A Risk Assessment Modeling Tool to Quantify Leakage Potential ...

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A Risk Assessment Modeling Tool to Quantify Leakage Potential ...

A Risk Assessment Modeling Tool to Quantify Leakage Potential ...

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Outline• <strong>Leakage</strong> and Existing Wells• A <strong>Modeling</strong> Framework for <strong>Leakage</strong>Estimation• Example Application• Conclusions and Future Work

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Outline• <strong>Leakage</strong> and Existing Wells• A <strong>Modeling</strong> Framework for <strong>Leakage</strong>Estimation• Example Application• Conclusions and Future Work

Worldwide Density of Oil and Gas WellsFrom IPCC SRCCS, 2005End of 2004

Page 1: A Risk Assessment Tool to QuantifyC
Page 5: Components of the Semi-analytical M
Page 8 and 9: Down-Hole Stratigraphic Model for t
Page 11 and 12: Probability Distribution for WellPe
Page 13 and 14: Plume spread - Single realizationLa
Page 15 and 16: Mean leakage: Time profileFirst two
Page 17 and 18: Leakage statistics after 50 years1:
Page 19 and 20: Maximum Leakage (at 95% Confidence)
Page 21: How can we identify this distributi