Earned Schedule Training

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“Further Developments” in Earned Schedule Schedule Duration Prediction • Calculation of IEAC(t): short form IEAC(t) = Planned Duration / SPI(t) • Planned Duration for Work Remaining PDWR = Planned Duration – Earned Schedule cum • Analogous to the EVM BCWR • Calculation of IEAC(t): long form IEAC(t) = Actual Time + PDWR Performance Factor EVA-11 Jun 12-17, 17, 2006 Copyright 2006 Lipke & Henderson 32
IEAC(t) Prediction Comparison Early and Late Finish Project Examples IEAC(t) Metrics at Project Completion Early Finish Project Planned Duration (weeks) 25 Actual Time (weeks) 22 Percentage Complete cum 100% CPI cum 2.08 SPI(t) cum 1.14 SPI($) cum 1.17 Critical Ratio cum 2.43 IEAC(t) PD/SPI(t) cum 22.0 IEAC(t) PD/SPI($) cum 21.4 IEAC(t) PD/CR cum 10.3 IEAC(t) Metrics at Project Completion Late Finish Project - pre ES Planned Duration (weeks) 20 Actual Time (weeks) 34 Percentage Complete cum 100% CPI cum 0.52 SPI(t) cum 0.59 SPI($) cum 1.00 Critical Ratio cum 0.52 IEAC(t) PD/SPI(t) cum 34.0 IEAC(t) PD/SPI($) cum 20.0 IEAC(t) PD/ CR cum 38.7 • In both examples, the pre ES predictors (in red) fail to correctly calculate the Actual Duration at Completion! • The ES predictor, SPI(t) alone correctly calculates the Actual Duration at Completion in both cases EVA-11 Copyright 2006 Jun 12-17, 17, 2006 Lipke & Henderson 33
Page 1 and 2: Earned Schedule Training Instructor
Page 3 and 4: Earned Schedule Training Basic •
Page 5 and 6: Earned Schedule Training Advanced
Page 7 and 8: Earned Schedule Training • Statis
Page 9 and 10: Earned Value Management Schedule In
Page 11 and 12: EVM Schedule Indicators • SV & SP
Page 13 and 14: Introduction to Earned Schedule EVA
Page 15 and 16: Earned Schedule Metrics • Require
Page 17 and 18: Earned Schedule Indicators • Sche
Page 19 and 20: SV Comparison 100 80 Early Finish P
Page 21 and 22: Earned Schedule Predictors • Can
Page 23 and 24: Earned Schedule Terminology Status
Page 25 and 26: Earned Schedule Key Points • ES I
Page 27 and 28: ES Applied to Real Project Data: La
Page 29 and 30: Early Finish Project: SV($) and SV(
Page 31: Prediction Comparisons EVA-11 Jun 1
Page 35 and 36: EVA-11 Jun 12-17, 17, 2006 IEAC(t)
Page 37 and 38: IECD Predictions using ES Technique
Page 39 and 40: 2 My Experience Summarised • Sche
Page 41 and 42: Earned Schedule Calculator Earned S
Page 43 and 44: Interpolation Error EVA-11 Jun 12-1
Page 45 and 46: Interpolation Error $$ ES(calc) BCW
Page 47 and 48: Interpolation Error • After a few
Page 49 and 50: BREAK - 15 Minutes EVA-11 Jun 12-17
Page 51 and 52: Exercise # 1 • Complete Early & L
Page 53 and 54: ES Exercise - Worksheet Year 01 Yea
Page 55 and 56: ES Exercise - Answers Year 01 Year
Page 57 and 58: Early Adopters • EVM Instructors
Page 59 and 60: Available Resources • PMI-Sydney
Page 61 and 62: 0,10 0,05 0,00 -0,05 -0,10 -0,15 -0
Page 63 and 64: Summary - Basic • Derived from EV
Page 65 and 66: BREAK - 15 Minutes EVA-11 Jun 12-17
Page 67 and 68: Analysis Tool Demonstration EVA-11
Page 69 and 70: ES and Re-Baselining EVA-11 Jun 12-
Page 71 and 72: Earned Schedule - Re-Baseline Examp
Page 73 and 74: Critical Path Study EVA-11 Jun 12-1
Page 75 and 76: EVA-11 Jun 12-17, 17, 2006 The Sche
Page 77 and 78: To further compound schedule comple
Page 79 and 80: Case Study Project • Commercial s
Page 81 and 82: Schedule Management • Weekly sche
Page 83 and 84:
• Initial expectation EVA-11 Jun
Page 85 and 86:
The IECD vs Critical Path Predictor
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Questions of Scale • We know that
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Final Thoughts • ES is expected b
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Schedule Analysis with EVM? • The
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Earned Schedule Bridges EVM to “R
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BREAK - 15 Minutes EVA-11 Jun 12-17
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Earned Value Research • Most rese
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EVA-11 Jun 12-17, 17, 2006 Discussi
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Schedule Adherence EVA-11 Jun 12-17
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Schedule Adherence • Result from
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Schedule Adherence • Characterist
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Effective Earned Value Effective EV
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Effective EV Relationships • Rewo
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Effective Earned Value • Effectiv
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Graphs of CPI & SPI(t) with the P -
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Forecasting with Effective Earned V
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EVA-11 Jun 12-17, 17, 2006 Summary:
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Statistical Prediction • Statisti
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Statistical Process Control • SPC
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Planning for Risk • Risk mitigati
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Performance Indication & Analysis
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Outcome Prediction • Apply SPC to
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Summary - Advanced EVA-11 Jun 12-17
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Summary - Advanced • ES connects
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Question #1 • What is the problem
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Question #3 • What elements are r
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Question #5 • The equation for Ea
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Question #7 • Earned Schedule can
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Question #9 • What does the P-Fac
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Wrap-Up EVA-11 Jun 12-17, 17, 2006
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Wrap Up • Schedule prediction - m
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Contact Information Walt Lipke Kym
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