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Options to Bring Down the Cost of Electricity in Jamaica ... - Castalia

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Confidential<br />

Table <strong>of</strong> Contents<br />

Executive Summary<br />

1 Introduction 1<br />

2 <strong>Electricity</strong> Tariffs <strong>in</strong> <strong>Jamaica</strong> 2<br />

3 Option 1: Chang<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> Ma<strong>in</strong> Fuel 4<br />

3.1 Us<strong>in</strong>g a Cheaper Fuel 4<br />

3.2 Change <strong>in</strong> <strong>Cost</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Electricity</strong> Generation Result<strong>in</strong>g from<br />

Us<strong>in</strong>g a Cheaper Fuel 5<br />

3.2.1 Unit cost <strong>of</strong> generation from NGCC plant 5<br />

3.2.2 Reduction <strong>in</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal cost <strong>of</strong> electricity generation<br />

when us<strong>in</strong>g NGCC plant and converted comb<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

cycle plant 7<br />

3.3 Impact on <strong>the</strong> <strong>Cost</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Electricity</strong> 14<br />

4 Option 2: Increas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> Use <strong>of</strong> Renewable Energy 16<br />

4.1 Description <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Reform 16<br />

4.2 Evidence <strong>of</strong> Benefits and <strong>Cost</strong>s—Utility-Scale Technologies 17<br />

4.2.1 Economic viability <strong>of</strong> add<strong>in</strong>g utility-scale renewables<br />

<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> current system 21<br />

4.2.2 Economic viability <strong>of</strong> renewables once LNG is used<br />

as <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> fuel 25<br />

4.2.3 Reduction <strong>in</strong> electricity costs from implement<strong>in</strong>g<br />

utility-scale renewable energy technologies 28<br />

4.3 Evidence <strong>of</strong> Benefits and <strong>Cost</strong>s—Distributed Scale<br />

Technologies 35<br />

5 Option 3: Reduc<strong>in</strong>g System Losses 40<br />

5.1 Description <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Reform 40<br />

5.1.1 Def<strong>in</strong>ition <strong>of</strong> system losses 40<br />

5.2 Potential for <strong>Electricity</strong> Loss Reduction <strong>in</strong> <strong>Jamaica</strong> 41<br />

5.2.1 Net electricity losses <strong>in</strong> <strong>Jamaica</strong> 41<br />

5.3 Impact on <strong>the</strong> <strong>Cost</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Electricity</strong> 44<br />

6 Option 4: Increas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> Use <strong>of</strong> Energy Efficient<br />

Technologies 48<br />

6.1 Description <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Reform 48<br />

6.2 Evidence <strong>of</strong> Benefits and <strong>Cost</strong>s 48<br />

i

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