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Harmful Non-Indigenous Species in the United States - Aquatic ...

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Chapter 4-The Application of Decisionmak<strong>in</strong>g Methods I 1352.3.NEPA for controversial environmental impactstatements (21); and pursuant to <strong>the</strong>Federal Negotiated Rulemak<strong>in</strong>g Act, 15 discussedbelow.Lack of conv<strong>in</strong>c<strong>in</strong>g treatment of uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty,because of <strong>the</strong>ir emphases on negotiat<strong>in</strong>g,quantify<strong>in</strong>g, or develop<strong>in</strong>g scenariosbased on unknowns. Admittedly, it is hardto envision any conv<strong>in</strong>c<strong>in</strong>g treatment ofuncerta<strong>in</strong>ty <strong>in</strong> a decisionmak<strong>in</strong>g model.Lack of evaluation of <strong>the</strong>ir adaptability toNIS decisionmak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> real world.Randall’s Safe M<strong>in</strong>imum Standard veryroughly resembles <strong>the</strong> restra<strong>in</strong>ed benefit/cost weigh<strong>in</strong>g allowed under <strong>the</strong> Endangered<strong>Species</strong> Act (55). (The act’s SafeM<strong>in</strong>imum Standard is no fur<strong>the</strong>r humancausedext<strong>in</strong>ctions unless <strong>the</strong> ‘God Squad’determ<strong>in</strong>es <strong>the</strong> costs to be <strong>in</strong>tolerably high<strong>in</strong> a particular case.) The Maguire approachhas been utilized successfully <strong>in</strong> o<strong>the</strong>rnatural resource contexts, such as re<strong>in</strong>troduc<strong>in</strong>g<strong>the</strong> endangered grizzly bear (Ursusarctos horribilis) <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Rockies,which is comparable <strong>in</strong> some ways to<strong>in</strong>troduc<strong>in</strong>g potentially harmful NIS (43).Obviously, nei<strong>the</strong>r model can be evaluated<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> NIS context unless a commitment ismade to try <strong>the</strong>m.Agencies’ implementation of decisions should beevaluated if new decision mak<strong>in</strong>g methods are tried.Also, <strong>the</strong> quality of decisions reached must beassessed, i.e., whe<strong>the</strong>r new approaches ultimatelyimprove management of harmful NIS.As far as strengths, both models can <strong>in</strong>corporate<strong>the</strong> various decisionmak<strong>in</strong>g approaches discussed<strong>in</strong> this chapter. In do<strong>in</strong>g so, <strong>the</strong>y organizeand structure <strong>in</strong>formation from diverse sourcesbut are not overly rigid. Both proposals also callfor full documentation of <strong>the</strong> process. They forcemethods, assumptions, comparisons, and tradeoffsto be explicit, which facilitates <strong>the</strong>ir communication,review, and appraisal (20,68).The question rema<strong>in</strong>s how <strong>the</strong>se or comparabledecisionmak<strong>in</strong>g approaches could be <strong>in</strong>tegrated<strong>in</strong>to a regulatory process. One exist<strong>in</strong>g avenue is<strong>the</strong> Federal Negotiated Rulemak<strong>in</strong>g Act. It pro-vides a process whereby <strong>the</strong> head of a Federalagency makes a threshold decision about whe<strong>the</strong>ran issue would benefit from negotiations. He orshe bases this on <strong>the</strong> need for a new Federalregulation and <strong>the</strong> feasibility of conven<strong>in</strong>g arepresentative committee likely to achieve consensus.Public notice of <strong>the</strong> process is required.The agency may hire professional facilitators torun <strong>the</strong> negotiations. Under <strong>the</strong> act, <strong>the</strong> agencycommits to us<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> consensus agreement, if <strong>the</strong>parties reach one, as <strong>the</strong> basis for <strong>the</strong> proposedregulation “to <strong>the</strong> maximum extent possibleIS INegotiat~ Rtiemtig Act of 1990 (5 U. S.C.A. section 561 et seq.)

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