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Land policy and property price in Hanoi, Vietnam, January 2009

Land policy and property price in Hanoi, Vietnam, January 2009

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high significant <strong>in</strong> Outer dyke area s<strong>in</strong>ce this zone is usually <strong>in</strong>undated under the water about2-3 m dur<strong>in</strong>g flood season. Additionally, as there are many low-<strong>in</strong>come residents <strong>in</strong> this zone,the accessibility to school is also critical for them. The reason for the high correction rateprobably reflects the fact that the <strong>property</strong> <strong>price</strong> <strong>in</strong> this area is clearly dependent on the liv<strong>in</strong>gconditions <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the explanative variables used <strong>in</strong> our analysis.4.2.4 DiscussionsFirst, Location <strong>and</strong> Floor are <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> the estimated <strong>price</strong> functions of four zones out offive. Especially, Location has high t-statistics <strong>in</strong> the four zones. This reflects the highconcerns of local people with house location as we expected earlier. Second, <strong>in</strong> terms ofneighbourhood characteristics, Roadratio <strong>and</strong> WaterSup are significant <strong>in</strong> the estimatedfunctions. This is probably because local people consider these two factors more seriouslythan others s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>Hanoi</strong> has <strong>in</strong>adequate road network <strong>and</strong> water supply systems. Third, Safety,AirQuality <strong>and</strong> Food, which are related to environment conditions, have no impact on<strong>property</strong> <strong>price</strong> <strong>in</strong> all zones. It is unexpected that Direction has no impacts on the <strong>property</strong><strong>price</strong> <strong>in</strong> our proposed functions. It is also unexpected that Legal is significant only <strong>in</strong> Frenchquarter. These may mean less concern of local people with these factors when buy<strong>in</strong>g theproperties. Fourth, the accessibility factors such as CBD, Park, School, <strong>and</strong> Transit appearonly once <strong>in</strong> <strong>price</strong> function while Hospital does not appear at all. This means that the localpeople do not care the accessibility to the nearest service from their homes. Actually, forexample, local people usually do not go to the nearest medical care facilities but choose abetter service even if the service is provided at further places. F<strong>in</strong>ally, the distance to CBDdoes not <strong>in</strong>fluence the <strong>property</strong> <strong>price</strong> <strong>in</strong> the estimated <strong>price</strong> functions although Figure 2 showsthat the longer the distance from city center is, the lower the <strong>property</strong> <strong>price</strong> would be. Notethat this does not hold true <strong>in</strong> Outer Dyke zone due to its own characteristics. Why does thisdifference occur? One of the reasons is because the variation of distances <strong>in</strong> a zone is toosmall. The distances to CBD with<strong>in</strong> the zone vary <strong>in</strong> a narrow range from 2 to 7 km. This maybe too small for local residents to f<strong>in</strong>d the difference <strong>in</strong> distance to CBD. Other reason isbecause the <strong>property</strong> <strong>price</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Hanoi</strong> is not directly affected by the distance to CBD but itmight be <strong>in</strong>fluenced by psychological factors. They may <strong>in</strong>clude the historical status <strong>and</strong> thelife style <strong>in</strong> Ancient quarter.5. CONCLUSIONSThis paper reviews the past <strong>and</strong> current l<strong>and</strong> policies <strong>in</strong> <strong>Hanoi</strong>, <strong>Vietnam</strong> <strong>and</strong> analyzes the local<strong>property</strong> <strong>price</strong>s to f<strong>in</strong>d the ma<strong>in</strong> factors affect<strong>in</strong>g the local l<strong>and</strong> market. The <strong>in</strong>stitutionsregard<strong>in</strong>g l<strong>and</strong> market have been chang<strong>in</strong>g dramatically for several decades <strong>in</strong> <strong>Vietnam</strong> <strong>and</strong> itcauses various problems <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>stable <strong>property</strong> <strong>price</strong>s. The current <strong>property</strong> <strong>price</strong>evaluation <strong>in</strong> <strong>Hanoi</strong> reflects the real dem<strong>and</strong> of the market while try<strong>in</strong>g to meet therequirements of <strong>L<strong>and</strong></strong> Law. However, it still suffers from the lack of data <strong>and</strong> knowledge onl<strong>and</strong> market. Then, the <strong>property</strong> <strong>price</strong> is analyzed to underst<strong>and</strong> the <strong>property</strong> <strong>price</strong> structurewith the hedonic <strong>price</strong> method. The <strong>property</strong> <strong>price</strong> functions are estimated <strong>in</strong> five zones <strong>in</strong><strong>Hanoi</strong>. The results show that various factors such as the location from the nearest street,number of floors <strong>and</strong> road ratio impact significantly the <strong>property</strong> <strong>price</strong>s. The results from<strong>property</strong> <strong>price</strong> analysis <strong>in</strong>dicate that, <strong>in</strong> pr<strong>in</strong>ciple, the prelim<strong>in</strong>ary formed <strong>property</strong> market <strong>in</strong><strong>Hanoi</strong> has been established to some extent. In all zones, the major factors controll<strong>in</strong>g the<strong>property</strong> <strong>price</strong> are well def<strong>in</strong>ed. The correlation coefficient of <strong>property</strong> <strong>price</strong> functions derivedfrom multiple regression analyses on hedonic <strong>price</strong> models <strong>in</strong> these zone are at the acceptablelevel. However, the fitness of the estimated <strong>price</strong> functions <strong>in</strong> Area built dur<strong>in</strong>g 1960-1990 isnot good. We should exam<strong>in</strong>e the factors affect<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>property</strong> <strong>price</strong> <strong>in</strong> this area more <strong>in</strong>

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