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Macroeconomics of the Franco-Prussian War Indemnity

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Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research<br />

Figure 8. Productivity Effects and French History<br />

15<br />

8<br />

10<br />

6<br />

GDP%<br />

5<br />

0<br />

-5<br />

Terms <strong>of</strong> trade %<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0<br />

-2<br />

-4<br />

-10<br />

-6<br />

-15<br />

1868 1870 1872<br />

1874 1876 1878 1868 1870 1872<br />

-8<br />

1874 1876 1878<br />

Year<br />

z shocks<br />

History<br />

Year<br />

4<br />

10<br />

3<br />

2<br />

5<br />

1<br />

0<br />

-1<br />

Consumption %<br />

0<br />

-5<br />

-2<br />

-3<br />

-10<br />

-4<br />

1868 1870 1872<br />

1874 1876 1878 1868 1870 1872<br />

-15<br />

1874 1876 1878<br />

Year<br />

Year<br />

33

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