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The Middle East Investment <strong>Management</strong> SummitMarch 22, 2010 ~ Emirates Palace ~ Abu DhabiThe meeting is conducted under <strong>the</strong> Chatham House Rule for confidentiality. It willprovide regional government investment funds and family offices with <strong>the</strong> necessarytools and invaluable contacts to make successful investments in <strong>the</strong> international markets.The Summit is closed to <strong>the</strong> media, by invitation only and strictly limited in numbers.Lead SponsorsAXA Investment ManagersCapula Investment <strong>Management</strong>Janus Capital GroupLoomis, Sayles & Company, L.P.Co-SponsorsCitadelD. E. Shaw & Co., L.P.ING Investment <strong>Management</strong>Pramerica Fixed IncomeRobecoTT InternationalSpeakers include:Lord Skidelsky, Emeritus Professor of Political Economy, University of WarwickLord Patten of Barnes, Chancellor, University of Oxford and Former Governor of HongKong and Member of <strong>the</strong> European Commission, External RelationsParticipants include:Yaseen Anwar, Deputy Governor, State Bank of PakistanAbdulkarim Al-Jomah, Chief Dealer & Head of USD Fixed Income, Saudi ArabianMonetary AgencyCyrille Urfer, CIO, Equities & Fixed Income, Abu Dhabi Investment CouncilStefan Cowell, CIO, Abu Dhabi Retirement Pensions and Benefits FundIan Clarke, Head of Fixed Income & Currencies, Abu Dhabi Investment AuthorityStephen Saint-Leger, MD, Head of European Manager Research, Cambridge AssociatesMousa Fayyad, Investments Department Manager, General Pension & Social SecurityAuthority (GPSSA) – Abu DhabiIshaq Zayed Al-Mawali, Head of Asset <strong>Management</strong> - International, Public Authorityfor Social Insurance, Sultanate of Oman2


PROVISIONAL AGENDA(March 19, 2010)Monday March 22, 20108:00 – 9:00am Registration9:00 – 9:05am Welcome Remarks and Summit ModeratorHarvey ShapiroSenior AdvisorInstitutional Investor Conferences9:05 – 9:30am Interview: Keynes – The Return of <strong>the</strong> MasterLord SkidelskyEmeritus Professor of Political EconomyUniversity of WarwickThe interview will focus on <strong>the</strong> importance of Keynes in today’s financial markets. Whatlessons can investors learn from Keynes? What was Keynes like as an investor – was he ashort term investor or a long term investor? To what extent can Keynes economics beapplied to today’s financial markets - what have our policymakers learnt from him? Ismore government regulation in <strong>the</strong> markets inevitable? There has been much debate bothin <strong>the</strong> UK and <strong>the</strong> US about when to 'turn off' government support? When is <strong>the</strong> righttime? How will <strong>the</strong> power struggle between bankers and politicians turn out?9:30 – 9:55am Presentation: Making <strong>the</strong> Most of <strong>the</strong> Middle Ground: AnApproach to Constraining Tracking Error withoutConstraining Excess ReturnsJames P. Goff, CFADirector of Research and a Member of <strong>the</strong> ExecutiveCommittee for Janus Capital GroupJanus Capital <strong>Management</strong>The changing needs for research: typically institutional investors globally want alphawithout too much tracking error. Asset managers find alpha increasingly hard to come byas <strong>information</strong> flows more freely and <strong>the</strong> industry becomes more competitive. Thepresentation discusses how to navigate this environment. It looks at <strong>the</strong> optimal way tocontrol tracking error without diluting <strong>the</strong> benefit of stock selection. It describes how to3


drive research results by properly organizing and motivating <strong>the</strong> analyst team. Thesession also highlights <strong>the</strong> key factors to analyzing and valuing companies.9:55 – 10:20am Presentation: Derivatives Post Crisis: Taking Advantage ofBeing Long Term Investor for Capturing Dislocations in Rates,Credit and Equity MarketsPascal ChristoryGlobal Head of Solutions Engineering,Structuring and Development – Investment SolutionsAXA Investment ManagersRecent changes to <strong>the</strong> regulation of US and European banking, insurance andpensions have streng<strong>the</strong>ned <strong>the</strong> influence of short-term capital, driven by market-tomarketchanges and tail-end risk hedgings. Due to liquidity issues, derivatives arebecoming a more appealing route to get exposure to some asset classes. Discrepanciesbetween cash and derivatives can also generate opportunities for those who are lessconstrained by short-term risk guidelines. The presentation discusses <strong>the</strong> rationale behind<strong>the</strong>se market opportunities and explains how long-term investors can efficiently capture<strong>the</strong>m.10:20– 11:10am Panel Session – Risk <strong>Management</strong> Post Crisis: Alpha vs BetaPanelists:Brandon HaleySenior Managing Director and Global Equities Fund ManagerCitadel Portfolio CommitteeCitadelTrey BeckManaging DirectorD. E. Shaw GroupDavid SchofieldPresident of INTECH, International DivisionJanus Capital Group CompanyJames J. SullivanChief Executive OfficerPramerica Fixed IncomeThe global recession and crisis in <strong>the</strong> financial markets has meant investors have had torethink risk management strategies and <strong>the</strong> way capital is allocated. Is chasingperformance a dangerous game? How has risk appetite changed? Are investors now justlooking for beta? How can investors manage <strong>the</strong> lack of originality among managers4


positioning? Can managers achieve alpha in today’s markets? Will alpha be generatedthrough an ever broader range of sources? Are alternative investments playing anincreasingly important role? Is leverage sustainable? How is liquidity affecting investors’decision making process?11:10 – 11:35am Coffee Break11:35 – 11:50pm Interview: Outlook for <strong>the</strong> Global EconomyTim TacchiSenior and Founding PartnerTT InternationalIn 2009 markets shrugged off <strong>the</strong> financial earthquake of 2008. But what of <strong>the</strong> recentaftershocks? In <strong>the</strong> US, corporate data look good but <strong>the</strong> labor market, key to sustainablerecovery, remains anemic. Europe struggles for domestic growth while <strong>the</strong> PIGS havetargeted not truffles, but <strong>the</strong> euro. Japan keeps exporting but can’t break its deflationaryshackles. Asia, still growing well, faces inflationary pressures, with global prospectsincreasingly linked to one key question: Can China engineer a soft landing? Theinterview discusses <strong>the</strong> key global economic drivers and <strong>the</strong>ir implications for markets.11:50 – 12:15pm Presentation: The Aftermath: Navigating <strong>the</strong> Sovereign FiscalIncome CrisisDave RolleyVice PresidentLoomis, Sayles & CompanyPortfolio ManagerLoomis, Sayles Fixed Income Group12:15 – 1:05pm Panel Session – Changing Asset Allocation Practices: In aGlobal and Regional ContextPanelists:Pascal ChristoryGlobal Head of Solutions Engineering,Structuring and Development – Investment SolutionsAXA Investment ManagersFarah FoustokChief Executive OfficerING Investment <strong>Management</strong> Middle EastDave RolleyVice President5


Loomis, Sayles & CompanyPortfolio ManagerLoomis, Sayles Fixed Income GroupDouglas Hansen-LukeChief Executive Officer, Middle EastRobecoSpeakers will debate and bring to light how global and regional asset allocation modelsare changing. How have <strong>the</strong> assumptions of imperfect correlation between various assetclasses changed since <strong>the</strong> crisis? How do you combine asset classes in new markets, suchas <strong>the</strong> Middle East? What implications has <strong>the</strong> crisis had on portfolio diversification andasset allocation <strong>the</strong>ory? Has <strong>the</strong> crisis shown that investors should have stuck to <strong>the</strong>irlong term investment strategies? Are hedge funds adding <strong>the</strong> value <strong>the</strong>y said <strong>the</strong>y would?How is liquidity affecting portfolio construction?1:05 – 2:20pm Lunch2:20 – 2:45pm Presentation: The Road Ahead: Trading Opportunities inTreasury and Mortgage MarketsAyman HindySenior Portfolio ManagerCapula Investment <strong>Management</strong>Fixed Income Markets are at a critical point. Investors face many challenges in anenvironment of expanding government debt, quantitative easing by central banks andconcerns about sovereign credit. The presentation discusses how we got here, where weare, and <strong>the</strong> road ahead for participants in fixed income and currency markets.2:45 – 3:25pm Discussion GroupsAttendees will choose which of <strong>the</strong> three topical discussion groups to join.3:25 – 3:45pm Coffee BreakGroup A: Risks and Rewards of Alternatives InvestmentsGroup B: Role of Liability Driven Investing (LDI)Group C: Impact of Liquidity on Investment Decisions3:45 – 4:10pm Interview: Investing in Today’s Emerging Markets: Risks andOpportunitiesLord Patten of BarnesChancellor, University of Oxford and6


Former Governor of Hong Kong andMember of <strong>the</strong> European Commission, External RelationsAsia and <strong>the</strong> emerging markets are playing an increasingly important role in investorportfolios. The interview will bring to light both <strong>the</strong> opportunities and potential risksfacing investors. What do you see as <strong>the</strong> biggest risks in today’s emerging markets?Where do you see <strong>the</strong> best opportunities? Does China’s economic dominance riskdestabilizing o<strong>the</strong>r countries? Is China a big risk to <strong>the</strong> dollar? To what extent is China’spolitical structure a risk to investors? How should investors be comparing China to India?How are <strong>the</strong> Asian economies expected to perform in <strong>the</strong> short and long term? To whatextent do you think political stability is important to investor sentiment? Do you think <strong>the</strong>Eurozone will be able to survive current tensions in <strong>the</strong> Euro?4:10 – 5:00pm Panel Session – Manager Selection: Transparency, DefaultRisk and Due DiligencePanelists:Cyrille E. Urfer, CFAChief Investment Officer, Equities & Fixed IncomeAbu Dhabi Investment CouncilAli SaiedabadiPartnerCapula Investment <strong>Management</strong>Stephen Saint-LegerManaging DirectorHead of European Manager ResearchCambridge AssociatesMailesh ShahHead of Investment Consulting Middle East and AfricaMercerFaranak ForoughiFounder and Chief Executive Officer<strong>Tharwa</strong> <strong>Management</strong> ConsultancyThe panel will discuss how <strong>the</strong> financial crisis has changed <strong>the</strong> priorities and needs ofinvestors. How have institutions adjusted <strong>the</strong>ir due diligence process after recent blowsups? Many investors are going back to basics and looking to reduce risk in <strong>the</strong>irinvestment strategies. How is this affecting manager section? Has transparency becomeincreasingly important? How can investors better insure <strong>the</strong>mselves against default risk?5:00 – 6:00pm Cocktail Reception7

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