On-site brochure - NABE
On-site brochure - NABE
On-site brochure - NABE
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2008 <strong>NABE</strong> ANNUAL MEETING<br />
OCTOBER 4-7, 2008<br />
JW MARRIOTT HOTEL<br />
WASHINGTON, DC
WELCOME<br />
Dear Colleague,<br />
SPONSORS<br />
<strong>NABE</strong> is grateful to the Annual Meeting Sponsors<br />
PLATINUM<br />
Welcome to <strong>NABE</strong>’s 50th Annual Meeting! Over the<br />
next several days, you’ll have the opportunity to learn<br />
from key global thinkers and policymakers about the<br />
current financial turbulence and how it is likely to play<br />
out over the longer term, affecting incomes and<br />
standards of living worldwide.<br />
In addition, you’ll have opportunities to network with<br />
fellow professionals from around the world. Our goal<br />
is to provide you with new contacts, tools, and<br />
knowledge that you will be able to use and share with<br />
your colleagues immediately.<br />
SILVER<br />
We’d like to extend our thanks for organizing this<br />
meeting to Lynn Reaser, Bank of America; Kevin<br />
Kliesen, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Richard<br />
Brown, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation; and<br />
Diane Swonk, Mesirow Financial.<br />
Enjoy the meeting and the celebration of <strong>NABE</strong>’s 50<br />
years of economic leadership.<br />
Sincerely yours,<br />
Ellen Hughes-Cromwick<br />
<strong>NABE</strong> President<br />
TABLE OF CONTENTS<br />
Annual Meeting Guide ........................................4<br />
Meeting Overview................................................5<br />
Exhibitors.............................................................7<br />
Program Sessions .................................................9<br />
Upcoming <strong>NABE</strong> Events .....................................16<br />
BRONZE<br />
Altarum<br />
American Chemistry<br />
Council<br />
American Farm<br />
Bureau Federation<br />
CEIC Data<br />
Greenwood & Associates<br />
ISI Group<br />
Medley Global Advisors<br />
Swedbank<br />
Wolters Kluwer<br />
Our thanks and appreciation to The Embassy of the<br />
People’s Republic of China in the United States.<br />
2<br />
3
ADVERTISERS<br />
Action Economics, LLC<br />
BP<br />
CEIC Data<br />
FactSet Research Systems<br />
Federal Reserve Bank of New York<br />
Quantitative Micro Software<br />
Regional Economic Models, Inc.<br />
Wolters Kluwer<br />
ANNUAL MEETING GUIDE<br />
Registration<br />
The meeting registration booth is located on the<br />
Ballroom Level by the escalators. Registration hours<br />
are as follows:<br />
Saturday, October 4 4 PM to 6 PM<br />
Sunday, October 5 8 AM to 5 PM<br />
Monday, October 6 7 AM to 5 PM<br />
Tuesday, October 7 7 AM to 2 PM<br />
Press Room<br />
The Press Room is located in the State Room and will<br />
be open throughout the meeting.<br />
Admission to Annual Meeting Events<br />
Please wear your conference badge at all times to<br />
gain admission into all the meeting sessions and the<br />
Exhibit Hall. Tickets, which are included in the<br />
registration packets (behind your name badge), are<br />
required for entry into all meal functions.<br />
Pre-registration is required for the Hillwood Mansion<br />
tour, National Press Club dinner, and the Small<br />
Group Dinners.<br />
MEETING OVERVIEW<br />
All sessions and events will take place at the JW Marriott<br />
Hotel except for the Saturday tour and the dinner, the<br />
Sunday reception, and the Monday reception.<br />
Saturday, October 4, 2008<br />
Afternoon and Evening<br />
12:30-4:30 Hillwood Mansion Tour<br />
4:30-5:00 <strong>NABE</strong> Business Meeting<br />
5:00-6:30 <strong>NABE</strong> President’s Welcome Reception<br />
7:00-9:00 Dinner Honoring <strong>NABE</strong>’s Past Presidents<br />
Sunday, October 5, 2008<br />
Morning<br />
9:30-10:30 Financial Engineering<br />
10:45-11:45 Professional Presence/Nonverbal<br />
Communication<br />
Afternoon and Evening<br />
12:00-1:30 Luncheon<br />
1:45-3:15 Economic Policy Debate<br />
3:15-3:45 Networking Break<br />
3:45-4:45 Concurrent Sessions 1<br />
5:00-5:30 Long-term Investment Climate<br />
6:00-7:30 Reception at Embassy of China<br />
7:45-9:30 Small Group Dinners<br />
4<br />
5
MEETING OVERVIEW CONTINUED<br />
Monday, October 6, 2008<br />
Morning<br />
7:00-7:45 Continental Breakfast<br />
8:00-9:15 Nobel Panel on Globalization<br />
9:30-10:15 <strong>NABE</strong> Outlook<br />
10:15-10:45 Networking Break<br />
10:45-11:45 Lessons of the Great Credit<br />
Crunch of 2007-2008<br />
Afternoon and Evening<br />
12:00-1:30 Luncheon<br />
1:45-2:45 Concurrent Sessions 2<br />
3:00-3:30 <strong>NABE</strong> President Address<br />
3:30-4:00 Networking Break<br />
4:00-5:00 Long-term Fiscal Outlook<br />
5:30-7:00 Reception at FDIC<br />
Tuesday, October 7, 2008<br />
7:30-9:00 Breakfast<br />
9:00-10:00 Adam Smith Award Address<br />
10:00-10:30 Networking Break<br />
10:30-11:15 Dating Business Cycles<br />
11:30-12:15 Challenges to the Global Economy<br />
12:30-2:00 Luncheon<br />
2:15-3:15 Get Connected Planning Meeting<br />
EXHIBITORS<br />
Exhibitor Hall<br />
Exhibits will be in Salon DE during these hours:<br />
Sunday, October 5 10 AM to 4:00 PM<br />
Monday, October 6 7 AM to 4 PM<br />
Tuesday, October 7 9:30 AM to 12:00 Noon<br />
We will hold all networking breaks and Monday’s<br />
continental breakfast in the exhibit hall.<br />
American Chemistry Council<br />
703-741-5592<br />
January M. Williams<br />
january_williams@americanchemistry.com<br />
www.americanchemistry.com<br />
Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)<br />
202-691-5862<br />
Eleni Karageorge<br />
Karageorge.Eleni@bls.gov<br />
www.bls.gov<br />
CEIC Data<br />
212-610-2926<br />
Janice Banaria<br />
jbanaria@securities.com<br />
www.ceicdata.com<br />
Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation<br />
703-562-6071<br />
Velda Fludd<br />
vfludd@fdic.gov<br />
www.fdic.gov<br />
Global Insight Inc<br />
781-301-9324<br />
Elizabeth Foote<br />
beth.foote@globalinsight.com<br />
www.globalinsight.com<br />
Haver Analytics Inc<br />
212-490-7158<br />
Paul-Andre Leblanc<br />
paul@haver.com<br />
www.haver.com<br />
6<br />
7
EXHIBITORS CONTINUED<br />
Macroeconomic Advisers LLC<br />
314-721-4747<br />
Debbie Cason<br />
cason@macroadvisers.com<br />
www.macroadvisers.com<br />
The Mathworks<br />
508-647-7000<br />
www.mathworks.com<br />
OECD<br />
202-822-3870<br />
Kathleen DeBoer<br />
kathleen.deboer@oecd.org<br />
www.oecdwash.org<br />
Quantum4D Inc<br />
415-830-4444<br />
Michael Warner<br />
info@quantum4D.com<br />
www.quantum4d.com<br />
Regional Economic Models, Inc.<br />
413-549-1169<br />
Mark D’Amato<br />
info@remi.com<br />
www.remi.com<br />
Timberlake Consultants<br />
908-686-1251<br />
Noelia Germino<br />
info@timberlake-consultancy.com<br />
www.timberlake-consultancy.com<br />
US Bureau of Economic Analysis<br />
202-606-9687<br />
Robert Wehausen<br />
robert.wehausen@bea.gov<br />
www.bea.gov<br />
US Census Bureau<br />
301-763-6718<br />
Robert Marske<br />
robert.a.marske@census.gov<br />
www.business.census.gov<br />
8<br />
PROGRAM SESSIONS<br />
Saturday, October 4, 2008<br />
HILLWOOD MANSION TOUR<br />
12:30-4:30 PM<br />
Meet in the hotel lobby at 12:30 PM for a 12:45 PM<br />
departure. Bus is scheduled to arrive back at the JW<br />
Marriott at 4:30 PM. Advanced registration required.<br />
4:30-5:00 PM<br />
Salon IV<br />
<strong>NABE</strong> BUSINESS MEETING<br />
Meet the new <strong>NABE</strong> board of directors and the<br />
roundtable officers. Learn what <strong>NABE</strong> has accomplished<br />
over the past year and help plan for the future.<br />
5:00-6:30 PM<br />
Garden Terrace<br />
<strong>NABE</strong> PRESIDENT’S WELCOME RECEPTION<br />
Program sponsor: Americans for the Arts<br />
7:00-9:00 PM<br />
National Press Club, 13th Floor Ballroom<br />
DINNER HONORING <strong>NABE</strong>’S PAST PRESIDENTS<br />
Ellen Hughes-Cromwick, <strong>NABE</strong> President, presiding<br />
Chris Varvares, <strong>NABE</strong> Vice President, introductions<br />
Jeffrey Sachs, The Earth Institute at Columbia University<br />
Copies of Common Wealth: Economics for a Crowded<br />
Planet by Jeffrey Sachs compliments of Medley Global<br />
Advisors. The dinner is sponsored in part by<br />
Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC. The National Press Club<br />
is at 529 14th St. NW, one-half block north of the<br />
hotel. Advance registration required.<br />
Sunday, October 5, 2008<br />
SKILLS SESSIONS<br />
9:30-10:30 AM<br />
Salon II<br />
FINANCIAL ENGINEERING<br />
Kevin Kliesen, Federal Reserve Bank of<br />
St. Louis, presiding<br />
Erik Heitfield, Federal Reserve Board<br />
9
10:45-11:45 AM<br />
Salon II<br />
PROFESSIONAL PRESENCE AND<br />
NONVERBAL COMMUNICATION<br />
Lynn Reaser, Bank of America, presiding<br />
Kay Wortman, Kay Wortman, Inc.<br />
12:00-1:30 PM<br />
LUNCHEON<br />
Salon I<br />
Sara Johnson, Global Insight, presiding<br />
Lawrence Summers, Harvard University;<br />
Former U.S. Treasury Secretary<br />
Sponsor: Global Insight<br />
1:45-3:15 PM<br />
ECONOMIC POLICY DEBATE<br />
Salon II<br />
Ken Simonson, Associated General Contractors<br />
of America, introductions<br />
Steve Liesman, CNBC, and Judy Woodruff,<br />
The NewsHour With Jim Lehrer, moderators<br />
Douglas Holtz-Eakin, Adviser to Senator McCain<br />
TBD, Adviser to Senator Obama<br />
Sponsor: Associated General Contractors of America<br />
3:15-3:45 PM<br />
NETWORKING BREAK<br />
Salon DE<br />
Sponsor: Greenwood and Associates<br />
3:45-4:45 PM<br />
CONCURRENT SESSIONS 1<br />
A. The Role of Free Trade in Controlling<br />
Health Care Costs<br />
Salon G<br />
Devon Herrick, National Center for Policy<br />
Analysis/HERT Chair, presiding<br />
Michael Horowitz, Medical Insights International<br />
Renee-Marie Stephano, Medical Tourism Association<br />
Sponsor: <strong>NABE</strong> Health Economics Roundtable<br />
B. “Peak Oil” and the Global Energy Challenge<br />
Salon II<br />
Howard K. Gruenspecht, U.S. Energy Information<br />
Administration, presiding<br />
Guy F. Caruso, CSIS<br />
Mark J. Finley, BP America, Inc.<br />
Fareed Mohamedi, PFC Energy<br />
Sponsor: BP<br />
Organized by the <strong>NABE</strong> Regional Utility Roundtable<br />
C. China and India: Challenges<br />
to their Growth<br />
Salon F<br />
Stuart Mackintosh, The Group of Thirty, presiding<br />
Kulpana Kochhar, International Monetary Fund<br />
Wei Li, Darden School of Business, University<br />
of Virginia<br />
Sponsor: <strong>NABE</strong> International Roundtable<br />
5:00-5:30 PM<br />
PERSPECTIVES ON THE LONG-TERM<br />
INVESTMENT CLIMATE<br />
Salon II<br />
Ellen Hughes-Cromwick, Ford Motor Company, presiding<br />
Abby Joseph Cohen, Goldman Sachs<br />
6:00-7:30 PM<br />
RECEPTION<br />
Embassy of the People’s Republic of China<br />
in the United States<br />
Buses will begin boarding at 5:30 PM from the<br />
Pennsylvania Avenue exit of the JW Marriott hotel. The<br />
Embassy address is 2300 Connecticut Avenue Northwest.<br />
Buses will begin departing from the Embassy for the JW<br />
Marriott hotel at 7:15 PM.<br />
7:45-9:30 PM<br />
<strong>NABE</strong> SMALL GROUP DINNERS<br />
We’ll gather for the small group dinners in the lobby<br />
of the JW Marriott hotel between 7:30 and 7:45 PM.<br />
Restaurant address and other details are in your<br />
registration packet.<br />
10<br />
11
Monday, October 6, 2008<br />
7:00-7:45 AM<br />
Salon DE<br />
CONTINENTAL BREAKFAST<br />
Sponsors: Swedbank and Wolters Kluwer<br />
8:00-9:15 AM<br />
Salon II<br />
THE NEW DYNAMICS OF GLOBALIZATION<br />
Sara B. Potter, CFA, FactSet Research Systems,<br />
introduction<br />
Catherine L. Mann, Brandeis University and Peterson<br />
Institute for International Economics, presiding<br />
Edmund Phelps, Columbia University (Nobel Prize in<br />
Economics, 2006)<br />
Paul Krugman, Princeton University<br />
Sponsor: FactSet Research Systems<br />
9:30-10:15 AM<br />
Salon II<br />
<strong>NABE</strong> OUTLOOK<br />
Ellen Hughes-Cromwick, <strong>NABE</strong> President/<br />
Ford Motor Company, presiding<br />
Chris Varvares, <strong>NABE</strong> Vice President/Macroeconomic<br />
Advisers, LLC<br />
Sponsor: CNBC<br />
10:15-10:45 AM<br />
Salon DE<br />
NETWORKING BREAK<br />
Sponsors: Haver Analytics and Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC<br />
10:45-11:45 AM<br />
Salon II<br />
LESSONS OF THE GREAT CREDIT<br />
CRUNCH OF 2007-08<br />
Adam Posen, Peterson Institute for International<br />
Economics, presiding<br />
Henry Kaufman, Henry Kaufman & Company<br />
Martin Neil Baily, The Brookings Institution<br />
William Poole, Former President, Federal Reserve Bank<br />
of St. Louis<br />
Sponsor: Morgan Le Fay Dreams Foundation<br />
Organized by the <strong>NABE</strong> Financial Roundtable<br />
12:00-1:30 PM<br />
Salon III & IV<br />
LUNCHEON<br />
THE FUTURE OF MORTGAGE FINANCE<br />
Richard Brown, Federal Deposit Insurance<br />
Corporation, presiding<br />
Sheila C. Bair, Chairman, Federal Deposit<br />
Insurance Corporation<br />
1:45-2:45 PM<br />
CONCURRENT SESSIONS 2<br />
A. Human Capital<br />
Salon II<br />
Diane Swonk, Mesirow Financial, presiding<br />
John Tarnaff, Dreamworks Animation<br />
Linda Barrington, The Conference Board<br />
Sponsor: Mesirow Financial<br />
B. Innovation and Its Measurement<br />
in the 21st Century<br />
Salon F<br />
Sydney Smith Hicks, <strong>NABE</strong> Corporate Planning<br />
Roundtable Chair, presiding<br />
Christopher L. Magee, Massachusetts Institute<br />
of Technology<br />
Joseph Kennedy, Economic Statistics Administration,<br />
U.S. Department of Commerce<br />
Sponsor: <strong>NABE</strong> Technology and Corporate<br />
Planning Roundtables<br />
C. U.S. Manufacturing Renaissance<br />
Salon G<br />
Thomas Kevin Swift, American Chemistry<br />
Council, presiding<br />
Ted Chu, General Motors Corporation<br />
James Meil, Eaton Corporation<br />
Thomas Davis, Motorola, Inc.<br />
Sponsor: American Chemistry Council<br />
Organized by the <strong>NABE</strong> Manufacturing Roundtable<br />
12<br />
13
3:00-3:30 PM<br />
Salon II<br />
<strong>NABE</strong> PRESIDENT ADDRESS<br />
Chris Varvares, <strong>NABE</strong> Vice President/<br />
Macroeconomic Advisers, presiding<br />
Ellen Hughes-Cromwick, <strong>NABE</strong> President/<br />
Ford Motor Company<br />
3:30-4:00 PM<br />
Salon DE<br />
NETWORKING BREAK<br />
Sponsor: CEIC Data<br />
4:00-5:00 PM<br />
Salon II<br />
LONG-TERM FISCAL OUTLOOK<br />
David Wessel, The Wall Street Journal, presiding<br />
Laurence Kotlikoff, Boston University<br />
Peter Orszag, Congressional Budget Office<br />
Sponsor: Altarum<br />
5:30-7:00 PM<br />
RECEPTION<br />
Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation<br />
The FDIC address is 515 17th Street Northwest.<br />
Please plan to walk or take a taxi on your own.<br />
Walking maps at <strong>NABE</strong> registration desk.<br />
Tuesday, October 7, 2008<br />
7:30-9:00 AM<br />
Salon I & II<br />
BREAKFAST<br />
A VIEW FROM THE ADMINISTRATION<br />
Lynn Reaser, Bank of America, introduction<br />
Edward Lazear, Chairman, Council of<br />
Economic Advisers<br />
Note: Breakfast service ends at 7:45 AM.<br />
9:00-10:00 AM<br />
Salon FG<br />
ADAM SMITH ADDRESS<br />
Ellen Hughes-Cromwick, <strong>NABE</strong> President/<br />
Ford Motor Company, presiding<br />
Michael Mussa, Peterson Institute for<br />
International Economics<br />
Sponsor: ISI Group<br />
10:00-10:30 AM<br />
Salon DE<br />
NETWORKING BREAK<br />
Sponsor: American Farm Bureau Federation<br />
10:30-11:15 AM<br />
Salon FG<br />
DATING BUSINESS CYCLES<br />
Lakshman Achuthan, Economic Cycle Research<br />
Institute, introduction<br />
Harvey Rosenblum, Federal Reserve Bank<br />
of Dallas, presiding<br />
Robert Hall, National Bureau of Economic Research<br />
and Stanford University<br />
Sponsor: Economic Cycle Research Institute<br />
11:30-12:15 PM<br />
Salon FG<br />
CHALLENGES TO THE GLOBAL ECONOMY<br />
Gene Huang, FedEx Corporation, presiding<br />
John Lipsky, First Deputy Managing Director,<br />
International Monetary Fund<br />
Sponsor: FedEx Corporation<br />
12:30-2:00 PM<br />
Salon I & II<br />
LUNCHEON<br />
A VIEW FROM THE FEDERAL RESERVE<br />
Ellen Hughes-Cromwick, <strong>NABE</strong> President, presiding<br />
Ben Bernanke, Chairman, Federal Reserve Board<br />
Sponsor: Bank of America<br />
2:15-3:15 PM<br />
Commerce<br />
GET CONNECTED PLANNING MEETING<br />
14<br />
15
UPCOMING<br />
<strong>NABE</strong> EVENTS<br />
October 27-30, 2008<br />
Advanced Statistical Techniques<br />
for Economic Forecasting<br />
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco<br />
San Francisco, California<br />
Sponsored by the <strong>NABE</strong> Foundation<br />
March 1-3, 2009<br />
Washington Economic Policy Conference<br />
Key Bridge Marriott Hotel<br />
Across the Potomac from Georgetown<br />
Arlington, Virginia<br />
October 10-13, 2009<br />
51 st <strong>NABE</strong> Annual Meeting<br />
Hyatt Regency St. Louis Riverfront<br />
St. Louis, Missouri<br />
National Association<br />
for Business Economics<br />
1233 20th St NW Ste 505<br />
Washington, DC 20036<br />
202-463-6223 202-463-6239 (fax)<br />
nabe@nabe.com www.nabe.com