The London Globalist - Issue 1
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<strong>Issue</strong> I Summer 2010<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST<br />
A Media Eclipse:<br />
Israel-Palestine and the World’s<br />
Forgotten Conflicts<br />
image credit: flickr “tsweden”<br />
Interviews with Sir Howard Davies<br />
and Lord Nicholas Stern<br />
Latin American socialism<br />
in the 21st Century<br />
Washington’s covert campaign against<br />
Islamist militant movements in Pakistan
<strong>The</strong> <strong>London</strong> <strong>Globalist</strong> is a member of<br />
Global21<br />
Network of International<br />
Affairs Magazines<br />
www.global21online.org<br />
1 NETWORK<br />
LINKING<br />
FUTURE<br />
WORLD<br />
LEADERS<br />
5 LANGUAGES<br />
5 CONTINENTS<br />
10 UNIVERSITIES<br />
245 000 STUDENTS<br />
Yale University • University of Toronto • University of Sydney • Hebrew University • Institut d’Études Politiques de Paris •<br />
<strong>London</strong> School of Economics • Peking University • University of Cape Town • Bogaziçi University • University of South Australia
<strong>The</strong> <strong>London</strong> <strong>Globalist</strong>: <strong>Issue</strong> I Summer 2010<br />
Contents<br />
5 Editorial<br />
FEATURE ARTICLE<br />
A Media Eclipse: Israel-Palestine and the World’s Forgotten Conflicts<br />
6<br />
Cry Havoc! And Let Slip the Drones of War...<br />
<strong>The</strong> Great Game Redux<br />
Interview with Lord Nicholas Stern<br />
<strong>The</strong> Right Kind of Financial Education<br />
New Labour and the Death of the Ideas<br />
Credit Crunched - Governing Global Finance<br />
21st Century Socialism<br />
12<br />
16<br />
20<br />
22<br />
23<br />
24<br />
28<br />
HIGHLIGHTS<br />
<strong>The</strong> Fight of Her Life<br />
32<br />
33<br />
34<br />
38<br />
40<br />
<strong>The</strong> Human Cost of War: How Canada is Coping with its Soldiers’ Mental Health <strong>Issue</strong>s<br />
<strong>The</strong> EU and India: Bigger than the sum of their parts?<br />
Enter Asia, Exit the West?<br />
CULTURE<br />
<strong>The</strong> Man Booker Prize
THE LONDON GLOBALIST<br />
Interested<br />
in Working for<br />
<strong>The</strong> <strong>London</strong><br />
<strong>Globalist</strong>?<br />
<strong>The</strong> editorial team is currently recruting:<br />
WRITERS PHOTOGRAPHERS DESIGNERS<br />
EDITORS NON-EDITORIAL STAFF<br />
Email editor@londonglobalist.og.uk or visit<br />
www.londonglobalist.org.uk for more details
Dear<br />
<strong>Globalist</strong> Readers<br />
W<br />
elcome to the inaugural<br />
issue of <strong>The</strong> <strong>London</strong><br />
<strong>Globalist</strong>, an LSE magazine<br />
devoted international affairs. Written<br />
and compiled by your fellow students,<br />
the magazine will publish tri-annually<br />
featuring LSE’s best authors as well as<br />
international contributors.<br />
<strong>The</strong> <strong>London</strong> <strong>Globalist</strong> is the result<br />
of a journey started in 2000 at Yale<br />
University. Wishing to deliver highquality<br />
student journalism to inspire and<br />
provoke debate among their peers, <strong>The</strong><br />
Yale <strong>Globalist</strong> soon developed into more<br />
than just an independent magazine and<br />
today consists of 10 chapters worldwide.<br />
We are proud to include LSE within<br />
the Global21 and hope to enable our<br />
dynamic and engaged student body to<br />
contribute in global discussion.<br />
In many ways, this magazine is a<br />
response to a demand; voiced not<br />
only by LSE students wishing greater<br />
participation and forum for debate, but<br />
also by the challenges of our times. As<br />
<strong>The</strong> <strong>London</strong> <strong>Globalist</strong> is launched and<br />
<strong>The</strong> <strong>Globalist</strong> movement celebrates<br />
its 10-year anniversary, the world can<br />
simultaneously look back on the first<br />
decade of the 21st century. Marked by a<br />
rising China, Climate Change, the war<br />
on terror and the global financial crisis,<br />
the <strong>London</strong> <strong>Globalist</strong> dedicates its first<br />
issue to ‘<strong>The</strong> 21st century: A decade<br />
Retrospect”.<br />
This issue looks at some of the events<br />
that have marked the past decade<br />
and will continue to shape our future.<br />
Simon Black explores the implications<br />
of the recent crisis for global financial<br />
governance in a ‘credit crunched’<br />
world. Reporting on the implications of<br />
changing economic forces on classical<br />
domains of high-politics, Joseph Tam<br />
disaffirms myths concerning the rise of<br />
China and a declining West. Balance of<br />
power continues to feature in Brijesh<br />
Khemlani’s commentary of the ‘Great<br />
Game’ between bordering nations<br />
over Afghanistan. <strong>The</strong> role of ideology<br />
in the past decade is covered in Joe<br />
Rowley’s examination of the socialist<br />
phenomenon in Latin-America and Olly<br />
Wiseman’s obituary for ‘New Labour’<br />
in British politics. Hero Austin and<br />
Kimia Pezeshki interview LSE Professor<br />
Nicholas Stern, a major contributor<br />
to the definitive escalation of Climate<br />
Change on the international agenda.<br />
<strong>The</strong> feature article, by Noah Bernstein,<br />
addresses the controversial question of<br />
perceived disproportionate attention<br />
devoted by the media to the Israel-<br />
Palestine Conflict. Distancing himself<br />
from the exhausted pro-Palestine versus<br />
pro-Israel debate, the focus is instead<br />
on implications for other contemporary<br />
but ‘forgotten’ conflicts such as the<br />
one raging in the North-east of the<br />
Democratic Republic of Congo.<br />
With few of the challenges from the<br />
last decade resolved, the 21st century<br />
might not have yet lived up to promises<br />
of a better future envisioned by many,<br />
and although history remains at<br />
best an imperfect tool for predicting<br />
the future- the demand for strong<br />
voices representing our generation is<br />
heightened.<br />
Enjoy,<br />
Elisa Vieira and Henrik Vaaler<br />
(Editor’s-in-Chief, <strong>The</strong> <strong>London</strong> <strong>Globalist</strong>)<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST<br />
EDITORIAL STAFF:<br />
Editors in Chief:<br />
Elisa de Denaro Vieira<br />
Henrik Vaaler<br />
Managing Editors:<br />
Marlies Dachler<br />
Ben Sarhangian<br />
Catherine Tsalikis<br />
Associate Editors:<br />
Simon Black<br />
Wilson Chew<br />
Leonor Gonzalez<br />
Vivien Lu<br />
Juha Saarinen<br />
Noah Schwartz<br />
Francesca Washtell<br />
NON-EDITORIAL STAFF:<br />
Publisher/Executive Editor:<br />
Jeremy Smith<br />
Advertising & Sponsors:<br />
Julia Hug<br />
Eleonore Mouy<br />
Production Editor:<br />
Eduard Piel<br />
Webmaster/Online Editor:<br />
Jeremy Smith<br />
Editorial<br />
5
FEATURE ARTICLE<br />
A Media Eclipse:<br />
Israel-Palestine and the World’s<br />
Forgotten Conflicts<br />
Global coverage of world conflicts pales into<br />
insignificance when compared with reporting on<br />
the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.<br />
In a 48-hour period beginning on Christmas Eve 2008 the<br />
Christian fundamentalist Lord’s Resistance Army (LRA)<br />
killed, dismembered and burned at least 200 Congolese<br />
civilians. Soldiers raped women and girls, twisted the heads<br />
off babies, and cut the lips and ears off those they did not<br />
kill. <strong>The</strong>y hacked the rest to death using machetes or axes.<br />
Child soldiers helped abduct other children.<br />
A Media Eclipse: Israel-Palestine and the World’s Forgotten Conflicts<br />
During the same period the Israeli government and Hamas<br />
officials entered the final stages of failing cease-fire talks.<br />
War was on the horizon, but had not yet begun. An errant<br />
Hamas rocket killed two Gazan sisters; otherwise there were<br />
no cross-border casualties.<br />
According to AlertNet’s World Press Tracker, the two-day<br />
Israeli-Palestinian stand-off was reported in the global media<br />
40 times. <strong>The</strong>re were no reports on the LRA massacre in<br />
the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). Over the next<br />
three weeks Israel’s incursion into Gaza left 926 Palestinians<br />
and 3 Israeli civilians dead. <strong>The</strong> global media reported these<br />
events 2896 times. In the same period, Joseph Kony’s LRA<br />
killed 865 civilians and abducted 160 children. <strong>The</strong> media<br />
reported these events a total of 20 times.<br />
<strong>The</strong> Western media’s fascination with the Israeli-Palestinian<br />
conflict (IPC) has long<br />
overshadowed death<br />
and oppression in other<br />
parts of the world. Gilad<br />
Shalit and the Qassam<br />
rocket are known to many; the death of 5.9 million in the<br />
eight-nation Second Congo War is not. Recent Israeli and<br />
Palestinian elections were covered worldwide in real-time,<br />
while images of genocide in Rwanda and Sudan did not<br />
surface until it was too late. Countless articles argue media<br />
bias in favour of Israel or the Palestinians, yet few address<br />
the bias towards the conflict itself.<br />
“Countless articles argue media bias in favour of Israel<br />
or the Palestinians, yet few address the bias towards the<br />
conflict itself.”<br />
image credit: flickr “daveblume”<br />
<strong>The</strong> disproportionate media coverage raises several uncomfortable<br />
questions: why were the deaths of Congolese civilians<br />
at the hands of the LRA deemed less newsworthy than, in<br />
the first instance, crumbling cease-fire talks and, later, the<br />
deaths of Palestinian civilians? More generally, why is the<br />
West so consumed by the IPC and what are the consequences<br />
of underreporting other conflicts? Finally, can anything<br />
be done to redress<br />
the media balance so<br />
that the rights of all<br />
humans – regardless of<br />
colour, ethnicity, and<br />
geography – are given equal weight?<br />
<strong>The</strong> Explanation<br />
At first glance, the discrepancy in coverage appears linked to<br />
racism: how else to explain the ‘sins of omission’ in Rwanda<br />
and Sudan? Or the laissez-faire attitude towards Sierra<br />
Leone, Liberia, DRC, and, most recently, the ignored civilian<br />
massacres in Guinea and Nigeria? It is unlikely that the<br />
6<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST
international community would remain silent, or only send<br />
an impotent peacekeeping force, if hundreds of thousands<br />
(or even hundreds) of Palestinians and Israelis were being<br />
killed. However, the indifference is not limited to sub-<br />
Saharan Africa: conflicts in Southeast Asia (Philippines,<br />
Thailand), Latin America (Colombia), the Caucasus (Georgia,<br />
Nagorno-Karabakh), the Balkans (Bosnia), and even North<br />
America (Mexico) have been equally ignored. Consequently,<br />
the charge of racism may<br />
be misplaced.<br />
“…while the IPC may be of greater global<br />
interest than the LRA’s activities, the rights of the<br />
865 civilians killed in the DRC are as important as<br />
the 929 civilians killed in the Gaza conflict.”<br />
Instead, a more plausible<br />
explanation is simple selfinterest:<br />
the geopolitical,<br />
ideological, and religious<br />
implications of the IPC threaten global harmony. A sharp<br />
escalation in violence in the IPC could spark a regional if<br />
not global conflict. In contrast, a war between Eritrea and<br />
Ethiopia, regardless of casualties, does not carry the same<br />
threat to international stability. When Jews, Christians,<br />
Muslims, and Baha’i jostle for position in the Holy Land<br />
the religious sensitivities of half the world’s population<br />
are at stake. Conversely, internecine fighting between the<br />
Kikuyu and Luo of Kenya, again regardless of casualties, is<br />
seen as a tribal matter of little consequence to the outside<br />
world. Finally, and perhaps most important, the IPC is<br />
a proxy for a much larger ideological clash between the<br />
West and the Muslim world. Israel is either perceived as a<br />
symbol of Western imperialist power conducive to Western<br />
regional interests – particularly those of the much-reviled<br />
United States – or as a beacon of democracy amongst a sea<br />
of oppression. <strong>The</strong> Palestinians are seen to either represent<br />
the menace of the Arab and Muslim world or as a David<br />
righteously fighting the world’s Goliaths. <strong>The</strong> framing of the<br />
conflict in these ways permits the West to justify its actions<br />
in the Arab and Muslim world and allows Middle Eastern<br />
leaders to deflect attention away from their own repressive<br />
autocratic regimes. <strong>The</strong> Israelis and Palestinians are pawns<br />
in a greater ideological game, one whose every move is<br />
crucial to the national self-interest of every Western, Arab<br />
and Muslim country alike.<br />
It is clear then that the IPC is important and that the global<br />
media have a vested interest, perhaps even an obligation,<br />
to closely monitor the ongoing turmoil. However, while the<br />
conflict itself may be of prime (self-)interest, the human<br />
rights violations that occur in the IPC are of no greater<br />
comparative importance than those that occur elsewhere.<br />
Yet the global media does not make this crucial distinction<br />
and instead conflates the two. For example, while the IPC<br />
may be of greater global interest than the LRA’s activities, the<br />
rights of the 865 civilians killed in the DRC are as important<br />
as the 929 civilians killed in the Gaza conflict. Consequently,<br />
the explanation behind disproportionate media coverage is<br />
in no way a reasonable justification.<br />
<strong>The</strong> Justifications<br />
Still, arguments are made that human rights in the IPC are<br />
distinct from others and need to be prioritized. However,<br />
each attempted justification reveals contradictions when<br />
compared to past and ongoing conflicts.<br />
1. Special Responsibility<br />
One justification for the media’s fixation is that the world,<br />
and the West in particular, bear a unique responsibility for<br />
the IPC as they abetted the creation of a state for a displaced<br />
people by displacing<br />
another. However, if a sense<br />
of post-partition or postcolonial<br />
responsibility is<br />
the justification then what<br />
of Pakistan and India?<br />
Kashmir, another tragic byproduct<br />
of colonial mapmaking, has largely flown under the<br />
Western media radar despite the deaths of 67 000 civilians<br />
since a rebellion broke out in the Himalayan region in<br />
1989. <strong>The</strong> conflict is over a territory twenty times the size<br />
of Israel and the Palestinian territories, involves twice as<br />
many people, and has resulted in ten times as many deaths.<br />
<strong>The</strong>re are other post-partition losers – Nigeria, Ethiopia<br />
and Western Sahara, for example – who do not attract the<br />
same media spotlight as the IPC despite heavy civilian<br />
casualties and rampant oppression. If the West feels a moral<br />
obligation towards Palestinians and Israelis, then a similar<br />
obligation should be felt towards the hundreds of millions of<br />
others whose lives were also permanently disrupted due to<br />
historical Western meddling.<br />
2. Democratic Accountability<br />
A second justification for the media’s dogged attention is<br />
that Israel as a democracy is accountable to higher standards<br />
of behaviour – most importantly on human rights. <strong>The</strong>ir<br />
actions deserve magnification, hence the global media<br />
attention. However, if membership in the club of democracies<br />
demands greater accountability through the free press<br />
then Sri Lanka – a democracy of 20 million – should have<br />
featured as heavily in the media during and especially after<br />
its war with the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE)<br />
in early 2009. AlertNet’s World Press Tracker points in a<br />
different direction. <strong>The</strong> daily average of global headlines for<br />
the two conflicts during hostilities is severely unbalanced:<br />
image credit: flickr “daveblume”<br />
FEATURE ARTICLE<br />
A Media Eclipse: Israel-Palestine and the World’s Forgotten Conflicts<br />
7
FEATURE ARTICLE<br />
A Media Eclipse: Israel-Palestine and the World’s Forgotten Conflicts<br />
the IPC, on average, received 148 per day; Sri Lanka/LTTE,<br />
on average, 29 per day. <strong>The</strong> contrast is more disturbing<br />
when considering the civilian death toll: hostilities between<br />
January and May of 2009 left 20 000 Sri Lankan civilians<br />
dead. Both cases involved a government force attacking<br />
a terrorist group in areas dense with civilians. Yet the IPC<br />
featured in global media five times more often despite the<br />
death of twenty times more civilians in Sri Lanka.<br />
<strong>The</strong> average number of daily headlines for the two-week period<br />
following the end of hostilities is equally disproportionate:<br />
IPC, 75 per day; Sri Lanka/LTTE, 19 per day, the latter<br />
conflict falling off the media map almost entirely. This is<br />
particularly disturbing as both the Sri Lankan government<br />
and the LTTE stand accused of war crimes. Israel and<br />
Hamas’ alleged war crimes received intense media follow-up<br />
and the UN-sponsored Goldstone inquiry. <strong>The</strong> UN and the<br />
international community condemned the LTTE – accused<br />
of using civilians as human shields – and the Sri Lankan<br />
government – accused of executing unarmed Tamil prisoners<br />
of war and shelling hospitals and schools – but faced little<br />
follow-up scrutiny by the Western media. <strong>The</strong> UN has not<br />
initiated a war crimes probe as of March 10, 2010. In this<br />
instance, democracy did not lead to greater accountability.<br />
image credit: flickr “Austcare-world Humanitarian Aid’s”<br />
3. Extreme Oppression and Suffering<br />
A third justification is that the oppression suffered by the<br />
Palestinians warrants disproportionate media attention.<br />
Indeed, suffering incurred by Palestinians should be exposed<br />
so as to foster change. However, their cause should not<br />
overshadow the plight of the other 35 million refugees and<br />
24.5 million internally displaced persons (IDPs) worldwide.<br />
Millions of Central African refugees who live in constant fear<br />
of rebel and government attack are oppressed. Millions of<br />
Burmese IDPs with little or no freedom, including the right<br />
to leave their country, are oppressed. Yet their plight has been<br />
lost in the tailwinds of the IPC.<br />
<strong>The</strong> IPC involves 4 million Palestinians and 7 million<br />
Israelis – a relatively small combined population compared<br />
to the above-mentioned conflicts. Since 1980, total civilians<br />
deaths in the Sri Lankan conflict have been fifty times that<br />
of the IPC; Kashmir has seen one hundred times more<br />
civilians killed; and the conflict in the DRC has claimed five<br />
thousand times more lives than the IPC. Of course, death<br />
tolls alone are not a barometer of oppression. However,<br />
other indicators can be used to contextualize human<br />
suffering. For example, the UNDP’s Human Development<br />
Index, which measures “health, knowledge, and standard<br />
of living”, ranks the Occupied Palestinian Territories higher<br />
than every sub-Saharan African country, including South<br />
Africa. <strong>The</strong> index places the Palestinians in the ‘High Human<br />
Development’ category for adult literacy rates (93.8%), life<br />
expectancy at birth (73.3%), and malnourished children<br />
(3%). In all categories, the territories ranked higher than<br />
all South Asian and Arab countries, and even outpaced<br />
Brazil, Russia (adult literacy notwithstanding), India, and<br />
China. Even after Israel’s invasion of Gaza, World Health<br />
Organization representative Mahmoud Daher stated that<br />
“It [Gaza] is, of course, crowded and poor, but it is better<br />
off than nearly all of Africa as well as parts of Asia. <strong>The</strong>re<br />
is no acute malnutrition, and infant mortality rates compare<br />
with those in Egypt and Jordan”. Average aggregate GDP<br />
per capita in the Occupied Palestinian Territories ($4 400<br />
in the Gaza Strip, $2 800 in the West Bank) is greater than<br />
80 other countries including Albania, Armenia, Morocco,<br />
Uruguay, Ukraine, Indonesia, and Viet Nam. In a recent<br />
Wall Street Journal article Palestinian President Mahmoud<br />
Abbas said of the Palestinians living in the West Bank: “[W]<br />
e have a good reality. <strong>The</strong> people are living a normal life.”<br />
<strong>The</strong>se inconvenient truths are not intended to diminish the<br />
Palestinian right to freedom of movement and a homeland:<br />
the aim is simply to put the IPC into global perspective and<br />
to promote a more equitable coverage of global suffering.<br />
4. Type of Conflict<br />
A final justification for disproportionate media attention is<br />
that the IPC is an ongoing national liberation movement<br />
(NLM) rather than a civil war. This line of reasoning raises<br />
two problems. First, there exist other ongoing wars of national<br />
liberation involving large-scale death and destruction that<br />
receive little or no media coverage. Second, coming full<br />
circle, the type of conflict cannot be conflated with human<br />
rights violations: individuals are equal under international<br />
8<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST
human rights law.<br />
Other NLMs<br />
Tibet is a NLM that has claimed one million lives, many of<br />
them horrifically, since 1959. In pre-Olympic violence in<br />
March of 2008, Chinese police shot dead 140 protesting<br />
Tibetans. <strong>The</strong> events did make global headlines, but<br />
the coverage ended once the Olympics did – despite the<br />
continuation of human rights abuses.<br />
<strong>The</strong> conflict in Chechnya, classified as a NLM by several<br />
groups, has left 60 000 Chechen civilians dead since 1994.<br />
<strong>The</strong> Russians have massacred civilians and assassinated<br />
Chechen politicians, while the Chechens have launched<br />
suicide attacks and sown terror – violence similar to that of<br />
the IPC yet largely unreported.<br />
Western Sahara is a NLM where<br />
the Sahrawi people reject Morocco’s<br />
1974 annexation of the former<br />
Spanish colony. A 2 700 km wall<br />
(the Berm, or Wall of Shame),<br />
constructed by Morocco in the<br />
1980s, divides the country. It<br />
is manned by Moroccan armed<br />
forces, limiting the movement of<br />
the Sahrawi. <strong>The</strong> US, the EU, the<br />
AU, and the UN do not recognize<br />
Morocco’s occupation of Western<br />
Sahara. AlertNet has a record of<br />
3 international headlines for the<br />
conflict during the whole of 2009,<br />
all linked to Sahrawi human rights<br />
activist Aminatou Haidar’s monthlong<br />
hunger strike in a Spanish airport. <strong>The</strong> number of<br />
casualties in the conflict is ‘only’ in the low hundreds, but its<br />
similarities with the IPC – including accusations of human<br />
rights abuses on both sides – demonstrate that NLMs do not<br />
necessarily receive an equal place under the global media<br />
spotlight.<br />
Human Rights Law<br />
Differentiating - and prioritizing – a certain type of conflict<br />
over another ignores the fundamental concept of human<br />
rights enshrined in the Universal Declaration of Human<br />
Rights and the Fourth Geneva Convention: a civilian<br />
oppressed or killed in any part of the world under any<br />
illegal circumstances is a violation of their human rights.<br />
Every individual is entitled to the same protection under<br />
international human rights law, international humanitarian<br />
law, and international criminal law regardless of the intensity<br />
or breadth of the conflict causing their deadly or oppressive<br />
circumstances. This includes the 150 000 Liberians killed<br />
in the civil war of ‘99 – ‘03, the 300 000 North Koreans<br />
starved or worked to death in gulags since 2005, and the<br />
37 000 Kurds killed by Turkish forces since 1984. Yet there<br />
were no protests over Liberia, nor have any UN resolutions<br />
been passed on behalf of the North Koreans, and there have<br />
been no calls for divestment of Turkish assets. None recieved<br />
image credit: flickr “Zoriah”<br />
media coverage proportionate to that of the IPC despite<br />
vastly higher casualty numbers and thoroughly oppressive<br />
conditions. <strong>The</strong> message this conveys to these victims is clear:<br />
their human rights are secondary to the rights of others.<br />
Further, individual victims of human rights abuses who have<br />
no internal mechanism for recourse are more vulnerable<br />
than victims of formal conflicts such as the IPC. For example,<br />
women stoned to death for suspected adultery, men publicly<br />
executed for suspected homosexuality, albinos killed for body<br />
parts, lesbians ‘correctively raped’, or adults and children<br />
used as slaves - these isolated groups can all have their safety<br />
enhanced through increased international media attention.<br />
Yet advocacy on their behalf through the media (and even by<br />
human rights groups) is minimal when compared to the IPC,<br />
leaving them out of sight and, consequently, out of mind.<br />
<strong>The</strong> Consequences<br />
Ultimately, there is no justification for the media’s<br />
preferential coverage of human rights abuses in the IPC.<br />
<strong>The</strong> immediate consequences of this conflict bias are further<br />
polarisation of an already fragile divide and the export of its<br />
inflammatory politics to the rest of the world. An indirect but<br />
equally important consequence is that the media attention<br />
helps the IPC command a disproportionate chunk of global<br />
humanitarian aid, to the detriment of refugees and IDPs<br />
around the globe. Finally, while the IPC is at the forefront of<br />
the public consciousness, dozens of other conflicts involving<br />
hundreds of millions of people are almost entirely ignored.<br />
<strong>The</strong> United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine<br />
Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA) provides education,<br />
health care, social services and emergency aid to 400 000<br />
Palestinians. <strong>The</strong>re exists no other UN agency dedicated<br />
solely to refugees from a specific region or conflict. <strong>The</strong><br />
rest of the 60 million refugees and IDPs around the globe<br />
rely on the United Nations High Commission on Refugees<br />
(UNHCR). In 2000, UNRWA spent $72 per Palestinian<br />
while the UNHCR spent $53 on refugees from the rest of the<br />
world, an inexplicable shortfall of 25%. <strong>The</strong> UNRWA claims<br />
it is under funded and makes repeated funding appeals to its<br />
two main donors – the United States and the European union.<br />
FEATURE ARTICLE<br />
A Media Eclipse: Israel-Palestine and the World’s Forgotten Conflicts<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST<br />
9
FEATURE ARTICLE<br />
A Media Eclipse: Israel-Palestine and the World’s Forgotten Conflicts<br />
Israel is the largest recipient of US aid in the world, topping<br />
2.5 billion dollars in 2009. Although the majority of aid is<br />
tied to military spending, this works out to more than $400<br />
per Israeli. In 2006, Israel received 12% of all US foreign<br />
assistance while the whole of Africa (minus Egypt) received<br />
12%. For reference, the population of Israel is 7.3 million.<br />
<strong>The</strong> African continent is home to over 1 billion. GDP per<br />
capita in Israel is $28 900 while the average African GDP<br />
is under $3 000. With 300 million Africans living below the<br />
poverty line and 27% of their children malnourished, it is<br />
not difficult to argue that US aid is closely tied to its own<br />
interests and not to where it is needed most.<br />
<strong>The</strong> tragedy of disproportionate aid is that it perpetuates the<br />
conflict – perhaps intentionally – providing little incentive<br />
for leaders to move beyond the status quo. Military aid to<br />
Israel has fostered belligerence, political rigidity, and a<br />
regional arms race. Israeli governments act with impunity<br />
knowing that the US is loath to<br />
withdraw aid. <strong>The</strong> UNRWA has<br />
propped up governments dedicated<br />
to violence, seen millions of dollars<br />
siphoned off by officials, and has<br />
employed known terrorists. Former<br />
UNRWA general-counsel James G.<br />
Lindsay stated in 2009 that the<br />
UNRWA “has taken very few steps<br />
to detect and eliminate terrorists<br />
from the ranks of its staff or its<br />
beneficiaries, and no steps at all to<br />
prevent members of organizations<br />
such as Hamas from joining its<br />
staff. [...] No justification exists for<br />
millions of dollars in humanitarian<br />
aid going to those who can afford<br />
to pay for UNRWA services.”<br />
Accordingly, Canada redirected<br />
aid earmarked for the UNRWA<br />
to projects strengthening the Palestinian judicial system<br />
to “ensure accountability and foster democracy.” In short,<br />
not only does disproportionate aid leave millions of others<br />
worse off, it helps reinforce intransigence in the IPC thus<br />
propagating its survival.<br />
<strong>The</strong> greatest consequence of disproportionate media<br />
coverage is that many conflicts involving gross violations<br />
of human rights never reach the public consciousness. As<br />
demonstrated above, the rights of Liberians, Sudanese,<br />
Sri Lankans, North Koreans, Rwandese, Colombians,<br />
Congolese, Guineans, Burmese, Nigerians, Sierra Leoneans,<br />
Mexicans, Tibetans, Chechens, Sahrawis, Kurds, Kashmiris,<br />
albinos, women, homosexuals, children, and even those of<br />
Palestinians outside the Occupied Territories have been<br />
largely ignored. While the slightest event in the IPC (such<br />
image credit: flickr “bissane Gaza Solidarity ”<br />
as the building of an Israeli museum on top of a 15th century<br />
Palestinian cemetery parking lot) is covered in nearly every<br />
major Western newspaper, ongoing human rights abuses in<br />
the rest of the world (such as the continued killing of Sudanese<br />
civilians) do not. CNN International’s one year retrospective<br />
on the ‘War in Gaza’ is a fitting example: during the show,<br />
two statistics scrolled by at the bottom of the screen “...15 000<br />
civilians estimated dead in Mexico drug wars...225 000 child<br />
slaves in Haiti.” That these disturbing realities were not the<br />
focus of the show – rather than a war that had ended one year<br />
ago – is further evidence that the media’s fascination with the<br />
IPC outstrips that of any other conflict today, regardless of<br />
the scale of human rights abuses.<br />
<strong>The</strong> Solutions<br />
Redressing the media balance will not be simple: after<br />
decades of reinforcement the IPC is firmly entrenched in the<br />
hearts and minds of Westerners, Arabs, and Muslims alike.<br />
However, if one conflict can turn so many heads, so can<br />
others. <strong>The</strong> international media reaction to Darfur, while too<br />
late, likely stopped further atrocities and was an indication<br />
that diversification of human rights coverage is possible.<br />
Unfortunately, most conflicts don’t have enough geopolitical,<br />
ideological, or religious significance to trigger a global<br />
response. However, as outlined above, global media consumers<br />
are motivated to act on behalf of others when self-interest<br />
and/or guilt are present. While difficult to manufacture, these<br />
sentiments can be communicated through various conduits<br />
such as images and world leaders.<br />
A single image from the Ethiopian famine of 1984 sparked<br />
an unparalleled response from the international community.<br />
10<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST
Since then, horrific and shocking images of suffering are<br />
required if a natural disaster or conflict is to penetrate the<br />
public’s consciousness. Both the Palestinians and Israelis<br />
harness this potential expertly. Unfortunately, other conflicts<br />
are unable to generate images due to lack of access and<br />
material. <strong>The</strong>re were no images of the LRA massacre in DRC<br />
because there were no reporters. “You cannot fight for what<br />
you do not see,” was the<br />
reply of a Congolese<br />
villager when asked if<br />
he begrudged the world<br />
for ignoring his plight.<br />
Similarly, there were<br />
few images of the 20 000 dead Sri Lankan civilians due to<br />
government media restrictions. However, citizen journalism<br />
– whereby civilians are armed with smart technology that<br />
can easily diffuse images of suffering – has proven to be an<br />
effective awareness-raising technique that erases problems<br />
of both access and material.<br />
“<strong>The</strong> greatest consequence of disproportionate media<br />
coverage is that many conflicts involving gross violations<br />
of human rights never reach the public consciousness.”<br />
However, even if images are produced they are often<br />
ineffectual on the receiving end due to overload and<br />
sensitization. <strong>The</strong> competition between tragedies is fierce<br />
and can quickly overwhelm the media consumer to the<br />
point of inaction. One awareness-raising method that has<br />
proven to be remarkably effective is using world leaders to<br />
diffuse messages. Particularly powerful is the celebrity-asspokesperson<br />
approach. While it may seem trivial, the level<br />
of importance the world attributes to its celebrities cannot<br />
be underestimated. Concerts for debt relief, telethons for<br />
earthquake victims, and special UN goodwill ambassadors<br />
have all proven exemplary at helping causes rise from<br />
obscurity and into the living room of the mass media<br />
consumer.<br />
Once images are generated – and world leaders and celebrities<br />
attached to them – they can be used as tools by activists and<br />
diasporas to instigate change. Again, Palestinians and Israelis<br />
demonstrate that this method can be exceptionally effective<br />
for publicizing discontent. <strong>The</strong> cynic, of course, would argue<br />
that the media is a vehicle of the agenda-setting elite and that<br />
any attempt to breach the hegemony is futile. While pushing<br />
unheralded stories<br />
through various media<br />
channels is not easy,<br />
recent WTO and antiwar<br />
demonstrations<br />
have shown it is<br />
possible. In addition, recent campaigns by human rights<br />
groups such as Amnesty International and Human Rights<br />
Watch have confirmed civil society’s importance in public<br />
debate and demonstrated that if communal will is strong<br />
enough, change is possible.<br />
Conclusion<br />
<strong>The</strong> debate surrounding humanitarian intervention and<br />
the responsibility to protect has stalled. In the meantime,<br />
soft power in the form of the global media should be used to<br />
ensure equal representation. This will, in turn, ignite public<br />
opinion and promote change without infringing on state<br />
sovereignty. While perfectly equal representative coverage<br />
would be difficult to achieve, proportionate diversified<br />
coverage is entirely possible.<br />
This does not imply that support for Palestinians or Israelis<br />
should be abandoned; only that it should be shared with<br />
those who are ignored. If our moral code guides us in the<br />
IPC then let it be our beacon elsewhere as well. Concern for<br />
human right’s abuses needs to stretch beyond a small patch<br />
of land in the Middle East.<br />
FEATURE ARTICLE<br />
image credit: flickr “Julien Harneis”<br />
Noah Bernstein<br />
n.bernstein@lse.ac.uk<br />
A Media Eclipse: Israel-Palestine and the World’s Forgotten Conflicts<br />
11
Cry Havoc!<br />
And Let Slip the Drones of War...<br />
Since 2004, Washington has waged a relatively covert campaign against<br />
Islamist militant movements in Pakistan’s North-western regions. In the<br />
past two years, the campaign has increased considerably, drawing international<br />
criticism. As a part of the criticism, two questions have become<br />
commonplace: Is the campaign effective, and is it justifiable?<br />
Cry Havoc! And Let Slip the Drones of War...<br />
Background<br />
In America’s Global War on Terror (GWOT), there have<br />
been two major theatres, Afghanistan and Iraq. Both<br />
countries experienced forceful removal of old regimes<br />
by an American-led invasion followed by attempted statebuilding<br />
campaigns; the ideological premises of these actions<br />
could not to survive realities on the ground. Perhaps<br />
inevitably, both countries saw a rise in insurgent activity,<br />
leaving the occupying forces to wage counter-terrorism and<br />
counter-insurgency campaigns. While the Islamist uprising<br />
in Iraq seems to be waning, the neo-Taliban insurgency in<br />
Afghanistan is gathering pace.<br />
A substantial element in the persistence of the neo-Taliban<br />
threat results from the region’s geopolitical peculiarities. <strong>The</strong><br />
terrain in Afghanistan, especially near the Pakistani border,<br />
offers a natural safe-haven for insurgents. <strong>The</strong> mountain<br />
ranges in South-eastern Afghanistan and North-western<br />
Pakistan have been a permanent base since 1979. It has not<br />
helped that insurgents inside Afghanistan have established<br />
a regional infrastructure network to facilitate the smuggling<br />
of arms, drugs and munitions, taking full advantage of the<br />
porous borders surrounding them, which also enabled crossborder<br />
raids.<br />
<strong>The</strong> quintessential beneficiary, and more recently, victim<br />
of Afghanistan’s porous borders has been Pakistan. After<br />
the withdrawal of Soviet forces, Pakistan sought to install a<br />
friendly regime in Kabul, most recently in the form of Taliban,<br />
to gain strategic depth in its rivalry against India. However,<br />
the pyrrhic nature of Pakistan’s Taliban-policy became<br />
clear as the neo-Taliban insurgency intensified. Pakistan’s<br />
efforts to support the Taliban backfired and led to the talibanization<br />
of Pakistan’s own Pashtun-dominated areas in the<br />
North-western Frontier Provinces (NWFP) and Federally<br />
Administrated Tribal Areas (FATA). <strong>The</strong>se areas suffered<br />
from Pashtun irredentism generated by the often ambiguous<br />
Durand Line, reinforced by genuine social grievances, lack of<br />
government legitimacy and absence of public services.<br />
<strong>The</strong> intensification of the Islamist insurgency in Pakistan<br />
meant NWFP and FATA became a sanctuary and an operational<br />
base for militants, conveniently out of ground forces<br />
reach. International forces were unable to engage the militants<br />
on the Pakistani side of the border and other than<br />
establishing a presence in South Waziristan, the Pakistani<br />
military has largely resisted launching large-scale assaults<br />
on the militant strongholds. Despite mounting pressure on<br />
Pakistan’s military to deal with militant-controlled areas,<br />
the insurgents have established a virtual safe-haven in the<br />
regional provinces. <strong>The</strong> question on the Pentagon’s mind is<br />
how to resolve this problem.<br />
Drone <strong>The</strong>m into the Stone Age<br />
Washington’s air campaign in the NWFP and FATA tribal regions<br />
has become the cornerstone of counter-insurgency and<br />
counter-terrorism strategy in Pakistan. Operations started<br />
after Washington became increasingly frustrated over perceived<br />
failure by Islamabad to prevent the militant action<br />
and infiltration into Afghanistan. Since 2004, Washington<br />
has conducted a covert program to target and eliminate<br />
al-Qaeda and Taliban commanders and fighters, including<br />
their external operations networks based in Pakistan’s tribal<br />
regions. According to New America Foundation (NAF) and<br />
the Long War Journal (LWJ), who have been compiling a database<br />
on the drone campaign, there have been 10 Predator<br />
drone strikes between 2004 and 2007. Casualty estimates<br />
vary between 87 and 109- of which 77 to 100 were militantskeeping<br />
civilian deaths to a minimum.<br />
12<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST
<strong>The</strong> Obama Administration has not viewed such numbers as<br />
credible deterrents against militants operating in and out of<br />
NWFP and FATA- prioritizing the strategic importance of<br />
disrupting militant activity in the tribal regions. <strong>The</strong> drone<br />
campaign has now become the foundation of Washington’s<br />
counter-terrorism in Pakistan. <strong>The</strong> objective has not<br />
changed: to root out and decapitate senior leadership of al<br />
Qaeda, the Taliban, and other allied terror groups, like the<br />
Haqqani Network (HQN) and Tehrik-i-Taliban (TTP) to<br />
disrupt al-Qaeda’s global and local operations in the region.<br />
However, the intensity has increased, including considerations<br />
in March 2009 to widen its geographic scope to include<br />
Balochistan.<br />
Osama al-Kini, al-Qaeda’s operations chief in Pakistan and<br />
one of the masterminds behind the embassy bombings in<br />
Kenya and Tanzania. Moreover, drone strikes have claimed<br />
numerous HQN leaders. NAF and LWJ both report that<br />
while the attacks have increased, civilian casualties have remained<br />
relatively low.<br />
<strong>The</strong> Strategic Impact of the Drone Attacks<br />
<strong>The</strong> drone attacks are a typical tool in Washington’s arsenal<br />
to combat militant activity in Pakistan. However, prevalence<br />
of the drone strategy does not necessarily imply effectiveness.<br />
While there is considerable support for the continuation, if<br />
“If we want to strengthen<br />
our friends and weaken our<br />
enemies in Pakistan, bombing<br />
Pakistani villages with<br />
unmanned drones is totally<br />
counterproductive”<br />
image credit: flickr “Helmandblog ”<br />
“Washington’s air campaign in Pakistan’s tribal region<br />
has become the cornerstone of counter-insurgency and<br />
counter-terrorism strategies in Pakistan.”<br />
Correlating with the intensifying insurgency, Predator drone<br />
strikes increased to 34 in 2008 and 59 in 2009. 2010 has<br />
already witnessed 25 strikes. <strong>The</strong> casualty levels have also<br />
grown increasingly. According to NAF, “the 122 reported<br />
drone strikes in northwest Pakistan, including 26 in 2010,<br />
from 2004 to the<br />
present have killed approximately<br />
between<br />
867 and 1,281 individuals,<br />
of whom around<br />
582 to 915 were described<br />
as militants in reliable press accounts, about twothirds<br />
of the total on average.” <strong>The</strong> increasing number of<br />
drone attacks has resulted in the elimination of several notable<br />
militants. Between 2004 and 2007, only four top-level<br />
militants were neutralised.<br />
In contrast, by 2009, the drone strikes have caused the death<br />
of Baitullah Mehsud, leader of TTP, his deputy, in addition<br />
to Saleh al-Somali, al-Qaeda’s external network leader, and<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST<br />
not escalation of the drone attacks, there are also critical voices<br />
being heard. Dr. David Kilcullen, one of the leading thinkers<br />
on counterinsurgency, and an advisor to both General<br />
David Petraeus and former Secretary of State Condoleezza<br />
Rice, errs on the side of caution: “If we want to strengthen<br />
our friends and<br />
weaken our enemies<br />
in Pakistan, bombing<br />
Pakistani villages with<br />
unmanned drones is<br />
totally counterproductive”<br />
he quipped in an interview with Danger Room, a notable<br />
national security blog, in early 2009.<br />
<strong>The</strong>re is logic to Dr. Kilcullen’s argument. On the one hand,<br />
while eliminating terrorists will no doubt reflect well on<br />
Obama’s domestic approval ratings, it does little to address<br />
the strategic balance between the insurgents and the counter-insurgency<br />
efforts. It can hardly prevent cross-border<br />
infiltration into Afghanistan and in the medium term will<br />
Cry Havoc! And Let Slip the Drones of War...<br />
13
likely drive an increasing number of militant leaders underground,<br />
making it more difficult to gather intelligence.<br />
Furthermore, Pakistani authorities have systematically condemned<br />
American drone attacks on their territory, despite an<br />
alleged “mutual understanding” behind the scenes. While there<br />
undoubtedly is coordination between Islamabad and Washington<br />
on the drone campaign, it is most likely to further decrease<br />
Drones are best utilized as a surgical strike force, to be used<br />
sparingly against high-value targets. <strong>The</strong>y cannot change<br />
the strategic balance in Pakistan against the militants, and<br />
neither should they be deployed as cost-effective, risk-averse<br />
extrajudicial assassination schemes. This only furthers the<br />
alienation of the Pakistani population. Many Islamabad officials<br />
have long claimed drone attacks fuel the insurgency,<br />
only to have their statements fall on deaf ears in Washington.<br />
“Sometimes we might have to<br />
[attack with drones] — but<br />
only where larger interests<br />
(say, stopping another 9/11)<br />
are directly affected…”<br />
Dr David Kilcullen<br />
Cry Havoc! And Let Slip the Drones of War...<br />
the legitimacy of Pakistan’s capital in the tribal regions. Likewise,<br />
the drone strikes have further upset the delicate balance<br />
in FATA and NWFP - tipping it in favour of the militants,<br />
who are ready and eager to exploit the upheaval caused<br />
by attacks. While “low civilian casualties” might be acceptable<br />
to the Pentagon, it is unlikely that such acceptance exists<br />
in Peshawar, or even Islamabad. Civilian casualties are<br />
consistently exaggerated in the Pakistani press, further aggravating<br />
domestic opinion of Washington. In a Gallup poll<br />
conducted in August 2009, paltry nine percent of Pakistanis<br />
expressed support for the drone strikes, while 67% opposed<br />
them. Comparatively, 41% supported military action against<br />
the Islamist militants by the Pakistanis, while only 24% opposed<br />
such actions.<br />
However, the drones can have a role in this conflict. As<br />
Kilcullen also noted in the interview with Danger Room,<br />
“Sometimes we might have to [attack with drones] — but<br />
only where larger interests (say, stopping another 9/11) are<br />
directly affected… ...We need to be extremely careful about<br />
undermining the longer-term objective - a stable Pakistan.”<br />
This reveals the overall problem of Obama’s drone strategy.<br />
<strong>The</strong>re is considerable overreliance on drone attacks, and little<br />
consideration over their impact on the socio-political dynamics<br />
in the tribal areas and wider Pakistan.<br />
However, no effective counterinsurgency strategy can ignore<br />
the population. This might become a lesson Washington<br />
needs to learn again.<br />
<strong>The</strong> Next Generation War Criminals<br />
Herein lies an additional problem facing the Obama Administration’s<br />
drone campaign. Forget strategic limitations of the<br />
drone attacks and their operational misuse, it is within the<br />
political, or legal battleground that the additional negative<br />
implications of the drone campaign are found.<br />
Problematically, it is not the US military that is in charge of<br />
the drone campaign in Pakistan. Although the drones over<br />
the Afghani skies fly under Air Force command, their jurisdiction<br />
ends at the border. On the other side, the Central Intelligence<br />
Agency (CIA) takes over. Hence, this puts Washington<br />
in an awkward position for two reasons. First, as the<br />
drone attacks are CIA operations, Washington is in a position<br />
where it can neither confirm nor deny the occurrence of these<br />
attacks. Essentially, this means that Washington is waging a<br />
publicly known “secret war” in Pakistan. Washington’s inability<br />
to address the aftermath of these attacks, either vis-àvis<br />
Pakistan or the international community will surely create<br />
further schism as the campaign intensifies. Second, CIA’s<br />
operational responsibility casts doubt over the legal status of<br />
14<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST
the pilots as civilian participation in combat is prohibited by<br />
two protocols of the 1949 Geneva Convention. According to<br />
several critics of the drone campaign, this ironically brands<br />
the drone pilots as unlawful combatants under international<br />
law. In theory, this opens the door to prosecute the pilots and<br />
top US officials as war criminals in the future.<br />
<strong>The</strong> ambiguous legal position of pilots has left Washington<br />
scrambling for a justification of the attacks. In a recent conference<br />
address, State Department Legal Adviser Harold<br />
Koh stated that: “<strong>The</strong> United States is in “an armed conflict”<br />
with Al-Qaeda, the Taliban<br />
and its affiliates as a result of<br />
the September 11 attacks, and<br />
may use force consistent with<br />
its inherent right to self-defence under the international<br />
law.” Washington’s drone policy neatly underlines the political<br />
subjectivities of applying international law to the GWOT<br />
and the drone campaign. Prior to September 11 attacks,<br />
former CIA chief George Tenet argued that for the CIA to<br />
deploy drones like the Predator, would be a “terrible mistake.”<br />
But the current CIA chief, Leon Panetta acknowledges<br />
the strategic utility of Predator drones in the battle against<br />
Islamist militants. For Panetta, strategic benefits, not legality,<br />
matter the most.<br />
“Washington needs to realize the drone attacks<br />
do not occur in a strategic vacuum.”<br />
disregard by the Obama Administration for the effects of<br />
the drone attacks presents a major strategic pitfall. In order<br />
to optimize its current strategy fully reap the benefits<br />
from using drones, Washington needs to redress several<br />
problems. First, it needs to reconsider the role of the CIA.<br />
<strong>The</strong> problematic status of the unlawful pilots, the erosion of<br />
extrajudicial assassinations and U.S. inability to address the<br />
drone campaign publicly will likely alienate Washington’s<br />
European allies and Pakistan, who can do little more than<br />
publicly condemn the attacks. Second, the over reliance and<br />
excessive deployment of the drones to strike various targets<br />
will further alienate Islamabad,<br />
and turn popular opinion<br />
against Washington’s counterinsurgency<br />
efforts. While<br />
Washington is unlikely to make any new friends in Pakistan,<br />
it needs to better balance the gains of neutralizing militants<br />
and disrupting their operations with the negative repercussions<br />
of continuous drone attacks in a hostile environment.<br />
Additionally, whether one ultimately agrees with the legitimacy<br />
and justifiability of the attacks, extrajudicial assassinations<br />
of terrorists is likely to contribute to an already visible<br />
trend, making ‘targeted killings’ more acceptable. After all,<br />
it was not long ago Washington coherently condemned Tel<br />
Aviv’s inclination to use ‘targeted killings’ of Palestinian militants.<br />
Likewise, the assassination of Hamas military commander<br />
Mabhoud al-Mabhoub in Dubai drew robust international<br />
criticism, and was also condemned by Washington.<br />
<strong>The</strong> erosion of the moral and legal status of extrajudicial<br />
targeting is likely to make the assassination of individuals<br />
more commonplace. A question that cannot be substantially<br />
answered now arises: how will Islamist militants respond to<br />
such occurrences?<br />
<strong>The</strong> Drone Question: Problems and Prospects<br />
Washington’s drone campaign faces many problems, but is<br />
not an entirely useless policy in the fight against insurgents<br />
and terrorists in Pakistan. <strong>The</strong> initial criticism toward Pakistan’s<br />
inability or unwillingness to earnestly exert pressure<br />
over the militants operating in the tribal region rings true,<br />
and Pakistan’s course is unlikely to change radically in the<br />
near future. With the absence of any other threats to the<br />
militants in NWFP and FATA, the drone campaign presents<br />
one of the few viable policy options. <strong>The</strong> drones are capable<br />
of performing surgical strikes to eliminate high-value<br />
targets within the senior leadership of Islamist movements,<br />
disrupting their regional operations. However, the drone attacks<br />
also have a destabilizing effect.<br />
<strong>The</strong>y generate more grievances against the GWOT and Islamabad,<br />
further fuelling the insurgency. <strong>The</strong> perceived<br />
image credit: flickr “Swamibu ”<br />
Washington needs to realize the drone attacks do not occur<br />
in a strategic vacuum. <strong>The</strong>re is no long-term solution<br />
without a stable Pakistan. And while the drone attacks offer<br />
a limited resource against the militant problem, they also<br />
present a long-term contradiction by fuelling the insurgency<br />
and increasing the legitimacy deficit of Islamabad. Washington<br />
needs to find a balance between these elements. If the<br />
U.S. government wishes to further intensify its drone campaign,<br />
as advocated by former RAND analyst Seth Jones, it<br />
needs to find a way to alleviate its impact in Pakistan. Thus<br />
far, such approach has been lacking in Obama’s “Secret War<br />
in Pakistan”.<br />
Juha Saarinen<br />
j.p.saarinen@lse.ac.uk<br />
www.postgradbonanza.wordpress.com<br />
Cry Havoc! And Let Slip the Drones of War...<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST<br />
15
<strong>The</strong> Great Game<br />
Redux<br />
As Western forces gear for a withdrawal from the Afghan theatre, regional<br />
powers prepare to face-off in a shadowy proxy war for the control of the<br />
crossroads of Asia.<br />
Coined by 19th century British imperialists, the term<br />
Great Game was used to illustrate the Russian-British<br />
geo-political struggle for dominance on the strategic<br />
chessboard of Afghanistan and Central Asia. Marked by limited<br />
military engagements and intelligence forays, the Great<br />
Game was the Machiavellian embodiment of great-power<br />
politics and dominance in the region.<br />
Western as well as Indian intelligence sources, stem from its<br />
strenuous efforts to contain India and re-gain its lost strategic<br />
depth once Western forces evacuate the country. In a rare media<br />
briefing to journalists in February, General Ashfaq Pervez Kayani,<br />
Pakistan’s powerful Chief of Army Staff, put it succinctly,<br />
Fast-forward to a century later and the game still continues.<br />
This time, however, the number of players has proliferated,<br />
the intensity of the violence is deadlier and the regional<br />
stakes are much higher. Seven years after being toppled by<br />
an American invasion, the Taliban has staged a bloody comeback<br />
as the besieged Hamid Karzai administration is rapidly<br />
losing credibility both home and abroad. Afghanistan is once<br />
again a proxy battleground as regional powers such as India,<br />
Pakistan, Russia, China and Iran jockey for power and influence<br />
in a nation poised on a razor’s edge.<br />
India and Pakistan<br />
<strong>The</strong> Great Game Redux<br />
Augmenting its soft power, India is playing a major developmental<br />
role by pledging more than $1.2 billion to build<br />
Afghanistan’s shattered infrastructure. Some of the major<br />
Indian development projects include the new parliament<br />
building, erecting power transmission lines in the north, and<br />
building roads to facilitate transport. This rising Indian profile<br />
in Afghanistan has rattled Pakistan as the two archrivals<br />
escalate their presence in the war-torn country. Pakistani officials<br />
accuse Indian embassies and consulates in Afghanistan<br />
of arming, training and funding Baloch insurgents as<br />
well as elements of the Pakistani Taliban for sabotage and<br />
subversion operations against Pakistan. In the same vein,<br />
India blames Pakistan for rising attacks against Indian interests<br />
within Afghanistan. <strong>The</strong> Indian Embassy in Kabul has<br />
been the site of two deadly suicide bombings blamed on local<br />
Taliban elements. Allegedly aided by Pakistan’s Inter-Services<br />
Intelligence (ISI), an increasing number of Indian nationals<br />
working on reconstruction projects have been targeted.<br />
Islamabad’s continuing links with the Taliban, reinforced by<br />
image credit: flickr “DVIDSHUB ”<br />
“Afghanistan is once again a proxy<br />
battleground as regional powers<br />
such as India, Pakistan, Russia,<br />
China and Iran jockey for power<br />
and influence in a nation poised on<br />
a razor’s edge.”<br />
16
“We want a strategic depth in Afghanistan but do not want<br />
to control it”, he adds, “A peaceful and friendly Afghanistan<br />
can provide Pakistan strategic depth.” Pakistan’s readiness to<br />
train the Afghan army in response to a similar offer made by<br />
New Delhi reflects Islamabad’s concerns over rising Indian<br />
influence in Kabul. Expect a rising body count as an intensifying<br />
proxy war between the two mortal foes plays out in the<br />
Afghan theatre.<br />
“...the Chinese have seemingly announced<br />
their intentions of leveling<br />
the playing field with the US through<br />
economic and possibly military assistance<br />
to Afghanistan.”<br />
Russia<br />
Still smarting from its disastrous intervention in Afghanistan<br />
in the 1980’s, Russia has no stomach for another military adventure<br />
in the region. Yet, the Kremlin harbors no desire to<br />
witness another Taliban takeover in its strategic backyard<br />
which could embolden Jihadist fighters in Chechnya, Dagestan<br />
and Central Asia as a whole. Having faced the ignominy<br />
of a military defeat in Afghanistan, the Russians are<br />
more interested in a diplomatic rather than military solution<br />
to the crisis and provide significant economic assistance to<br />
the Hamid Karzai government in Kabul. Moscow views with<br />
image credit: flickr “rob7812 ”<br />
image credit: flickr “Chronic420life ”<br />
disquiet the increasing American military presence in the<br />
region, as well as recent American overtures to Central<br />
Asian countries for bilateral transit treaties that would allow<br />
the flow of critical military supplies into Afghanistan as<br />
an alternative to Pakistan. Not willing to play second fiddle<br />
to their Cold War rivals and highly suspicious of Pakistani<br />
machinations, the Russians have stepped up their engagement<br />
with the Karzai administration in tandem with key<br />
players such as Iran and India through regional forums<br />
such as the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO).<br />
China<br />
Another major actor in the arena, China has huge stakes<br />
in a stable and prosperous Afghanistan to secure its Western<br />
corridor in order tap its growing energy interests in<br />
Pakistan, Iran and Central Asia. Moreover, Beijing is wary<br />
of a Taliban victory as this could directly impact the restive<br />
Muslim-majority province of Xinjiang. Like its enormous<br />
African safari, Beijing is also pumping<br />
massive economic firepower into infrastructure<br />
projects in Afghanistan. With<br />
an eye on Africa’s treasure trove of natural<br />
resources, China has embarked on a massive<br />
aid and investment spree to modernize<br />
the continent’s creaking infrastructure<br />
by building new and better roads, schools,<br />
computer networks, telecoms systems and<br />
power plants. While China’s foray into Afghanistan<br />
barely measures that of Africa,<br />
Beijing has reportedly promised to invest<br />
$3 billion in one of the world’s largest copper<br />
mines south of Kabul. Through this<br />
calculated maneuver, the Chinese have<br />
seemingly announced their intentions<br />
of leveling the playing field with the US<br />
through economic and possibly military<br />
assistance to Af- ghanistan. On the eve of President Karzai’s<br />
bilateral visit to Beijing in March, Zhang Xiaodong, Deputy<br />
Chief of the Chinese Association for Middle East Studies,<br />
told the government-owned China Daily, “As Afghanistan’s<br />
neighbour, China is very concerned about the country’s<br />
future”. In a subtle hint of shifting geopolitical priorities,<br />
Zhang hinted, “Afghanistan should cut reliance on the US.<br />
At the moment, Washington is deeply involved, and it makes<br />
other neighbours nervous. Karzai now hopes to seek more<br />
support from other big countries and find a diplomatic balance,”<br />
At the twilight of the Afghan War, the stage is set for<br />
Beijing’s increasing involvement in its embattled neighbourhood.<br />
Iran<br />
Finally, Afghanistan’s enormous neighbour to the west, Iran,<br />
faces a dangerous ideological adversary in the Sunni Taliban.<br />
<strong>The</strong> Iranians will not easily forego the brutal murder of their<br />
<strong>The</strong> Great Game Redux<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST<br />
17
diplomats at the hands of the Taliban in 1998 that almost escalated<br />
into a military conflict. <strong>The</strong> regional giant commands<br />
significant influence among the Shia Hazara minority as it<br />
also pumps in significant economic investment to develop<br />
the country. Tehran certified joint investment companies,<br />
sponsored food fairs, opened cement factories, extended<br />
purchase credits to traders, and trained commercial pilots.<br />
<strong>The</strong> extension of an electric<br />
line into the western Afghan<br />
city of Herat and joint sponsorship<br />
of highway projects<br />
with India throughout the<br />
Afghan west have been some<br />
of Tehran’s key projects. While Iran is loath to accept a Taliban<br />
take-over of Afghanistan, it is wary of the presence of<br />
US-led NATO troops on its eastern frontier. Pentagon officials<br />
allege that Tehran supplies arms and other material<br />
to Taliban insurgents and other groups in Western Afghanistan.<br />
With Iran’s deepening ties with various Afghan communities<br />
such as the Shia Hazara and others, it is inevitable<br />
that any heightening of US-Iranian tensions can be played<br />
out in a violent proxy face-off in the fiery deserts of the wartorn<br />
nation.<br />
“While Iran is loath to accept a Taliban take-over<br />
of Afghanistan, it is wary of the presence of US-led<br />
NATO troops on its eastern frontier.”<br />
In the aftermath of the <strong>London</strong> Conference, the end game<br />
has intensified fears of further instability as Western forces<br />
gear for an eventual withdrawal. Held on January 28th<br />
2010, the <strong>London</strong> Conference, attended by major actors in<br />
the international community, endorsed plans to transfer<br />
military leadership from NATO to Afghan security forces<br />
beginning at the end of this year and for the reintegration of<br />
the Taliban into the Afghan<br />
political structure via monetary<br />
benefits. Simmering<br />
tensions between regional<br />
powers are likely to boil<br />
over as consensus emerges<br />
regarding negotiations with the Taliban. A possible political<br />
settlement with the Taliban, with the involvement of Pakistan,<br />
is likely to spark reactions from India, China, Iran and<br />
Russia including the backing of other anti-Taliban groups<br />
undermining any peace and stability in the region. Recent<br />
weeks have witnessed an upsurge in regional diplomacy as<br />
world leaders shuttled between New Delhi, Moscow, Kabul,<br />
Islamabad and Tehran - be it Prime Minister Manmohan<br />
Singh’s visit to Riyadh, President Mahmoud Ahmedinajad<br />
’s visit to Kabul, President Hamid Karzai’s visit to Islamabad,<br />
or Prime Minister Vladimir Putin’s visit to Delhi. As<br />
the clock in Afghanistan ticks down, the coming weeks and<br />
months are likely to witness an escalation of intensity in the<br />
cloak and dagger game being played between regional powers<br />
for the ultimate prize that is Afghanistan.<br />
image credit: flickr “Chuck Holton”<br />
Brijesh Khemlani<br />
b.khemlani@lse.ac.uk<br />
“...the coming weeks and months<br />
are likely to witness an escalation<br />
of intensity in the cloak and dagger<br />
game being played between regional<br />
powers for the ultimate prize that<br />
is Afghanistan.”<br />
<strong>The</strong> Great Game Redux<br />
18
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Intervi<br />
“To say we are giving upon markets is actually<br />
almost to say we are giving up.”<br />
Interview with Lord Nicholas Stern<br />
image credit: flickr “World Economic Forum”<br />
TStern is a refreshing<br />
experience;<br />
pragmatic approach leaves<br />
space for constructive solutions<br />
alongside criticism.<br />
He famously published<br />
the Stern Review in 2006,<br />
presenting climate change<br />
as the result of market<br />
alking to Nicholas<br />
failure and subsequently<br />
provides market-based<br />
solutions. Among other<br />
things, he currently chairs<br />
the Grantham Institute for<br />
Climate Change and the<br />
Environment at the LSE<br />
and heads the India Observatory<br />
within the Asia<br />
Research Centre.<br />
Despite the shortcomings<br />
of the Copenhagen<br />
Summit, Stern retains a<br />
positive outlook, insisting<br />
we should view it as a<br />
platform for future<br />
change. It is easy to be<br />
sceptical of this optimism,<br />
perhaps partly because the<br />
summit was presented to the<br />
average person as the summit,<br />
where countries would<br />
agree on binding emissions<br />
plans and stringent<br />
targets. When these did<br />
not materialise, it seemed<br />
a significant opportunity<br />
had been wasted. Stern<br />
admits the disappointment,<br />
but at the same time notes<br />
it could have been much<br />
worse and, in support of<br />
his hopefulness, points to<br />
several positive, concrete<br />
results. One outcome was<br />
recognition of the need to<br />
limit global warming to 2<br />
degrees, the implications<br />
of which amount to some<br />
radical action. He outlined<br />
the following figures: we<br />
currently emit around<br />
47 billion tonnes of CO2<br />
equivalent per annum; to<br />
meet the target we would<br />
have to reduce this to<br />
around 44 billion tonnes<br />
in 2020, well below 35<br />
in 2030 and 20 in 2050.<br />
Presumably then, the challenge<br />
faced by countries at<br />
the future climate summit<br />
in Cancun, Mexico, will be<br />
to lay down more concrete<br />
plans for achieving this; no<br />
small feat considering the<br />
inevitable political wrangling.<br />
However even here<br />
there are indicators that it<br />
is possible to work together.<br />
<strong>The</strong> High-level Advisory<br />
Group on Climate Change<br />
Financing, responsible for<br />
investigating how to spend<br />
the money promised at Copenhagen,<br />
will be chaired<br />
by both Gordon Brown<br />
and Mr. Meles Zenawi,<br />
Prime Minister of the Federal<br />
Democratic Republic<br />
of Ethiopia.<br />
On a more local level, we<br />
face the challenge of making<br />
our government commit<br />
to meaningful domestic<br />
initiatives to combat<br />
climate change. Undeniably<br />
the government has a<br />
large role to play, especially<br />
in Stern’s rhetoric where<br />
emissions are an externality<br />
that must be addressed<br />
through government intervention.<br />
However, the<br />
question remains over how<br />
best to mobilise our politicians.<br />
Should we portray<br />
the long-term benefits (be<br />
it humanitarian or economic)<br />
or should we appeal<br />
to their short-term<br />
electoral interests? Stern<br />
opts for the former: he<br />
feeds research papers and<br />
policy into government to<br />
convince them of the necessity<br />
and benefits of action.<br />
<strong>The</strong> latter requires<br />
many individuals modify<br />
their behaviour to be more<br />
environmentally aware.<br />
This would prove people’s<br />
20<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST
ewith<br />
With the dust of Copenhagen still in the air, Hero Austin<br />
and Kimia Pezeshki converse candidly with worldrenowned<br />
climate economist Professor Nicholas Stern<br />
about the future of the climate change debate and his<br />
reasons for hope.<br />
Lord Nicholas Stern<br />
commitment to the issue,<br />
allowing parties to<br />
implement radical initiatives<br />
without fear of the<br />
electorate. In actuality, it<br />
transpires that both are<br />
crucial, even complementary.<br />
Stern’s policies and<br />
research provide sound,<br />
detailed evidence for the<br />
British government to act<br />
upon, but to ensure action,<br />
this has to be seconded by<br />
popular demand to reassure<br />
any party facing the<br />
electorate.<br />
Nevertheless Stern is clear<br />
that some approaches<br />
are simply not useful. We<br />
asked him about his views<br />
on a dedicated section of<br />
the green movement, invaluable<br />
to raising awareness<br />
of climate change and<br />
committed to meaningful<br />
lifestyle changes. <strong>The</strong><br />
issue for Stern over this<br />
section of the green movement<br />
arises in their denial<br />
of market solutions. This<br />
view is often adopted because<br />
of pragmatic and<br />
ideological concerns. First,<br />
there is a question about<br />
whether schemes such as<br />
carbon trading will work.<br />
Sceptics often point to the<br />
first phase of the European<br />
Union Emission Trading<br />
Scheme that over allocated<br />
carbon credits and allowed<br />
electricity companies to<br />
make windfall profits.<br />
This was counterproductive<br />
to the aims of carbon<br />
trading because companies<br />
that received excess credits<br />
had no incentive to “green”<br />
their practices. <strong>The</strong> cap<br />
was meaningless. Although<br />
a legitimate concern, the<br />
problem seems to lie in<br />
the implementation rather<br />
than the theory itself. More<br />
stringent regulation and<br />
allocation would alleviate<br />
these difficulties.<br />
Secondly, however, Stern<br />
is faced with a more ideological<br />
challenge. This is<br />
the belief that a capitalist<br />
society is based upon unlimited<br />
consumption that<br />
necessitates the depletion<br />
of resources and damage<br />
to the environment. <strong>The</strong><br />
counter-argument to this<br />
revolves around the concept<br />
of a green economy<br />
and sustainable development/growth,<br />
which is<br />
outlined in Stern’s book<br />
Blueprint for a Safer Planet.<br />
Ultimately though, it is<br />
clear that Stern considers<br />
these objections to be peripheral:<br />
“I don’t think you<br />
can claim that markets<br />
have no role to play. Most<br />
of what happens in a modern<br />
economy happens as a<br />
result of private sector decisions,<br />
and the question<br />
is what the incentives are?<br />
In what context are people<br />
making those decisions?<br />
What regulations do they<br />
face, [and] how are risks<br />
shared?”<br />
“To say that we are giving<br />
upon markets is actually<br />
almost to say we are giving<br />
up.”<br />
A more universally appealing<br />
aspect of Stern’s<br />
approach is his desire to<br />
find solutions that have<br />
the least painful impact.<br />
For instance, by 2050, our<br />
population is estimated to<br />
be 9 billion. Evidently, this<br />
means our carbon emissions<br />
per capita have to be<br />
cut more drastically than<br />
if there were less people<br />
in the world. This is sometimes<br />
used as an argument<br />
for population control so<br />
we can more easily meet<br />
targets for total emissions.<br />
Stern’s response is that the<br />
only acceptable form of<br />
this involves increasing sex<br />
education and awareness<br />
of women’s rights.<br />
Other options, according<br />
to Stern, entail being radical<br />
in an undesirable way.<br />
Death control is obviously<br />
not a viable choice, but neither<br />
is stringent birth control;<br />
it is an illiberal solution<br />
generally accepted not<br />
to be compatible with our<br />
society.<br />
We agree with Stern’s<br />
judgement that “if you’re<br />
going to be pessimistic<br />
then you have basically<br />
given up”. His characteristic<br />
optimism coupled with<br />
a realistic analysis of the<br />
current status will hopefully<br />
contribute to desired<br />
improvements, particularly<br />
at Cancun. After speaking<br />
with Stern, the most<br />
significant sentiment we<br />
are left with is that in order<br />
to have chance of success<br />
“you have to keep persuading<br />
and presenting the arguments.”<br />
Hero Austin<br />
h.austin@lse.ac.uk<br />
Kimia Pezeshki<br />
k.pezeshki@lse.ac.uk<br />
Interview with Lord Nicholas Stern<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST<br />
21
<strong>The</strong> Right Kind of Financial Education<br />
<strong>The</strong> Right Kind<br />
Financial Education of<br />
If the credit crunch has taught us anything, it’s that we are all<br />
invested in the financial sector. So why do few of us know precisely<br />
what happens to our money? And most importantly, how can we<br />
change it?<br />
Banking is the lifeblood of the<br />
economy. Without banks<br />
safeguarding our deposits,<br />
we would waste time keeping track of<br />
our money. Without banks keeping a<br />
portion of our deposits and lending out<br />
the rest, businesses would find it hard<br />
to raise capital. Historically, societies<br />
have flourished on a free flow of credit.<br />
<strong>The</strong> derivatives sector alone amounts<br />
to up to $60 trillion. It’s little surprise<br />
that when it blew up, it took the rest of<br />
the world with it.<br />
But until I was 20 years old, I didn’t<br />
know how a bank worked. Had I not<br />
learned this for an introductory economics<br />
class I took in hopes of an easy<br />
first (it wasn’t), I would still be operating<br />
under the vague notion that the cash I<br />
deposited at the bank just sat there, and<br />
that banks magically always had money<br />
to issue mortgages and credit cards.<br />
How had I, a girl not exactly stupid<br />
or uneducated, never even thought to<br />
question the economy or financial markets,<br />
a sector that, as the past two years<br />
have shown, has profound consequences<br />
on our lives? Part of it was because, as<br />
a young person who doesn’t yet have to<br />
pay taxes, learning about money – where<br />
it comes from and how to use it – did<br />
not seem immediate or relevant. Part<br />
of it was a dismissive fear that finance<br />
was too complicated for me to even<br />
contemplate understanding. But mostly<br />
it was because I believed, as an aspiring<br />
writer, I had loftier concerns than<br />
money. Bankers were all power hungry<br />
and soulless. My snobbishness seemed<br />
vindicated when I first started studying<br />
at the <strong>London</strong> School of Economics,<br />
dominated by investment-banker wannabes<br />
whose only concerns seemed to be<br />
networking, career workshops and how<br />
little work they need to do to get a 2:1.<br />
My distaste of bankers is nothing new.<br />
Historically, generating profit from<br />
handling money is not considered noble<br />
and a long-standing prejudice has<br />
existed between those who work with<br />
money and those who are seen as doing<br />
m o r e<br />
“…three-quarters of the school-leaving population<br />
are unequipped to make simple financial<br />
decisions.”<br />
productive<br />
w o r k ,<br />
l i k e<br />
agriculture or medicine. It’s a prejudice<br />
reinforced in literature, artwork,<br />
even religion – Christianity enforced<br />
the sin of usury, which banned lending<br />
on interest, something still banned<br />
under Muslim Shariah Law. Like all<br />
prejudices, it’s largely unjustified, but<br />
bankers, on their part, have never had<br />
an incentive to demystify themselves.<br />
Deposit-taking banks depend upon<br />
consumer confidence, and the less<br />
consumers know about the risks banks<br />
take with their money, the better.<br />
<strong>The</strong> challenge for our generation is<br />
to see education in personal finance<br />
as a social mission. We can start by<br />
advocating for financial literacy programmes.<br />
Consumers deserve to know<br />
what banks do, and the best way for<br />
people to understand how banks manage<br />
money is to start by managing their<br />
own. Financial literacy has to be taught<br />
to children. A study by the Jump$tart<br />
foundation, America’s largest financial<br />
literacy non-profit organisation, shows<br />
that most people become financially<br />
literate at university. But, given only a<br />
minority of high school graduates make<br />
it to college, this still leaves three-quarters<br />
of the school-leaving population<br />
unequipped to make simple financial<br />
decisions.<br />
School curricula are not ready to teach<br />
financial literacy. But there are arguably<br />
better ways in the form of community<br />
outreach schemes. In the UK, they are<br />
largely organized by professional bodies<br />
such as the Institute of Chartered<br />
Accountants in England and Wales,<br />
who work with the secondary school<br />
teachers to deliver a tailored curriculum<br />
for students. Financial literacy<br />
could easily be expanded into volunteer<br />
schemes for young people. You don’t<br />
need advanced mathematical knowledge<br />
to explain compound interest to a<br />
five year old.<br />
Next, economics and finance curricula<br />
need to cover behavioural economics<br />
and financial<br />
history.<br />
Understanding<br />
the evolution of our current economic<br />
system requires knowledge of<br />
financial history. Behavioural economics<br />
teaches us that far from being rational<br />
decision makers, we’re hardwired<br />
to make irrational decisions by following<br />
innate psychological biases. <strong>The</strong>se<br />
include everything from short-sightedness<br />
to avoiding emotional distress by<br />
avoiding financial planning. Teaching<br />
about the psychology of financial behaviour<br />
will help us understand financial<br />
crises, and more importantly, dispel<br />
a common notion that all financial<br />
risk can be controlled. Learning about<br />
past financiers’ methods and mistakes<br />
will help promote a long-term, sustainable<br />
view of finance.<br />
Thanks to the financial crisis, a debate<br />
that was previously the privilege of<br />
academia has gone mainstream. As the<br />
next generation of leaders, we should<br />
take this by the horns. We need to<br />
question why our economy is the way<br />
it is and how it affects us. We need to<br />
keep the debate alive for our children,<br />
so they may see how money and those<br />
who control it, affect everyone’s lives, at<br />
all times, not just in the wake of financial<br />
crises.<br />
Eunice Ng<br />
e.s.ng@lse.ac.uk<br />
22<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST
New Labour and<br />
<strong>The</strong><br />
Death<br />
of Ideas<br />
May 1997 saw Tony Blair stride into<br />
No.10 Downing Street, his gait<br />
matching the optimism optimism<br />
and hope encapsulated in the<br />
feverish flag waving and fresh spring air of<br />
that day. Blair, it was thought, was leading<br />
his party and even the country on a grand<br />
project of modernization, creating a politics<br />
and a nation for the 21st Century. This<br />
venture was New Labour. Now, over 12<br />
years later, with the faces of that movement<br />
worn and furrowed by events and stresses, a<br />
number of lessons need to be learnt.<br />
Blair saw his modernisation Labour Party as<br />
the realisation of an idea born at the <strong>London</strong><br />
School of Economics. His admiration for<br />
Anthony Giddens, the cerebral father of the<br />
Third Way, verged on a desire for doctrinaire<br />
implementation of the University’s former<br />
director’s ideas. Retrospect shows us that<br />
ideology has in fact been the biggest victim<br />
of Blair and Brown’s project. Rather than<br />
becoming the ideology to rule all ideologies,<br />
transcending the clash between left and right,<br />
the Third Way has sucked ideas out of British<br />
politics altogether. This is evidenced by the<br />
nature of debate in the Westminster village<br />
today. In a time when events have challenged<br />
fundamental assumptions of the economic<br />
orthodoxy, the political community has been<br />
discredited as nepotistic. Numerous global<br />
problems persist without clear answers and it<br />
is staggering to contemplate the narrowness<br />
in the range of remedies proposed by<br />
mainstream politics.<br />
Some see the limited choice we face as a victory<br />
for free-market based liberal democracy over<br />
rival systems of government and economics.<br />
This End of History reasoning (promulgated<br />
by Francis Fukuyama), undoubtedly has<br />
some merit when applied to domestic politics<br />
but does not explain everything. Whilst<br />
the society Britain has created for itself has<br />
been a successful one, there is widespread<br />
recognition of persisting problems. Poverty<br />
image credit: flickr “Robertsharp”<br />
“We have lived under a<br />
government without an<br />
ideology for nearly 13<br />
years.”<br />
has not been eradicated, provisions for<br />
health and education are not of an acceptable<br />
standard, grave threats to our well-being<br />
such as climate change are not met with an<br />
adequate reaction and the role of a post-<br />
Imperial Britain in the world remains unclear.<br />
In short, we haven’t solved everything and<br />
one would thus expect debates on the kind of<br />
government action or inaction that is needed.<br />
History tells us that unanswered questions<br />
such as these should lead to an exaggeration<br />
of differences in ideas, presenting citizens<br />
with a noteworthy choice as to the objectives<br />
and methods of government. This is certainly<br />
not intended to be a call for extremist<br />
ideology. Ideas are powerful instruments<br />
and can be forces for evil as well as good.<br />
Radicalism can be dangerous, but variation<br />
of some description and for the right reasons<br />
is the lifeblood of a liberal democracy.<br />
New Labour is inculpated in this end to ideas<br />
for a number of reasons. Primarily, its own<br />
<strong>The</strong> New Labour post mortem<br />
certainly demands a wide<br />
range of questions, but above<br />
all we must ask of our politics:<br />
where have all the ideas gone?<br />
emptiness is to blame. We have now lived<br />
under a government without an ideology<br />
for nearly 13 years. Perhaps we have simply<br />
forgotten what it looks like. Commitments<br />
such as the famous 1997 manifesto promise<br />
to be ‘tough on crime, tough on the causes<br />
of crime’ seduced us into thinking we were<br />
at a landmark moment, putting the dogma<br />
of left and right behind us and adopting<br />
a set of universal beneficial values. Such<br />
aphorisms are successful because they are<br />
so hard to disagree with. Who wouldn’t<br />
want to tackle crime as well as its causes or<br />
accept responsibility along with their newfound<br />
rights? Sadly, these visions never<br />
became a reality. Rather than achieving<br />
its transcendental goal and becoming the<br />
ideology to rule all ideologies, the third<br />
way revealed itself as an act of overcautious<br />
triangulation. <strong>The</strong> electorate unconsciously<br />
swapped honesty as to the difficult choices<br />
intrinsic in making policy and effecting<br />
change for a politics in which presentation<br />
rules supreme. Tragically, government in<br />
this way inescapably results in a race to the<br />
bottom. While blame does not lie exclusively<br />
with the Labour party, opposition of<br />
substance is awkward when one has nothing<br />
concrete to push against. <strong>The</strong> Conservatives<br />
chose to play by Labour’s new rules rather<br />
than rewriting them for the better.<br />
Into the vacuum of ideas pours techniques<br />
of style and packaging. It is deeply troubling<br />
that some of the most employed tools of<br />
policy formulation and government emulate<br />
the operations of an advertising agency.<br />
Does it seem likely that the answers of how<br />
best to flog a packet of crisps and what the<br />
best way to regulate immigration lie in the<br />
same process? With this phenomenon,<br />
scrutiny falls down the wayside. Criticism<br />
of politicians centres on pointing out gaps<br />
in their polished presentation rather than<br />
questioning values or policy proposals. This<br />
election has the potential to be a crossroads<br />
for our society where important questions<br />
are met with worthy answers. Sadly, and<br />
largely thanks to New Labour, May will<br />
undoubtedly be a triumph of form over<br />
substance. Ideology, R.I.P.<br />
Oliver Wiseman<br />
o.wiseman@lse.ac.uk<br />
New Labour and the Death of the Ideas<br />
23
image credit: flickr “bitzceit”<br />
Credit Crun<br />
- Governing Global Finance<br />
<strong>The</strong> first decade of the new millennium demonstrated<br />
both the power and fragility of the<br />
financial industry, but prospects for reining it<br />
in look increasingly uncertain.<br />
che<br />
In 1986 international political economist Benjamin Cohen<br />
presciently observed that “high finance can no<br />
longer be kept separate from high politics.” That same<br />
year, British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher shook the<br />
City of <strong>London</strong> by enacting her ‘Big Bang’ reforms, deregulating<br />
finance and unleashing market forces. Almost a quarter<br />
of a century later, the financial sector has<br />
grown exponentially in size, market share<br />
and importance for the world economy.<br />
Capital markets have become liberalised, computerised, securitised<br />
and politicised. Stocks, flows and types of financial<br />
instruments have boomed beyond comparable metrics. Average<br />
daily turnover of foreign currency rocketed from $490<br />
billion in 1989 to $4 trillion in 2007. <strong>The</strong> facilitation of<br />
trade – international finance’s primordial function – became<br />
a footnote in the story. In 1980, international flows of capital<br />
were roughly double the value of trade. Today, conservative<br />
estimates begin at around sixty times the value.<br />
<strong>The</strong> noughties were a dizzying decade. Values of outstanding<br />
derivatives grew from $100 billion at the turn of the century<br />
to over $600 billion by 2007. Credit default swaps, a favourite<br />
innovation among yield-hungry traders, reached a<br />
staggering peak value of $60 trillion – five times the GDP of<br />
the United States. <strong>The</strong>n, in late 2008, the crisis hit. Markets<br />
seized up, lending ceased, and regulators appeared impotent.<br />
Unparalleled levels of market intervention in the resultant<br />
‘Keynesian Resurgence’ prevented a global<br />
depression, but have left countries<br />
around the world deeply invested in financial<br />
markets. At the turn of the second decade of the new<br />
century, the question of what to do with finance has come to<br />
colour policy debates the world over. Regulation is in the air.<br />
But amidst the cacophony of demur and declarations, will<br />
anything substantive emerge?<br />
“Regulation is in the air.”<br />
Through an analysis of past experience and present political<br />
difficulties, this article argues that a shift towards a stronger<br />
international regulatory regime may emerge, but that its<br />
chances post-crisis are depreciating with time. Finance is<br />
the exemplar of globalisation: interconnected, mobile across<br />
borders and politically powerful. Any coordinated regulatory<br />
Credit Crunched - Governing Global Finance<br />
“Any coordinated regulatory<br />
response must not only overcome<br />
obstacles of interest and ideology,<br />
but diplomacy as well.”<br />
image credit: flickr “taberandrew”<br />
24<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST
“<strong>The</strong> lesson of the East Asian<br />
financial crisis for governance is<br />
that reform follows perception.”<br />
dresponse must not only overcome obstacles of interest and<br />
ideology, but diplomacy as well. ‘Opportunity in crisis’ is a<br />
cliché that belies the realities of international relations. Reform<br />
requires leadership, commitment, and the agreement<br />
or imposition of alternative frameworks. At the root, it requires<br />
a rejection of the status quo and the existence of an<br />
alternative. But, first and foremost, regulating global finance<br />
requires a cohesive answer to the question: ‘Where did it all<br />
go so wrong?’<br />
<strong>The</strong> Early Noughties: Lessons from East Asia<br />
But perceptions and diagnoses change. As months turned<br />
to years, Krugman and others began to believe that markets<br />
were largely to blame, irrationally perceiving risk in countries<br />
that were otherwise fiscally sound. It gradually became<br />
clear that Malaysia, which had been the exception by declining<br />
IMF assistance and instituting strong capital controls,<br />
was recovering quicker than others. <strong>The</strong> IMF subsequently<br />
abandoned formalising its advocacy of open capital markets,<br />
but poor countries and non-governmental organisations<br />
were still pushing for reform. In 2002, the WTO, IMF, World<br />
Bank and UN met in Monterrey, Mexico to discuss “closing<br />
the gap between our aspirations and the realities of finance.”<br />
Results were haphazard and mixed. While the World Bank<br />
opened its doors to civil society, the IMF remained broadly<br />
closed. In the words of its own historian James Boughton, it<br />
still wanted to be “respected, not loved”.<br />
image credit: flickr “KristyR929”<br />
It started off well enough. In the wake of the East Asian financial<br />
crisis of 1997-8, calls for international monetary reform<br />
reached a new peak. <strong>The</strong> IMF’s earlier strong advocacy<br />
of liberal capital markets seemed to be in tatters. In April<br />
1997, Stanley Fischer, Managing Director of the International<br />
Monetary Fund, gave a speech to an audience of colleagues<br />
advocating an amendment to the IMF’s charter, enabling it<br />
to “promote the orderly liberalization of capital movements.”<br />
Three months later, Thailand was going cap-in-hand to the<br />
IMF and the East Asian financial crisis hit in earnest. Hotmoney<br />
poured out of the region, even from countries that<br />
appeared fiscally sound. <strong>The</strong> East Asian miracle had turned<br />
into a contagious nightmare.<br />
However, far from seeking to rein in financial markets<br />
through implementing capital controls, in the early postcrisis<br />
stages the overall push was in the opposite direction.<br />
<strong>The</strong> IMF argued staunchly that it was not irrational markets<br />
that had precipitated the crisis, but poor governance and<br />
‘crony capitalism’. Even Paul Krugman initially argued that<br />
a lack of transparency, lacklustre standards and widespread<br />
nepotism were the root causes of the contagion. Such analyses<br />
enhanced the domestic power of liberal reformers, such<br />
as those in South Korea, which subsequently (albeit superficially)<br />
began shifting from a dirigiste model of capitalism to<br />
a more Anglo-Saxon and laissez-faire version.<br />
<strong>The</strong> lesson of the East Asian financial crisis for governance<br />
is that reform follows perception. Just as pride comes before<br />
a fall, contemplation precedes change. As with interpretations,<br />
outcomes need not converge: different diagnoses lead<br />
to different responses. While Malaysia blamed capital markets<br />
and acted to stem the tide, South Korea blamed itself,<br />
and opened the gates further. Internationally, this lack of<br />
consensus resulted in little action beyond lip-service and internal<br />
shuffling within the disparate international financial<br />
institutions. <strong>The</strong> alphabet soup of discordant institutions –<br />
the IMF, WB, FSF, OECD, IASB, IASC, FATF, BIS, IOSCO,<br />
IAIS, IFIAR – were left largely unscathed. <strong>The</strong> second Basle<br />
Accord on international banking supervision took 6 years to<br />
be agreed, and was on a voluntary ‘best endeavours’ basis,<br />
which the Federal Reserve never fully took up. Rather than<br />
undermining capital account liberalisation and the Anglo-<br />
Saxon model, the East Asian crisis largely reinforced it, while<br />
more radical voices became steadily imperceptible in the<br />
white-hot growth of the mid-noughties.<br />
Credit Crunched<br />
<strong>The</strong>n the crunch came. <strong>The</strong> general story is well-known: the<br />
August 2008 failure of Lehman Brothers precipitated a global<br />
contraction in credit markets, as inter-bank confidence<br />
dissipated amid toxic assets and uncertainty. Now, once<br />
again, the world is in a phase of evaluation. As with a decade<br />
ago, diverging diagnoses are leading to differing prescriptions.<br />
Today, these can be generally summarised as ‘blame<br />
the bankers’ versus ‘blame the foreigners’. Two opposing<br />
views of two eminent economists are illustrative.<br />
Consider the case of Barry Eichengreen, the well-respected<br />
political economist at the University of California, Berkeley.<br />
Eichengreen is one of many academics noting the correspondence<br />
between the rise in finance and the demise of<br />
strong regulation in the 20th century. <strong>The</strong> gradual dilution of<br />
Credit Crunched - Governing Global Finance<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST<br />
25
the Glass-Steagall Act – the 1930 US response to the Wall<br />
Street Crash that legally split banks between ‘commercial’<br />
and ‘retail’ versions – is the primary suspect. Thatcherite<br />
deregulation in the UK and ‘Reagonomics’ in the US underpinned<br />
the Anglo-Saxon model from the 1980s onwards.<br />
As economists from Keynes to Krugman are wont to<br />
point out, financial markets have a perennial tendency<br />
towards disequilibrium: bubbles and bursts, credit expansions<br />
and credit crunches. Individual and collective<br />
rationality need not coincide. Former Citigroup chief executive<br />
Charles O. Prince is famous for noting at the height<br />
of the upsurge in 2007, “As long as the music is playing,<br />
you’ve got to get up and dance. We’re still dancing.”<br />
From this perspective, the solution lies in regulation.<br />
Markets must be reined in and risks prevented from ‘going<br />
systemic’. One ‘out-of-the-box’ solution, according to<br />
Eichengreen, is a Global Glass-Steagall. Collectively, states<br />
would agree to impose stringent limits on the activities of<br />
financial institutions, distinguishing between deposit-taking,<br />
economy-serving institutions and the more leveraged<br />
profit-driven institutions that banks themselves became<br />
at turn of the twentieth century. <strong>The</strong> problem is systemic,<br />
and the solution is a regulator’s very-visible hand.<br />
By contrast, Arvind Subramanian of Columbia University,<br />
New York, takes a rather different view. Like many observers,<br />
Subramanian believes the root causes of the crunch<br />
were not reckless markets, conflicts of interest and moral<br />
hazard- but global imbalances. From this perspective, East<br />
Asia’s export-led growth, facilitated through exchange-rate<br />
interventions, had a dark distortionary side. Buying US<br />
debt in the form of ‘T-bill’ government bonds ($800 billion<br />
in the case of China) in order to keep domestic currency<br />
low and competitiveness of exports high, artificially lowering<br />
interest rates and discouraging saving. With plentiful<br />
cheap money, investors had powerful incentives to ‘get<br />
creative’. ‘Sub-prime’ became the order of the day, served<br />
as sliced-up, pre-packaged collateralised debt obligations.<br />
This unsustainable credit-bubble, so the argument goes,<br />
could not be burst gently, even if economists at the Federal<br />
Reserve had both the foresight and will to attempt doing<br />
so. Monetary meddling abroad fed systemic risk at home.<br />
Through this perspective, private actors are relieved of<br />
blame; the efficient market hypothesis stands intact, while<br />
China becomes prime suspect in a market-distortion game<br />
of ‘whodunit’. This prognosis is patently less conducive to<br />
the harmonious, collaborative international relations needed<br />
for the market-instability approach. Instead of international<br />
agreement on regulating financial markets, some nations<br />
must effectively ‘gang-up’ to place pressure on China.<br />
<strong>The</strong> Future<br />
Unsurprisingly, the ‘blame the foreigners’ approach is the<br />
preferred by US regulators. Timothy Geithner, upon being<br />
confirmed as treasury secretary in the Obama administration,<br />
made noises about China’s currency “fiddling”. Conversely,<br />
old grandees are displaying more contrition. Inflation-hawk,<br />
former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker, was uncharacteristically<br />
apologetic in front of Congress. He expressed<br />
“shocked disbelief” that the “whole intellectual edifice” of modern<br />
risk-management collapsed. Speaking of his ideology, he<br />
said, “I found a flaw… and I’ve been very distressed by that fact.”<br />
Credit Crunched - Governing Global Finance<br />
image credit: flickr “Ben Heine”<br />
“Obama’s proclamation to put up<br />
a fight against the financial lobby<br />
is laudable, but he must choose<br />
his battles wisely.”<br />
Political leaders also seem to be falling into the ‘blame the<br />
markets’ camp. French conservative President Nicholas<br />
Sarkozy rapidly back-peddled from his rhetorical support<br />
of the Anglo-Saxon model declaring “laissez-faire capitalism<br />
is dead.” In 2009, British Prime Minister Gordon<br />
Brown voiced early support for a Tobin-like financial transactions<br />
tax to pay for the bailouts or international development<br />
goals. <strong>The</strong> Tobin tax’s latest incarnation is being<br />
branded the ‘Robin Hood Tax’, and has a lively campaign<br />
behind it in Europe. Even US President Barack Obama<br />
has taken a hostile tone towards the financial industry:<br />
“if these folks want a fight, it’s a fight I’m ready to have.”<br />
For international regulation, the last proclamation is the<br />
26
“I found a flaw… and I’ve been<br />
very distressed by that fact.”<br />
image credit: flickr “DavidFDesign”<br />
the most promising. Like most areas of global governance,<br />
much of what happens internationally (still) depends on<br />
what happens in Washington DC. But although Wall Street is<br />
not Main Street, as Barack Obama is at pains to emphasiseneither<br />
is Capitol Hill. Subject to, and yet somehow removed<br />
from the ebb and flow of electoral politics, Washington is<br />
awash with entrenched<br />
interests. Preventing anything<br />
remotely regulatory<br />
is a lucrative business. So<br />
powerful is this lobby that former Chief Economist of the<br />
IMF Simon Johnson even argues, with exaggeration, that<br />
the US government has been “effectively captured” by the<br />
finance industry.<br />
What all this suggests is that inertia, path-dependency and<br />
fragmentation look set to remain the defining characteristics<br />
of international financial regulation. Undoubtedly, some<br />
meagre reforms will emerge in the coming decade. Basle<br />
III may appear, with a likely increase in the reserve ratios<br />
required of banks. <strong>The</strong> IMF has found a new post-crisis<br />
role, has had its spending<br />
power tripled, and its current<br />
chief economist Olivier<br />
Blanchard has even<br />
pledged support for capital account restrictions – a taboo at<br />
the Fund just a decade ago. But all such measures are likely<br />
to follow the pattern of piecemeal and chaotic reform that<br />
has come to characterise international financial regulation.<br />
“In the US, the backlash now seems to be against<br />
‘big government’ rather than high finance.”<br />
Obama’s proclamation to put up a fight against the financial<br />
lobby is therefore laudable, but he must choose his battles<br />
wisely. Interest in stable and regulated finance is diffuse,<br />
while antipathy is concentrated, well endowed and knows<br />
how to make itself heard. With so many other fires in need<br />
of extinguishing – from climate change to healthcare reform<br />
– putting off the less politically pressing might be temptingly<br />
expedient. Indeed, one of the most perplexing outcomes of<br />
the crisis is that the backlash has been so muted. While German<br />
politician Daniel Cohn-Bendit predicted the financial<br />
collapse would be “for capitalist neoliberals what Chernobyl<br />
was for the nuclear lobby,” voters in Europe shifted rightward,<br />
not left. For all the initial populist outrage, while big<br />
bonuses have returned, it is governments who are under<br />
pressure to retrench. In the US, the backlash now seems<br />
to be against ‘big government’ rather than high finance.<br />
<strong>The</strong> 2008-9 crisis will be remembered as a calamitous financial<br />
failure, wiping out trillions of pounds of financial assets<br />
and pushing upwards of 80 million into extreme poverty.<br />
But as disastrous as the collapse was, the perverse irony is<br />
it may not have been cathartic enough to herald the global<br />
ideational shift needed to overcome the substantial international<br />
and domestic barriers to a closing of the gap in global<br />
financial governance.<br />
Simon Black<br />
black@lse.ac.uk<br />
Credit Crunched - Governing Global Finance<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST<br />
27
21st<br />
Century Socialism<br />
Twenty-first century socialism may not have lived up to<br />
many of its promises, but there is little sign that the ‘pink<br />
tide’ sweeping Latin America has yet started to ebb.<br />
or the majority of Latin Americans, the first decade<br />
of the twenty-first century has been marked by dra-<br />
Fmatic improvements in both the standard of living<br />
and the quality of democracy. Record-breaking economic<br />
growth combined with the longest period of political stability<br />
in the region’s history has now led to the lowest number<br />
of people living in poverty since the 1980s. A recent poll<br />
conducted by Latinobarómetro shows satisfaction with<br />
democracy to have increased significantly throughout the<br />
decade, rising from 29% in 2003 to 44% by 2009. This includes<br />
a 7% increase in 2009 alone- no mean feat considering<br />
this was a year seen by many as the apex of the worst<br />
global recession the world has experienced since the 1930s.<br />
In political terms, the Latin American landscape has changed<br />
dramatically since the start of the decade. After the ‘turn to left’<br />
21st Century Socialism<br />
image credit: flickr “POP”<br />
28<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST
largely due to their charisma and their opposition to the status<br />
quo. <strong>The</strong> second group, made up of leaders such as Lula<br />
and Bachelet, came from institutionalised parties and are a<br />
part of the political system rather than against it.<br />
This adversarial element of the ‘twentieth-century socialist’ is<br />
shown in Hugo Chávez’s rise to power. Both before and after<br />
his election in 1998, the blusterous president of Venezuela has<br />
continued to make international headlines with both his fervent<br />
promotion of a Latin America built upon socialist ideals<br />
that began around 2000 with the election of Ricardo Lagos<br />
in Chile, in country after country Latin Americans have<br />
chosen different shades of left-wing presidents to represent<br />
them. <strong>The</strong>se have included governments in charge of some<br />
of the largest economies in the region, such as Brazil with<br />
the election of former trade union leader Luiz Inácio Lula da<br />
Silva, Argentina following the successive victories of the dynastic<br />
husband and wife team Nestor Kirchner and Cristina<br />
Fernández de Kirchner, and Chile with the election of the<br />
first female president Michelle Bachelet. In total, fourteen<br />
elections in<br />
the first decade<br />
of the<br />
twenty-first<br />
century have<br />
p r o d u c e d<br />
left-of-centre<br />
governments.<br />
<strong>The</strong> most<br />
important of<br />
these elections<br />
came<br />
in 2006 with<br />
the election<br />
of Evo<br />
Morales in<br />
Bolivia and<br />
Rafael Correa<br />
in Ecuador.<br />
Echoing actions of the mercurial Venezuelan president<br />
Hugo Chávez, both presidents began a process of appropriation<br />
shortly after coming<br />
to power. In Bolivia, this<br />
took the form of nationalising<br />
a number of ‘key<br />
strategic sectors’, most<br />
notably within natural<br />
gas and food distribution.<br />
In Ecuador, following a popular referendum allowing<br />
the president to form an Assembly to re-write the Constitution,<br />
Correa placed domestic water supplies under state<br />
control and significantly expanded the role of the state in the<br />
economy. This growth of the state’s powers also allowed him<br />
to appropriate two private television channels; he claimed<br />
they were owned by banks implicated in the December 1999<br />
financial crisis that wiped out millions in personal savings.<br />
Was South America to be the epicentre of the ‘twentiethcentury<br />
socialism’ to sweep across Latin America?<br />
image credit: flickr “Protesto: a.Andres”<br />
“Distinguishing between ‘populist leaders’ who openly<br />
promote ‘twenty-first century socialism’ and the more<br />
moderate leaders who aim to encourage business and<br />
investment... there are in essence ‘two lefts’.”<br />
In his book Contemporary Latin America: Development and<br />
Democracy Beyond the Washington Consensus, Francisco<br />
Panizza warns against making such general conclusions. Distinguishing<br />
between the ‘populist leaders’ who openly promote<br />
‘twenty-first century socialism’ and the more moderate<br />
leaders who aim to encourage business and investment, he<br />
argues that there are in essence ‘two lefts’. <strong>The</strong> first group of<br />
leaders including Chávez, Morales and Correa, were elected<br />
“In total, fourteen<br />
elections in the first<br />
decade of the twentyfirst<br />
century have<br />
produced left-ofcentre<br />
governments.”<br />
and voracious attacks against what he sees as encroaching<br />
United States hegemony in the region. With his repeated<br />
‘diplomatic tours’ to<br />
countries such as Russia,<br />
China, Iran, Belarus,<br />
Vietnam and Syria,<br />
many of Chávez’s actions<br />
seemed designed specifically<br />
to antagonise<br />
the United States. Often ridiculed in the international press,<br />
Chávez’s nationalisation of the oil and food sectors gave him<br />
the financial resources to enact his ‘twenty-first century socialism’<br />
but, until 2006, no allies.<br />
At a time when most of Latin America was ruled by rightof-centre<br />
governments, Chávez’s ‘Bolivarian Revolution’<br />
(named after the nineteenth-century Venezuelan leader who<br />
helped defeat Spain in the Wars of Independence) could only<br />
find a lone ally in Fidel Castro’s Cuba. With the elections of<br />
Morales and Correa, he increased his allies to three. Elected<br />
for second terms in 2009, both Morales and Correa continue<br />
to support Chávez’s ‘twenty-first century socialism’.<br />
In a speech delivered at the <strong>London</strong> School of Economics in<br />
October 2009, Correa re-affirmed his ties with Chávez, saying<br />
that “in his vision of socialism, in his vision of justice, in<br />
his vision of equality, in his Bolivarian vision, there are many<br />
processes in Chávez’s model that are changing Venezuela”.<br />
21st Century Socialism<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST<br />
29
21st Century Socialism<br />
Attempting to pin down precisely what ‘twenty-first century<br />
socialism’ stands for, on the other hand, is difficult. In the<br />
same speech, Correa defined the movement variously as “a<br />
concept that is undergoing constant construction”, a “program<br />
for emancipation capable of strongly facing up to neoliberalism”<br />
and as an ideology that stresses the importance of<br />
generating “values of views before values of exchange”.<br />
“<strong>The</strong> moment Chávez doesn’t<br />
have as much economic flexibility<br />
to subsidise ALBA…<br />
it becomes much more difficult<br />
to understand how they<br />
could relate to each other<br />
and trade.”<br />
For Professor Panizza, senior lecturer in Latin American Politics<br />
at the LSE, the most significant aspect of the movement<br />
is not so much what ‘twenty-first century socialism’ stands for<br />
but the fact that it exists at all. “Who would have thought that<br />
socialism would have become a program of government for<br />
governments elected in democratic elections” Panizza asks,<br />
“That would have been unthinkable even a few years ago”.<br />
But has ‘socialism of the twenty-first century’ lived up to its<br />
promises? In 2004 Cuba and Venezuela announced the creation<br />
of the Bolivarian Alternative for the Americas (ALBA),<br />
a free trade bloc based on socialist principles. According to<br />
venezuelanalysis.com, ALBA aimed to overcome trade disadvantages<br />
through ‘solidarity with the economically weakest<br />
countries, aiming to achieve a free trade area in which all of<br />
its members benefit’.<br />
When gas-rich Bolivia joined in 2006, Stephen Gibbs, BBC’s<br />
correspondent in Havana, reported that Bolivia’s addition<br />
added “real weight” to the pact based on creating free trade<br />
as well as eradicating illiteracy and increasing the provision<br />
of heath-care. Since then, membership of ALBA has almost<br />
become a ‘who’s who’ of the poorest countries in Latin America<br />
and the Caribbean - including Nicaragua who joined in<br />
2007 and Dominica in 2008. Oil-rich but economically underdeveloped<br />
Ecuador became the latest member to join in<br />
2009.<br />
<strong>The</strong> unconventionality of combining underdeveloped econo-<br />
mies of Central American and Caribbean members with the<br />
Andean countries’ over-dependence on oil and gas, is its<br />
greatest selling point, but also represents a significant weakness.<br />
In contrast to other trading blocs in the region such as<br />
MERCOSUR, which are based on comparative advantage,<br />
for Prof. Panizza, ALBA remains under-pinned by Chávez’s<br />
oil money. “I think that that over-dependency is the Achilles’<br />
heel of ALBA”,<br />
he said. “<strong>The</strong><br />
moment that<br />
Chávez’s doesn’t<br />
have as much<br />
economic flexibility<br />
to subsidise<br />
ALBA,<br />
which is happening<br />
now to a<br />
certain extent, it<br />
becomes much<br />
more difficult to<br />
understand how<br />
they could relate<br />
to each other<br />
and trade”.<br />
In 2009 this<br />
became all too<br />
apparent as the<br />
plunging price<br />
of oil led to<br />
drastic cuts in public services and welfare spending. Many<br />
of Chávez’s popular misiones, often staffed by Cuban doctors<br />
as part of ALBA’s trading agreement, had to be closed.<br />
According to <strong>The</strong> Economist, the dependence of Chávez’s<br />
welfare program on profits in PDVSA, the state oil company,<br />
led to direct financial transfers to welfare programmes falling<br />
from $7.1 billion in 2007 to $2.7 billion in 2009. Despite<br />
promising a stimulus package to ease the pain, Chávez’s government<br />
has so far failed to deliver.<br />
By the end of 2009 soaring inflation, daily food and water<br />
shortages, periodic power cuts, rampant crime and public<br />
sector strikes led to an increase in public dissent. To quell<br />
opposition, Chávez began to resort to increasingly repressive<br />
measures imposed upon sources of independent thinking,<br />
including private television channels, trade unions, the<br />
church and universities.<br />
For Carlos Marquez, a Venezuelan business intelligence<br />
analyst now working in <strong>London</strong>, the inability of a political<br />
opposition movement to organize had always been a major<br />
problem in Venezuela. “<strong>The</strong>re have always been various petitions<br />
to get Chávez out of government or not to pass a law”,<br />
he said “But what a lot of people don’t know, is that if you go<br />
to any street market, you can often buy the name and contact<br />
details of the person who voted against these laws. It<br />
seems designed to intimidate people into not voting for the<br />
opposition because you never know who can get hold of your<br />
details”.<br />
image credit: flickr “rogimmi”<br />
30<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST
“<strong>The</strong> one good thing about ‘twentieth-century socialism’ was<br />
that it brought to light to everyone in the country that you<br />
can’t ignore the sheer number of people living in poverty”, he<br />
added, “But if you ask me things have not got better under<br />
Chávez.”<br />
“We’re now having power cuts in the cities, which I’ve never<br />
experienced before, and in the countryside things are even<br />
worse. My family live<br />
in the countryside<br />
and over Christmas<br />
last year they only got<br />
water every eight days.<br />
Whatever Chávez is saying, many people don’t feel better off<br />
now than ten years ago.”<br />
“<strong>The</strong> one good thing about ‘twentieth-century<br />
socialism’ was that it brought to light … you can’t<br />
ignore the sheer number of people living in poverty.”<br />
With the passing of the constitutional amendment allowing<br />
Chávez to run for the presidency again in 2012, it would be<br />
in general, and ALBA in particular, surviving a change of<br />
administration.<br />
Also heavily dependent on natural resources, both Morales<br />
and Correa have to be seen as delivering on their promises<br />
to the poor to ensure their survival. In contrast to countries<br />
with more diversified economies, the distribution of natural<br />
resources represent potentially explosive political issues in<br />
both countries. In Ecuador<br />
in 2009, there were already<br />
indications that the indigenous<br />
support fostered during<br />
Correa’s first term was<br />
beginning to slip through his fingers following his mishandling<br />
of a proposed new mining law that could allow companies<br />
to mine in protected areas.<br />
In addition, a recent study conducted by Vanderbilt University<br />
has also shown that despite the forcefulness of their<br />
rhetoric, most Venezuelans and Bolivians still situate themselves<br />
to the right of the political spectrum. This sits with a<br />
general trend across Latin America in another study carried<br />
out Latinobarómetro.<br />
image credit: flickr “Presidencia de la Republica del Ecuador”<br />
“What it has tried to do is present an alternative, not just to<br />
neoliberalism, but to the moderate-left, reformist, capitalist<br />
government now in Latin America and I think this has a<br />
certain appeal to many people as socialism had in the twentieth<br />
century. You cannot dismiss the notion that socialism<br />
created apart from capitalism is not appealing to very, very<br />
important sectors of the population of Latin America.”<br />
With an increasing number of political parties of both the<br />
left and right moving towards the centre in many Latin<br />
American countries, Prof. Panizza believes that we should<br />
not discount ‘twenty-first century socialism’ just yet.<br />
foolish to write off the president just yet. In a turbulent<br />
political career that has seen him both lead and survive<br />
attempted coups against the government, Chávez has almost<br />
made a policy of defying predictions about his future. Facing<br />
a crumbling infrastructure, over-reliance on oil revenues<br />
and years of systematic ‘brain drain’ due to underinvestment<br />
in creating white-collar jobs, Chávez’s claim that “these<br />
next ten years will continue to transform Venezuela into an<br />
international powerhouse” has started to ring hollow for many<br />
people. With the grumblings of social discontent in Venezuela<br />
multiplying, Chávez’s use of scapegoats is wearing increasingly<br />
thin. With many of Venezuela’s trading relations built upon<br />
cheap oil, which in turn is dependent upon international<br />
demand within the open market, the recent plunge in the<br />
price of oil revealed the extent to which Chávez’s political<br />
survival is dependent upon the very free-market system he<br />
opposes. If he fails to win re-election in 2012, it is difficult<br />
to imagine Chávez’s brand of twenty-first century socialism<br />
Joe Rowley<br />
j.r.rowley@lse.ac.uk<br />
21st Century Socialism<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST<br />
31
HIGHLIGHTS<br />
<strong>The</strong> Fight<br />
Through<br />
of Her Life<br />
the Parinya Muay Thai boxing camp,<br />
Thailand’s celebrated Nong Toom seeks to give<br />
back to her community with the art that made<br />
possible her transition from male to female.<br />
<strong>The</strong> Fight of Her Life<br />
Akick to the chest. A punch to<br />
the face. <strong>The</strong> crowd goes wild as<br />
Nong Toom sets his foot on his<br />
opponent’s thigh, hoists himself into<br />
the air, and comes crashing down with<br />
both elbows. An instant knockout,<br />
made all the sweeter by the fact that a<br />
kathoey — a “ladyboy,” or transvestite<br />
— would seemingly be the underdog<br />
in any Muay Thai ring. Much to the<br />
public’s amazement and delight, this<br />
kathoey enjoyed international celebrity<br />
and an extraordinary career of 20 wins<br />
out of 22 fights. By his late teens, Toom<br />
had earned enough to make a change he<br />
had dreamed about for years: In 1999,<br />
he officially became a woman.<br />
Sweeping away preconceptions, Toom<br />
successfully made a name for herself<br />
in Muay Thai, the world’s most violent<br />
combat sport. Toom is still celebrated<br />
today as a champion of Thailand’s<br />
national pastime; as a woman, however,<br />
she is banned from the ring. Still, she<br />
feels tremendous love for the sport. “If<br />
it weren’t for Muay Thai,” she said, “I<br />
wouldn’t be who I am today.” Through<br />
Muay Thai, she hopes to make a<br />
difference in her community. Along with<br />
her best friend and business partner,<br />
Steven Khan, Toom is striving to create<br />
the Parinya Muay Thai boxing camp,<br />
a haven for marginalized children,<br />
women, and members of the LGBT<br />
community (Although her fans know<br />
her as Nong, “Parinya” is Toom’s formal<br />
first name).<br />
“I’ve always dreamed of having this<br />
camp,” said Toom, who purchased the<br />
grounds in Pranburi with prize money<br />
from fighting in Bangkok’s Lumphini<br />
Stadium when she was 16. “I don’t<br />
want to be the sole beneficiary of Muay<br />
Thai. I would like to share the art of<br />
Muay Thai and to help other people.”<br />
Toom’s altruism is aimed at several<br />
groups in need. Throughout Thailand,<br />
poor children as young as five are<br />
encouraged fight Muay Thai; they bring<br />
home bruises and bloody noses as often<br />
as they do winnings. <strong>The</strong> Parinya Muay<br />
Thai camp is intended “for children<br />
who want<br />
real enough”<br />
for people to<br />
make major<br />
contribu-<br />
to practice “Through Muay Thai, she hopes to make<br />
the art but<br />
a difference in her community.”<br />
who don’t<br />
want the<br />
pressure or the risk of competition,” tions, lamented Khan.<br />
said Toom.<br />
<strong>The</strong>se children will live, study, train,<br />
and receive stipends for their families<br />
at Parinya Muay Thai, which will also<br />
serve as a school and orphanage. <strong>The</strong><br />
culmination of their hard work will<br />
be exhibition and performance rather<br />
than competition.<br />
Women, too, will be welcome to train<br />
at the camp, providing them with a<br />
revolutionary opportunity to partake in<br />
Muay Thai as well as a chance to learn<br />
self-defense in a sometimes dangerously<br />
patriarchal society. Additionally, the<br />
camp will serve as a much-needed<br />
sanctuary for the LGBT community. As<br />
Khan explained, sexual orientation “is<br />
a don’t-ask-don’t-tell kind of thing” in<br />
most camps, but “at our camp, you can<br />
be a ladyboy, you can be straight, you<br />
can be gay. Everyone has to respect one<br />
another.”<br />
Parinya Muay Thai is revolutionary in<br />
its scope and ambition, but Toom and<br />
Khan must conquer the challenge of<br />
funding before their dream can come to<br />
fruition. “All the groundwork is there,”<br />
said Khan. “We have the land, we have<br />
the outer walls, the gate, the permits,<br />
the planning. We’re just waiting on the<br />
money.”<br />
Ultimately, the camp’s operations will be<br />
funded by foreign Muay Thai enthusiasts<br />
who will pay for private lessons with<br />
Toom, with additional funding from<br />
donations, grants, fundraisers, and<br />
sponsorship. However, “until we have a<br />
boxing ring with people training there,<br />
it doesn’t feel<br />
Despite this obstacle, both Toom and<br />
Khan are determined to see this project<br />
through. “What’s keeping us going is<br />
that Nong Toom and I really believe<br />
in what we want to accomplish here,<br />
and that hasn’t changed,” said Khan.<br />
“Right now, we only have a wall, a gate,<br />
the land, and a dream. But we have<br />
passion.”<br />
After overcoming imposing obstacles<br />
to realize her dreams, Toom is<br />
determined to help others do the same.<br />
“I want to be an inspiration,” she said.<br />
“I want people to learn to pursue their<br />
dreams and face their challenges, even<br />
if it’s difficult.” Parinya Muay Thai will<br />
offer marginalized communities this<br />
very opportunity, along with respect,<br />
support, and “a big family,” said Toom.<br />
All will be equal and united in their<br />
love of “Thailand’s greatest treasure.”<br />
“I don’t want to be the sole beneficiary<br />
of Muay Thai boxing. I would like to<br />
share the art of Muay Thai and to help<br />
other people.” – Nong Toom<br />
Monica Landy<br />
monica.landy@yale.edu<br />
32<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST
<strong>The</strong> Human Cost of War:<br />
How Canada is Coping with its Soldiers’<br />
Mental Health <strong>Issue</strong>s<br />
HIGHLIGHTS<br />
War claims lives not only in combat, but<br />
long after, through the intense psychological<br />
trauma suffered by soldiers. Canada has taken<br />
a unique approach- worthy of considerationto<br />
treating the recent influx of post-combat<br />
stress in soldiers. If made easily accessible to<br />
all soldiers, this multi-faceted program could<br />
impact not only on the victims, but society as<br />
well, challenging the general acceptance of war<br />
and the traditional way soldiers are deployed.<br />
Canada has confirmed<br />
its remaining<br />
2800 troops to<br />
be removed from<br />
Afghanistan by end 2011.<br />
Over this period tens of thousands<br />
of soldiers from other<br />
countries will also leave Afghanistan.<br />
It is estimated<br />
that approximately one third<br />
of all soldiers deployed will<br />
suffer from post-traumatic<br />
stress.<br />
<strong>The</strong> difficulty soldiers face<br />
in transitioning from an<br />
intense combat zone back<br />
to former lives and families<br />
is grossly underestimated<br />
both by political and military<br />
institutions. Some feel an<br />
overwhelming sense of guilt<br />
having left compatriots in<br />
the field, others feel angst<br />
related to acts committed<br />
or witnessed in combat. <strong>The</strong><br />
resulting influx of soldiers<br />
returning from Iraq and<br />
Afghanistan suffering from<br />
such psychological trauma<br />
is worrisome. According to<br />
recent reports by mental<br />
health experts, postdeployment<br />
military suicides<br />
in the US to date outnumber<br />
the total combat related<br />
deaths in Afghanistan and<br />
Iraq combined. In Canada,<br />
the number of operational<br />
stress injury cases in 2007<br />
represented an increase of<br />
over 400% over the five years<br />
prior.<br />
Although impossible to make<br />
a historical comparison, a<br />
clear phenomenon of the<br />
20th century is the shift<br />
away from classical interstate<br />
to intra-state warfare,<br />
and thus the disappearance<br />
of clearly identified actors.<br />
“Winning hearts and minds”<br />
of communities also raises<br />
the issue of heightened<br />
interpersonal interaction<br />
with a foreign population,<br />
for which soldiers lack<br />
psychological preparation.<br />
With the disappearance of<br />
front lines and the lack of<br />
uniforms, one can neither<br />
escape to a so-called safe<br />
area, nor distinguish<br />
between warring factions psychological<br />
and civilians. This shift has<br />
had a profound impact on<br />
the soldier’s psyche. Exposed<br />
to hostile environments in<br />
active combat for extended<br />
periods of time, they are<br />
understandably unable to<br />
cope.<br />
<strong>The</strong> US, in their own struggle<br />
against stress disorders,<br />
have committed 50 million<br />
dollars to conduct research in<br />
order to address the issue of<br />
post-deployment suicide, but<br />
“Approximately one third of all soldiers<br />
deployed [to Afghanistan] will suffer<br />
from post-traumatic stress.”<br />
with few concrete implementations<br />
to date. And yet the<br />
urgent need persists. An upsurge<br />
in health claims related<br />
to tours in Iraq and Afghanistan<br />
has resulted in a sharp<br />
spike in unprocessed health<br />
claims from 253,000 to over<br />
400,000. This increase has<br />
slowed processing time and<br />
access to treatment, averaging<br />
a considerable delay of<br />
over five months. Without<br />
early detection and treatment,<br />
the soldiers’ symptoms<br />
of depression, insomnia and<br />
flashbacks worsen. This can<br />
lead to self-isolation, the inability<br />
to work, substance<br />
abuse, destruction of families<br />
and ultimately, suicide.<br />
<strong>The</strong> term Operational Stress<br />
Injuries (OSI) was introduced<br />
to replace the term stressrelated<br />
disorders as part of<br />
an initiative to de-stigmatize<br />
mental illness in the military<br />
community. <strong>The</strong> term is not a<br />
medical condition, but used<br />
within non-medical contexts<br />
to describe various types of<br />
difficulties<br />
that can develop as a result<br />
of military operations. To<br />
address this problem, Canada<br />
has adopted an innovative<br />
approach to psychological<br />
treatment that deserves<br />
recognition. Since 2001,<br />
ten OSI clinics have opened<br />
across Canada, as well as 19<br />
Support Centers for military<br />
families, with a commitment<br />
to hire 218 mental health<br />
professionals. Dr. Charles<br />
Nelson, Psychologist of the<br />
<strong>London</strong> OSI Clinic, shares<br />
his perspective with <strong>The</strong> Paris<br />
<strong>Globalist</strong>: “For many veterans<br />
asking for help does not come<br />
easy. Thankfully, the peersupport<br />
program with the<br />
Operational Stress Injury<br />
Support System (OSISS)<br />
helps break down the stigma<br />
of experiencing mental<br />
health problems as a result<br />
of military service.” <strong>The</strong>se<br />
specialized medical facilities<br />
are partnered with advocacy<br />
campaigns and peer networks<br />
to reach out to sufferers. <strong>The</strong><br />
peer-support program is<br />
the most innovative part of<br />
treatment: it breaks down<br />
the taboo of mental illness<br />
by enabling soldiers to share<br />
their experiences, in a safe<br />
environment. This successful<br />
grassroots initiative, coupled<br />
with the OSI institutionbased<br />
programs, has created a<br />
image credit: flickr “Chairnam of the Joint Chiefs of Suit”<br />
multi-faceted, comprehensive<br />
and effective approach to<br />
treatment. Senator Romeo<br />
Dallaire, dedicated advocate<br />
of OSISS, believes that “peer<br />
interventions are saving us a<br />
suicide a day.”<br />
Acknowledging the progress<br />
made to date, mental health<br />
still remains a major issue<br />
in the Canadian military.<br />
<strong>The</strong> available programs and<br />
services remain reactive,<br />
but need to be paired with<br />
proactive solutions in order to<br />
treat the problem at the root.<br />
Canada has recently invested<br />
in psychological testing and<br />
preventative training in order<br />
to better identify symptoms<br />
and stress coping abilities of<br />
soldiers prior to deployment.<br />
Despite the realization of the<br />
tremendous psychological<br />
repercussions suffered<br />
by its soldiers, Canada’s<br />
security agenda and<br />
decades-long commitment<br />
to human security is not<br />
expected to change in the<br />
foreseeable future. What has<br />
changed within Canada’s<br />
military operations is the<br />
peacekeeping mandate from<br />
classic observation to NATO’s,<br />
and the UN’s expanded roles<br />
in peace-building. Lightly<br />
armed neutral observers have<br />
become active combatants,<br />
a mandate which Canadians<br />
have accepted, and with it,<br />
significantly greater risks to<br />
their personnel. Today, the<br />
number of PTSD affected<br />
soldiers seems exponentially<br />
greater than could have<br />
ever been predicted. If<br />
nothing would indicate<br />
that this progressive<br />
acknowledgement of the<br />
scale of the problem could i<br />
“This can lead to self-isolation, the<br />
inability to work, substance abuse, destruction<br />
of families and ultimately, suicide.”<br />
mpact the political will<br />
to deploy, it has at least<br />
piloted the development of<br />
infrastructure and support<br />
systems required behind<br />
such military efforts.<br />
Leading in the field of<br />
mental health, this visible<br />
commitment to personnel is<br />
a reassuring and humanist<br />
approach to a once impersonal<br />
and inflexible military<br />
institution, a paradigm shift<br />
that could very well have<br />
future implications on the<br />
general tolerability of war.<br />
Katelyn Potter<br />
katelyninparis<br />
@gmail.com<br />
<strong>The</strong> Human Cost of War: How Canada is Coping with its Soldiers’ Mental Health <strong>Issue</strong>s<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST<br />
33
<strong>The</strong> European Union<br />
and India: of their parts?<br />
Bigger than the sum<br />
In this article we ask whether India’s experience of forging a nation<br />
out of a messy collection of culturally heterogeneous princely states<br />
and administrative units holds any lessons for the European Union.<br />
“One might think of independent India as being Europe’s past as<br />
well as its future. It is Europe’s past in that it has reproduced,<br />
albeit more fiercely and intensely, the conflicts of a modernising,<br />
industrialising and urbanising society. But it is also its future in<br />
that it anticipated, by some fifty years, the European attempt to<br />
create a multilingual, multireligious and multiethnic political and<br />
economic community.”<br />
- Ramachandra Guha, Indian historian and writer<br />
image credit: flickr “IDRC CRDI Communications”<br />
<strong>The</strong> EU and India: Bigger than the sum of their parts?<br />
T<br />
he fact that India is today a<br />
single political unit defies dire<br />
predictions of many colonialists<br />
and political scientists. One prominent<br />
doomsayer, Sir John Strachey, who<br />
helped put the British Raj in place,<br />
wrote that “there is not, and never<br />
was, an India, or even any country of<br />
India, possessing, according to any<br />
European ideas, any sort of unity,<br />
physical, political, social or religious.”<br />
Strachey thought it inconceivable<br />
that national sympathies should ever<br />
extend to India generally: “that men of<br />
the Punjab, Bengal, the North-Western<br />
Provinces and Madras, should ever feel<br />
that they belong to one Indian nation,<br />
is impossible. You might with as much<br />
reason and probability look forward to<br />
a time when a single nation will have<br />
taken the place of the various nations<br />
in Europe.”<br />
Strachey’s sentiments capture a deep<br />
foreboding that India lacked essential<br />
ingredients of a nation, much less a<br />
democratic one. It was simply too diverse<br />
and too poor, and with ugly remnants<br />
of its caste system, had undemocratic<br />
cultural values. Indeed, following<br />
in these intellectual footsteps, <strong>The</strong><br />
Economist christened India “the world’s<br />
most improbable democracy”. Why<br />
did these premonitions turn out to be<br />
misguided? Three factors were chiefly<br />
responsible for keeping India alive: the<br />
independence movement’s fostering of<br />
an inclusive national identity, a political<br />
party (the Indian National Congress)<br />
that built and still bases its politics<br />
around these ideals, and the respect<br />
accorded to the electoral process.<br />
“a deep foreboding that India lacked<br />
essential ingredients of a nation, much<br />
less a democratic one”<br />
Every five<br />
years India<br />
plays host to<br />
the largest<br />
democratic exercise in human history.<br />
At last year’s national elections, 700<br />
million voters cast their ballots at one of<br />
828,804 polling stations. <strong>The</strong>se general<br />
elections in many ways resemble the<br />
country whose political future they<br />
decide: always colourful and usually<br />
chaotic, their magic lies in their very<br />
existence. Conducted by a fiercely<br />
independent and well-resourced<br />
Election Commission and contested<br />
by candidates ranging from secular,<br />
Marxist union leaders to right-wing<br />
Hindu ultra-nationalists, Dalit demagogues<br />
and Kashmiri separatists, Indian<br />
elections are not tools in the hands<br />
of a strong-willed ruling elite, as is the<br />
case in many developing countries.<br />
<strong>The</strong>y often trigger important conversations<br />
about the country India ought to<br />
be and are one major reason why India<br />
survives as a political entity.<br />
A second reason is that elections reinforce<br />
the<br />
grand idea<br />
of India articulated<br />
by<br />
the fathers<br />
of the country’s independence. <strong>The</strong>ir<br />
vision was calibrated to appeal to vastly<br />
different ethno-linguistic and religious<br />
communities thus transcending these<br />
boundaries. India’s national identity is<br />
not constructed upon the conventional<br />
foundations of nationalism. To rally the<br />
country around a common language<br />
would be divisive, as no tongue is spoken<br />
by a majority of the population,<br />
and 29 languages have over one million<br />
34<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST
native speakers. Ethnicity provides an<br />
equally vacuous bond, since “the term<br />
Indian accommodates a diversity of<br />
racial types in which many Indians have<br />
more in common with foreigners than<br />
with other Indians”, a point well made<br />
by Shashi Tharoor, former UN undersecretary<br />
general, now India’s Minister<br />
of State for External Affairs. Religion,<br />
the founding basis for India’s neighbour<br />
Pakistan, was not a suitable glue<br />
either: while predominantly Hindu,<br />
India has large and very old Muslim,<br />
image credit: flickr “Giampaolo Squarcina”<br />
Sikh, Christian, Jewish, Buddhist and<br />
Zoroastrian minorities, and has been<br />
ruled by both<br />
B u d d h i s t<br />
“India’s founding fathers elected to<br />
enunciate a national identity that is<br />
secular, pluralist and inclusive.”<br />
and Muslim<br />
dynasties.<br />
India’s<br />
f o u n d i n g<br />
fathers thus elected to enunciate a national<br />
identity that is secular, pluralist<br />
and inclusive.<br />
This inclusive vision of India – as a<br />
“house with all the doors and windows<br />
open,” through which the winds from<br />
around the world could blow without<br />
sweeping Indians off their feet –<br />
emerged in the years leading up to independence.<br />
Particular credence for it<br />
must be given to Rabindranath Tagore,<br />
the celebrated Bengali poet and first<br />
Asian Nobel Prize winner. Tagore’s writings<br />
deeply influenced both Mahatma<br />
Gandhi, the Father of the Nation, and<br />
Nehru, India’s first Prime Minister. To<br />
become institutionalised, however, the<br />
high-flown ideals required a political<br />
entity to drive them forward in a messy<br />
world of realpolitik. That vehicle was<br />
the Indian National Congress.<br />
Imagine a political party claiming to<br />
represent all the people of Western<br />
Europe, from Greek-speaking Orthodox<br />
Christians in Athens to Welsh-speaking<br />
Catholics in Cardiff. <strong>The</strong> Indian<br />
National Congress’ claims have been<br />
no less grandiose. One could hardly<br />
find a party whose office bearers have<br />
more eclectic origins: their current<br />
parliamentarians include Tibetan<br />
Sherpas, Tamil blue-bloods and Sikh<br />
economists; a liberal Scotsman, a<br />
Mecca-born Muslim cleric and an<br />
English theosophist feature among<br />
their past presidents. <strong>The</strong> party of<br />
Gandhi and of Nehru successfully<br />
preserved their ideals of nationhood<br />
and built a political platform around<br />
them.<br />
This is not to suggest that the Congress’<br />
liberal, romantic ideology has<br />
been unchallenged. Indeed, its fragility<br />
was glaringly exposed by the Muslim<br />
League, a political party led by Mohammad<br />
Ali Jinnah, the Father of Pakistan.<br />
In 1947, the League successfully<br />
demanded a separate state for India’s<br />
Muslims, arguing that the community’s<br />
interests would be threatened in a<br />
Hindu-majority<br />
India.<br />
Its starkest<br />
c h a l l e n g e ,<br />
h o w e v e r ,<br />
may come<br />
from Hindu communalists, who seek to<br />
turn India into a Hindu rashtra, a rival,<br />
exclusive definition of Indian-ness that<br />
privileges Hindi culture.<br />
<strong>The</strong> tensions stoked by Hindu<br />
fundamentalist groups are most<br />
visible and most frightening in North<br />
India. In 2002, in Godhra, Gujarat,<br />
one of India’s fastest-growing and<br />
best-managed states, Hindu mobs<br />
killed over 1000 people, most of them<br />
Muslims, in retaliation for the alleged<br />
burning of a train carriage carrying 60<br />
Hindu pilgrims by Muslim farmers.<br />
Many secularists understandably<br />
feared further communal dividends<br />
for the Hindu-nationalist Bharata<br />
Janata Party (BJP) at the 2004 General<br />
Elections. In a pleasantly surprising<br />
result, however, the largely illiterate<br />
electorate voted in the Congress Party,<br />
led by the Italian-born, Roman Catholic<br />
Sonia Gandhi. <strong>The</strong> sight of her stepping<br />
aside to make way for a Sikh economics<br />
professor, Dr Manmohan Singh, to be<br />
sworn in as Prime Minister by a Muslim<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST<br />
nuclear scientist, President Abdul<br />
Kalam, in a country 81% Hindu,<br />
captured much of what holds India<br />
together, and suggests inspiring<br />
possibilities for communities comprised<br />
of diverse populations.<br />
Ever since its foundation, marked<br />
by the Treaties of Rome in 1957, the<br />
European Union has faced difficulties<br />
in sustaining enthusiasm for its<br />
overall project, best worded as a form<br />
of Pan-Europeanism. This ideology<br />
encompasses the thought that European<br />
citizens possess common social,<br />
political, economic and cultural norms,<br />
which supersede national divisions. <strong>The</strong><br />
EU’s attempts to establish such a spirit<br />
among its 500 million population have<br />
missed their mark. Fifty-three years<br />
onwards, Euro-enthusiasts remain a<br />
minority.<br />
<strong>The</strong>re was a time when the goal<br />
of fostering a lasting Pan-European<br />
sentiment did not seem so forlorn. Most<br />
Eastern European countries were keen to<br />
join the Union in the 1990s, specifically<br />
because of economic advantages.<br />
However, while these benefits were<br />
the driving force behind the desperate<br />
desire to be integrated, they were also<br />
linked with a developing sentiment of<br />
European pride, undoubtedly due to<br />
their very recent liberation from the<br />
USSR’s might. In contrast, now that<br />
many of these countries have acceded<br />
to the Union, support has wallowed.<br />
Even within candidate nations, general<br />
public shows ambiguity of opinion, as<br />
for instance, in Ukraine and Turkey.<br />
<strong>The</strong> problem has also become<br />
conspicuous in founder state countries<br />
as dramatically demonstrated by the<br />
rejection of the European Constitution<br />
by French and Dutch voters in 2005.<br />
Considered a rejection of the concept of<br />
the EU as a federal governing force, the<br />
voting stunned governments across the<br />
continent. In addition to both nations<br />
being EU founders, France is a main<br />
beneficiary of the Common Agricultural<br />
Policy, the greatest drain of the Union’s<br />
budget. In this light, such a drastic<br />
rejection seemed incomprehensible.<br />
<strong>The</strong> principal purpose of the European<br />
Constitution was to modernize<br />
<strong>The</strong> EU and India: Bigger than the sum of their parts?<br />
35
image credit: flickr “European Parliament”<br />
“Fifty-three years onwards, Euro-enthusiasts<br />
remain a minority.”<br />
<strong>The</strong> EU and India: Bigger than the sum of their parts?<br />
institutions to offer a better service<br />
to citizens. Powers were to become<br />
more centralized to ensure efficacy of<br />
decision-making. This undoubtedly<br />
surfaced fears of losing national<br />
identity and sovereignty to an<br />
apparently far removed and therefore<br />
unaccountable institution. Low levels of<br />
familiarity with the Union enhance this<br />
phenomenon. In the United Kingdom,<br />
Eurobarometer measured 83% claiming<br />
to know nothing or very little about the<br />
EU in 2009: national governments<br />
have failed to ensure sufficient public<br />
education about the EU’s workings and<br />
aims. In addition, smaller countries<br />
are increasingly worried that they<br />
will be dwarfed by greater economic<br />
powers and receive less than their<br />
share of benefits. <strong>The</strong> simultaneous<br />
combination of member-state<br />
nationalism and lack of transparency<br />
resulted into the ‘Constitution’ deadend,<br />
lasting nearly a decade.<br />
<strong>The</strong> EU’s most symbolic acts of<br />
integration - the adoption of a common<br />
market and the opening of boundaries<br />
across the Schengen area- remain<br />
principally means of facilitating the<br />
freedom of trade and movement<br />
amongst member states. In other<br />
words, motivated by economics, rather<br />
than any celebration of European pride.<br />
Perhaps another symptom of this selfimposed<br />
illness is the inclusion in the<br />
European Parliament of parties critical<br />
of its very existence.<br />
It is natural that countries should want<br />
image credit: flickr “wieland7”<br />
36<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST
to ensure that their sovereignty is not<br />
infringed upon. However, it is crucial<br />
that the concept of the EU become<br />
more popular. If enthusiasm can no<br />
longer be mustered, there is a chance<br />
that the European Union project will<br />
come to a standstill, or worse, become<br />
obsolete. National governments are<br />
ultimately accountable to their voters.<br />
If Euro-scepticism lives on, this will<br />
have to be brought in real terms onto<br />
the European scene. <strong>The</strong> EU is a noble<br />
enterprise, at the helm of common<br />
values and common economic interests.<br />
A united political stand on world affairs<br />
would by sheer force of economic<br />
weight, give much greater importance<br />
to member states’ demands. This will<br />
however not be possible if energy is<br />
wasted on constantly questioning the<br />
existence of the organization itself. <strong>The</strong><br />
much needed improvements will also<br />
not come about unless it is clear that<br />
citizens are willing to see the EU thrive.<br />
regulation eases the exchange of goods<br />
across countries, while freedom of<br />
movement has allowed for a more<br />
flexible and successful labour market.<br />
Schemes such as the ‘Erasmus’<br />
university exchange, or more informal<br />
‘learning’ from other member states, are<br />
undeniable benefits stealthily brought<br />
by the Union to its citizens. More<br />
importantly, the initial 1957 project<br />
has maintained its crucial goal: peace<br />
by intertwining economic interests and<br />
improving dialogue. Half a century later,<br />
this achievement is too often taken for<br />
granted.<br />
<strong>The</strong> idea of a pluralist democracy<br />
is powerful but fragile; Indians and<br />
Europeans alike would do well to guard<br />
it, for it will sustain both in the decades<br />
to come.<br />
A visit to the Commission buildings<br />
shows how the Union itself is crying<br />
for attention. Yet MEPs are unknown<br />
to the general public, and being sent<br />
to Brussels is sometimes considered<br />
political disgrace. Heads of state such<br />
as President Nicholas Sarkozy have<br />
been known to pressure disobedient<br />
ministers to run for EU parliamentary<br />
elections. More worryingly, only 43%<br />
of EU citizens support enlargement as<br />
opposed to 35% who are completely<br />
opposed to it, demonstrating a narrow<br />
view of what it means to be European.<br />
This may derive from the difficulty<br />
of member states to define their own<br />
nationality and come to terms with the<br />
fact that passports are shared within<br />
a plurality of ethnic origins. It is an<br />
attitude in contrast with the will of<br />
the EU institutions that, in a symbolic<br />
gesture, chose Istanbul as one of the<br />
cultural capitals of Europe in 2010.<br />
A solution may reside in publicising the<br />
European Union’s greatest successes in<br />
improving the day-to-day of its citizens,<br />
rather than placing the emphasis on<br />
its potential diplomatic weight abroad.<br />
Economic plans have allowed for lower<br />
prices and greater competitiveness; a<br />
trade-free zone enables a more efficient<br />
use of each country’s comparative<br />
advantages. A common health and safety<br />
“National governments have failed to<br />
ensure sufficient public education about<br />
the EU’s workings and aims”<br />
image credit: flickr “Ben Sutherland”<br />
Siddharth George<br />
s.e.george@lse.ac.uk<br />
Marion Koob<br />
m.c.koob@lse.ac.uk<br />
<strong>The</strong> EU and India: Bigger than the sum of their parts?<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST<br />
37
Enter Asia,<br />
Exit the West?<br />
In the aftermath of the Lehman Brothers collapse and in light of the<br />
emerging prominence of Asia- are beliefs in an imminent takeover<br />
of the West justified? This article tackles and refutes five specific<br />
generalisations heard in media and popular society to remind us of the<br />
fundamentals that drove the West to the position they are in today.<br />
1. “<strong>The</strong>re is a power shift<br />
- West to East”<br />
It is still quite far-fetched<br />
to state that Asia will supplant<br />
the West Asia is still<br />
nowhere near the West<br />
in terms of economic and<br />
military development- the<br />
emergence of Asia will, at<br />
most, further enhance a<br />
multi-polar world.<br />
Additionally, Asia has to deal<br />
with serious environmental<br />
issues. Natural resources<br />
are depleting, pollution is<br />
worsening and a shortage of<br />
water developing. According<br />
to a World Bank Report<br />
entitled Cost of Pollution in<br />
China, 760,000 people die<br />
prematurely each year due to<br />
air and water pollution.<br />
power, China will go through<br />
a long period of unpredictable<br />
transition and weak central<br />
governance, possibly<br />
even incurring lacklustre<br />
economic growth.<br />
Lastly, the possibility of<br />
geopolitical dominance from<br />
Asia seems uncertain because<br />
despite the augmenting<br />
may seem Asia got it right.<br />
<strong>The</strong> growing hunger for<br />
material betterment in Asia<br />
appears to beat the greedridden<br />
American model or<br />
orthodoxy-dominated ways<br />
of Europe. Especially as the<br />
current financial crisis afflicts<br />
American and European<br />
strength, the unique way of<br />
conducting business in Asia<br />
gains attention.<br />
Enter Asia, Exit the West?<br />
Indeed the region<br />
has produced 30% of<br />
international economic<br />
production, but its GDP per<br />
capita remains only $5,800<br />
compared to $48,000 in<br />
America. Even at the currently<br />
astounding rates of growth,<br />
the average Asian requires 77<br />
years (or the Chinese 47 years<br />
and the Indian 123 years) to<br />
match the level of income per<br />
average American.<br />
Asia also needs to jump<br />
the hurdles posed by its<br />
demographics. According<br />
to the United Nations<br />
Economic and Social<br />
Commission for Asia and the<br />
Pacific (UNESCAP), more<br />
than 20% of Asians will be<br />
seniors by 2050. Ageing<br />
already causes stagnation in<br />
Japan, for example, and will<br />
continue to affect the whole<br />
region as saving rates fall<br />
under rocketing healthcare<br />
and pension costs.<br />
“According to a World Bank Report entitled<br />
Cost of Pollution in China, 760,000 people<br />
die prematurely each year due to air and water<br />
pollution.”<br />
Furthermore, increased rates<br />
in military expenditure have<br />
been misleading. Research<br />
from the Stockholm<br />
International Peace Research<br />
Institute shows that the<br />
combined spending of Asian<br />
countries on military in 2008<br />
was only a third of what<br />
America spent, and will not<br />
match American expenditure<br />
for another 72 years.<br />
Not to mention political<br />
stability still remains<br />
extremely volatile in Asia.<br />
Rising inequality and<br />
pervasive corruption in<br />
China continue to drive<br />
social unrest and hamper<br />
economic development.<br />
Even if democracy pushes<br />
the Communist party out of<br />
hard power of an emerging<br />
economy and expanding<br />
military, soft power is lacking.<br />
<strong>The</strong> so-called Pax Americana<br />
does not only rely on<br />
economic and military might,<br />
but also promises of freetrade,<br />
Wilsonian Liberalism<br />
and multilateral institutions.<br />
<strong>The</strong> self-confidence being<br />
felt throughout Asia in<br />
their ‘newfound’ industrial<br />
revolution does not seem<br />
to uphold the same kind of<br />
leadership and inspiration as<br />
the West.<br />
2. “Capitalism in Asia is<br />
different - it is more<br />
dynamic”<br />
In a complimentary knitting<br />
together of state intervention<br />
and corporate mentality, it<br />
image credit: flickr “neonmarg”<br />
Although state intervention<br />
is more frequent and<br />
encompassing in Asia,<br />
the World Bank study,<br />
East Asian Miracle, was<br />
unable to conclude it<br />
accounted for economic<br />
success. Furthermore,<br />
despite structures of familycontrolled<br />
conglomerates<br />
and state-owned enterprises<br />
enabling businesses to evade<br />
the short-term obstacles of<br />
Western companies- business<br />
also become less accountable,<br />
less transparent, and less<br />
innovative. Third, the high<br />
savings rate has helped spur<br />
economic growth. However,<br />
sympathy is needed because<br />
the reason behind such ridi-<br />
38<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST
image credit: flickr “Ed-meister”<br />
culous savings rate is the<br />
inadequate social safety<br />
nets installed by the<br />
governments.<br />
Although Asian economies,<br />
with the exception of Japan,<br />
are of the fastest growing,<br />
there is little evidence that<br />
a magically successful form<br />
of capitalism exists in Asia.<br />
On the contrary, we see the<br />
mundane truth of benefits<br />
from free trade, market<br />
reforms and economic<br />
integration. <strong>The</strong> relative<br />
backwardness of Asia is<br />
why we see such rapid<br />
developments, each country<br />
starts from a much lower<br />
base.<br />
3. “Good in sciences - Asia<br />
will take over innovation<br />
A study conducted by the<br />
BCG firm and National<br />
Association of Manufacturers<br />
in March 2009 ranked<br />
America eighth behind<br />
Singapore, South Korea, and<br />
Switzerland for innovation.<br />
8,731 U.S. patents were<br />
awarded to South Koreans<br />
in 2008, compared to only<br />
13 in 1978. <strong>The</strong> Japanese<br />
received nearly 37,000 in<br />
2008. However, a big gap<br />
still remains, as in the same<br />
year Americans were awarded<br />
92,000 patents- twice the<br />
combined total received<br />
by South Koreans and the<br />
Japanese, according to the<br />
IFI Patent Intelligence.<br />
Asia is also behind the West<br />
in higher education and<br />
research. To start, none of the<br />
world’s top 10 universities<br />
are in Asia. Throughout<br />
the last three decades,<br />
only eight Asians, seven of<br />
them Japanese, have won a<br />
Nobel Prize in sciences. <strong>The</strong><br />
stereotype of numerically<br />
advantaged Asians is<br />
exaggerated. Misleading<br />
figures, such as 600,000<br />
and 350,000 graduates with<br />
engineering majors each<br />
year in China and India<br />
respectively compare to<br />
America’s 70,000- but do not<br />
take into account that half of<br />
China’s graduates and twothirds<br />
of India’s engineers<br />
only have associate degrees.<br />
Lastly, Asians are not seen<br />
as employable as equally<br />
qualified Americans. A<br />
2005 study by the McKinsey<br />
Global Institute, for example,<br />
found that human resource<br />
managers in Multi-National<br />
Coorperations consider only<br />
10% of Chinese engineers<br />
and 25% of Indian engineers<br />
as just ‘employable’ compared<br />
to the 81% of Americans.<br />
4. “Autocratic regime type<br />
in Asia has helped them<br />
develop<br />
China again stands out as<br />
the perfect example of how<br />
a one-party state has lead to<br />
economic success. However,<br />
let us not forget the history<br />
behind what is happening<br />
in China today. China under<br />
Mao is infamous for creating<br />
the world’s worst famine.<br />
Only when the Middle<br />
Kingdom emerged from its<br />
self-imposed turtle-shell and<br />
opened to the world economy<br />
did China experience<br />
economic growth, leaving<br />
behind totalitarian rule in<br />
1978. Other autocracies, such<br />
as Myanmar, North Korea,<br />
Laos, Cambodia under the<br />
Khmer Rouge, and the<br />
Philippines under Marcos do<br />
not have the same success.<br />
Authoritarian rule does<br />
not offer long-lasting<br />
contributions to economic<br />
growth. In fact, China’s<br />
greater growth occured<br />
after 1978, as brutality on<br />
limiting individual liberty<br />
and economic rights<br />
decreased. Government<br />
policies throughout<br />
the region underwent<br />
adjustment to encourage<br />
infrastructural investment,<br />
conservative macroeconomic<br />
management, higher savings,<br />
and more exports. What<br />
dictatorships do is conceal<br />
the problems they create<br />
while democracy excels at<br />
advertising its flaws. So the<br />
belief that autocracy in Asia<br />
has helped them is, at best,<br />
an optical illusion.<br />
<strong>The</strong> United States is looking<br />
weaker by the day: fighting two<br />
wars, crippled by economic<br />
recession and suffering from<br />
domestic partisan politics.<br />
Furthermore, their level of<br />
influence in Asia has been<br />
hampered by an increasingly<br />
self-confident China. <strong>The</strong><br />
recent withdrawl of Google,<br />
one of America’s finest,<br />
in the face of a relentless<br />
Chinese government fuel<br />
such allegations. However,<br />
it is still premature to argue<br />
that American geopolitical<br />
influence is in decline. <strong>The</strong><br />
likelihood is that selfcorrecting<br />
mechanisms in the<br />
American political economy<br />
will enable the United States<br />
to recover from setbacks<br />
some now perceive as the<br />
turning point of an American<br />
hegemonic decline.<br />
People in the West might<br />
consider themselves as<br />
witnesses to a decline of<br />
American influence in Asia,<br />
but many Asians do not. In<br />
“<strong>The</strong> West should see Asia’s rise as one that<br />
brings opportunities rather than threats.”<br />
5. “America isn’t like before<br />
- they are losing influence<br />
in Asia”<br />
a Chicago Council’s survey,<br />
69% of Chinese, 75% of<br />
Indonesians, 76% of South<br />
Koreans and 79% of Japanese<br />
say America is not losing its<br />
influence, on the contrary,<br />
they consider it to have<br />
risen in the region over the<br />
past decade. With polarized<br />
historical and cultural<br />
differences and intense<br />
provocations over territorial<br />
issues, elites in Asia will<br />
continue to count on Uncle<br />
Sam to keep a watchful eye<br />
on ‘aggressors’, especially to<br />
keep a swelling China at bay.<br />
Meanwhile, the West should<br />
see Asia’s rise as one that<br />
brings opportunities rather<br />
than threats. Although Asia<br />
has become a pillar of the<br />
international system, the lack<br />
of cohesiveness and internal<br />
fissures in Asia should give<br />
the West more than enough<br />
time to get their own houses<br />
in order without being<br />
worried over the ‘friend or<br />
foe’ question just yet.<br />
Joseph Tam<br />
l.j.tam@lse.ac.uk<br />
Enter Asia, Exit the West?<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST<br />
39
CULTURE<br />
<strong>The</strong> Man<br />
Booker Prize<br />
<strong>The</strong> prestige, politics and economics of the Man<br />
Booker prize for literature are discussed with the<br />
Chairman of the judging panel- our very own<br />
Howard Davies.<br />
<strong>The</strong> Man Booker Prize<br />
has had an eclectic<br />
ten years. Its winning<br />
authors have hailed of diverse<br />
corners of the globe; its<br />
triumphal tomes chronicled<br />
contemporary Texan witch<br />
hunts, the social neuroses of<br />
post-apartheid South Africa,<br />
the bloody feuds and broody<br />
patronages of the family<br />
Tudor.<br />
<strong>The</strong> Man Booker is an English<br />
language prize for fiction,<br />
renowned for plucking its<br />
little-known winners from<br />
their literary niches and<br />
thrusting them into the<br />
international limelight. It<br />
chooses its frontrunners from<br />
Ireland, Zimbabwe and the<br />
fifty-four member states of<br />
the Commonwealth, all but<br />
two of which were formerly<br />
part of the British Empire.<br />
In spite of its origins, the<br />
Commonwealth is no<br />
longer a political union;<br />
it is an intergovernmental<br />
organisation through which<br />
countries of varied social,<br />
political and economic<br />
backgrounds are united<br />
in the promotion of such<br />
common goals as democracy<br />
and human rights.<br />
Also beholden to general<br />
questions of relevance, the<br />
Commonwealth has been<br />
criticised as a participation<br />
prerequisite for the Man<br />
“<strong>The</strong> Man Booker is an English language<br />
prize for fiction, renowned for plucking its<br />
little-known winners from their literary niches<br />
and thrusting them into the international<br />
limelight.”<br />
Booker Prize. Now a largely<br />
symbolic gesture, the<br />
Commonwealth is aimed<br />
to preserve a cultural and<br />
historical legacy. One can’t<br />
help but ask how effectively<br />
this has been enacted given<br />
that the Commonwealth<br />
Games, the organization’s<br />
most visible activity, is<br />
generally seen as no more<br />
than an inordinately showy<br />
Olympic training exercise.<br />
Is it any more relevant, then,<br />
as an exclusionary measure,<br />
encompassing the entirety<br />
of the Anglosphere, save the<br />
USA? <strong>The</strong> “Commonwealth”<br />
is certainly convenient for the<br />
purposes of demarcating the<br />
English-speaking world. But<br />
what of the exemption of its<br />
chieftain, the United States<br />
of America? Howard Davies,<br />
Director of the <strong>London</strong><br />
School of Economics and<br />
<strong>The</strong> Man Booker Prize<br />
2. “Capitalism in Asia is<br />
different - it is more<br />
dynamic”<br />
image credit: flickr “loozrboi”<br />
40<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST
and Political Science and<br />
2007 Chairman of the Man<br />
Booker Committee, opines<br />
that the prize proscribes<br />
American literature because<br />
of the risk that otherwise<br />
deserving Commonwealth<br />
winners would be eclipsed by<br />
a great mass: “If you ended<br />
up playing into the American<br />
literary scene you’d get lost,”<br />
he elicited in an afternoon<br />
meeting in his book-lined<br />
office at the LSE. “You<br />
wouldn’t be noticed.”<br />
literature” and its American<br />
counterpart? Are Man Booker<br />
nominees all reflective of a<br />
shared imperial experience?<br />
Do they partake of certain<br />
sensibilities, vestigial of<br />
years upon years of jolly old<br />
English influence? Or are we<br />
needlessly dwelling on the<br />
dull business of politics?<br />
Despite scrutiny of<br />
the Commonwealth’s<br />
significance, the Man Booker<br />
is without doubt a prize of<br />
sets Man Booker apart from<br />
other literary prizes is not its<br />
politics, but its economics.<br />
It is “done properly”— vast<br />
cash reserves afford it the<br />
attentions of a great many<br />
publishing houses, the luxury<br />
of careful management, and<br />
the means to ensure that<br />
its judges have ample time<br />
to evaluate submissions<br />
scrupulously. Hence the<br />
quality of its winners is high.<br />
<strong>The</strong> process, says Davies,<br />
on the Man Booker website,<br />
Hilary Mantel elicits that<br />
the historical genre is “often<br />
tagged as downmarket”,<br />
though the success of Wolf<br />
Hall is perhaps evidence<br />
that the Man Booker has<br />
the ability to reinvent entire<br />
genres. A genre can be taken<br />
more seriously once given<br />
this award, making the Man<br />
Booker almost a brand in the<br />
same way that Nobel is to<br />
peace-mongers or Saatchi is<br />
to art-lovers.<br />
CULTURE<br />
So the entry criteria’s minus-<br />
America clause is meant to<br />
ensure inclusivity for non-<br />
American English literature<br />
given a glut of American<br />
belles lettres and book<br />
prizes. Is there any artistic<br />
rationale for keeping the<br />
two ilk separate? Are there<br />
fundamental differences<br />
between “Commonwealth<br />
“<strong>The</strong> process, says Davies, is a search for<br />
something timeless, not necessarily timely.”<br />
deserved prestige. Surely,<br />
on some level, the artistic<br />
integrity of the accolade<br />
overrides any debates that<br />
might ensue about its nuts<br />
and bolts. Indeed, according<br />
to Howard Davies, what<br />
is a search for something<br />
timeless, not necessarily<br />
timely. <strong>The</strong> prize doesn’t<br />
unavoidably follow the trends<br />
but has the capability, the<br />
cultural clout, to set them. In<br />
a recent interview available<br />
A look at the past ten years of<br />
Booker gives ample evidence<br />
of the winning works’ eternal<br />
quality. <strong>The</strong> 2002 winner,<br />
Yann Martel’s <strong>The</strong> Life of Pi,<br />
bounds between epochs; J.M.<br />
Coetzee took two awards 15<br />
years apart for opuses on the<br />
same subject, post-Apartheid<br />
South Africa. In 2007,<br />
Davies’ committee singled<br />
“According to Howard Davies,What sets Man<br />
Booker apart from other literary prizes is not<br />
its politics, but its economics.”<br />
image credit: Veronique Mizgailo (LSE)<br />
out for the distinction “<strong>The</strong><br />
Gathering”, an Irish novel<br />
that speaks with a much<br />
more totalizing tone than<br />
more timely works submitted<br />
that year, like <strong>The</strong> Reluctant<br />
Fundamentalist by Mohsin<br />
Hamid. While Man Booker<br />
does not discriminate against<br />
the current, it is neither a<br />
necessity, altogether giving<br />
the judges reign to choose the<br />
best book in any given year.<br />
Even if it is a purely literary<br />
prize – and for all intents and<br />
purposes, it appears to be – it<br />
must at least be noted that<br />
any prize whose head judge<br />
can hail from the <strong>London</strong><br />
School of Economics and<br />
Political Science must have<br />
at least a rapport with the<br />
political sphere. <strong>The</strong>se links<br />
aside, while Man Booker<br />
has debatably relevant<br />
participation criteria it has<br />
certainly carved its niche<br />
in the literary world as an<br />
honourthat will endure<br />
for many years to come.<br />
<strong>The</strong> Man Booker Prize 2010 Longlist will be published in July 2010.<br />
For more information go to www.manbookerprize.com<br />
Francesca Washtell<br />
f.washtell@lse.ac.uk<br />
Sandra Smiley<br />
s.a.smiley@lse.ac.uk<br />
<strong>The</strong> Man Booker Prize<br />
THE LONDON GLOBALIST<br />
41
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