Target - Energy Studies Institute - National University of Singapore

INSTITUTE OF URBAN ENVIRONMENT, CHINESE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES
How Can China Achieve
its Short- and dLong-Term
Carbon Reduction
Targets?
China Energy Issues in the 12th Five Year Plan and Beyond Conference
National University of Singapore, 23-24 of February 2012

The target
“Energy Conservation and Emissions Reduction Comprehensive Work Plan for the
12th Five-Year Plan (2011-2015) Period”
12th Five Year Plan (2011-2015)
• Energy intensity 16% and CO2 intensity 17%
by 2020
• CO2 intensity ty 40-45% (2005)

Urbanization
Industrialization
Globalization

The first question for
China towards 2020 is
the question of
development
-“AN UNBALANCED RECOVERY WOULD BE BETTER
THAN A BALANCED RECESSION,”-WANG QISHAN

New role in globalization
New path to development

Yoichi Kaya's carbon fix formula

DEVELOPMENT
ENERGY EFFICIENCY
ENERGY STRUCTURE

2010 11th Five-Year-Plan
• National Target for energy intensity
reduction: 20%, actually 19.06%
12th Five Year Plan (2011-2015)
Energy intensity 16% and CO2 intensity 17%

Fujian Province
2010
Energy/GDP
2015Energy/GD
P
Target
(%)
(tce/10k Yuan) (tce/10k Yuan) (%)
Province 0.783 0.657 16
Sanming 1.751 1.418 19
Longyan 1.184 0.959 19
Nanping 1.184 0.959 19
Quanzhou 0.776 0.652 16
Fuzhou 0.637 0.535 16
Zhangzhou 0.639 0.537 16
Putian 0.644 0.541 16
Xiamen 0.569 0.512 10
Ningde 0.531 0.504 5

IEA: World Energy Outlook 2011

38.3%
48.7% 50.4%

DEVELOPMENT
ENERGY EFFICIENCY
ENERGY STRUCTURE

IEA: World Energy Outlook 2011

policy+philosophy+technology