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Macroeconomics of the Franco-Prussian War Indemnity

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Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research<br />

Figure 6. Responses to Government Spending Shocks, Baseline Model<br />

1.2<br />

0.4<br />

1.0<br />

0.2<br />

0.8<br />

GDP%<br />

0.6<br />

0.4<br />

0.2<br />

Terms <strong>of</strong> trade %<br />

0.0<br />

-0.2<br />

-0.4<br />

0.0<br />

-0.2<br />

-0.6<br />

-0.4<br />

1868 1870 1872<br />

Year<br />

-0.8<br />

1874 1876 1878 1868 1870 1872<br />

Year<br />

1874 1876 1878<br />

0.4<br />

0.6<br />

0.2<br />

0.4<br />

0.2<br />

0.0<br />

-0.2<br />

-0.4<br />

Consumption %<br />

0.0<br />

-0.2<br />

-0.4<br />

-0.6<br />

-0.6<br />

-0.8<br />

-1.0<br />

-0.8<br />

1868 1870 1872<br />

Year<br />

-1.2<br />

1874 1876 1878 1868 1870 1872<br />

Year<br />

1874 1876 1878<br />

31

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