br />
Children (
Nipissing District ODSP<br />
Caseload, 2005<br />
Caseload: 2.5X, Dependent Children: 3X, average Younger caseload than average (ages 25-54)<br />
ODSP Caseload: Nipissing District & Ontario, 2005<br />
ODSP Caseload by Age Group :<br />
Nipissing District and Ontario, 2005<br />
Population: adults (18 yrs. >) and<br />
children (< 17 yrs.)<br />
6%<br />
5%<br />
4%<br />
3%<br />
2%<br />
1%<br />
Caseload Dependent<br />
Children<br />
Caseload<br />
Dependent<br />
Children<br />
Caseload (%)<br />
35%<br />
30%<br />
25%<br />
20%<br />
15%<br />
10%<br />
5%<br />
0%<br />
Nipissing District Ontario<br />
Adults (18>) 5.5% 2.4%<br />
Children (
Nipissing District ODSP<br />
Caseload, 2005<br />
Caseload: 2.5X, Dependent Children: 3X, average Younger caseload than average (ages 25-54)<br />
ODSP Caseload: Nipissing District & Ontario, 2005<br />
ODSP Caseload by Age Group :<br />
Nipissing District and Ontario, 2005<br />
Population: adults (18 yrs. >) and<br />
children (< 17 yrs.)<br />
6%<br />
5%<br />
4%<br />
3%<br />
2%<br />
1%<br />
Caseload Dependent<br />
Children<br />
Caseload<br />
Dependent<br />
Children<br />
Caseload (%)<br />
35%<br />
30%<br />
25%<br />
20%<br />
15%<br />
10%<br />
5%<br />
0%<br />
Nipissing District Ontario<br />
Adults (18>) 5.5% 2.4%<br />
Children (
Scope of Review<br />
Scope<br />
• Identified nine (9) key service areas for review:<br />
- Financial Supports<br />
- <strong>Housing</strong><br />
- Food Security<br />
- Transportation<br />
- Child & Family Supports<br />
- Special & Discretionary Benefits<br />
- Counseling<br />
- Assessment & Referral<br />
- Legal /Advocacy
Scope of Review<br />
Scope<br />
• Identified nine (9) key service areas for review:<br />
- Financial Supports<br />
- <strong>Housing</strong><br />
- Food Security<br />
- Transportation<br />
- Child & Family Supports<br />
- Special & Discretionary Benefits<br />
- Counseling<br />
- Assessment & Referral<br />
- Legal /Advocacy<br />
Not included in scope<br />
- Health Services delivered under the Health Act<br />
- Public Health Services<br />
- Education and Employment Supports /Assistance
How was Review Conducted?<br />
How?<br />
• Through a project structure: Steering Committee,<br />
Reference Committee and Terms of Reference.<br />
• Qualitative & quantitative analysis through stakeholder<br />
engagement - primarily ODSP clients and community service<br />
organizations.<br />
• Surveys, Focus Groups, Community Consultations, Meetings<br />
and Interviews.<br />
• Further quantitative analysis of data from the MCSS Stats.<br />
& Analysis Unit: beneficiaries, family structure, dependents<br />
and trends.<br />
• Additional disability-related reports referenced.
Challenges Encountered<br />
Challenges:<br />
No roadmap or similar studies to follow -first kind<br />
of study at District level.<br />
MCSS was unable to sit on the Steering and Reference<br />
Committees. MCSS Staff did however, provide<br />
input & feedback on all report drafts.<br />
Disability by its nature is set within a complex<br />
environment – research & analysis becomes difficult.
Challenges Encountered<br />
Challenges:<br />
No roadmap or similar studies to follow -first kind<br />
of study at District level.<br />
MCSS was unable to sit on the Steering and Reference<br />
Committees. MCSS Staff did however, provide<br />
input & feedback on all report drafts.<br />
Disability by its nature is set within a complex<br />
environment – research & analysis becomes difficult.<br />
North Bay’s service system is equally complex due to a<br />
multitude of organizations offering numerous services.
Challenges Encountered<br />
Challenges:<br />
No roadmap or similar studies to follow -first kind<br />
of study at District level.<br />
MCSS was unable to sit on the Steering and Reference<br />
Committees. MCSS Staff did however, provide<br />
input & feedback on all report drafts.<br />
Disability by its nature is set within a complex<br />
environment – research & analysis becomes difficult.<br />
North Bay’s service system is equally complex due to a<br />
multitude of organizations offering numerous services.<br />
Difficult to obtain quantitative data from community<br />
service organizations.
Challenges Encountered<br />
Challenges:<br />
No roadmap or similar studies to follow -first kind<br />
of study at District level.<br />
MCSS was unable to sit on the Steering and Reference<br />
Committees. MCSS Staff did however, provide<br />
input & feedback on all report drafts.<br />
Disability by its nature is set within a complex<br />
environment – research & analysis becomes difficult.<br />
North Bay’s service system is equally complex due to a<br />
multitude of organizations offering numerous services.<br />
Difficult to obtain quantitative data from community<br />
service organizations.<br />
Difficult to differentiate between “community” and “publicly<br />
delivered” services, especially where mental illness is<br />
concerned.
Outcomes: Key Findings<br />
Approximately 45 key findings across the nine<br />
(9) service areas – these findings can be<br />
summarized into the following themes:<br />
‣ Financial Hardship<br />
‣ Unmet Needs (housing, food, benefits, counseling)<br />
‣ Transportation difficulties (for clients & service<br />
organizations)<br />
‣ Children at Risk<br />
‣ The need for Services Integration /Gateway to Services<br />
‣ Better Communications (between key ODSP Stakeholders,<br />
i.e., clients, MCSS and service organizations).
Outcomes: Recommendations<br />
25 recommendations for Improving Services<br />
- Some require changes to policy & legislation<br />
While others can be acted upon locally.<br />
- Approximately half of these are directed towards<br />
MCSS – it is hard to disentangle the delivery of<br />
‘community services’ from the administration of the<br />
ODSP program.<br />
- Viewed from the perspective of “all at once” the list may<br />
appear daunting or even unattainable. Viewed from the<br />
perspective of “incrementalism” however, these<br />
improvements are achievable.<br />
- As with any investment decision, cost and impact on client<br />
outcomes needs to be considered.
Outcomes: Recommendations<br />
Some of these recommendations include:<br />
Review ODSP incomes: index to average household<br />
expenditures (LICO or market basket measure).<br />
Alternatively, make changes to the Shelter Maximum<br />
which better reflects the national housing standards<br />
(affordability, suitability & adequacy) and local market<br />
(rent) conditions.
Outcomes: Recommendations<br />
Some of these recommendations include:<br />
Review ODSP incomes: index to average household<br />
expenditures (LICO or market basket measure).<br />
Alternatively, make changes to the Shelter Maximum<br />
which better reflects the national housing standards<br />
(affordability, suitability & adequacy) and local market<br />
(rent) conditions.<br />
Increase the basic needs benefit by an amount that will<br />
decrease the clients’ food-to-income ratios to that of the<br />
median, or approximately 10% of income.<br />
Alternatively, create a food allowance which would be<br />
added to the basic needs and shelter allowance (and index<br />
this to the nutritious food basket).
Outcomes: Recommendations<br />
Some of these recommendations include:<br />
Review the present Strong Communities Rent<br />
Supplement Program with the view of providing<br />
support-services funding that matches the<br />
rent-subsidy funding.
Outcomes: Recommendations<br />
Some of these recommendations include:<br />
Review the present Strong Communities Rent<br />
Supplement Program with the view of providing<br />
support-services funding that matches the<br />
rent-subsidy funding.<br />
For new ODSP clients: provide access to therapeutic<br />
counseling services. Also, consider adding these counseling<br />
services to the Special Benefits program.
Outcomes: Recommendations<br />
Some of these recommendations include:<br />
Review the present Strong Communities Rent<br />
Supplement Program with the view of providing<br />
support-services funding that matches the<br />
rent-subsidy funding.<br />
For new ODSP clients: provide access to therapeutic<br />
counseling services. Also, consider adding these counseling<br />
services to the Special Benefits program.<br />
Hold regular community forums to provide updates on core<br />
services and changes to directives, such as benefits<br />
(MCSS).<br />
Establish a lead (ex: DNSSAB) for organizing a community<br />
networking event for service organizations, Ministries, etc.<br />
on a set schedule (ex. quarterly, every 4 mos., etc.).
Outcomes: Recommendations<br />
Some of these recommendations include:<br />
Review the present Strong Communities Rent<br />
Supplement Program with the view of providing<br />
support-services funding that matches the<br />
rent-subsidy funding.<br />
For new ODSP clients: provide access to therapeutic<br />
counseling services. Also, consider adding these counseling<br />
services to the Special Benefits program.<br />
Hold regular community forums to provide updates on core<br />
services and changes to directives, such as benefits<br />
(MCSS).<br />
Establish a lead (ex: DNSSAB) for organizing a community<br />
networking event for service organizations, Ministries, etc.<br />
on a set schedule (ex. quarterly, every 4 mos., etc.).<br />
Produce an annual Community Services Directory for<br />
people with disabilities (in multiple mediums).
Present Status (1 year later)<br />
Some recommendations have been acted upon<br />
The gap in trustee programs is being addressed<br />
by MCSS (NE Region) and a local service<br />
organization (LIPI)<br />
North Bay has extended bus discounts to all ODSP clients<br />
($25)<br />
Ontario Works (OW) will be tracking the number of ODSP<br />
clients who apply for Discretionary benefits, and the<br />
outcomes<br />
DNSSAB and MCSS are reviewing their respective<br />
Discretionary and Special Benefits programs<br />
DNSSAB is planning an upcoming housing forum
Present Status (1 year later)<br />
Some recommendations have been indirectly acted<br />
upon:<br />
The streamlining of shelter data and information is in<br />
progress – the community is considering switching over to<br />
HIFIS (Homeless Individuals & Families Information<br />
System).<br />
The LHIN (NE Region) is focusing on supportive /supported<br />
housing in Nipissing District.<br />
DNSSAB received an additional 25 housing allowance units<br />
under the AHP (Affordable <strong>Housing</strong> Program).<br />
Social assistance rates have had a 4% increase (two<br />
increases of 2%).
Policy Implications<br />
Policy Implications<br />
- Need to monitor trends at all levels of geography (i.e. not<br />
only in cities of 100,000+); the caseload continues to grow<br />
in many communities, the family /household types are<br />
changing, and there are more complex cases of mental<br />
illness, etc.<br />
- Multiple Ministries are funding multiple service organizations<br />
and programs – this lends itself to a convoluted, fragmented<br />
service sector.<br />
- Social assistance is a complex file but nevertheless, we need<br />
to pay attention to the unmet needs throughout the<br />
province.<br />
- Given current resource allocation, which marginal costs will<br />
produce the greatest social benefits?<br />
- Standardization vs. Specialization…..?
Policy and Service Delivery<br />
Implications Final note<br />
Think Globally – Act Locally!<br />
Canada<br />
Nipissing
Policy and Service Delivery<br />
Implications Final note<br />
Think Globally – Act Locally!<br />
Canada<br />
Ontario<br />
Ontario<br />
Nipissing
Policy and Service Delivery<br />
Implications Final note<br />
Think Globally – Act Locally!<br />
Canada<br />
Ontario<br />
Nipissing<br />
Nipissing
Any questions before moving on<br />
to the next presentation?<br />
Questions?
7 th Annual Mental Health and<br />
Addiction Day for Service<br />
Providers<br />
Nipissing District <strong>Housing</strong> Needs,<br />
Supply & Affordability Study<br />
Presented by Dave Plumstead, MBA;<br />
DNSSAB Researcher<br />
April 15, 2008
This Presentation:<br />
• Why do a <strong>Housing</strong> Study? Key<br />
Indicators<br />
• Objectives, Scope, Methodology<br />
• General Key Findings<br />
• Affordable <strong>Housing</strong>: Best Practices<br />
• Next Steps / Moving Forward
First Note!<br />
• The Final report is<br />
not yet Completed!<br />
• Report due in May,<br />
2008<br />
• Will have to wait<br />
before commenting on<br />
recommendations…..
Why do a <strong>Housing</strong> Study?
… and Because of Key Indicators,<br />
such as Demographics:<br />
Single Households & Sr. Citizens (#)<br />
14,000<br />
12,000<br />
10,000<br />
8,000<br />
6,000<br />
4,000<br />
2,000<br />
Demographic Shift: Senior Citizens and Single Households :<br />
Nipissing District, 1981 - 2006<br />
0<br />
Population:<br />
80,265<br />
7,575<br />
4,835<br />
Population:<br />
79,000<br />
8,645<br />
5,445<br />
Population:<br />
84,725<br />
10,110<br />
6,680<br />
1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006<br />
Senior Citizens (65+)<br />
Population:<br />
84,830<br />
10,990<br />
7,975<br />
Single Households<br />
Population:<br />
82,910<br />
12,210<br />
8,505<br />
Population:<br />
84,685<br />
13,485<br />
9,465<br />
• Significant trends<br />
are occurring that<br />
impact housing:<br />
• 78% increase in<br />
seniors during the<br />
past 25 years.<br />
• 96% increase in<br />
single households<br />
during the past 25<br />
years.<br />
• Net population<br />
growth over the 25<br />
years only 5.5%.<br />
Demand for smaller<br />
homes, condos.,<br />
SIL, etc.
Key Indicators: Income Gaps<br />
Rent ($ /month)<br />
$500<br />
$400<br />
$300<br />
$200<br />
$100<br />
$0<br />
Examples of Affordability Gaps for Social Assistance<br />
Recipients: North Bay, 2007<br />
$900<br />
Ave. Rent,<br />
$800<br />
2-bdrm: $733<br />
$700 Ave. Rent,<br />
1-bdrm: $573<br />
$600<br />
$274<br />
$273<br />
ODSP<br />
$300<br />
ODSP<br />
$459<br />
Single Single<br />
Parent &<br />
Child<br />
Average Rent,<br />
3-bdrm: $823<br />
$238<br />
ODSP<br />
$585<br />
Couple<br />
with Two<br />
Children<br />
OW & ODSP: Maximum Rent @ 30% of Income<br />
Average Rent,<br />
2-bdrm: $733<br />
Average Rent,<br />
1-bdrm: $573<br />
$424<br />
$405<br />
OW<br />
$168<br />
OW<br />
$309<br />
Single Single<br />
Parent &<br />
Child<br />
Average Rent,<br />
3-bdrm: $823<br />
$432<br />
OW<br />
$391<br />
Couple<br />
with Two<br />
Children<br />
Affordability Gap<br />
• Significant housing<br />
affordability gaps<br />
exist for social<br />
assistance clients.<br />
• Example: a single<br />
ODSP recipient has<br />
income of $999 /mo<br />
– this leaves $300<br />
/mo. to spend on<br />
affordable housing.<br />
• Average market<br />
rent for a 1-bdrm.<br />
apartment is $573 –<br />
this leaves a<br />
shortage of $273.<br />
..and social housing<br />
is in short supply:
Total Waiting List (# people /month)<br />
1,600<br />
1,400<br />
1,200<br />
1,000<br />
800<br />
600<br />
400<br />
200<br />
0<br />
Jan 2006<br />
Feb<br />
Mar<br />
Apr<br />
Social <strong>Housing</strong> Waiting List, 2006 & 2007<br />
May<br />
June<br />
July<br />
Aug<br />
Sept<br />
Oct<br />
Nov<br />
Key Indicators: Social <strong>Housing</strong><br />
Waiting List<br />
Dec<br />
RGI<br />
Jan 2007<br />
Feb<br />
Mar<br />
Market<br />
Apr<br />
May<br />
June<br />
July<br />
Aug<br />
Sept<br />
Oct<br />
1326<br />
Nov<br />
Dec<br />
• Waiting list<br />
surpassed the<br />
1300-people mark<br />
in 3 rd quarter of<br />
2007 (RGI &<br />
market).<br />
• 19.5% increase<br />
over the past 2<br />
years.<br />
• This increase<br />
however is coming<br />
from people waiting<br />
for market rent –<br />
not RGI!<br />
• This is indicative<br />
of the current<br />
rental-housing<br />
shortage
Key Indicators: <strong>Housing</strong><br />
Construction<br />
<strong>Housing</strong> Starts & Completions (#)<br />
800<br />
700<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
0<br />
1981<br />
1983<br />
<strong>Housing</strong> Completions : North Bay, 1981 - 2007<br />
1985<br />
1987<br />
1989<br />
1991<br />
1993<br />
1995<br />
Completions<br />
1997<br />
1999<br />
2001<br />
2003<br />
2005<br />
2007<br />
• Home building &<br />
buying is a key<br />
housing indicator –<br />
North Bay accounts<br />
for 65% of District’s<br />
population.<br />
• Robust building<br />
activity during early<br />
80s -90s –<br />
construction peaked<br />
in 1987 at<br />
approximately 620<br />
units.<br />
• 1994: market<br />
dropped out and<br />
housing<br />
construction<br />
declined 75%.
Key Indicators: Type of<br />
<strong>Housing</strong> Construction<br />
<strong>Housing</strong> Completions (#)<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
<strong>Housing</strong> Completions in North Bay:<br />
Single-detached Houses , Apartments & Other Types ,<br />
1981 - 2007<br />
1981<br />
1982<br />
1983<br />
1984<br />
1985<br />
1986<br />
1987<br />
1988<br />
1989<br />
1990<br />
1991<br />
1992<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
Single-detached<br />
Apartments & other types<br />
• Construction<br />
continues but in the<br />
single-detached<br />
homes market.<br />
• healthy growth ~<br />
12% annually.<br />
• This growth<br />
however, does not<br />
include the new<br />
affordable housing<br />
that existed prior to<br />
the early 90s.<br />
• By 1995, the<br />
construction of new<br />
apartments had<br />
fallen to 0.
Key Indicators: Houses Resale<br />
Price<br />
Average Price (MLS)<br />
$200,000<br />
$180,000<br />
$160,000<br />
$140,000<br />
$120,000<br />
$100,000<br />
$80,000<br />
$60,000<br />
$40,000<br />
$20,000<br />
$0<br />
Average House Resale Price: North Bay, 2000 -<br />
2007<br />
Mar 2000<br />
June<br />
Sept<br />
Dec<br />
Mar 2001<br />
June<br />
Sept<br />
Dec<br />
Mar 2002<br />
June<br />
Sept<br />
Dec<br />
Mar 2003<br />
June<br />
Sept<br />
Dec<br />
Mar 2004<br />
June<br />
Sept<br />
Dec<br />
Mar 2005<br />
June<br />
Sept<br />
Dec<br />
Mar 2006<br />
June<br />
Sept<br />
Dec<br />
Mar 2007<br />
June<br />
Sept<br />
Average House Price<br />
Annual House Sales<br />
1600<br />
1400<br />
1200<br />
1000<br />
800<br />
600<br />
400<br />
200<br />
0<br />
Annual House Sales (#)<br />
• Since 2000, North<br />
Bay’s ave. selling<br />
price has increased<br />
~ 55%.<br />
• In 2006, a new<br />
sales record was<br />
set.<br />
= strong housing<br />
market with<br />
increasing demand.<br />
• As the gap<br />
between rental and<br />
ownership widens<br />
however, the<br />
demand for rental<br />
housing can<br />
increase:
Key Indicators: Vacancy & Rent<br />
Average Vacancy Rate<br />
6%<br />
5%<br />
4%<br />
3%<br />
2%<br />
1%<br />
Vacancy Rate & Rent : North Bay CA, 2000 - 2007<br />
$700<br />
$680<br />
$660<br />
$640<br />
$620<br />
$600<br />
$580<br />
$560<br />
Average Rent ($)<br />
• This puts upward<br />
pressure on rent<br />
prices – and with no<br />
new rental supply<br />
coming onto<br />
market, vacancy<br />
rates drop.<br />
• Currently North<br />
Bay’s ave. vacancy<br />
is at 1% - well<br />
below the 3%<br />
equilibrium point.<br />
0%<br />
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />
Vacancy Rate 5.5% 2.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 2.7% 2.4% 1.1%<br />
Rent $598 $612 $600 $613 $631 $637 $677 $683<br />
$540<br />
• This is making it<br />
increasingly difficult<br />
for people with low<br />
incomes, to find<br />
affordable housing.
10%<br />
9%<br />
8%<br />
7%<br />
6%<br />
5%<br />
4%<br />
3%<br />
2%<br />
1%<br />
0%<br />
Vacancy Rate Comparison, 2007<br />
Vacancy Rates in Ontario's 28 CA's (Census Agglomerations),<br />
Oct. 2007<br />
• North Bay<br />
currently has one of<br />
the lowest vacancy<br />
rates in Ontario,<br />
relative to other<br />
cities that form<br />
“census<br />
agglomerations”<br />
Vacancy Rate<br />
Petawawa<br />
Ingersoll<br />
Leamington<br />
Chatham-Kent<br />
Cornwall<br />
Elliot Lake<br />
Temiskaming Shores<br />
Sarnia<br />
Tillsonburg<br />
Stratford<br />
Belleville<br />
Cobourg<br />
Hawkesbury<br />
Woodstock<br />
Midland<br />
Orillia<br />
Brockville<br />
Kawartha Lakes<br />
Owen Sound<br />
Collingwood<br />
Wellington Centre<br />
Timmins<br />
Norfolk<br />
Port Hope<br />
Sault Ste. Marie<br />
North Bay<br />
Pembroke<br />
Kenora
Key Indicators: <strong>Housing</strong> Roles &<br />
Responsibilities<br />
<strong>Housing</strong> Price ($)<br />
p<br />
<strong>Housing</strong> Supply & Demand<br />
E<br />
Supply<br />
• The Provincial<br />
Policy Statement<br />
(2005), the<br />
Municipal Planning<br />
Act and the Social<br />
<strong>Housing</strong> Reform Act<br />
(2000) provide<br />
some direction for<br />
housing policy and<br />
roles &<br />
responsibilities.<br />
q<br />
<strong>Housing</strong> Quantity (#)<br />
Demand<br />
• There still appears<br />
to be uncertainty as<br />
to the roles &<br />
responsibilities for<br />
housing, amongst<br />
community Leaders.
<strong>Housing</strong> Study Objectives<br />
Review the affordable housing needs and gaps<br />
within the District of Nipissing.<br />
Review the current capacity of existing public and<br />
private housing supply/stock and the secondary rental<br />
market.<br />
Review the impact that housing development and<br />
municipal planning have on the affordability of<br />
housing.<br />
Identify current housing development alignments<br />
and affordability rates within the District of Nipissing.
<strong>Housing</strong> Study Scope<br />
• Geography: Nipissing’s 11 municipalities.<br />
• Compile a demographic profile (household size,<br />
type, tenure,) to identify any gaps in the present<br />
housing stock.<br />
• Indicate the relevant socioeconomic characteristics<br />
that are unique to the District.<br />
• Define the housing needs required to support the<br />
projected population based upon socio-economic<br />
indicators.<br />
• Provide a population & household forecast.<br />
• Identify Best <strong>Housing</strong> Practices in use in other<br />
Municipalities / Communities.
<strong>Housing</strong> Study Methodology<br />
‣ Extensive analysis on population and<br />
household data: census 2006 (Statistics<br />
Canada).<br />
‣ Information sessions and meetings with key<br />
housing providers along the housing<br />
continuum.<br />
‣ Heard from housing consumers through<br />
surveys.<br />
‣ Referenced other reports, data.<br />
‣ The framework for the study was<br />
developed around two models:
The <strong>Housing</strong> Continuum<br />
Absolute homelessness<br />
Retirement Homes, Long-term care, etc.<br />
Private sector market<br />
Low Income High Income Time
The <strong>Housing</strong> Continuum<br />
Absolute homelessness<br />
Shelters, transitional housing,<br />
Supportive housing, etc.<br />
Retirement Homes, Long-term care, etc.<br />
Private sector market<br />
Traditional<br />
focus of Nonprofit<br />
sector<br />
Low Income High Income Time
The <strong>Housing</strong> Continuum<br />
Absolute homelessness<br />
Shelters, transitional housing,<br />
Supportive housing, etc.<br />
Retirement Homes, Long-term care, etc.<br />
Not for profit, community, social housing<br />
Private sector market<br />
Traditional<br />
focus of Nonprofit<br />
sector<br />
“Affordable” private<br />
rental and entry<br />
homeownership<br />
Low Income High Income Time
The <strong>Housing</strong> Continuum<br />
Absolute homelessness<br />
Shelters, transitional housing,<br />
Supportive housing, etc.<br />
Retirement Homes, Long-term care, etc.<br />
Not for profit, community, social housing<br />
Private<br />
Private<br />
sector<br />
sector<br />
market<br />
market<br />
Mortgage- free asset<br />
Traditional<br />
focus of Nonprofit<br />
sector<br />
“Affordable” private<br />
rental and entry<br />
homeownership<br />
Low Income High Income Time
The <strong>Housing</strong> Continuum<br />
Absolute homelessness<br />
Shelters, transitional housing,<br />
Supportive housing, etc.<br />
Retirement Homes, Long-term care, etc.<br />
Private<br />
Private<br />
sector<br />
sector<br />
market<br />
market<br />
Mortgage- free asset<br />
Not for profit, community, social housing<br />
Traditional<br />
focus of Nonprofit<br />
sector<br />
“Affordable” private<br />
rental and entry<br />
homeownership<br />
Private /Public<br />
sectors<br />
Low Income High Income Time
The <strong>Housing</strong> Continuum<br />
Absolute homelessness<br />
Shelters, transitional housing,<br />
Supportive housing, etc.<br />
Retirement Homes, Long-term care, etc.<br />
Private<br />
Private<br />
sector<br />
sector<br />
market<br />
market<br />
Mortgage- free asset<br />
Not for profit, community, social housing<br />
Traditional<br />
focus of Nonprofit<br />
sector<br />
“Affordable” private<br />
rental and entry<br />
homeownership<br />
Private /Public<br />
sectors<br />
Low Income High Income Time
Supply & Demand<br />
<strong>Housing</strong> Supply & Demand<br />
• Model is important<br />
for understanding the<br />
housing market<br />
<strong>Housing</strong> Price ($)<br />
p<br />
E<br />
Supply<br />
• Helps with<br />
understanding the<br />
affordable housing<br />
issues better and to<br />
implement effective<br />
solutions:<br />
q<br />
<strong>Housing</strong> Quantity (#)<br />
Demand<br />
• By providing insight<br />
into movements<br />
along the continuum<br />
• By helping to<br />
analyze all the<br />
interactive housing<br />
variables:
Supply & Demand<br />
People living on low incomes have few housing choices<br />
and can be significantly impacted by market changes<br />
which result in reduced housing supply and increased<br />
housing demand.<br />
<strong>Housing</strong> Price ($)<br />
p<br />
<strong>Housing</strong> Supply & Demand<br />
E<br />
q<br />
<strong>Housing</strong> Quantity (#)<br />
Supply<br />
Demand<br />
• Other factors<br />
(besides price) which<br />
affect the supply &<br />
demand of housing:<br />
the economy;<br />
employment;<br />
income;<br />
demographics;<br />
interest rates;<br />
inflation; technology;<br />
construction costs;<br />
government policy;<br />
municipal land-use<br />
planning.
General key Findings<br />
40-year population trends for Nipissing District and<br />
it’s municipalities and areas: general age groups,<br />
dependency ratios.<br />
20-year household trends for Nipissing District and<br />
it’s municipalities and areas: household size, family<br />
types, tenure.
General key Findings<br />
40-year population trends for Nipissing District and<br />
it’s municipalities and areas: general age groups,<br />
dependency ratios.<br />
20-year household trends for Nipissing District and<br />
it’s municipalities and areas: household size, family<br />
types, tenure.<br />
Profile of housing stock: structural type, age,<br />
secondary rental market.<br />
10-year population & household forecast (2007 –<br />
2016) for Nipissing District & North Bay.<br />
10- year affordable housing targets (rental &<br />
ownership) for households with incomes $0-$45,000<br />
(Nipissing, North Bay and remaining areas).
General key Findings<br />
A socioeconomic snapshot of Nipissing District and<br />
it’s municipalities and areas: culture, labour force,<br />
income, education, housing.<br />
How affordable housing is provisioned for, in terms<br />
of municipal planning.<br />
Identified gaps along the housing continuum.<br />
Affordable <strong>Housing</strong> Best Practices.
Gaps Along Nipissing’s<br />
Continuum<br />
Where are the gaps in the continuum?<br />
Low Income<br />
High Income<br />
Time
Gaps Along Nipissing’s<br />
Continuum<br />
Shelters;<br />
Transitional;<br />
Supportive<br />
housing<br />
Low Income High Income Time
Gaps Along Nipissing’s<br />
Continuum<br />
Shelters;<br />
Transitional;<br />
Supportive<br />
housing<br />
Social<br />
housing<br />
Low Income High Income Time
Gaps Along Nipissing’s<br />
Continuum<br />
Shelters;<br />
Transitional;<br />
Supportive<br />
housing<br />
Renters in<br />
core housing<br />
need & poor<br />
housing<br />
condition<br />
Social<br />
housing<br />
Low Income High Income Time
Gaps Along Nipissing’s<br />
Continuum<br />
Shelters;<br />
Transitional;<br />
Supportive<br />
housing<br />
Renters in<br />
core housing<br />
need & poor<br />
housing<br />
condition<br />
Social<br />
housing<br />
Lack of<br />
rental<br />
supply<br />
Low Income High Income Time
Gaps Along Nipissing’s<br />
Continuum<br />
Shelters;<br />
Transitional;<br />
Supportive<br />
housing<br />
Renters in<br />
core housing<br />
need & poor<br />
housing<br />
condition<br />
Owners in<br />
core housing<br />
need & poor<br />
housing<br />
condition<br />
Social<br />
housing<br />
Lack of<br />
rental<br />
supply<br />
Low Income High Income Time
Gaps Along Nipissing’s<br />
Continuum<br />
Shelters;<br />
Transitional;<br />
Supportive<br />
housing<br />
Renters in<br />
core housing<br />
need & poor<br />
housing<br />
condition<br />
Owners in<br />
core housing<br />
need & poor<br />
housing<br />
condition<br />
Social<br />
housing<br />
Lack of<br />
rental<br />
supply<br />
Lack of<br />
entry-level<br />
houses to<br />
buy<br />
Low Income High Income Time
Gaps Along Nipissing’s<br />
Continuum<br />
Shelters;<br />
Transitional;<br />
Supportive<br />
housing<br />
Renters in<br />
core housing<br />
need & poor<br />
housing<br />
condition<br />
Owners in<br />
core housing<br />
need & poor<br />
housing<br />
condition<br />
Seniors<br />
housing (LTC,<br />
supportive,<br />
retirement,<br />
etc.)<br />
Social<br />
housing<br />
Lack of<br />
rental<br />
supply<br />
Lack of<br />
entry-level<br />
houses to<br />
buy<br />
Low Income High Income Time
Affordable <strong>Housing</strong> Best<br />
Practices: Partnerships at Work<br />
Potters Hands <strong>Housing</strong>: Affordable, mixed-tenant Apartment Building<br />
CMHC Award Winner (2004)<br />
• 39-unit, mixed tenant<br />
Building with rents that<br />
are 30% lower than<br />
average market rents.<br />
• Construction costs:<br />
$47.92 /sq. ft.
Affordable <strong>Housing</strong> Best<br />
Practices: Partnerships at Work<br />
Partners /Contributors:<br />
- David Thomson Health Authority<br />
- Community Initiatives Grant, Alberta Lottery<br />
- Federal /Provincial Affordable <strong>Housing</strong> Partnership Initiative<br />
- Canadian Mental Health Association<br />
- P & S Investments (local business)<br />
Potters Hands <strong>Housing</strong>: Affordable, mixed-tenant Apartment Building<br />
CMHC Award Winner (2004)<br />
• 39-unit, mixed tenant<br />
Building with rents that<br />
are 30% lower than<br />
average market rents.<br />
• Construction costs:<br />
$47.92 /sq. ft.
Affordable <strong>Housing</strong> Best<br />
Practices: Partnerships at Work<br />
• Includes 15 bachelor units for people<br />
with mental illness and others requiring<br />
support services –rent includes<br />
some meals & utilities.<br />
• Remaining units are 1 & 2 bedrooms for<br />
single parents, working couples, families<br />
and individuals with low income, and<br />
single people on disability.<br />
• Rents: bachelor unit =$375 /mo.<br />
2-bdrms. = $550 /mo.
Affordable <strong>Housing</strong> Best<br />
Practices: Partnerships at Work<br />
• Includes 15 bachelor units for people<br />
with mental illness and others requiring<br />
support services –rent includes<br />
some meals & utilities.<br />
• Remaining units are 1 & 2 bedrooms for<br />
single parents, working couples, families<br />
and individuals with low income, and<br />
single people on disability.<br />
• Rents: bachelor unit =$375 /mo.<br />
2-bdrms. = $550 /mo.<br />
HOW?!
Affordable <strong>Housing</strong> Best<br />
Practices: Partnerships at Work<br />
Local businessmen had access to capital funding and<br />
compassion to address major social needs – the CMHA had<br />
information on funding streams, the ability to complete<br />
proposals and outreach support.<br />
• Includes 15 bachelor units for people<br />
with mental illness and others requiring<br />
support services –rent includes<br />
some meals & utilities.<br />
• Remaining units are 1 & 2 bedrooms for<br />
single parents, working couples, families<br />
and individuals with low income, and<br />
single people on disability.<br />
• Rents: bachelor unit =$375 /mo.<br />
2-bdrms. = $550 /mo.<br />
HOW?!
Next Step in Moving Forward<br />
Look at the recommendations from the report<br />
and set out a strategy for implementation.<br />
A housing forum is planned for Tuesday, June 17 2008:<br />
<strong>Housing</strong> in Nipissing Communities: Building the<br />
Foundations.
Next Step in Moving Forward<br />
Look at the recommendations from the report<br />
and set out a strategy for implementation.<br />
A housing forum is planned for Tuesday, June 17 2008:<br />
<strong>Housing</strong> in Nipissing Communities: Building the<br />
Foundations.<br />
-The forum is for Community Leaders; Stakeholders; Municipal<br />
Planners; Builders /Developers; Employers; Health Providers;<br />
and organizations serving families, children, students, disabled,<br />
homeless and seniors – everyone who is impacted directly or<br />
indirectly by the current housing situation in Nipissing<br />
District.<br />
-Intended outcomes of the forum include:<br />
developing a compendium of strategies for Nipissing’s<br />
communities<br />
Establishing the partnerships & networks that will contribute to<br />
the implementation of solutions
Thank you!