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7 th Annual Mental Health and<br />

Addiction Day for Service<br />

Providers<br />

DNSSAB Community Services<br />

Review, Based on the Ontario<br />

Disability Support Program<br />

(ODSP) Client Population.<br />

Presented by D. Plumstead, MBA;<br />

DNSSAB Researcher<br />

April 15, 2008


This Presentation:<br />

• About Nipissing District & DNSSAB<br />

• Best & Promising Practices in<br />

Human Services Delivery: ODSP<br />

Community Services Review<br />

• Outcome of Review<br />

• Present Status<br />

• Policy and Service Delivery<br />

Implications


Nipissing District and Ontario


Nipissing District<br />

Temagami<br />

Bear Island 1<br />

Témiscamingue<br />

Nipissing, Unorganized, North Part<br />

West Nipissing / Nipissing Ouest<br />

North Bay<br />

Nipissing 10<br />

Nipissing<br />

Bonfield<br />

East Ferris<br />

Mattawan Mattawa<br />

Calvin<br />

Papineau-Cameron<br />

Chisholm<br />

Nipissing, Unorganized, South Part<br />

Parry Sound<br />

South Algonquin<br />

Muskoka<br />

Haliburton


About Nipissing District<br />

Temagami<br />

Bear Island 1<br />

West Nipissing / Nipissing Ouest<br />

Nipissing 10<br />

Parry Sound<br />

Nipissing, Unorganized, North Part<br />

North Bay<br />

Nipissing<br />

Bonfield<br />

East Ferris<br />

Chisholm<br />

Muskoka<br />

Mattawan Mattawa<br />

Calvin<br />

‣ Established in 1858: the oldest<br />

of the 10 Districts in Northern<br />

Ontario.<br />

Témiscamingue<br />

Comprised of 11<br />

Municipalities, 2 Unincorporated<br />

Territories (North & South), and<br />

2 First Nations.<br />

‣ Part of the economic region of<br />

Northeastern Ontario Area:<br />

17,000 sq. km.<br />

‣ Papineau-Cameron<br />

Population (2006) ~ 86,000, or<br />

15% of Northeastern Ontario.<br />

Density ~ 5 people /sq. km.<br />

‣ Cultural Diversity:<br />

Nipissing, Unorganized, South Part<br />

approximately 25% of the<br />

District’s population is<br />

Francophone.<br />

Haliburton<br />

South Algonquin<br />

8.5% of the population is<br />

Aboriginal and 5% are<br />

Immigrants.


About DNSSAB<br />

Temagami<br />

Bear Island 1<br />

West Nipissing / Nipissing Ouest<br />

Nipissing 10<br />

Nipissing, Unorganized, North Part<br />

North Bay<br />

Nipissing<br />

Bonfield<br />

East Ferris<br />

Chisholm<br />

Mattawan Mattawa<br />

Calvin<br />

Témiscamingue<br />

Papineau-Cameron<br />

STRUCTURE<br />

Board established<br />

Feb.1, 1999: A<br />

merger of the District<br />

Welfare<br />

Administration Board<br />

(DWAB) and City<br />

Social Services<br />

Comprised of 12<br />

elected Municipal<br />

Counselors<br />

Parry Sound<br />

Nipissing, Unorganized, South Part<br />

Represents eleven<br />

(11) Municipalities<br />

and two (2)<br />

South Algonquin<br />

Unincorporated<br />

Territories<br />

Muskoka<br />

Haliburton


About DNSSAB<br />

SERVICES<br />

Temagami<br />

Bear Island 1<br />

Témiscamingue<br />

Ontario Works<br />

(OW)<br />

West Nipissing / Nipissing Ouest<br />

Nipissing 10<br />

Nipissing, Unorganized, North Part<br />

North Bay<br />

Nipissing<br />

Bonfield<br />

East Ferris<br />

Chisholm<br />

Mattawan Mattawa<br />

Calvin<br />

Papineau-Cameron<br />

Ontario Disability<br />

Support Program<br />

(ODSP)<br />

Children’s Services<br />

Social <strong>Housing</strong><br />

Homelessness<br />

Parry Sound<br />

Nipissing, Unorganized, South Part<br />

Emergency Medical<br />

Services (EMS)<br />

South Algonquin<br />

Muskoka<br />

Haliburton


ODSP Community Services Review and<br />

Best Practices – making the Connection<br />

The ODSP Community Services Review:<br />

• Is community- based research (base camp) -analyzed needs<br />

and gaps at the community level<br />

• Is evidence-based (quantitatively & qualitatively)<br />

• Employed a methodology that led to a desired result<br />

• Lends itself to continuous learning and improvement<br />

• Facilitates learning and knowledge transfer while building<br />

relationships along the way<br />

• Provides a benchmark for moving forward


ODSP Community Services<br />

Review, 2006: what & why?<br />

What<br />

• A study to review the needs of the ODSP clients<br />

for community services and the capacity of the<br />

community to deliver services, based upon these<br />

needs.


ODSP Community Services<br />

Review, 2006: what & why?<br />

What<br />

• A study to review the needs of the ODSP clients<br />

for community services and the capacity of the<br />

community to deliver services, based upon these<br />

needs.<br />

Why?<br />

• Because the DNSSAB Board and Management Team<br />

identified a relatively large ODSP caseload in Nipissing<br />

District (approx. 3500 people in a population of 85,000)-<br />

they wondered about the impact on community services and<br />

if there were needs and gaps.


ODSP Community Services<br />

Review, 2006: what & why?<br />

What<br />

• A study to review the needs of the ODSP clients<br />

for community services and the capacity of the<br />

community to deliver services, based upon these<br />

needs.<br />

Why?<br />

• Because the DNSSAB Board and Management Team<br />

identified a relatively large ODSP caseload in Nipissing<br />

District (approx. 3500 people in a population of 85,000)-<br />

they wondered about the impact on community services and<br />

if there were needs and gaps.<br />

• In response to the above, an initial study was undertaken<br />

(MCSS /MCYS 2005) and it confirmed the following - the<br />

highest provincial ODSP caseload per capita, a relatively<br />

high number of dependent children and a high rate of<br />

mental illness:


Nipissing District ODSP<br />

Caseload, 2005<br />

Caseload: 2.5X, Dependent Children: 3X, average<br />

ODSP Caseload: Nipissing District & Ontario, 2005<br />

Population: adults (18 yrs. >) and<br />

children (< 17 yrs.)<br />

6%<br />

5%<br />

4%<br />

3%<br />

2%<br />

1%<br />

0%<br />

Caseload Dependent<br />

Children<br />

Caseload<br />

Dependent<br />

Children<br />

Nipissing District Ontario<br />

Adults (18>) 5.5% 2.4%<br />

Children (


Nipissing District ODSP<br />

Caseload, 2005<br />

Caseload: 2.5X, Dependent Children: 3X, average Younger caseload than average (ages 25-54)<br />

ODSP Caseload: Nipissing District & Ontario, 2005<br />

ODSP Caseload by Age Group :<br />

Nipissing District and Ontario, 2005<br />

Population: adults (18 yrs. >) and<br />

children (< 17 yrs.)<br />

6%<br />

5%<br />

4%<br />

3%<br />

2%<br />

1%<br />

Caseload Dependent<br />

Children<br />

Caseload<br />

Dependent<br />

Children<br />

Caseload (%)<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

Nipissing District Ontario<br />

Adults (18>) 5.5% 2.4%<br />

Children (


Nipissing District ODSP<br />

Caseload, 2005<br />

Caseload: 2.5X, Dependent Children: 3X, average Younger caseload than average (ages 25-54)<br />

ODSP Caseload: Nipissing District & Ontario, 2005<br />

ODSP Caseload by Age Group :<br />

Nipissing District and Ontario, 2005<br />

Population: adults (18 yrs. >) and<br />

children (< 17 yrs.)<br />

6%<br />

5%<br />

4%<br />

3%<br />

2%<br />

1%<br />

Caseload Dependent<br />

Children<br />

Caseload<br />

Dependent<br />

Children<br />

Caseload (%)<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

Nipissing District Ontario<br />

Adults (18>) 5.5% 2.4%<br />

Children (


Scope of Review<br />

Scope<br />

• Identified nine (9) key service areas for review:<br />

- Financial Supports<br />

- <strong>Housing</strong><br />

- Food Security<br />

- Transportation<br />

- Child & Family Supports<br />

- Special & Discretionary Benefits<br />

- Counseling<br />

- Assessment & Referral<br />

- Legal /Advocacy


Scope of Review<br />

Scope<br />

• Identified nine (9) key service areas for review:<br />

- Financial Supports<br />

- <strong>Housing</strong><br />

- Food Security<br />

- Transportation<br />

- Child & Family Supports<br />

- Special & Discretionary Benefits<br />

- Counseling<br />

- Assessment & Referral<br />

- Legal /Advocacy<br />

Not included in scope<br />

- Health Services delivered under the Health Act<br />

- Public Health Services<br />

- Education and Employment Supports /Assistance


How was Review Conducted?<br />

How?<br />

• Through a project structure: Steering Committee,<br />

Reference Committee and Terms of Reference.<br />

• Qualitative & quantitative analysis through stakeholder<br />

engagement - primarily ODSP clients and community service<br />

organizations.<br />

• Surveys, Focus Groups, Community Consultations, Meetings<br />

and Interviews.<br />

• Further quantitative analysis of data from the MCSS Stats.<br />

& Analysis Unit: beneficiaries, family structure, dependents<br />

and trends.<br />

• Additional disability-related reports referenced.


Challenges Encountered<br />

Challenges:<br />

No roadmap or similar studies to follow -first kind<br />

of study at District level.<br />

MCSS was unable to sit on the Steering and Reference<br />

Committees. MCSS Staff did however, provide<br />

input & feedback on all report drafts.<br />

Disability by its nature is set within a complex<br />

environment – research & analysis becomes difficult.


Challenges Encountered<br />

Challenges:<br />

No roadmap or similar studies to follow -first kind<br />

of study at District level.<br />

MCSS was unable to sit on the Steering and Reference<br />

Committees. MCSS Staff did however, provide<br />

input & feedback on all report drafts.<br />

Disability by its nature is set within a complex<br />

environment – research & analysis becomes difficult.<br />

North Bay’s service system is equally complex due to a<br />

multitude of organizations offering numerous services.


Challenges Encountered<br />

Challenges:<br />

No roadmap or similar studies to follow -first kind<br />

of study at District level.<br />

MCSS was unable to sit on the Steering and Reference<br />

Committees. MCSS Staff did however, provide<br />

input & feedback on all report drafts.<br />

Disability by its nature is set within a complex<br />

environment – research & analysis becomes difficult.<br />

North Bay’s service system is equally complex due to a<br />

multitude of organizations offering numerous services.<br />

Difficult to obtain quantitative data from community<br />

service organizations.


Challenges Encountered<br />

Challenges:<br />

No roadmap or similar studies to follow -first kind<br />

of study at District level.<br />

MCSS was unable to sit on the Steering and Reference<br />

Committees. MCSS Staff did however, provide<br />

input & feedback on all report drafts.<br />

Disability by its nature is set within a complex<br />

environment – research & analysis becomes difficult.<br />

North Bay’s service system is equally complex due to a<br />

multitude of organizations offering numerous services.<br />

Difficult to obtain quantitative data from community<br />

service organizations.<br />

Difficult to differentiate between “community” and “publicly<br />

delivered” services, especially where mental illness is<br />

concerned.


Outcomes: Key Findings<br />

Approximately 45 key findings across the nine<br />

(9) service areas – these findings can be<br />

summarized into the following themes:<br />

‣ Financial Hardship<br />

‣ Unmet Needs (housing, food, benefits, counseling)<br />

‣ Transportation difficulties (for clients & service<br />

organizations)<br />

‣ Children at Risk<br />

‣ The need for Services Integration /Gateway to Services<br />

‣ Better Communications (between key ODSP Stakeholders,<br />

i.e., clients, MCSS and service organizations).


Outcomes: Recommendations<br />

25 recommendations for Improving Services<br />

- Some require changes to policy & legislation<br />

While others can be acted upon locally.<br />

- Approximately half of these are directed towards<br />

MCSS – it is hard to disentangle the delivery of<br />

‘community services’ from the administration of the<br />

ODSP program.<br />

- Viewed from the perspective of “all at once” the list may<br />

appear daunting or even unattainable. Viewed from the<br />

perspective of “incrementalism” however, these<br />

improvements are achievable.<br />

- As with any investment decision, cost and impact on client<br />

outcomes needs to be considered.


Outcomes: Recommendations<br />

Some of these recommendations include:<br />

Review ODSP incomes: index to average household<br />

expenditures (LICO or market basket measure).<br />

Alternatively, make changes to the Shelter Maximum<br />

which better reflects the national housing standards<br />

(affordability, suitability & adequacy) and local market<br />

(rent) conditions.


Outcomes: Recommendations<br />

Some of these recommendations include:<br />

Review ODSP incomes: index to average household<br />

expenditures (LICO or market basket measure).<br />

Alternatively, make changes to the Shelter Maximum<br />

which better reflects the national housing standards<br />

(affordability, suitability & adequacy) and local market<br />

(rent) conditions.<br />

Increase the basic needs benefit by an amount that will<br />

decrease the clients’ food-to-income ratios to that of the<br />

median, or approximately 10% of income.<br />

Alternatively, create a food allowance which would be<br />

added to the basic needs and shelter allowance (and index<br />

this to the nutritious food basket).


Outcomes: Recommendations<br />

Some of these recommendations include:<br />

Review the present Strong Communities Rent<br />

Supplement Program with the view of providing<br />

support-services funding that matches the<br />

rent-subsidy funding.


Outcomes: Recommendations<br />

Some of these recommendations include:<br />

Review the present Strong Communities Rent<br />

Supplement Program with the view of providing<br />

support-services funding that matches the<br />

rent-subsidy funding.<br />

For new ODSP clients: provide access to therapeutic<br />

counseling services. Also, consider adding these counseling<br />

services to the Special Benefits program.


Outcomes: Recommendations<br />

Some of these recommendations include:<br />

Review the present Strong Communities Rent<br />

Supplement Program with the view of providing<br />

support-services funding that matches the<br />

rent-subsidy funding.<br />

For new ODSP clients: provide access to therapeutic<br />

counseling services. Also, consider adding these counseling<br />

services to the Special Benefits program.<br />

Hold regular community forums to provide updates on core<br />

services and changes to directives, such as benefits<br />

(MCSS).<br />

Establish a lead (ex: DNSSAB) for organizing a community<br />

networking event for service organizations, Ministries, etc.<br />

on a set schedule (ex. quarterly, every 4 mos., etc.).


Outcomes: Recommendations<br />

Some of these recommendations include:<br />

Review the present Strong Communities Rent<br />

Supplement Program with the view of providing<br />

support-services funding that matches the<br />

rent-subsidy funding.<br />

For new ODSP clients: provide access to therapeutic<br />

counseling services. Also, consider adding these counseling<br />

services to the Special Benefits program.<br />

Hold regular community forums to provide updates on core<br />

services and changes to directives, such as benefits<br />

(MCSS).<br />

Establish a lead (ex: DNSSAB) for organizing a community<br />

networking event for service organizations, Ministries, etc.<br />

on a set schedule (ex. quarterly, every 4 mos., etc.).<br />

Produce an annual Community Services Directory for<br />

people with disabilities (in multiple mediums).


Present Status (1 year later)<br />

Some recommendations have been acted upon<br />

The gap in trustee programs is being addressed<br />

by MCSS (NE Region) and a local service<br />

organization (LIPI)<br />

North Bay has extended bus discounts to all ODSP clients<br />

($25)<br />

Ontario Works (OW) will be tracking the number of ODSP<br />

clients who apply for Discretionary benefits, and the<br />

outcomes<br />

DNSSAB and MCSS are reviewing their respective<br />

Discretionary and Special Benefits programs<br />

DNSSAB is planning an upcoming housing forum


Present Status (1 year later)<br />

Some recommendations have been indirectly acted<br />

upon:<br />

The streamlining of shelter data and information is in<br />

progress – the community is considering switching over to<br />

HIFIS (Homeless Individuals & Families Information<br />

System).<br />

The LHIN (NE Region) is focusing on supportive /supported<br />

housing in Nipissing District.<br />

DNSSAB received an additional 25 housing allowance units<br />

under the AHP (Affordable <strong>Housing</strong> Program).<br />

Social assistance rates have had a 4% increase (two<br />

increases of 2%).


Policy Implications<br />

Policy Implications<br />

- Need to monitor trends at all levels of geography (i.e. not<br />

only in cities of 100,000+); the caseload continues to grow<br />

in many communities, the family /household types are<br />

changing, and there are more complex cases of mental<br />

illness, etc.<br />

- Multiple Ministries are funding multiple service organizations<br />

and programs – this lends itself to a convoluted, fragmented<br />

service sector.<br />

- Social assistance is a complex file but nevertheless, we need<br />

to pay attention to the unmet needs throughout the<br />

province.<br />

- Given current resource allocation, which marginal costs will<br />

produce the greatest social benefits?<br />

- Standardization vs. Specialization…..?


Policy and Service Delivery<br />

Implications Final note<br />

Think Globally – Act Locally!<br />

Canada<br />

Nipissing


Policy and Service Delivery<br />

Implications Final note<br />

Think Globally – Act Locally!<br />

Canada<br />

Ontario<br />

Ontario<br />

Nipissing


Policy and Service Delivery<br />

Implications Final note<br />

Think Globally – Act Locally!<br />

Canada<br />

Ontario<br />

Nipissing<br />

Nipissing


Any questions before moving on<br />

to the next presentation?<br />

Questions?


7 th Annual Mental Health and<br />

Addiction Day for Service<br />

Providers<br />

Nipissing District <strong>Housing</strong> Needs,<br />

Supply & Affordability Study<br />

Presented by Dave Plumstead, MBA;<br />

DNSSAB Researcher<br />

April 15, 2008


This Presentation:<br />

• Why do a <strong>Housing</strong> Study? Key<br />

Indicators<br />

• Objectives, Scope, Methodology<br />

• General Key Findings<br />

• Affordable <strong>Housing</strong>: Best Practices<br />

• Next Steps / Moving Forward


First Note!<br />

• The Final report is<br />

not yet Completed!<br />

• Report due in May,<br />

2008<br />

• Will have to wait<br />

before commenting on<br />

recommendations…..


Why do a <strong>Housing</strong> Study?


… and Because of Key Indicators,<br />

such as Demographics:<br />

Single Households & Sr. Citizens (#)<br />

14,000<br />

12,000<br />

10,000<br />

8,000<br />

6,000<br />

4,000<br />

2,000<br />

Demographic Shift: Senior Citizens and Single Households :<br />

Nipissing District, 1981 - 2006<br />

0<br />

Population:<br />

80,265<br />

7,575<br />

4,835<br />

Population:<br />

79,000<br />

8,645<br />

5,445<br />

Population:<br />

84,725<br />

10,110<br />

6,680<br />

1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006<br />

Senior Citizens (65+)<br />

Population:<br />

84,830<br />

10,990<br />

7,975<br />

Single Households<br />

Population:<br />

82,910<br />

12,210<br />

8,505<br />

Population:<br />

84,685<br />

13,485<br />

9,465<br />

• Significant trends<br />

are occurring that<br />

impact housing:<br />

• 78% increase in<br />

seniors during the<br />

past 25 years.<br />

• 96% increase in<br />

single households<br />

during the past 25<br />

years.<br />

• Net population<br />

growth over the 25<br />

years only 5.5%.<br />

Demand for smaller<br />

homes, condos.,<br />

SIL, etc.


Key Indicators: Income Gaps<br />

Rent ($ /month)<br />

$500<br />

$400<br />

$300<br />

$200<br />

$100<br />

$0<br />

Examples of Affordability Gaps for Social Assistance<br />

Recipients: North Bay, 2007<br />

$900<br />

Ave. Rent,<br />

$800<br />

2-bdrm: $733<br />

$700 Ave. Rent,<br />

1-bdrm: $573<br />

$600<br />

$274<br />

$273<br />

ODSP<br />

$300<br />

ODSP<br />

$459<br />

Single Single<br />

Parent &<br />

Child<br />

Average Rent,<br />

3-bdrm: $823<br />

$238<br />

ODSP<br />

$585<br />

Couple<br />

with Two<br />

Children<br />

OW & ODSP: Maximum Rent @ 30% of Income<br />

Average Rent,<br />

2-bdrm: $733<br />

Average Rent,<br />

1-bdrm: $573<br />

$424<br />

$405<br />

OW<br />

$168<br />

OW<br />

$309<br />

Single Single<br />

Parent &<br />

Child<br />

Average Rent,<br />

3-bdrm: $823<br />

$432<br />

OW<br />

$391<br />

Couple<br />

with Two<br />

Children<br />

Affordability Gap<br />

• Significant housing<br />

affordability gaps<br />

exist for social<br />

assistance clients.<br />

• Example: a single<br />

ODSP recipient has<br />

income of $999 /mo<br />

– this leaves $300<br />

/mo. to spend on<br />

affordable housing.<br />

• Average market<br />

rent for a 1-bdrm.<br />

apartment is $573 –<br />

this leaves a<br />

shortage of $273.<br />

..and social housing<br />

is in short supply:


Total Waiting List (# people /month)<br />

1,600<br />

1,400<br />

1,200<br />

1,000<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

Jan 2006<br />

Feb<br />

Mar<br />

Apr<br />

Social <strong>Housing</strong> Waiting List, 2006 & 2007<br />

May<br />

June<br />

July<br />

Aug<br />

Sept<br />

Oct<br />

Nov<br />

Key Indicators: Social <strong>Housing</strong><br />

Waiting List<br />

Dec<br />

RGI<br />

Jan 2007<br />

Feb<br />

Mar<br />

Market<br />

Apr<br />

May<br />

June<br />

July<br />

Aug<br />

Sept<br />

Oct<br />

1326<br />

Nov<br />

Dec<br />

• Waiting list<br />

surpassed the<br />

1300-people mark<br />

in 3 rd quarter of<br />

2007 (RGI &<br />

market).<br />

• 19.5% increase<br />

over the past 2<br />

years.<br />

• This increase<br />

however is coming<br />

from people waiting<br />

for market rent –<br />

not RGI!<br />

• This is indicative<br />

of the current<br />

rental-housing<br />

shortage


Key Indicators: <strong>Housing</strong><br />

Construction<br />

<strong>Housing</strong> Starts & Completions (#)<br />

800<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

1981<br />

1983<br />

<strong>Housing</strong> Completions : North Bay, 1981 - 2007<br />

1985<br />

1987<br />

1989<br />

1991<br />

1993<br />

1995<br />

Completions<br />

1997<br />

1999<br />

2001<br />

2003<br />

2005<br />

2007<br />

• Home building &<br />

buying is a key<br />

housing indicator –<br />

North Bay accounts<br />

for 65% of District’s<br />

population.<br />

• Robust building<br />

activity during early<br />

80s -90s –<br />

construction peaked<br />

in 1987 at<br />

approximately 620<br />

units.<br />

• 1994: market<br />

dropped out and<br />

housing<br />

construction<br />

declined 75%.


Key Indicators: Type of<br />

<strong>Housing</strong> Construction<br />

<strong>Housing</strong> Completions (#)<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

<strong>Housing</strong> Completions in North Bay:<br />

Single-detached Houses , Apartments & Other Types ,<br />

1981 - 2007<br />

1981<br />

1982<br />

1983<br />

1984<br />

1985<br />

1986<br />

1987<br />

1988<br />

1989<br />

1990<br />

1991<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

Single-detached<br />

Apartments & other types<br />

• Construction<br />

continues but in the<br />

single-detached<br />

homes market.<br />

• healthy growth ~<br />

12% annually.<br />

• This growth<br />

however, does not<br />

include the new<br />

affordable housing<br />

that existed prior to<br />

the early 90s.<br />

• By 1995, the<br />

construction of new<br />

apartments had<br />

fallen to 0.


Key Indicators: Houses Resale<br />

Price<br />

Average Price (MLS)<br />

$200,000<br />

$180,000<br />

$160,000<br />

$140,000<br />

$120,000<br />

$100,000<br />

$80,000<br />

$60,000<br />

$40,000<br />

$20,000<br />

$0<br />

Average House Resale Price: North Bay, 2000 -<br />

2007<br />

Mar 2000<br />

June<br />

Sept<br />

Dec<br />

Mar 2001<br />

June<br />

Sept<br />

Dec<br />

Mar 2002<br />

June<br />

Sept<br />

Dec<br />

Mar 2003<br />

June<br />

Sept<br />

Dec<br />

Mar 2004<br />

June<br />

Sept<br />

Dec<br />

Mar 2005<br />

June<br />

Sept<br />

Dec<br />

Mar 2006<br />

June<br />

Sept<br />

Dec<br />

Mar 2007<br />

June<br />

Sept<br />

Average House Price<br />

Annual House Sales<br />

1600<br />

1400<br />

1200<br />

1000<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

Annual House Sales (#)<br />

• Since 2000, North<br />

Bay’s ave. selling<br />

price has increased<br />

~ 55%.<br />

• In 2006, a new<br />

sales record was<br />

set.<br />

= strong housing<br />

market with<br />

increasing demand.<br />

• As the gap<br />

between rental and<br />

ownership widens<br />

however, the<br />

demand for rental<br />

housing can<br />

increase:


Key Indicators: Vacancy & Rent<br />

Average Vacancy Rate<br />

6%<br />

5%<br />

4%<br />

3%<br />

2%<br />

1%<br />

Vacancy Rate & Rent : North Bay CA, 2000 - 2007<br />

$700<br />

$680<br />

$660<br />

$640<br />

$620<br />

$600<br />

$580<br />

$560<br />

Average Rent ($)<br />

• This puts upward<br />

pressure on rent<br />

prices – and with no<br />

new rental supply<br />

coming onto<br />

market, vacancy<br />

rates drop.<br />

• Currently North<br />

Bay’s ave. vacancy<br />

is at 1% - well<br />

below the 3%<br />

equilibrium point.<br />

0%<br />

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />

Vacancy Rate 5.5% 2.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 2.7% 2.4% 1.1%<br />

Rent $598 $612 $600 $613 $631 $637 $677 $683<br />

$540<br />

• This is making it<br />

increasingly difficult<br />

for people with low<br />

incomes, to find<br />

affordable housing.


10%<br />

9%<br />

8%<br />

7%<br />

6%<br />

5%<br />

4%<br />

3%<br />

2%<br />

1%<br />

0%<br />

Vacancy Rate Comparison, 2007<br />

Vacancy Rates in Ontario's 28 CA's (Census Agglomerations),<br />

Oct. 2007<br />

• North Bay<br />

currently has one of<br />

the lowest vacancy<br />

rates in Ontario,<br />

relative to other<br />

cities that form<br />

“census<br />

agglomerations”<br />

Vacancy Rate<br />

Petawawa<br />

Ingersoll<br />

Leamington<br />

Chatham-Kent<br />

Cornwall<br />

Elliot Lake<br />

Temiskaming Shores<br />

Sarnia<br />

Tillsonburg<br />

Stratford<br />

Belleville<br />

Cobourg<br />

Hawkesbury<br />

Woodstock<br />

Midland<br />

Orillia<br />

Brockville<br />

Kawartha Lakes<br />

Owen Sound<br />

Collingwood<br />

Wellington Centre<br />

Timmins<br />

Norfolk<br />

Port Hope<br />

Sault Ste. Marie<br />

North Bay<br />

Pembroke<br />

Kenora


Key Indicators: <strong>Housing</strong> Roles &<br />

Responsibilities<br />

<strong>Housing</strong> Price ($)<br />

p<br />

<strong>Housing</strong> Supply & Demand<br />

E<br />

Supply<br />

• The Provincial<br />

Policy Statement<br />

(2005), the<br />

Municipal Planning<br />

Act and the Social<br />

<strong>Housing</strong> Reform Act<br />

(2000) provide<br />

some direction for<br />

housing policy and<br />

roles &<br />

responsibilities.<br />

q<br />

<strong>Housing</strong> Quantity (#)<br />

Demand<br />

• There still appears<br />

to be uncertainty as<br />

to the roles &<br />

responsibilities for<br />

housing, amongst<br />

community Leaders.


<strong>Housing</strong> Study Objectives<br />

Review the affordable housing needs and gaps<br />

within the District of Nipissing.<br />

Review the current capacity of existing public and<br />

private housing supply/stock and the secondary rental<br />

market.<br />

Review the impact that housing development and<br />

municipal planning have on the affordability of<br />

housing.<br />

Identify current housing development alignments<br />

and affordability rates within the District of Nipissing.


<strong>Housing</strong> Study Scope<br />

• Geography: Nipissing’s 11 municipalities.<br />

• Compile a demographic profile (household size,<br />

type, tenure,) to identify any gaps in the present<br />

housing stock.<br />

• Indicate the relevant socioeconomic characteristics<br />

that are unique to the District.<br />

• Define the housing needs required to support the<br />

projected population based upon socio-economic<br />

indicators.<br />

• Provide a population & household forecast.<br />

• Identify Best <strong>Housing</strong> Practices in use in other<br />

Municipalities / Communities.


<strong>Housing</strong> Study Methodology<br />

‣ Extensive analysis on population and<br />

household data: census 2006 (Statistics<br />

Canada).<br />

‣ Information sessions and meetings with key<br />

housing providers along the housing<br />

continuum.<br />

‣ Heard from housing consumers through<br />

surveys.<br />

‣ Referenced other reports, data.<br />

‣ The framework for the study was<br />

developed around two models:


The <strong>Housing</strong> Continuum<br />

Absolute homelessness<br />

Retirement Homes, Long-term care, etc.<br />

Private sector market<br />

Low Income High Income Time


The <strong>Housing</strong> Continuum<br />

Absolute homelessness<br />

Shelters, transitional housing,<br />

Supportive housing, etc.<br />

Retirement Homes, Long-term care, etc.<br />

Private sector market<br />

Traditional<br />

focus of Nonprofit<br />

sector<br />

Low Income High Income Time


The <strong>Housing</strong> Continuum<br />

Absolute homelessness<br />

Shelters, transitional housing,<br />

Supportive housing, etc.<br />

Retirement Homes, Long-term care, etc.<br />

Not for profit, community, social housing<br />

Private sector market<br />

Traditional<br />

focus of Nonprofit<br />

sector<br />

“Affordable” private<br />

rental and entry<br />

homeownership<br />

Low Income High Income Time


The <strong>Housing</strong> Continuum<br />

Absolute homelessness<br />

Shelters, transitional housing,<br />

Supportive housing, etc.<br />

Retirement Homes, Long-term care, etc.<br />

Not for profit, community, social housing<br />

Private<br />

Private<br />

sector<br />

sector<br />

market<br />

market<br />

Mortgage- free asset<br />

Traditional<br />

focus of Nonprofit<br />

sector<br />

“Affordable” private<br />

rental and entry<br />

homeownership<br />

Low Income High Income Time


The <strong>Housing</strong> Continuum<br />

Absolute homelessness<br />

Shelters, transitional housing,<br />

Supportive housing, etc.<br />

Retirement Homes, Long-term care, etc.<br />

Private<br />

Private<br />

sector<br />

sector<br />

market<br />

market<br />

Mortgage- free asset<br />

Not for profit, community, social housing<br />

Traditional<br />

focus of Nonprofit<br />

sector<br />

“Affordable” private<br />

rental and entry<br />

homeownership<br />

Private /Public<br />

sectors<br />

Low Income High Income Time


The <strong>Housing</strong> Continuum<br />

Absolute homelessness<br />

Shelters, transitional housing,<br />

Supportive housing, etc.<br />

Retirement Homes, Long-term care, etc.<br />

Private<br />

Private<br />

sector<br />

sector<br />

market<br />

market<br />

Mortgage- free asset<br />

Not for profit, community, social housing<br />

Traditional<br />

focus of Nonprofit<br />

sector<br />

“Affordable” private<br />

rental and entry<br />

homeownership<br />

Private /Public<br />

sectors<br />

Low Income High Income Time


Supply & Demand<br />

<strong>Housing</strong> Supply & Demand<br />

• Model is important<br />

for understanding the<br />

housing market<br />

<strong>Housing</strong> Price ($)<br />

p<br />

E<br />

Supply<br />

• Helps with<br />

understanding the<br />

affordable housing<br />

issues better and to<br />

implement effective<br />

solutions:<br />

q<br />

<strong>Housing</strong> Quantity (#)<br />

Demand<br />

• By providing insight<br />

into movements<br />

along the continuum<br />

• By helping to<br />

analyze all the<br />

interactive housing<br />

variables:


Supply & Demand<br />

People living on low incomes have few housing choices<br />

and can be significantly impacted by market changes<br />

which result in reduced housing supply and increased<br />

housing demand.<br />

<strong>Housing</strong> Price ($)<br />

p<br />

<strong>Housing</strong> Supply & Demand<br />

E<br />

q<br />

<strong>Housing</strong> Quantity (#)<br />

Supply<br />

Demand<br />

• Other factors<br />

(besides price) which<br />

affect the supply &<br />

demand of housing:<br />

the economy;<br />

employment;<br />

income;<br />

demographics;<br />

interest rates;<br />

inflation; technology;<br />

construction costs;<br />

government policy;<br />

municipal land-use<br />

planning.


General key Findings<br />

40-year population trends for Nipissing District and<br />

it’s municipalities and areas: general age groups,<br />

dependency ratios.<br />

20-year household trends for Nipissing District and<br />

it’s municipalities and areas: household size, family<br />

types, tenure.


General key Findings<br />

40-year population trends for Nipissing District and<br />

it’s municipalities and areas: general age groups,<br />

dependency ratios.<br />

20-year household trends for Nipissing District and<br />

it’s municipalities and areas: household size, family<br />

types, tenure.<br />

Profile of housing stock: structural type, age,<br />

secondary rental market.<br />

10-year population & household forecast (2007 –<br />

2016) for Nipissing District & North Bay.<br />

10- year affordable housing targets (rental &<br />

ownership) for households with incomes $0-$45,000<br />

(Nipissing, North Bay and remaining areas).


General key Findings<br />

A socioeconomic snapshot of Nipissing District and<br />

it’s municipalities and areas: culture, labour force,<br />

income, education, housing.<br />

How affordable housing is provisioned for, in terms<br />

of municipal planning.<br />

Identified gaps along the housing continuum.<br />

Affordable <strong>Housing</strong> Best Practices.


Gaps Along Nipissing’s<br />

Continuum<br />

Where are the gaps in the continuum?<br />

Low Income<br />

High Income<br />

Time


Gaps Along Nipissing’s<br />

Continuum<br />

Shelters;<br />

Transitional;<br />

Supportive<br />

housing<br />

Low Income High Income Time


Gaps Along Nipissing’s<br />

Continuum<br />

Shelters;<br />

Transitional;<br />

Supportive<br />

housing<br />

Social<br />

housing<br />

Low Income High Income Time


Gaps Along Nipissing’s<br />

Continuum<br />

Shelters;<br />

Transitional;<br />

Supportive<br />

housing<br />

Renters in<br />

core housing<br />

need & poor<br />

housing<br />

condition<br />

Social<br />

housing<br />

Low Income High Income Time


Gaps Along Nipissing’s<br />

Continuum<br />

Shelters;<br />

Transitional;<br />

Supportive<br />

housing<br />

Renters in<br />

core housing<br />

need & poor<br />

housing<br />

condition<br />

Social<br />

housing<br />

Lack of<br />

rental<br />

supply<br />

Low Income High Income Time


Gaps Along Nipissing’s<br />

Continuum<br />

Shelters;<br />

Transitional;<br />

Supportive<br />

housing<br />

Renters in<br />

core housing<br />

need & poor<br />

housing<br />

condition<br />

Owners in<br />

core housing<br />

need & poor<br />

housing<br />

condition<br />

Social<br />

housing<br />

Lack of<br />

rental<br />

supply<br />

Low Income High Income Time


Gaps Along Nipissing’s<br />

Continuum<br />

Shelters;<br />

Transitional;<br />

Supportive<br />

housing<br />

Renters in<br />

core housing<br />

need & poor<br />

housing<br />

condition<br />

Owners in<br />

core housing<br />

need & poor<br />

housing<br />

condition<br />

Social<br />

housing<br />

Lack of<br />

rental<br />

supply<br />

Lack of<br />

entry-level<br />

houses to<br />

buy<br />

Low Income High Income Time


Gaps Along Nipissing’s<br />

Continuum<br />

Shelters;<br />

Transitional;<br />

Supportive<br />

housing<br />

Renters in<br />

core housing<br />

need & poor<br />

housing<br />

condition<br />

Owners in<br />

core housing<br />

need & poor<br />

housing<br />

condition<br />

Seniors<br />

housing (LTC,<br />

supportive,<br />

retirement,<br />

etc.)<br />

Social<br />

housing<br />

Lack of<br />

rental<br />

supply<br />

Lack of<br />

entry-level<br />

houses to<br />

buy<br />

Low Income High Income Time


Affordable <strong>Housing</strong> Best<br />

Practices: Partnerships at Work<br />

Potters Hands <strong>Housing</strong>: Affordable, mixed-tenant Apartment Building<br />

CMHC Award Winner (2004)<br />

• 39-unit, mixed tenant<br />

Building with rents that<br />

are 30% lower than<br />

average market rents.<br />

• Construction costs:<br />

$47.92 /sq. ft.


Affordable <strong>Housing</strong> Best<br />

Practices: Partnerships at Work<br />

Partners /Contributors:<br />

- David Thomson Health Authority<br />

- Community Initiatives Grant, Alberta Lottery<br />

- Federal /Provincial Affordable <strong>Housing</strong> Partnership Initiative<br />

- Canadian Mental Health Association<br />

- P & S Investments (local business)<br />

Potters Hands <strong>Housing</strong>: Affordable, mixed-tenant Apartment Building<br />

CMHC Award Winner (2004)<br />

• 39-unit, mixed tenant<br />

Building with rents that<br />

are 30% lower than<br />

average market rents.<br />

• Construction costs:<br />

$47.92 /sq. ft.


Affordable <strong>Housing</strong> Best<br />

Practices: Partnerships at Work<br />

• Includes 15 bachelor units for people<br />

with mental illness and others requiring<br />

support services –rent includes<br />

some meals & utilities.<br />

• Remaining units are 1 & 2 bedrooms for<br />

single parents, working couples, families<br />

and individuals with low income, and<br />

single people on disability.<br />

• Rents: bachelor unit =$375 /mo.<br />

2-bdrms. = $550 /mo.


Affordable <strong>Housing</strong> Best<br />

Practices: Partnerships at Work<br />

• Includes 15 bachelor units for people<br />

with mental illness and others requiring<br />

support services –rent includes<br />

some meals & utilities.<br />

• Remaining units are 1 & 2 bedrooms for<br />

single parents, working couples, families<br />

and individuals with low income, and<br />

single people on disability.<br />

• Rents: bachelor unit =$375 /mo.<br />

2-bdrms. = $550 /mo.<br />

HOW?!


Affordable <strong>Housing</strong> Best<br />

Practices: Partnerships at Work<br />

Local businessmen had access to capital funding and<br />

compassion to address major social needs – the CMHA had<br />

information on funding streams, the ability to complete<br />

proposals and outreach support.<br />

• Includes 15 bachelor units for people<br />

with mental illness and others requiring<br />

support services –rent includes<br />

some meals & utilities.<br />

• Remaining units are 1 & 2 bedrooms for<br />

single parents, working couples, families<br />

and individuals with low income, and<br />

single people on disability.<br />

• Rents: bachelor unit =$375 /mo.<br />

2-bdrms. = $550 /mo.<br />

HOW?!


Next Step in Moving Forward<br />

Look at the recommendations from the report<br />

and set out a strategy for implementation.<br />

A housing forum is planned for Tuesday, June 17 2008:<br />

<strong>Housing</strong> in Nipissing Communities: Building the<br />

Foundations.


Next Step in Moving Forward<br />

Look at the recommendations from the report<br />

and set out a strategy for implementation.<br />

A housing forum is planned for Tuesday, June 17 2008:<br />

<strong>Housing</strong> in Nipissing Communities: Building the<br />

Foundations.<br />

-The forum is for Community Leaders; Stakeholders; Municipal<br />

Planners; Builders /Developers; Employers; Health Providers;<br />

and organizations serving families, children, students, disabled,<br />

homeless and seniors – everyone who is impacted directly or<br />

indirectly by the current housing situation in Nipissing<br />

District.<br />

-Intended outcomes of the forum include:<br />

developing a compendium of strategies for Nipissing’s<br />

communities<br />

Establishing the partnerships & networks that will contribute to<br />

the implementation of solutions


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