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Linking Globalization to Poverty in Asia, Latin America and Africa

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www.wider.unu.eduNUMBER 3, 2010OverviewDespite the enormous potential ofglobalization <strong>in</strong> accelerat<strong>in</strong>g economicgrowth through greater <strong>in</strong>tegration<strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> the world economy the impact ofglobalization on poverty reduction hasbeen uneven. <strong>Asia</strong> has been the majorbenefi ciary of globalization where highgrowth rates <strong>and</strong> its labor-<strong>in</strong>tensivepattern contributed <strong>to</strong> a spectacularreduction <strong>in</strong> poverty. In contrast, the<strong>in</strong>tegration process <strong>in</strong> Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong> didnot contribute <strong>to</strong> accelerat<strong>in</strong>g growth<strong>and</strong> employment <strong>and</strong> even led, <strong>in</strong> some<strong>in</strong>stances, <strong>to</strong> an <strong>in</strong>formalization of thelabor force. In spite of open<strong>in</strong>g up, thefailure of sub-Saharan <strong>Africa</strong> <strong>to</strong> diversify<strong>and</strong> undergo structural transformationhas led <strong>to</strong> the persistence of low growth<strong>and</strong> debilitat<strong>in</strong>g poverty. While theimpact of globalization on poverty iscontext-specifi c, we argue that countries<strong>in</strong>tent on benefi tt<strong>in</strong>g from globalizationneed <strong>to</strong> adopt a pro-active st<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>formulat<strong>in</strong>g regional <strong>and</strong> nationalstrategies <strong>to</strong> enhance the potentiallypositive effects of globalization <strong>and</strong>moderate the negative effects.Written by MACHIKO NISSANKE ANDERIK THORBECKE© United Nations University, 2010ISBN 978-92-808-3080-4ISSN 1813-5706Licensed under the Creative CommonsDeed “Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 2.5”<strong>L<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong><strong>Asia</strong>, Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>GLOBALIZATION AND POVERTY, ALONGSIDE THE ISSUE OFchange epi<strong>to</strong>mize two of the most press<strong>in</strong>g contemporary<strong>in</strong>ternational development issues. Despite the enormous potentialof globalization <strong>in</strong> accelerat<strong>in</strong>g economic growth <strong>and</strong> development throughgreater <strong>in</strong>tegration <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> the world economy, the spread <strong>and</strong> transfer oftechnology, <strong>and</strong> the transmission of knowledge, the impact of globalizationon poverty reduction has been uneven <strong>and</strong> even marg<strong>in</strong>al <strong>in</strong> some regions,such as <strong>in</strong> much of sub-Saharan <strong>Africa</strong> (SSA). Both the prevalence <strong>and</strong> depthof poverty <strong>in</strong> many parts of the develop<strong>in</strong>g world rema<strong>in</strong> unacceptably high.A question often raised is whether the actual distribution of ga<strong>in</strong>sfrom globalization is fair <strong>and</strong>, <strong>in</strong> particular, whether the poor benefitproportionately less from globalization <strong>and</strong> could actually be hurt byit under some circumstances. The risks <strong>and</strong> costs brought about byglobalization can be significant for fragile develop<strong>in</strong>g economies <strong>and</strong> theworld’s poor. The downside of globalization is most vividly illum<strong>in</strong>ateddur<strong>in</strong>g times of periodic global f<strong>in</strong>ancial <strong>and</strong> economic crises. The costsof repeated f<strong>in</strong>ancial crises fuelled by the globalization process, at leastuntil the present major recession, have been borne overwhelm<strong>in</strong>gly by thedevelop<strong>in</strong>g world <strong>and</strong> often disproportionately so by the poor who are themost vulnerable. On the other h<strong>and</strong>, the benefits from globalization dur<strong>in</strong>gboom times are often not equally shared with<strong>in</strong> the global community.The fear that the poor have been bypassed, or actually hurt, by globalizationwas highlighted by the f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs from a number of recent studies, whichpo<strong>in</strong>t <strong>to</strong>wards a cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>g prevalence of high <strong>in</strong>equality <strong>in</strong> the world<strong>in</strong>come distribution, <strong>and</strong> limited <strong>in</strong>come convergence among participat<strong>in</strong>gnational economies <strong>and</strong> across regions.The progress on poverty reduction has also been uneven. The share of thepopulation of develop<strong>in</strong>g countries liv<strong>in</strong>g below US$1.25 per day decl<strong>in</strong>edfrom 52 per cent <strong>to</strong> 25 per cent between 1981 <strong>and</strong> 2005, but this was


www.unu.eduAbout the AuthorsMachiko Nissanke isProfessor of Economics atthe School of Oriental <strong>and</strong><strong>Africa</strong>n Studies, Universityof London. She previouslyworked at BirkbeckCollege, UniversityCollege London <strong>and</strong> theUniversity of Oxford.Erik Thorbecke is theH. E. Babock Professorof Economics, Emeritus,Graduate SchoolProfessor <strong>and</strong> formerDirec<strong>to</strong>r of the Programon Comparative EconomicDevelopment.ma<strong>in</strong>ly achieved by the substantialreduction of the poor <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>, <strong>in</strong>particular <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a. Furthermore,over the period 1981–2005, the<strong>to</strong>tal number of people liv<strong>in</strong>gunder US$2 per day has actually<strong>in</strong>creased worldwide by about 2million <strong>to</strong> 2.53 billion <strong>in</strong> 2005. Thereis a clear disparity <strong>in</strong> regional trends<strong>in</strong> poverty reduction. While East<strong>Asia</strong> <strong>and</strong> the Pacific experiencedthe sharpest reduction <strong>in</strong> theproportion of poor liv<strong>in</strong>g belowUS$1.25 per day from 78 per cent<strong>to</strong> 17 per cent, between 1981 <strong>and</strong>2005, the poverty headcount ratiorema<strong>in</strong>ed very high <strong>in</strong> sub-Saharan<strong>Africa</strong> (around 52 per cent) <strong>and</strong> thenumber of poor almost doubledfrom 212 <strong>to</strong> 388 million.Though any observed trend <strong>in</strong>poverty <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>come <strong>in</strong>equalitycannot be exclusively oreven ma<strong>in</strong>ly attributed <strong>to</strong> the‘globalization’ effect as such, thesevarious estimates cannot dismissthe concerns raised that theglobalization process may havehad adverse effects on <strong>in</strong>comedistribution <strong>and</strong> on povertyamong some segments of thepopulation. Indeed, while mos<strong>to</strong>bjective observers would arguethat globalization is likely <strong>to</strong> havecontributed <strong>to</strong> poverty alleviationon a net basis, it is also known <strong>to</strong>have created w<strong>in</strong>ners <strong>and</strong> losersat numerous levels throughoutmodern his<strong>to</strong>ry. These concernshave generated a passionate debateworldwide as well as a powerfulanti-globalization movement.The extent of controversysurround<strong>in</strong>g this debate reflectsthe fact that globalization is not aprocess, proceed<strong>in</strong>g neutrally <strong>in</strong> apolicy vacuum; rather, it is a policy<strong>in</strong>duced condition. <strong>Globalization</strong>is not purely driven by newtechnological <strong>in</strong>novations <strong>and</strong>progress or by ‘neutral’ market forces<strong>and</strong> other <strong>in</strong>escapable sociopoliticalforces, as often depicted <strong>in</strong> popularwrit<strong>in</strong>gs. In particular, the currentphase of globalization is, <strong>to</strong> a certa<strong>in</strong>extent, an outcome emerg<strong>in</strong>gfrom the global acceptance <strong>and</strong>diffusion of the economic policyparadigm, emphasiz<strong>in</strong>g benefits <strong>and</strong>positive features of the liberalizedpolicy regime characterized by theWash<strong>in</strong>g<strong>to</strong>n Consensus.As the process of economic<strong>in</strong>tegration has <strong>in</strong>tensified s<strong>in</strong>cethe 1990s, the question of howglobalization affects the world’spoor has become one of the centralissues <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational politicaleconomy <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational relations.However, the precise nature ofthe various mechanisms throughwhich globalization has altered thepattern of <strong>in</strong>come distribution <strong>and</strong>the conditions fac<strong>in</strong>g the world’spoor are yet <strong>to</strong> be carefully analysed.This is because the globalization–poverty relationship is complex,non-l<strong>in</strong>ear, <strong>and</strong> heterogeneous,<strong>in</strong>volv<strong>in</strong>g multifaceted channels.Besides the ‘growth’ effects ofglobalization on poverty (thatis, the effects of globalizationon poverty transmitted througheconomic growth), the <strong>in</strong>tegrationprocess is known <strong>to</strong> create w<strong>in</strong>ners<strong>and</strong> losers directly through otherchannels, affect<strong>in</strong>g both vertical<strong>and</strong> horizontal <strong>in</strong>equalities. Becausethese multifaceted channels <strong>in</strong>teractdynamically over space <strong>and</strong> time,the net effects of globalization onthe poor can only be judged on thebasis of context-specific empiricalstudies. Cross-country studiesrequir<strong>in</strong>g precise measurements<strong>and</strong> def<strong>in</strong>ition of the two key2 Policy Brief


www.wider.unu.educoncepts—globalization <strong>and</strong>poverty—tend <strong>to</strong> fail <strong>to</strong> give robust<strong>in</strong>sights <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> this critical nexus. Bothconcepts are multidimensional, <strong>and</strong>not easily captured <strong>in</strong> a composite<strong>in</strong>dex that may be used <strong>in</strong> amean<strong>in</strong>gful manner <strong>in</strong> cross-countrycomparative studies or regressions.Build<strong>in</strong>g on earlier research projects,UNU-WIDER <strong>in</strong>itiated a projec<strong>to</strong>n ‘The Impact of <strong>Globalization</strong>on the World’s Poor’ <strong>in</strong> 2004, <strong>to</strong>deepen our underst<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g of howconditions fac<strong>in</strong>g the world’s poorhave been evolv<strong>in</strong>g under the forcesof globalization with emphasis onthe economic manifestations ofthose forces. Various channels <strong>and</strong>transmission mechanisms wereidentified <strong>and</strong> explored throughwhich the process of globalizationaffects different aspects <strong>and</strong>dimensions of poverty <strong>in</strong> thedevelop<strong>in</strong>g world. This was the ma<strong>in</strong>theme of the first methodological<strong>and</strong> conceptual conference heldunder the auspices of this project <strong>in</strong>Hels<strong>in</strong>ki <strong>in</strong> 2004.Subsequently three regionalconferences focus<strong>in</strong>g, respectively,on <strong>Asia</strong> (held <strong>in</strong> Tokyo), Lat<strong>in</strong><strong>America</strong> (Rio de Janeiro), <strong>and</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>(Johannesburg) were organized<strong>to</strong> help identify <strong>and</strong> illustrate thedifferential effects of globalizationon growth, <strong>in</strong>equality, <strong>and</strong>poverty <strong>in</strong> the three cont<strong>in</strong>ents.Approximately sixty specificcase studies were <strong>in</strong>itiated <strong>and</strong>completed under the auspicesof this project. These studies are<strong>in</strong>corporated <strong>in</strong> the three publishedvolumes, three special issues ofjournals <strong>and</strong> other publicationsresult<strong>in</strong>g from this project (thecomplete list of publications is givenat the end of this policy brief).Focus<strong>in</strong>g on dist<strong>in</strong>ct manifestationsof globalization <strong>and</strong> channelsthrough which they affectpoverty, these case studiescover the spectrum from broadmacroeconomic regional <strong>and</strong>country analyses <strong>to</strong> micro-orientedvillage studies on each of the threecont<strong>in</strong>ents. These case studiesillustrate clearly that the impac<strong>to</strong>f globalization on poverty isextremely context-specific.Significant differences <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>itialconditions as well as dist<strong>in</strong>ct<strong>in</strong>ternal dynamic processes of<strong>in</strong>stitutional <strong>and</strong> sociopoliticalchange triggered by the forcesof economic <strong>in</strong>tegration have<strong>in</strong>fluenced the poor <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>,Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Africa</strong> <strong>in</strong>quite dissimilar ways. There aredist<strong>in</strong>ctive characteristics, specific<strong>to</strong> each of the three develop<strong>in</strong>gregions, shap<strong>in</strong>g the ways <strong>in</strong> whichglobalization has affected the poor.This merits a comparative analysisof each region’s experiences withglobalization <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>tegration.Naturally, any attempt atestimat<strong>in</strong>g rigorously the impac<strong>to</strong>f the globalization process onsocioeconomic performance (<strong>and</strong>more specifically on poverty)faces the almost <strong>in</strong>surmountableobstacle of the lack of a plausiblecounterfactual scenario. In order<strong>to</strong> derive robust <strong>in</strong>ferences, onewould have <strong>to</strong> compare theperformance under the presentforces of globalization <strong>to</strong> analternative scenario of no or limitedglobalization. With<strong>in</strong> limits, thiscould be done very approximately<strong>and</strong> roughly with<strong>in</strong> a computablegeneral equilibrium model for agiven country or region of a countrybut this task is clearly <strong>in</strong>feasible forcont<strong>in</strong>ents as large <strong>and</strong> diverse as<strong>Asia</strong>, Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>.This Policy Brief is publishedwith<strong>in</strong> the UNU-WIDERresearch project ‘Impac<strong>to</strong>f <strong>Globalization</strong> on theWorld’s Poor’ directed byErik Thorbecke <strong>and</strong> MachikoNissanke. More detailedf<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs are set out <strong>in</strong> a seriesof work<strong>in</strong>g papers (available <strong>to</strong>download free at:www.wider.unu.edu):<strong>L<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>, Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Africa</strong> 3


www.unu.eduInstead, we first attempt <strong>to</strong> describesome major recent socioeconomictrends on each of these cont<strong>in</strong>entsthat one can legitimately claim were<strong>in</strong>fluenced by the globalizationprocess even if they were, <strong>in</strong> fact,the net consequences of a wholeseries of fac<strong>to</strong>rs with some ofthem <strong>in</strong>dependent of the forces ofglobalization. Further, while thereare clear <strong>in</strong>tercont<strong>in</strong>ental differences<strong>in</strong> the effects of globalization on thepoor, it is also true that significantdifferences can prevail with<strong>in</strong> eachregional block as well. Hence, thegeneral picture we pa<strong>in</strong>t with abroad brush can usefully serve as abackdrop <strong>to</strong> the sixty specific casestudies generated by this project.The next section presents abrief summary of our analysis ofthe channels <strong>and</strong> transmissionmechanisms through which theprocess of globalization affectsdifferent aspects of poverty <strong>in</strong>the develop<strong>in</strong>g world. Section 3provides a comparative analysisof the differential impact ofTransmission Channels: The<strong>Globalization</strong>-Openness-Growth-Distribution (Inequality)-<strong>Poverty</strong> Nexus<strong>Globalization</strong> Openness KuznetsTradeCapitalLaborTechnologyKnowledge++GrowthDistribution(Inequality)-Classical +Modern -+<strong>Poverty</strong>globalization—operat<strong>in</strong>g throughthese channels—on the poor<strong>in</strong> the three different regions.F<strong>in</strong>ally, Section 4 suggests apolicy framework that could makeglobalization more pro-poor.2 Channels <strong>L<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Globalization</strong><strong>to</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong>What are the transmissionmechanisms through which theprocess of globalization affectspoverty directly <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>directly?The first <strong>and</strong> foremost of thesemechanisms is the growth<strong>in</strong>equality-povertychannel. Figure.1 is our attempt <strong>to</strong> illustrateschematically the various criticall<strong>in</strong>ks of the causal cha<strong>in</strong> runn<strong>in</strong>gfrom globalization (openness)<strong>to</strong> poverty, focus<strong>in</strong>g on the mostcritical l<strong>in</strong>ks <strong>and</strong> abstract<strong>in</strong>g fromsome feedback effects.<strong>Globalization</strong>, as def<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> thisproject, means greater economic<strong>in</strong>tegration manifested through<strong>in</strong>creased openness via numeroustransmission mechanisms such astrade <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment liberalization,movements of capital, labourmigration across borders <strong>and</strong>with<strong>in</strong> countries, the nature oftechnological change <strong>and</strong> diffusionof knowledge <strong>and</strong> technology,worldwide <strong>in</strong>formation flows, <strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>stitutional environments. Thesemechanisms, <strong>in</strong> turn, affect povertythrough two different paths: first,through their contribution <strong>to</strong> thegrowth channel (<strong>in</strong> the upper par<strong>to</strong>f the diagram <strong>in</strong> Figure 1) <strong>and</strong>,second, through their impact on<strong>in</strong>come distribution (<strong>in</strong> the lowerpart of the diagram).The specific l<strong>in</strong>ks shown <strong>in</strong> thisFigure are from openness <strong>to</strong>growth, from openness <strong>to</strong> <strong>in</strong>come4 Policy Brief


www.wider.unu.edudistribution (<strong>in</strong>equality), fromgrowth <strong>to</strong> <strong>in</strong>come distribution<strong>and</strong> vice versa, from growth<strong>to</strong> poverty, <strong>and</strong> from <strong>in</strong>comedistribution <strong>to</strong> poverty, respectively.In turn, the two ma<strong>in</strong> channels ofglobalization—the ‘growth’ <strong>and</strong>‘distribution’ channels—further<strong>in</strong>teract dynamically over time<strong>to</strong> produce a growth–<strong>in</strong>equality–poverty triangular relationship,which is captured by the righth<strong>and</strong> side triangle of the Figuredescrib<strong>in</strong>g the arithmetic-statisticalrelationship among growth,<strong>in</strong>equality, <strong>and</strong> poverty.Each subset of l<strong>in</strong>ks embedded<strong>in</strong> the globalization (openness)–growth–<strong>in</strong>come distribution–povertynexus, schematically illustrated <strong>in</strong>the Figure, can be contentious<strong>and</strong> controversial. For example,the direction of causality <strong>in</strong> theopenness–growth l<strong>in</strong>k is still be<strong>in</strong>gdebated (the consensus view isthat trade contributes <strong>to</strong> growthrather than vice versa) as well ashow trade <strong>and</strong> capital flows couldbe <strong>in</strong>terl<strong>in</strong>ked <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> a virtuous circle.In this context it can be argued thatthe positive openness–growth l<strong>in</strong>kis neither au<strong>to</strong>matically guaranteednor universally observable, as thegrowth-enhanc<strong>in</strong>g effects of tradeopenness depend critically on theway <strong>and</strong> extent <strong>to</strong> which a country is<strong>in</strong>tegrated <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> the global economy.Indeed, a greater <strong>in</strong>tegration/openness process does notnecessarily ensure un<strong>in</strong>terruptedgrowth spells. Rather, it also entailsaccept<strong>in</strong>g greater downside riskof the contagion effects of crises,as demonstrated by the globallysynchronized slowdown that hasengulfed all the economies <strong>in</strong> thedevelop<strong>in</strong>g world s<strong>in</strong>ceSeptember 2008.Further, relat<strong>in</strong>g the causal cha<strong>in</strong>Publications from the Project‘Impact of <strong>Globalization</strong> on the World’s Poor’The Impact of <strong>Globalization</strong> on the World’s Poor: Tranmission MechanismsEdited by Machiko Nissanke <strong>and</strong> Erik ThorbeckeBas<strong>in</strong>g<strong>to</strong>ke Palgrave Macmillan, 2006Chapter 1 OverviewMachiko Nissanke <strong>and</strong> Erik ThorbeckeChapter 2 Channels <strong>and</strong> Policy Debate <strong>in</strong> the <strong>Globalization</strong>–Inequality–<strong>Poverty</strong>NexusMachiko Nissanke <strong>and</strong> Erik ThorbeckeChapter 3 The Relationship between Income Inequality,<strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Globalization</strong>Almas HeshmatiChapter 4 <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> Trends across Regions: The Roleof Variation <strong>in</strong> the Income <strong>and</strong> Inequality Elasticities of <strong>Poverty</strong>Adriaan Kalwij <strong>and</strong> Arjan VerschoorChapter 5 Look<strong>in</strong>g Beyond Averages <strong>in</strong> the Trade <strong>and</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> DebateMart<strong>in</strong> RavallionChapter 6 <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>and</strong> Rural <strong>Poverty</strong>Pranab BardhanChapter 7 <strong>Globalization</strong>, Production <strong>and</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong>Rhys Jenk<strong>in</strong>sChapter 8 The Role of Information <strong>in</strong> Technology Adoption under <strong>Poverty</strong>J<strong>in</strong>hua ZhaoChapter 9 Trade Openness <strong>and</strong> Vulnerability <strong>in</strong> Central <strong>and</strong> Eastern EuropePierluigi Montalbano, Aless<strong>and</strong>ro Federici, Umber<strong>to</strong> Triulzi <strong>and</strong> Carlo PietrobelliChapter 10 <strong>Globalization</strong>, <strong>Poverty</strong>, Inequality <strong>and</strong> Insecurity: Some Insightsfrom the Economics of Happ<strong>in</strong>essCarol GrahamChapter 11 Expla<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Threshold Effects of <strong>Globalization</strong> on <strong>Poverty</strong>:An Institutional PerspectiveAlice S<strong>in</strong>dz<strong>in</strong>greChapter 12 <strong>Globalization</strong>, <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>and</strong> Inequality: What Is the Relationship?What Can Be Done?Kaushik Basu<strong>L<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>, Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Africa</strong> 5


www.unu.eduPublications from the Project‘Impact of <strong>Globalization</strong> on the World’s Poor’<strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>and</strong> the Poor <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>: Can Shared Growth be Susta<strong>in</strong>ed?Edited by Machiko Nissanke <strong>and</strong> Erik ThorbeckeBas<strong>in</strong>gs<strong>to</strong>ke Palgrave Macmillan, 2008Chapter 1 <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>: Can SharedGrowth be Susta<strong>in</strong>ed?Machiko Nissanke <strong>and</strong> Erik ThorbeckeChapter 2 Pro-Poor Growth: The <strong>Asia</strong>n ExperienceNanak Kakwani <strong>and</strong> Hyun H. SonChapter 3 How Does Vietnam’s Accession <strong>to</strong> the World Trade OrganizationChange the Spatial Incidence of <strong>Poverty</strong>?Tomoki Fujii <strong>and</strong> David Rol<strong>and</strong>-HolstChapter 4 Trade, Migration, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> Reduction <strong>in</strong> the Globaliz<strong>in</strong>gEconomy: The Case of the Philipp<strong>in</strong>esYasuyuki Sawada <strong>and</strong> Jonna P. EstudilloChapter 5 Threshold Estimation on the <strong>Globalization</strong>-<strong>Poverty</strong> Nexus:Evidence from Ch<strong>in</strong>aZhicheng LiangChapter 6 Economic Development Strategy, Openness <strong>and</strong> Rural <strong>Poverty</strong>:A Framework <strong>and</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a’s ExperiencesJust<strong>in</strong> Yifu L<strong>in</strong> <strong>and</strong> Peil<strong>in</strong> L<strong>in</strong>Chapter 7 Vulnerability <strong>to</strong> <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>in</strong> India:Relative Rank<strong>in</strong>gs of States Us<strong>in</strong>g Fuzzy ModelsK. S. Kavi Kumar <strong>and</strong> Br<strong>in</strong>da ViswanathanChapter 8 Resource-Poor Farmers <strong>in</strong> South India:On the Marg<strong>in</strong>s or Frontiers of <strong>Globalization</strong>Rimjhim M. AggarwalChapter 9 Credit Constra<strong>in</strong>ts as a Barrier <strong>to</strong> Technology Adoptionby the Poor: Lessons from South Indian Small-Scale FisheriesXavier G<strong>in</strong>é <strong>and</strong> Stephan KlonnerChapter 10 Trade Liberalization, Environment <strong>and</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong>:A Develop<strong>in</strong>g Country PerspectiveMahvash Saeed Qureshifrom <strong>in</strong>come <strong>and</strong> wealth <strong>in</strong>equality<strong>to</strong> growth (the ‘<strong>in</strong>equality–growth’l<strong>in</strong>k), there are two conflict<strong>in</strong>gtheoretical str<strong>and</strong>s: the traditional(classical) approach <strong>and</strong> the ‘new’political economy of developmenttheories (modern). Whilst the formeremphasizes the growth-enhanc<strong>in</strong>geffects of <strong>in</strong>come <strong>in</strong>equality <strong>and</strong>wealth <strong>in</strong>equality through thesav<strong>in</strong>g-enhanc<strong>in</strong>g effects (the richsave proportionately more thanthe poor) as well as the existenceof <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong>divisibilities <strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>centive effects, the latter l<strong>in</strong>ksgreater <strong>in</strong>equality <strong>to</strong> reducedgrowth through various conditions.These conditions <strong>in</strong>clude thediffusion of political <strong>and</strong> social<strong>in</strong>stability lead<strong>in</strong>g <strong>to</strong> greateruncerta<strong>in</strong>ty <strong>and</strong> lower <strong>in</strong>vestment,unproductive rent-seek<strong>in</strong>gactivities, high transaction costs,<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>creased <strong>in</strong>security of propertyrights. The Kuznets hypothesis ofthe <strong>in</strong>verted U-shaped relationshipbetween growth <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>equalitythat exam<strong>in</strong>es the opposite causalflow (i.e., the ‘growth–<strong>in</strong>equality’l<strong>in</strong>k) is also challenged by a numberof recent studies. Thus, the newpolitical economy of developmentapproach suggests that growthpatterns yield<strong>in</strong>g more <strong>in</strong>equalitywould, <strong>in</strong> turn, engender lowerfuture growth paths result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>less of a growth-<strong>in</strong>duced povertyreduction, as Figure 1 illustrates.Thus, we argued that whileglobalization-<strong>in</strong>duced growthmay benefit the poor, the ultimatepoverty reduction effects dependon how the growth pattern affects<strong>in</strong>come distribution, as <strong>in</strong>equalityacts as the filter between growth<strong>and</strong> poverty reduction. Effectivepoverty reduction requires somecomb<strong>in</strong>ation of higher growth <strong>and</strong>a more pro-poor distribution of the6 Policy Brief


www.wider.unu.eduga<strong>in</strong>s from growth.In addition, several specific featuresassociated with the current phaseof globalization have contributed<strong>to</strong> possible adverse effects onthe poor. These <strong>in</strong>clude: (a) thenature of technical changes biased<strong>in</strong> favour of capital <strong>and</strong> aga<strong>in</strong>stunskilled labour, the asymmetricalaccess <strong>to</strong> new technology <strong>and</strong>knowledge, <strong>and</strong> the unevenprocess of technology diffusion;(b) the often perverse pattern of<strong>in</strong>ternational migration which tends<strong>to</strong> encourage a migration of skilledlabour from develop<strong>in</strong>g countries<strong>to</strong> developed countries, whileunskilled labour migration tends<strong>to</strong> be strictly controlled by legalabout the <strong>in</strong>creased vulnerabilityof the poor <strong>to</strong> globalization forcesthat generate greater fluctuations<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>come <strong>and</strong> expenditure causedby global shocks, such as thevarious f<strong>in</strong>ancial crises that havehit Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Asia</strong> <strong>in</strong> thelast two decades or the ongo<strong>in</strong>gglobal f<strong>in</strong>ancial crisis <strong>and</strong> food crisis.There is significant evidence thatthese repeated shocks have hurtthe poor disproportionately. Thus,while globalization can be a majoreng<strong>in</strong>e for growth, it is critical <strong>to</strong>put <strong>in</strong> place strong <strong>in</strong>stitutions thatmediate the various channels <strong>and</strong>mechanisms through which theglobalization process <strong>in</strong>fluencespoverty. Indeed, <strong>in</strong>stitutions act as<strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>and</strong> pover ty, alongside climate change,epi<strong>to</strong>mize two of the most press<strong>in</strong>g contemporar y<strong>in</strong>ternational development issuesrestrictions <strong>in</strong> developed countries;(c) the perverse movements ofcapital, such as <strong>in</strong> the form ofcapital flight from develop<strong>in</strong>g oremerg<strong>in</strong>g market economies <strong>to</strong>safe havens <strong>in</strong> the rich countries ordiversification f<strong>in</strong>ance characteriz<strong>in</strong>gportfolio capital flows conductedthrough asset swapp<strong>in</strong>g for riskhedg<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> shedd<strong>in</strong>g, whichresults <strong>in</strong> global macro imbalances<strong>and</strong> periodical f<strong>in</strong>ancial crises, <strong>and</strong>;(d) uneven, skewed foreign direct<strong>in</strong>vestment (FDI) flows, which havenot necessarily guaranteed hostdevelop<strong>in</strong>g countries access <strong>to</strong>potential benefits of management<strong>and</strong> knowledge transfer. Thesefeatures have affected, <strong>in</strong> a numberof <strong>in</strong>stances, the functional <strong>in</strong>comedistribution between labour <strong>and</strong>capital aga<strong>in</strong>st the former.Concerns are particularly stronga filter <strong>in</strong>tensify<strong>in</strong>g or h<strong>in</strong>der<strong>in</strong>g thepositive <strong>and</strong> negative pass-throughbetween globalization <strong>and</strong> poverty<strong>and</strong> can help expla<strong>in</strong> the diversity,heterogeneity, <strong>and</strong> non-l<strong>in</strong>earityof outcomes. Examples of such<strong>in</strong>stitutions, operat<strong>in</strong>g as safety nets,are discussed <strong>in</strong> the comparativeanalysis that follows.3 How did <strong>Globalization</strong> Affectthe Poor <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>, Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>,<strong>and</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>?Emerg<strong>in</strong>g empirical evidenceon the recent <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> world<strong>in</strong>come disparity between therich <strong>and</strong> the poor can at least bepartially attributed <strong>to</strong> the forcesshap<strong>in</strong>g the current process ofglobalization. In particular, theobserved ‘big time’ divergence <strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>ter-country <strong>in</strong>come levels (wheneach country is weighted equally)<strong>L<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>, Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>


www.unu.educalls <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> question the validity ofthe openness-<strong>in</strong>duced <strong>in</strong>comeconvergence thesis. The reality isthat the mere adoption of opentrade <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment regimesdoes not guarantee, or necessarilypromote, develop<strong>in</strong>g countries’entry <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> the ‘<strong>in</strong>come convergenceclub’. It can be argued that theconundrum of the persistent‘non-convergence’ of world percapita <strong>in</strong>come should be explicitlyaddressed <strong>in</strong> terms of structuralfeatures of the global economicrelationships as they evolvedover time <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>stitutional <strong>and</strong>sociopolitical conditions found <strong>in</strong>participat<strong>in</strong>g countries. The <strong>in</strong>comeconvergence trend among nationhave not succeeded <strong>in</strong> reach<strong>in</strong>gthe take-off po<strong>in</strong>t necessary forbenefit<strong>in</strong>g from the positive forcesof globalization. Above all, countriesneed <strong>to</strong> have reached the take-offpo<strong>in</strong>t, as the effects of <strong>in</strong>ternationaltrade on growth are criticallydependent on the structure ofgrowth <strong>and</strong> pattern of specialization<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>tegration. In terms of the<strong>in</strong>ter-sec<strong>to</strong>ral growth pattern,evidence shows that <strong>in</strong> earlydevelopment stages the growth ofagriculture has a far greater impac<strong>to</strong>n poverty than the growth of othersec<strong>to</strong>rs. For example, the bulk ofpoverty reduction <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a occurreddur<strong>in</strong>g the phase of agriculturalde-collectivization <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>creasesThe risks <strong>and</strong> costs brought about by globalization can besignificant for fragile develop<strong>in</strong>g economiesstates, <strong>to</strong> the extent that it has beenobserved his<strong>to</strong>rically, is likely <strong>to</strong> beexpla<strong>in</strong>ed more effectively by thespecific nature of the <strong>in</strong>tegration<strong>and</strong> specialization process followedby subgroups of countries, ratherthan by the degree of openness ofthe trade <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment regimesper se, as often claimed.A theoretical study undertakenunder the auspices of the presentproject <strong>and</strong> based on a ‘hum<strong>and</strong>evelopment trap model’ showedthat <strong>in</strong> the presence of multipleequilibria, development <strong>and</strong>underdevelopment can coexist assteady states under globalization.This study concluded thatglobalization is a necessary, butnot a sufficient, condition forconvergence <strong>to</strong> development.Indeed, many poor countries thathave opened their economies s<strong>in</strong>cethe 1980s have fallen beh<strong>in</strong>d, <strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong> food prices procurement before1980, rather than <strong>in</strong> the subsequenttrade-open<strong>in</strong>g phase. As will beseen <strong>in</strong> the comparative analysis,countries that went throughan early <strong>and</strong> smooth structuraltransformation, as <strong>in</strong> most of <strong>Asia</strong>,were much more successful <strong>in</strong>generat<strong>in</strong>g a shared-growth processbenefitt<strong>in</strong>g the poor than countriesthat delayed or failed their structuraltransformation process, as is typicalof SSA.In terms of patterns of specializationa country specializ<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> an <strong>in</strong>dustryendowed with a larger positiveexternality would experience afaster growth rate compared witha trad<strong>in</strong>g partner that specializes <strong>in</strong>an <strong>in</strong>dustry with weaker spillovereffects. Thus, the growth ratesof two trad<strong>in</strong>g countries coulddiffer considerably, depend<strong>in</strong>gon the pattern of specialization. A8 Policy Brief


country with an <strong>in</strong>itial comparativeadvantage <strong>in</strong> ‘non-dynamic’ sec<strong>to</strong>rsmay end up <strong>in</strong> a low equilibriumtrap through the evolv<strong>in</strong>g patternsof production <strong>and</strong> trade. Similarly,the effects of FDI on host economiesdiverge enormously, depend<strong>in</strong>g onthe sec<strong>to</strong>rs <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> which transnationalcorporations (TNCs) are attracted<strong>to</strong> move <strong>in</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>vest. Low‐<strong>in</strong>comedevelop<strong>in</strong>g countries tend <strong>to</strong>attract natural resource-based FDI<strong>in</strong> extract<strong>in</strong>g m<strong>in</strong>eral resources orFDI geared <strong>to</strong>wards the lower endof TNCs’ vertical <strong>in</strong>tegrated globaloperations (their global valuecha<strong>in</strong>) such as simple assemblyl<strong>in</strong>e operations. These sec<strong>to</strong>rs <strong>and</strong>activities are characterized bylimited dynamic externalities, as wellas knowledge <strong>and</strong> skill spillovers.In general, globalizationexperiences <strong>in</strong> the South tend <strong>to</strong>be very heterogeneous. In thiscontext, we argue that develop<strong>in</strong>gcountries have <strong>to</strong> undergosubstantial changes <strong>in</strong> their trade<strong>and</strong> production structures, so as<strong>to</strong> be able <strong>to</strong> reap more benefitsfrom the dynamic forces unleashedby globalization <strong>and</strong> experience<strong>in</strong>come convergence. Indeed, sharpdivergences have emerged <strong>in</strong> thedevelopment paths followed bydifferent countries <strong>in</strong> the South overrecent decades.These divergences can be expla<strong>in</strong>edby the dist<strong>in</strong>ct <strong>in</strong>ternal patternsof economic growth <strong>and</strong> formsof <strong>in</strong>tegration adopted. As aconsequence some countries <strong>in</strong> theSouth were able <strong>to</strong> benefit fromvirtuous cycles of globalization<strong>in</strong>ducedgrowth, while others wereleft beh<strong>in</strong>d <strong>in</strong> vicious cycles ofglobalization-<strong>in</strong>duced decl<strong>in</strong>e. No<strong>to</strong>nly did the growth rates divergePublications from the Project‘Impact of <strong>Globalization</strong> on the World’s Poor’The Poor Under <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>, Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>Edited by Machiko Nissanke <strong>and</strong> Erik ThorbeckeOxford University Press, 2010Chapter 1 Comparative Analysis of the <strong>Globalization</strong>–<strong>Poverty</strong> Nexus <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>,Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>Machiko Nissanke <strong>and</strong> Erik ThorbeckeChapter 2 <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>and</strong> the Human Development TrapDavid Mayer-FoulkesChapter 3 <strong>Globalization</strong>, Literacy Levels <strong>and</strong> Economic DevelopmentAlok BhargavaChapter 4 <strong>Asia</strong>’s Labour-Driven Growth, Fly<strong>in</strong>g Geese Style: Types of Trade,FDI <strong>and</strong> Institutions Matter for the PoorTeru<strong>to</strong>mo OzawaChapter 5 <strong>Globalization</strong>, Growth <strong>and</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong> IndiaN. R. Bhanumurthy <strong>and</strong> Arup MitraChapter 6 <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>and</strong> Rural <strong>Poverty</strong>: Perspectives from a SocialObserva<strong>to</strong>ry <strong>in</strong> the Philipp<strong>in</strong>esYujiro HayamiChapter 7 <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>and</strong> the Urban Poor <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>aY<strong>in</strong> Zhang <strong>and</strong> Guanghua WanChapter 8 Trade Liberalization, Employment Flows <strong>and</strong> WageInequality <strong>in</strong> BrazilFrancisco H. G. Ferreira, Phillippe G. Leite <strong>and</strong> Matthew Wai-PoiChapter 9 <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>and</strong> the Urban PoorJanice E. PerlmanChapter 10 <strong>Globalization</strong>, Crop Choice <strong>and</strong> Property Rights <strong>in</strong> Rural Peru,1994-2004Alfred J. Field <strong>and</strong> Erica FieldChapter 11 <strong>Globalization</strong>, Growth, Inequality <strong>and</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>:A Macroeconomic PerspectiveJeffrey I. RoundChapter 12 <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>and</strong> Marg<strong>in</strong>alization <strong>in</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>: <strong>Poverty</strong>, Risk,<strong>and</strong> Vulnerability <strong>in</strong> Rural EthiopiaStefan DerconChapter 13 Inequality <strong>and</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Africa</strong> <strong>in</strong> an Era of <strong>Globalization</strong>:Look<strong>in</strong>g Beyond Income <strong>to</strong> Health <strong>and</strong> EducationDavid E. Sahn <strong>and</strong> Stephen D. YoungerChapter 14 Post-Apartheid South <strong>Africa</strong>: <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>and</strong> Distribution Trends<strong>in</strong> an Era of <strong>Globalization</strong>Servaas van der Berg, Ronelle Burger <strong>and</strong> Megan Louw<strong>L<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>, Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Africa</strong> 9


www.unu.eduwidely but there emerged amarked difference <strong>in</strong> the waysthe benefits of economic growthtrickled down <strong>to</strong> the poor asthese develop<strong>in</strong>g economieswere <strong>in</strong>tegrat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> the globaleconomy. The sharp differentialimpact of the forces of globalizationon the poor <strong>in</strong> the develop<strong>in</strong>gworld can be analysed by focus<strong>in</strong>gon the <strong>in</strong>tegration experiences ofthree broad regions (cont<strong>in</strong>ents):<strong>Asia</strong>, Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>,respectively.3.1 Impact of <strong>Globalization</strong> on<strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>most <strong>Asia</strong>n countries. In particular,follow<strong>in</strong>g aggressively an ‘outwardorienteddevelopment strategy’,most East <strong>Asia</strong>n economies hadnot only managed the process of<strong>in</strong>tegration <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> the world economymuch earlier than other develop<strong>in</strong>gcountries, but also improved theirform of l<strong>in</strong>kages <strong>to</strong> the globaleconomy <strong>in</strong> the years of their rapideconomic growth. Prior <strong>to</strong> thef<strong>in</strong>ancial crisis of 1997–8, many ofthe East <strong>Asia</strong>n economies registeredspectacular growth performancesaccompanied by a substantialreduction <strong>in</strong> poverty—through<strong>Globalization</strong> is not a process, proceed<strong>in</strong>g neutrally <strong>in</strong> apolicy vacuum; rather, it is a policy <strong>in</strong>duced condition<strong>Asia</strong> is the region widely regardedas hav<strong>in</strong>g benefited most from thedynamic growth effect of the recentwave of globalization, which hasalso resulted <strong>in</strong> a very substantialreduction <strong>in</strong> abject poverty <strong>in</strong>many economies. Furthermore, thegrowth pattern achieved through<strong>in</strong>creased trade <strong>and</strong> FDI <strong>in</strong> East<strong>Asia</strong> <strong>in</strong> the 1960s <strong>and</strong> 1970s wasespecially seen as highly <strong>in</strong>clusive,<strong>and</strong> often viewed as a model of‘shared growth’. Yet, there is grow<strong>in</strong>gevidence that <strong>in</strong> the last threedecades, <strong>in</strong>equality has been ris<strong>in</strong>gas part <strong>and</strong> parcel of the <strong>in</strong>tegrationprocess <strong>in</strong> many parts of <strong>Asia</strong>.Hence, it is critically important <strong>to</strong>exam<strong>in</strong>e the mechanisms at work <strong>in</strong>the globalization–poverty nexus <strong>in</strong><strong>Asia</strong>.First, there is very little disagreemen<strong>to</strong>ver the powerful growthenhanc<strong>in</strong>g effects of opennessthrough trade <strong>and</strong> FDI <strong>in</strong> the case ofdynamically evolv<strong>in</strong>g changes <strong>in</strong>their socioeconomic structures. Anumber of earlier studies attributedthis successful growth performance<strong>to</strong> an appropriate set of economicpolicies <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>stitutions well suited<strong>to</strong> the conditions prevail<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>East <strong>Asia</strong> dur<strong>in</strong>g that period. Therelatively quick turnaround of manyemerg<strong>in</strong>g economies <strong>in</strong> East <strong>Asia</strong><strong>in</strong> the years follow<strong>in</strong>g the severecrisis of 1997–8 is often attributed<strong>to</strong> their strong export performance<strong>and</strong> renewed adaptability <strong>and</strong>flexibility <strong>in</strong> respond<strong>in</strong>g swiftly<strong>to</strong> new opportunities offered byglobalization.Second, the structuraltransformation of most economies<strong>in</strong> East <strong>Asia</strong> has been facilitatedconsiderably by the <strong>in</strong>tegration/globalization process. The catchupprocess <strong>and</strong> associated growthdynamism <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>, as a whole,can be exam<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> terms of the‘fly<strong>in</strong>g geese paradigm’, where<strong>in</strong> a10 Policy Brief


www.wider.unu.edusequence of staggered catch-upgrowth episodes has successivelytaken place <strong>in</strong> the region s<strong>in</strong>ce theend of the Second World War. Morespecifically, poverty alleviation hasbeen occurr<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>in</strong> fly<strong>in</strong>g geesestyle (i.e., <strong>in</strong> t<strong>and</strong>em with growth)among these rapidly catch<strong>in</strong>g up<strong>Asia</strong>n economies. The <strong>in</strong>cidenceof poverty (based on the US$1.25poverty l<strong>in</strong>e) is estimated <strong>to</strong> havedramatically decl<strong>in</strong>ed from 78 percent <strong>in</strong> 1981 <strong>to</strong> 17 per cent <strong>in</strong> 2005<strong>in</strong> East <strong>Asia</strong> <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g Ch<strong>in</strong>a, <strong>and</strong>from 60 per cent <strong>to</strong> 40 per cent <strong>in</strong>South <strong>Asia</strong> dur<strong>in</strong>g the same period.maximize the benefits from dynamicexternalities. Their <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gspecialization <strong>in</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>rs with largespillovers <strong>and</strong> dynamic externalitieswas conducive <strong>to</strong> engender<strong>in</strong>g apattern of equaliz<strong>in</strong>g growth.Third, <strong>in</strong> most of East <strong>Asia</strong>, the propoorpattern of public expenditure<strong>in</strong> favour of the rural poor at earlystages of development produced<strong>and</strong> susta<strong>in</strong>ed the ‘shared’ growthprocess at least until the 1970s.There were concerted effortson the part of governments <strong>to</strong>facilitate build<strong>in</strong>g primary assets ofthe poor through such measures<strong>Globalization</strong> is likely <strong>to</strong> have contributed <strong>to</strong> pover tyalleviation on a net basisThus, the high growthperformance—accompaniedby a substantial reduction ofabject poverty—<strong>in</strong> East <strong>Asia</strong>can be expla<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> terms of theregion‐wide comparative advantagerecycl<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the production<strong>and</strong> export of labour <strong>in</strong>tensivegoods. The process <strong>in</strong>volves astrong dem<strong>and</strong> for unskilled<strong>and</strong> semi-skilled labour, drivenby export<strong>in</strong>g labour-<strong>in</strong>tensivegoods <strong>and</strong> attract<strong>in</strong>g pro-tradeFDI, br<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>g about effectivetechnology, knowledge, <strong>and</strong> skilltransfer. Most of the East <strong>and</strong>South-East <strong>Asia</strong>n economies havesuccessfully gone through thestructural transformation of theirproduction <strong>and</strong> trade structureswith cont<strong>in</strong>uous upgrad<strong>in</strong>g oftheir human skill endowments<strong>and</strong> technology/knowledge base.By rely<strong>in</strong>g on their fast evolv<strong>in</strong>gdynamic comparative advantagesthese countries were able <strong>to</strong>as an equitable distribution ofl<strong>and</strong> (through appropriate l<strong>and</strong>reforms), extensive public provisionof free <strong>and</strong> universal primaryeducation, promotion of small‐scaleenterprises <strong>and</strong> developmen<strong>to</strong>f rural <strong>in</strong>frastructure—roads,irrigation, schools, agriculturalsupport outposts, health stations,<strong>and</strong> irrigation systems. In thiscontext, the observed pro-poornessof growth <strong>in</strong> East <strong>Asia</strong> is not purelya manifestation of market-drivengrowth effects.Fourth, notwithst<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g theongo<strong>in</strong>g urbanization process,the great majority of the poor <strong>in</strong><strong>Asia</strong> cont<strong>in</strong>ue <strong>to</strong> reside <strong>in</strong> ruralareas—63 per cent at last count.The accelerat<strong>in</strong>g rural <strong>to</strong> urbanmigration <strong>in</strong> response <strong>to</strong> the rapidexpansion of job opportunitieshas contributed both <strong>to</strong> economicgrowth <strong>in</strong> urban areas <strong>and</strong> <strong>to</strong> thealleviation of poverty <strong>in</strong> rural areasby (i) reduc<strong>in</strong>g surplus labour <strong>in</strong><strong>L<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>, Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Africa</strong> 11


www.unu.eduPublications from the Project‘Impact of <strong>Globalization</strong>on the World’s Poor’World Development34 (8) 2006, Special Issue‘The Impact of <strong>Globalization</strong>on the World’s Poor’Guest Edi<strong>to</strong>rs Machiko Nissanke<strong>and</strong> Erik ThorbeckeIntroduction: The Impact of<strong>Globalization</strong> on the World’s PoorErik Thorbecke <strong>and</strong> MachikoNissankeChannels <strong>and</strong> Policy Debate<strong>in</strong> the <strong>Globalization</strong>-Inequality-<strong>Poverty</strong> NexusMachiko Nissanke <strong>and</strong> ErikThorbecke<strong>Globalization</strong>, <strong>Poverty</strong><strong>and</strong> Inequality: What is theRelationship? What can be done?Kaushik BasuLook<strong>in</strong>g Beyond Averages <strong>in</strong> theTrade <strong>and</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> DebateMart<strong>in</strong> Ravallion<strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>and</strong> Rural <strong>Poverty</strong>Pranab Bardhan<strong>Globalization</strong>, Local Ecosystems<strong>and</strong> the Rural PoorRimjhim M. Aggarwal<strong>Globalization</strong>’s Byst<strong>and</strong>ers:Does Trade Liberalization HurtCountries that do not Participate?’Alan V. Deardorff <strong>and</strong> Robert M.SternAgricultural Biotechnology<strong>and</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> Reduction <strong>in</strong> Low-Income CountriesGregory Graff, David Rol<strong>and</strong>-Holst<strong>and</strong> David Zilberman<strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>and</strong> the WelfareCosts of Risk Associatedwith <strong>Globalization</strong>Ethan Ligonagriculture, <strong>and</strong> (ii) through theremittances from migrant workersthat presently 10.65Indeed, despitethe sharp reduction <strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>cidenceof extreme poverty (less thanUS$1.25 a day), poverty rema<strong>in</strong>shigh <strong>in</strong> many develop<strong>in</strong>g countries<strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong> if it is measured on the basisof the US$2 a day poverty l<strong>in</strong>e.It is estimated that the latterdecl<strong>in</strong>ed from 86 per cent <strong>in</strong> 1981<strong>to</strong> 73 per cent <strong>in</strong> 2005 <strong>in</strong> South<strong>Asia</strong> <strong>and</strong> from 92 per cent <strong>to</strong> 38per cent <strong>in</strong> East <strong>Asia</strong> (dom<strong>in</strong>atedby Ch<strong>in</strong>a) over the same period.The reduction <strong>in</strong> this measure isremarkable (<strong>in</strong> particular <strong>in</strong> East<strong>Asia</strong>), but poverty is still widespread<strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong> as a whole, <strong>and</strong> the challengefac<strong>in</strong>g policymakers <strong>in</strong> the region <strong>in</strong>attack<strong>in</strong>g poverty of this magnitudeis still daunt<strong>in</strong>g. The ‘<strong>in</strong>equality<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g’ effect of globalizationshould be attenuated by publicpolicy measures <strong>to</strong> ensure thatbenefits from globalization-<strong>in</strong>ducedgrowth are shared more equally <strong>and</strong>equitably.In this context, it is worthremember<strong>in</strong>g that the pattern ofshared growth from wealth‐shar<strong>in</strong>gpolicy measures providedlegitimacy for governments <strong>to</strong>pursue pro-growth <strong>and</strong> probus<strong>in</strong>esseconomic policy <strong>in</strong> theearly drive for rapid <strong>in</strong>dustrialization<strong>in</strong> East <strong>Asia</strong>. Susta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the sharedgrowth process is hence criticalfor ensur<strong>in</strong>g economic growth<strong>to</strong> cont<strong>in</strong>ue under this era ofglobalization. Alternatively,grow<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>equalities canweaken social cohesion <strong>and</strong> riskreduc<strong>in</strong>g the momentum foreconomic growth <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>tegration<strong>in</strong> the region.3.2 Impact of <strong>Globalization</strong> on <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong>Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong> occupies an<strong>in</strong>termediate position <strong>in</strong> its<strong>in</strong>tegration experience compared<strong>to</strong> the other two regions. Likecountries <strong>in</strong> sub-Saharan <strong>Africa</strong>,many economies <strong>in</strong> Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>have been his<strong>to</strong>rically naturalresource-based <strong>in</strong> their l<strong>in</strong>kage<strong>to</strong> the global economy throughprimary commodity exports.Though the economies <strong>in</strong> theregion are much more diversified<strong>in</strong> their production <strong>and</strong> tradestructures than those <strong>in</strong> SSA, theyhave been largely susceptible <strong>to</strong>the ‘global development cycle’,dom<strong>in</strong>ated by external shocks.Many countries <strong>in</strong> the region wereexposed <strong>to</strong> a deterioration <strong>in</strong> their‘terms of trade’ caused by the sharpdrop <strong>in</strong> the prices of a number ofprimary commodities <strong>in</strong> the 1980s.In addition, as ma<strong>in</strong> recipientsof commercial loans based onabundant petrodollars <strong>in</strong> the 1970s,middle <strong>in</strong>come countries <strong>in</strong> theregion suffered from the suddenhike <strong>in</strong> real <strong>in</strong>terest rates at theend of the 1970s. Result<strong>in</strong>g fromthe ensued severe debt crisis, theregion had <strong>to</strong> endure a ‘lost decade’of economic growth <strong>in</strong> the 1980scharacterized by negative externalresource transfer <strong>and</strong> stagnantgrowth rates <strong>in</strong> per capita <strong>in</strong>come.The annual average growth of GDP<strong>in</strong> the 1980s for the Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>nregion was barely above 2 per cent.After the belated market-based debtrestructur<strong>in</strong>g under the Brady Plan<strong>and</strong> the sweep<strong>in</strong>g policy reformsof liberalization <strong>and</strong> deregulation,middle-<strong>in</strong>come economies <strong>in</strong> theregion re<strong>in</strong>tegrated <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> the globaleconomy as emerg<strong>in</strong>g marketeconomies <strong>in</strong> the early 1990s. Yet,the region’s economic <strong>in</strong>tegration,12 Policy Brief


www.wider.unu.eduspurred by the liberalization <strong>and</strong>privatization drive <strong>and</strong> basedon the premise of large ‘growth’dividends from globalization,has not delivered the promisedbenefits of susta<strong>in</strong>ed economicgrowth <strong>to</strong> these economies. Theaverage annual growth of GDP <strong>in</strong>Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong> dur<strong>in</strong>g the 1990swas only around 3 per cent. A wellknownLat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>n specialistsummarizes the prevail<strong>in</strong>g view onthe region’s performance over thelast two decades, by not<strong>in</strong>g that‘Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong> has wholeheartedlyembraced the faith <strong>in</strong> open trade<strong>and</strong> freer capital markets <strong>and</strong> yet,subsequent growth is well shor<strong>to</strong>f expectation’. On the whole, theglobalization <strong>in</strong>duced economicgrowth <strong>in</strong> the region has been muchmore precarious <strong>and</strong> fragile thanMult<strong>in</strong>ational corporations <strong>in</strong>Mexico <strong>and</strong> the Caribbean tend<strong>to</strong> specialize <strong>in</strong> low technologymanufactures, ma<strong>in</strong>ly operat<strong>in</strong>gassembly plants with little potentialof technology <strong>and</strong> skill transfers.Thus, dur<strong>in</strong>g the recent spell ofglobalization, there is evidence that‘South <strong>America</strong> has experiencedpremature de<strong>in</strong>dustrialization, whileMexico <strong>and</strong> Central <strong>America</strong> avoidedthis trend by specializ<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> highimport <strong>in</strong>tensive manufactur<strong>in</strong>gexports, but with limited benefits<strong>in</strong> terms of growth’. It rema<strong>in</strong>s <strong>to</strong> beseen if the growth spurt start<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>2004 (yield<strong>in</strong>g an annual growthrate of GDP of around 5 per centa year until 2008), largely fuelledby temporarily ris<strong>in</strong>g commodityprices, is susta<strong>in</strong>able. Clearly thegrowth transmission channel has, atleast until very recently, been muchEach subset of l<strong>in</strong>ks embedded <strong>in</strong> the globalization(openness)–growth–<strong>in</strong>come distribution–pover ty nexuscan be contentious <strong>and</strong> controversialthat recorded <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong> throughoutthe last three decades.Under the impetus of highly volatileportfolio capital flows, economicgrowth has been <strong>in</strong>terrupted by theperiodic crises <strong>in</strong> capital accountsof balance of payments s<strong>in</strong>ce themid 1990s. Much of the eagerlyanticipated <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> FDI <strong>to</strong>ok theform of asset acquisition of newlyprivatized public utilities rather thanthat of green field <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong>productive capital. Operat<strong>in</strong>g with<strong>in</strong>the global production network,TNCs <strong>in</strong> the manufactur<strong>in</strong>g sec<strong>to</strong>r<strong>in</strong> the region have adopted newproduction technologies withlittle new employment created.<strong>to</strong>o weak <strong>to</strong> play a significant role <strong>in</strong>reduc<strong>in</strong>g poverty <strong>in</strong> the region.In contrast <strong>to</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>, the Lat<strong>in</strong><strong>America</strong>n region has experienceda very low rate of formal jobcreation <strong>in</strong> the tradable sec<strong>to</strong>runder globalization. In some cases,economic growth was ‘jobless’, witha negative rate of creation of formaljobs. Keen observers have notedthe sharp disparities <strong>in</strong> performancebetween large (often operatedby TNCs) <strong>and</strong> small enterprises <strong>in</strong>the region: large scale enterprisesrecorded high rates of productivitygrowth with a shr<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g labourforce, while the number of small<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>formal low-productivityenterprises cont<strong>in</strong>ues <strong>to</strong> grow.Thus, labour markets <strong>in</strong> the region<strong>L<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>, Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Africa</strong> 13


www.unu.eduare characterized by a high degreeof segmentation <strong>in</strong> parallel withan <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g ‘casualization’ of theworkforce.As firms operat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the formalsec<strong>to</strong>r are subject <strong>to</strong> <strong>in</strong>creased<strong>in</strong>ternational competition asliberalization proceeds, the <strong>in</strong>formalsec<strong>to</strong>r has exp<strong>and</strong>ed by absorb<strong>in</strong>gnegative <strong>in</strong>come shocks as workers<strong>in</strong> the formal sec<strong>to</strong>rs are laid off.This process has given rise <strong>to</strong> thefear of ‘social exclusion’ of theself-employed, operat<strong>in</strong>g almostentirely <strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>formal sec<strong>to</strong>r. Oneof our case studies notes that theself-employed now account forone-third of the labour force <strong>in</strong>the Mexican economy <strong>and</strong> are oneof the most vulnerable groups.This process of ‘casualization’ <strong>and</strong>at the very <strong>to</strong>p end of the world<strong>in</strong>equality rank<strong>in</strong>g accord<strong>in</strong>g <strong>to</strong> theWorld Bank’s World DevelopmentIndica<strong>to</strong>rs (WDI) dataset—with amedian G<strong>in</strong>i coefficient of almost 57per cent <strong>and</strong> a mean of just under55 per cent. Between the mid-1990s<strong>and</strong> mid-2000s, <strong>in</strong>equality rose <strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>e LAC countries, while it fell <strong>in</strong>only two countries <strong>and</strong> rema<strong>in</strong>edessentially the same <strong>in</strong> fourcountries. The lethal comb<strong>in</strong>ation oflow growth <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>creased <strong>in</strong>come<strong>in</strong>equality resulted <strong>in</strong> little overallpoverty reduction. While theheadcount ratio for the LAC regionas a whole (based on the US$1.25a day poverty l<strong>in</strong>e) fell from almost13 per cent <strong>in</strong> 1981 <strong>to</strong> 8 per cent <strong>in</strong>2005, the number of poor rose fromInstitutions act as a filter <strong>in</strong>tensify<strong>in</strong>g or h<strong>in</strong>der<strong>in</strong>gthe positive <strong>and</strong> negative pass-through betweenglobalization <strong>and</strong> pover ty‘<strong>in</strong>formalization’ of the workforcecan help expla<strong>in</strong> the reduction <strong>in</strong>open unemployment <strong>in</strong> Mexico <strong>and</strong>other Central <strong>America</strong>n countriesdur<strong>in</strong>g the 1990s, while openunemployment was ris<strong>in</strong>g steadily <strong>in</strong>Argent<strong>in</strong>a, Brazil, <strong>and</strong> Colombia, <strong>and</strong>other Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>n countries. Theshare of the <strong>in</strong>formal sec<strong>to</strong>r <strong>in</strong> urbanemployment rose significantly <strong>in</strong>most countries of the region.While the distribution of <strong>in</strong>come<strong>and</strong> assets <strong>in</strong> this region is known<strong>to</strong> have his<strong>to</strong>rically been the mostunequal <strong>in</strong> the develop<strong>in</strong>g world,many empirical studies confirm that<strong>in</strong>come <strong>and</strong> asset <strong>in</strong>equality hascont<strong>in</strong>ued <strong>to</strong> rise significantly dur<strong>in</strong>gthe <strong>in</strong>tegration process after 1980.In the second half of the 1990s,all Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>n <strong>and</strong> Caribbean(LAC) countries were grouped366 million <strong>to</strong> 550 million dur<strong>in</strong>g thesame time span.Yet it is important <strong>to</strong> note that theaggregate statistics hide the goodperformance of some <strong>in</strong>dividualcountries. The best performer<strong>in</strong> terms of growth <strong>and</strong> povertyalleviation was Chile, where theUS$1.25 a day poverty has beenpractically eradicated, <strong>and</strong> Brazil <strong>and</strong>Mexico succeeded <strong>in</strong> reduc<strong>in</strong>g both<strong>in</strong>equality <strong>and</strong> poverty substantiallys<strong>in</strong>ce the mid-1990s despiteunspectacular growth, at least prior<strong>to</strong> 2004.The <strong>in</strong>creased <strong>in</strong>come <strong>in</strong>equality isoften expla<strong>in</strong>ed by the widen<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>come gaps between skilled<strong>and</strong> unskilled workers as well asbetween the formal <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>formalsec<strong>to</strong>rs reflect<strong>in</strong>g the differences14 Policy Brief


www.wider.unu.edu<strong>in</strong> human capital endowments.Brazil’s experience s<strong>in</strong>ce thelate 1980s provides a reveal<strong>in</strong>gcounterevidence marked by afall<strong>in</strong>g wage <strong>in</strong>equality <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>come<strong>in</strong>equality (after 2000) as one ofour case studies makes clear—illustrat<strong>in</strong>g thereby the risk ofblanket generalizations.However, some economists havechallenged the power of theseexplanations of the pattern of<strong>in</strong>come distribution, exclusive ofother fac<strong>to</strong>rs, argu<strong>in</strong>g that theeffects of globalization on <strong>in</strong>comedistribution <strong>in</strong> the region aremost pronounced at the extremeends of the <strong>in</strong>come distribution.In other words, they argue thatLat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong> is characterized byeffect of a modest growthperformance.Paradoxically, while the evidence ispersuasive that <strong>in</strong>come <strong>in</strong>equalityis high <strong>and</strong> ris<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> contribut<strong>in</strong>g<strong>to</strong> perpetuate poverty <strong>in</strong> the region,much of the development literatureignores the fact that <strong>in</strong>come<strong>in</strong>equality <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>come-basedpoverty are not necessarily the onlyor even best measures of economic<strong>and</strong> social well-be<strong>in</strong>g. <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>equality are multidimensionalconcepts that can only beimperfectly reflected by moneymetricmeasures. In this context, <strong>and</strong><strong>to</strong> further muddle the developmentperformance picture, one of ourstudies f<strong>in</strong>ds that dur<strong>in</strong>g the 1980s<strong>and</strong> 1990s, <strong>in</strong>equality measured <strong>in</strong><strong>Asia</strong> is a region regarded as hav<strong>in</strong>g benefitedmost from the dynamic growth effect of the recentwave of globalizationa ris<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>come polarization. Inturn, this polarization trend canbe expla<strong>in</strong>ed by the way the LACeconomies have <strong>in</strong>tegrated <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> theglobal economy, as evidenced bythe Mexican case where the shareof wages fell from 40 per cent ofGDP <strong>in</strong> 1976 <strong>to</strong> just 19 per cent <strong>in</strong>2000. Wages <strong>in</strong> low technologymanufactur<strong>in</strong>g sec<strong>to</strong>rs, <strong>in</strong> whichMexican ‘maquila’ enterprisesspecialize, stagnated, while largeproductivity ga<strong>in</strong>s were reflectedby a sharp rise <strong>in</strong> profit marg<strong>in</strong>s. Inshort, globalization, at least partiallythrough its technology transmissionchannel, appears <strong>to</strong> have shiftedthe functional <strong>in</strong>come distributionaga<strong>in</strong>st labour <strong>in</strong> the region <strong>and</strong>the ris<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>come <strong>in</strong>equality furtherdampened the poverty alleviationthe health <strong>and</strong> education dimensionfell <strong>in</strong> Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong> <strong>and</strong> that thisdecl<strong>in</strong>e contributed <strong>to</strong> a substantialimprovement <strong>in</strong> health <strong>and</strong>education <strong>in</strong>dica<strong>to</strong>rs.This evidence of socioeconomicdevelopment <strong>in</strong> Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>would have been missed througha narrow focus on money-metricmeasures alone.<strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong>cidence is much higher <strong>in</strong>rural areas than <strong>in</strong> cities, althoughthere is an ongo<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gurbanization of poverty trendsdue <strong>to</strong> rural-urban migration.While some major efforts havebeen <strong>in</strong> place <strong>in</strong> recent years<strong>to</strong> redress <strong>in</strong>come <strong>in</strong>equalitythrough such schemes as theBrazilian Bolsas <strong>and</strong> the MexicanProgresa <strong>and</strong> Opportunidades<strong>L<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>, Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Africa</strong> 15


www.unu.edu<strong>and</strong> notwithst<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g the progressnoted above, <strong>in</strong>equality <strong>in</strong> non<strong>in</strong>comemeasures such as education,nutrition, health, <strong>and</strong> access <strong>to</strong>utilities rema<strong>in</strong>s persistent. Thepoor are particularly disadvantaged<strong>in</strong> access<strong>in</strong>g these public goods.While a claim has been made that<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>ternational remittancescould become a massive resourcetransfer mechanism <strong>to</strong> reducepoverty levels by <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g the<strong>in</strong>come of poorer households,a study undertaken under theauspices of this project showsthat remittances are not go<strong>in</strong>g<strong>to</strong> the poorest members of ruralcommunities <strong>in</strong> Mexico.Dur<strong>in</strong>g the 1990s, there weresome noticeable surges <strong>in</strong> socialexpenditures channelled throughpublic transfers <strong>and</strong> human capitalnot yet managed <strong>to</strong> redistribute<strong>in</strong>come <strong>to</strong> the poor significantly.Mitigat<strong>in</strong>g the negative effects ofglobalization on <strong>in</strong>equality <strong>and</strong> thepoor is of particular importance <strong>in</strong>the LAC region, where there is <strong>to</strong>daywidespread dissatisfaction with thesocial <strong>in</strong>justice associated with highpoverty <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>equality.A strong case can be made thathigh vulnerability <strong>to</strong> externalshocks—a direct consequenceof the way the LAC economieshave <strong>in</strong>tegrated <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> the globaleconomic system—has considerablyimpaired the <strong>in</strong>stitution-build<strong>in</strong>gprocess <strong>to</strong>wards a more equitablesociety. Governments have facedserious constra<strong>in</strong>ts both on thefiscal front <strong>and</strong> monetary policychoices for susta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g publictransfer programmes or other socialThe process of <strong>in</strong>tegration of many <strong>Asia</strong>n economies<strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> the global economy has generated such a stronggrowth impact that the poor were not left outformation <strong>in</strong> many countries. Ina rigorous empirical analysis ofthe relationship between growthpatterns, poverty, <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>equality <strong>in</strong>Brazil, one of our studies providesan important <strong>in</strong>sight <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> the crucialrole of <strong>in</strong>comes derived from socialsecurity <strong>and</strong> other governmenttransfers <strong>in</strong> cushion<strong>in</strong>g the effectsof macroeconomic shocks triggeredby the forces of globalization,specifically among the poorestsegments of Brazilian society dur<strong>in</strong>gthe period, 1995–2004. Anotherstudy exam<strong>in</strong>es the performanceof various public transfer schemes<strong>in</strong> eight countries <strong>in</strong> the region.It concludes that, on the whole,public transfers <strong>in</strong> the region havepolicies <strong>in</strong> order <strong>to</strong> address grow<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>equality <strong>and</strong> the unacceptableprevalence of poverty.The previously noted achievementsof Mexico <strong>and</strong> Brazil, as well asChile, contrast with an overallpicture of little progress <strong>in</strong> theprovision of safety nets <strong>to</strong> reducethe vulnerability of the poor <strong>to</strong>shocks <strong>in</strong> the LAC region. It is alsoclear that the <strong>in</strong>consistent (s<strong>to</strong>p<strong>and</strong> go) <strong>and</strong> populist economic<strong>and</strong> monetary policies followed bymany LAC regimes have contributed<strong>in</strong> no small measure <strong>to</strong> the mixedsocioeconomic performancedescribed above. There appears littledoubt that with sounder policies<strong>and</strong> governance, the net <strong>and</strong> overall16 Policy Brief


www.wider.unu.eduimpact of globalization would havebeen more favourable <strong>to</strong> mostsegments of the population.3.3 Impact of globalization on the poor <strong>in</strong>sub-Saharan <strong>Africa</strong>Follow<strong>in</strong>g largely an <strong>in</strong>wardorienteddevelopment strategy<strong>in</strong> the early decades of thepost-<strong>in</strong>dependence period, themajority of SSA countries failed <strong>to</strong>take advantage of the potentialprovided by the dynamic growthspurt that characterized theglobal economy start<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the1970s. The region was largelymarg<strong>in</strong>alized <strong>and</strong> experiencedslow growth <strong>and</strong> stagnation.With grow<strong>in</strong>g recognition of theirdisadvantageous position, mosteconomies <strong>in</strong> SSA significantlyliberalized their trade <strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>vestment policy regimes as part ofStructural Adjustment Programmess<strong>in</strong>ce the mid 1980s. Today, SSAis not beh<strong>in</strong>d other develop<strong>in</strong>gregions <strong>in</strong> trade openness, asconventionally measured througha trade <strong>in</strong>tensity <strong>in</strong>dex (imports <strong>and</strong>exports relative <strong>to</strong> GDP). In spiteof the <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> trade <strong>in</strong>tensity,however, <strong>Africa</strong>’s share of <strong>to</strong>tal worldtrade has fallen over the last twodecades. Many countries <strong>in</strong> SSAhave also <strong>in</strong>tensified their efforts <strong>to</strong>attract FDI with the help of variousfiscal <strong>and</strong> other <strong>in</strong>centive measures.However, FDI flows <strong>to</strong> the regionhave so far been largely limited<strong>to</strong> the extraction of oil <strong>and</strong> othernatural resources.Thus, SSA presents a clear example<strong>in</strong> support of the argument thatthe shift <strong>to</strong> an open policy regimealone is not sufficient <strong>to</strong> br<strong>in</strong>g abouteconomic growth <strong>and</strong> consequentlypoverty reduction. After twoPublications from the Project‘Impact of <strong>Globalization</strong> on the World’s Poor’<strong>Africa</strong>n Development Review, 20 (1) 2008Special Issue‘<strong>Globalization</strong>-<strong>Poverty</strong> Channels <strong>and</strong> Case Studies from sub-Saharan <strong>Africa</strong>’Edited by Machiko Nissanke <strong>and</strong> Erik Thorbecke<strong>Globalization</strong>–<strong>Poverty</strong> Channels <strong>and</strong> Case Studies from sub-Saharan <strong>Africa</strong>Machiko Nissanke <strong>and</strong> Erik ThorbeckeGa<strong>in</strong>s from Trade: Implications for Labour Market Adjustment <strong>and</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong>Reduction <strong>in</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>August<strong>in</strong> Kwasi Fosu <strong>and</strong> Andrew MoldThe Effect of the Liberalization of Investment: Policies on Employment<strong>and</strong> Investment of Mult<strong>in</strong>ational Corporations <strong>in</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>Elizabeth Asiedu <strong>and</strong> Kwabena Gyimah-BrempongGender Dimensions <strong>to</strong> the Incidence of Tariff LiberalizationReza C. DanielsMarket Participation <strong>and</strong> Rural <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong> Ghana <strong>in</strong> the Era of <strong>Globalization</strong>Abena D. Oduro <strong>and</strong> Isaac Osei-Ako<strong>to</strong>Distributional Impact of <strong>Globalization</strong>-<strong>in</strong>duced Migration: Evidencefrom a Nigerian VillageSteve Onyeiwu, Raluca Iorgulescu Polimeni <strong>and</strong> John M. PolimeniChang<strong>in</strong>g L<strong>and</strong> Tenure Arrangements <strong>and</strong> Access <strong>to</strong> Primary Assetsunder <strong>Globalization</strong>: A Case Study of Two Villages <strong>in</strong> Anglophone CameroonFrancis Menjo Baye<strong>L<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>, Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Africa</strong> 17


www.unu.edudecades of reforms dom<strong>in</strong>atedby liberalization, privatization,<strong>and</strong> deregulation, the economiesof SSA have not yet been able <strong>to</strong>escape from the ‘growth tragedy’syndrome—the term popularly used<strong>in</strong> characteriz<strong>in</strong>g the region’s dismaleconomic performance <strong>in</strong> thecomparative growth literature. Therecent upturn <strong>in</strong> economic growthrecorded <strong>in</strong> many natural resourcericheconomies <strong>in</strong> SSA was closelyassociated with the temporary pricehike of oil <strong>and</strong> m<strong>in</strong>eral commodities<strong>in</strong> world markets. The susta<strong>in</strong>abilityof these high growth rates appearsmost questionable <strong>in</strong> the light ofthe free fall of commodity pricesobserved immediately after theevents <strong>in</strong> September 2008 thatthat the beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g of the debtcrisis <strong>in</strong> many countries <strong>in</strong> SSA <strong>in</strong>the late 1970s co<strong>in</strong>cided exactlywith that of the ‘commodity crisis’.The dem<strong>and</strong> management ofcommodity‐dependent economiesgoverned by external shocks shouldbe countercyclical <strong>to</strong> the commodityprice movements. Yet, at times ofan externally <strong>in</strong>duced balance ofpayment crisis accompanied by asharp drop <strong>in</strong> domestic dem<strong>and</strong>,these countries, <strong>in</strong> the absence ofalternative f<strong>in</strong>ancial facilities, havebeen forced <strong>to</strong> adopt stabilizationpolicy measures that aim at a furthercontraction <strong>in</strong> aggregate domesticdem<strong>and</strong>. Effective <strong>and</strong> flexiblefacilities of cont<strong>in</strong>gency f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>to</strong>deal with external shocks on an exIn contrast <strong>to</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>, the Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>n region hasexperienced at a very low rate of formal job creation <strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>formalization of the labour forcetriggered the global f<strong>in</strong>ancial crisis.Highly competent macroeconomicmanagement over the commodityprice cycle is required <strong>to</strong> avoid the‘Dutch disease’ often associatedwith commodity booms. Otherwise,the foundation for long‐termeconomic development of thesenatural resource-rich economieswould rema<strong>in</strong> fragile. Indeed,the high primary commoditydependence rema<strong>in</strong>s one of themost conspicuous characteristicsof the trade l<strong>in</strong>kage of countries<strong>in</strong> SSA with the rest of the world.Low‐<strong>in</strong>come countries dependen<strong>to</strong>n primary commodity exports <strong>and</strong>a natural resource-based structurecould be locked <strong>in</strong> an <strong>in</strong>ternationalpoverty trap through <strong>in</strong>tegration.It is not a mere his<strong>to</strong>rical accidentante basis have been largely absent<strong>in</strong> debt relief mechanisms <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>gthe Heavily Indebted Poor Countries(HIPCs) Initiative. The debt crisis ofHIPCs ended only when a near <strong>to</strong>taldebt cancellation was achievedunder the Multilateral Debt ReliefInitiative <strong>in</strong> 2005.The failure of SSA economies <strong>to</strong>diversify <strong>and</strong> undergo structuraltransformation, <strong>and</strong> hence, <strong>to</strong>benefit from the technologydriven,highly dynamic aspects ofthe ongo<strong>in</strong>g globalization processhas led <strong>to</strong> major drawbacks <strong>in</strong>terms of low economic growth <strong>and</strong>persistent poverty. The <strong>in</strong>cidenceof poverty by some measures hasworsened <strong>in</strong> the region. Accord<strong>in</strong>g<strong>to</strong> recent estimates, the numberof poor below the US$1.25 a day18 Policy Brief


www.wider.unu.edusystematically ignored (if notexploited) their agriculturalsec<strong>to</strong>rs—fail<strong>in</strong>g <strong>to</strong> undertake propoorpublic <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> ruralareas; rather, tend<strong>in</strong>g <strong>to</strong> extract asurplus from agriculture at an earlystage of development. It has alsobeen argued that divisive fiscal<strong>in</strong>struments such as subsidies orpreferential credits were moreextensively used by politicians<strong>in</strong> SSA than other regions as thefavoured mechanism <strong>to</strong> buypolitical support or <strong>to</strong> appeasevarious <strong>in</strong>terest groups.Furthermore, with the advent ofthe debt crisis <strong>in</strong> the 1980s, fiscalretrenchment (hence reducedspend<strong>in</strong>g on rural <strong>in</strong>frastructure)has been consistently pursuedas part of the stabilization-cum<strong>in</strong>ternationalpoverty l<strong>in</strong>e almostdoubled <strong>in</strong> SSA from about 212million <strong>in</strong> 1981 <strong>to</strong> 388 million <strong>in</strong>2005, while the proportion of poor(the headcount ratio) <strong>in</strong> SSA fellmarg<strong>in</strong>ally dur<strong>in</strong>g this same periodfrom about 53 per cent <strong>to</strong> 51 percent—by far the highest relative<strong>in</strong>cidence among the major regions<strong>in</strong> the world. <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong> SSA is bothmost prevalent <strong>and</strong> severe <strong>in</strong> ruralareas.Countries <strong>in</strong> SSA display a relativelyhigh <strong>in</strong>tra-country <strong>in</strong>equality.This can be seen as a puzzle as<strong>Africa</strong> should be a low <strong>in</strong>equalitycont<strong>in</strong>ent accord<strong>in</strong>g <strong>to</strong> the Kuznetshypothesis because accord<strong>in</strong>g <strong>to</strong>an authority on <strong>in</strong>come distributionissues, ‘<strong>Africa</strong>n countries are poorthe poor not only <strong>in</strong> terms of itsability <strong>to</strong> deliver the required (high)growth rate <strong>to</strong> ensure that thepoor could benefit from economicgrowth, but also <strong>in</strong> terms of itspattern. Economic growth <strong>in</strong> SSA,where it has occurred, has notbeen translated <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> significantpoverty reduction. Critically, thecomb<strong>in</strong>ation of three fac<strong>to</strong>rs, i.e., thenature <strong>and</strong> pattern of <strong>in</strong>tegrationof the SSA economies <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> theglobal economy, the slow rate ofstructural transformation <strong>and</strong> theneglect of the agricultural sec<strong>to</strong>r,has precluded the generation ofvirtuous cycles of globalization<strong>in</strong>duced growth <strong>and</strong> povertyreduction.Governments <strong>in</strong> SSA haveMajor effor ts have been <strong>in</strong> place <strong>to</strong> redress <strong>in</strong>come<strong>in</strong>equality through such schemes as the Brazilian Bolsas<strong>and</strong> the Mexican Progresa <strong>and</strong> Oppor tunidades<strong>and</strong> agriculture-based, <strong>and</strong> alsobecause the ma<strong>in</strong> productiveasset—agricultural l<strong>and</strong>—isrelatively evenly distributed <strong>in</strong>most of SSA (except the region ofSouthern <strong>Africa</strong>) <strong>in</strong> part thanks <strong>to</strong>the tradition of communal l<strong>and</strong>hold<strong>in</strong>g’. Notwithst<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g theseconditions the degree of <strong>in</strong>come<strong>in</strong>equality <strong>in</strong> <strong>Africa</strong> has <strong>in</strong>creasedsharply between the 1980s<strong>and</strong> the 1990s.While it has become almostuniversally accepted that susta<strong>in</strong>edpoverty reduction requireseconomic growth, the pattern ofgrowth, as discussed <strong>in</strong> Section 2,does significantly affect the rate ofpoverty reduction. In this context,it can be argued that <strong>Africa</strong>’sgrowth has been dist<strong>in</strong>ctly aga<strong>in</strong>st<strong>L<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>, Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Africa</strong> 19


www.unu.eduPublications from the Project ‘Impac<strong>to</strong>f <strong>Globalization</strong> on the World’s Poor’World Development, 38 (6) June 2010Special Issue‘<strong>Globalization</strong>, <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>and</strong> Inequality <strong>in</strong> Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>’Edited by Machiko Nissanke <strong>and</strong> Erik Thorbecke<strong>Globalization</strong>, <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>and</strong> Inequality <strong>in</strong> Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>: F<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gsfrom Case StudiesMachiko Nissanke <strong>and</strong> Erik ThorbeckeTrade Liberalization <strong>and</strong> the Self-Employed <strong>in</strong> MexicoGurleen K. Popli<strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>and</strong> Smallholders: the Adoption, Diffusion <strong>and</strong> Welfare Impac<strong>to</strong>f Non-traditional Export Crops <strong>in</strong> GuatemalaCalogero Carlet<strong>to</strong>, Angeli Kirk, Paul W<strong>in</strong>ters <strong>and</strong> Benjam<strong>in</strong> DavisRemittances <strong>and</strong> Vulnerability <strong>to</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong> Rural MexicoAlej<strong>and</strong>ro de la Fuente<strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>and</strong> Formal Sec<strong>to</strong>r Migration <strong>in</strong> BrazilErnes<strong>to</strong> Aguayo-Tellez, Marc-Andreas Muendler <strong>and</strong> Jennifer Pamela PooleSeasonal Migration <strong>and</strong> Early Childhood DevelopmentKaren Macours <strong>and</strong> Renos VakisEarn<strong>in</strong>gs Mobility <strong>in</strong> Times of Growth <strong>and</strong> Decl<strong>in</strong>e: Argent<strong>in</strong>afrom 1996 <strong>to</strong> 2003Gary S. Fields <strong>and</strong> María Laura Sánchez PuertaL<strong>in</strong>kages between Pro-Poor Growth, Social Programmes <strong>and</strong> Labour Market:The Recent Brazilian ExperienceNanak Kakwani, Marcelo Côrtes Neri <strong>and</strong> Hyun H. Son<strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>and</strong> the Role of Public Transfers <strong>in</strong> Redistribut<strong>in</strong>g Income<strong>in</strong> Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong> <strong>and</strong> the CaribbeanEmmanuel Skoufias, Kathy L<strong>in</strong>dert <strong>and</strong> Joseph ShapiroM<strong>in</strong>imum Wages, <strong>Globalization</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong> HondurasT. H. G<strong>in</strong>dl<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> Kather<strong>in</strong>e Terrelladjustment policies. Governmentswere typically left with little capacity<strong>and</strong> resources <strong>to</strong> undertake public<strong>in</strong>vestment on a susta<strong>in</strong>ed basis.Under such conditions, it is difficult<strong>to</strong> expect structural transformation<strong>to</strong> take place. The majority <strong>in</strong> ruralareas were de fac<strong>to</strong> disenfranchisedfrom the develop<strong>in</strong>g process.Private agents <strong>and</strong> rural farmerswere likely <strong>to</strong> have refra<strong>in</strong>ed frommak<strong>in</strong>g forward look<strong>in</strong>g productive<strong>in</strong>vestments. Today, many parts ofSSA rema<strong>in</strong> isolated from globalmarkets <strong>and</strong> the global communityas the region’s access <strong>to</strong> <strong>in</strong>formation<strong>and</strong> technology is limited.On the whole, while globalizationhas made some contribution <strong>to</strong>economic growth <strong>in</strong> SSA, it hasnot yet facilitated the process ofstructural transformation requiredfor countries <strong>to</strong> reach the take-offstage <strong>and</strong> accelerate theprocess of economic development<strong>and</strong> poverty reduction.Instead, the forces of globalizationhave <strong>in</strong>creased <strong>in</strong>tra-country<strong>in</strong>equality <strong>and</strong> done very little <strong>to</strong>reduce poverty.Whilst the impact ofglobalization on poverty isextremely context-specific, thelimited scope of globalization<strong>in</strong> SSA appears <strong>to</strong> be, generally,the result of a comb<strong>in</strong>ation ofpoor <strong>in</strong>itial conditions, such asfundamental disadvantagesof location (disease-pronetropical countries with a harshenvironment), <strong>in</strong>adequatepolitical <strong>in</strong>stitutions, poorgovernance, extremelyunderdeveloped physical<strong>in</strong>frastructure, <strong>and</strong> a related highrisk <strong>in</strong>vestment climate.Policies <strong>to</strong> Help Make20 Policy Brief


www.wider.unu.edu<strong>Globalization</strong> more Pro-Poor4.1Strategic national policies <strong>to</strong>wardsglobalizationThe empirical case studies fromthe three regions <strong>in</strong> this UNU-WIDER research project support thecontention laid out at the outsetthat the effects of globalization onpoverty are diverse, <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> manyways, context specific. Indeed,our studies confirm the view thatthe forces of globalization assuch are not <strong>in</strong>herently beneficialor deleterious for developmentprospects. At the same time,our comparative analysis ofglobalization experiences acrossthe three develop<strong>in</strong>g regions showsthat the effects of globalization onprocess of poverty reduction <strong>in</strong>the <strong>Asia</strong> <strong>and</strong> Pacific region hasfollowed closely the waves ofemployment creation for unskilledlabour <strong>and</strong> the poor <strong>in</strong> t<strong>and</strong>emwith the evolution <strong>and</strong> shifts ofcomparative advantages with<strong>in</strong>the region <strong>in</strong> the ever‐accelerat<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>tegration process. In contrast,such a poverty reduction processthrough globalization could notbe achieved <strong>in</strong> SSA <strong>and</strong> ECLACregions, where liberalization of trade<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment regimes failed <strong>to</strong>produce either strong or significantemployment creat<strong>in</strong>g growth.Instead the pattern of growthhas resulted <strong>in</strong> ‘jobless’ growth,‘casualization’ of employment <strong>and</strong>‘<strong>in</strong>formalization’ of their economies.This observation leads us <strong>to</strong> argueThe failure of SSA economies <strong>to</strong> diversify <strong>and</strong> undergostructural transformation has led <strong>to</strong> low economicgrowth <strong>and</strong> persistent pover tythe poor depend critically on thenature <strong>and</strong> pattern of the economic<strong>in</strong>tegration process.In particular, our analysis suggeststhat globalization works best for thepoor through the ‘growth’ channelwhen globalization‐<strong>in</strong>ducedeconomic growth generatessecure employment opportunitiescont<strong>in</strong>uously at a steady ratefor a grow<strong>in</strong>g population <strong>and</strong>labour force. On the whole, theemployment creat<strong>in</strong>g effect ofgrowth has been <strong>and</strong> cont<strong>in</strong>ues<strong>to</strong> be pronounced <strong>in</strong> East <strong>Asia</strong>,where globalization has broughtabout a substantial reduction <strong>in</strong>poverty due <strong>to</strong> vigorous growthdespite <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>equality. Thethat the employment creation effectachieved through globalization<strong>in</strong>ducedeconomic growth is amost direct <strong>and</strong> powerful channelthrough which globalization canmake a noticeable dent <strong>in</strong> poverty.While the prospect of substantialpoverty reduction can be <strong>in</strong>creasedconsiderably wherever globalizationbr<strong>in</strong>gs about job‐generat<strong>in</strong>geconomic growth, this potentialis realized only when economicgrowth is characterized by arelatively high ‘employmentelasticity’. However, such a growthoutcome cannot be necessarilyguaranteed whenever globalization/<strong>in</strong>tegration is embraced on its ownas a development strategy. Instead,<strong>L<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>, Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Africa</strong> 21


www.unu.eduthe dynamic <strong>in</strong>tegration experiences<strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong> po<strong>in</strong>t <strong>to</strong> the need for policiesof active strategic <strong>in</strong>tegration, no<strong>to</strong>f passive <strong>in</strong>tegration or de-l<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>gfrom the global economy. Suchan active strategic st<strong>and</strong> should,first of all, aim at facilitat<strong>in</strong>g thetransformation of production <strong>and</strong>trade structures from the narrowlybased commodity dependencethat is bound <strong>to</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease theexposure of economies <strong>to</strong> externalshocks. In terms of susta<strong>in</strong>edeconomic growth, develop<strong>in</strong>gcountries that have successfullydiversified their exports structures<strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> manufactured goods, <strong>in</strong>particular, <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong>medium <strong>and</strong> high technologysec<strong>to</strong>rs, have systematicallysame time, there is no place foran old style, poorly designed <strong>and</strong>implemented protection policy,which is mired <strong>in</strong> unproductiverent‐seek<strong>in</strong>g activities, patron-clientrelationships between governments<strong>and</strong> private agents or consolidationof ‘vested’ <strong>in</strong>terests of the protectedsec<strong>to</strong>rs. An import substitutionstrategy can work only whenprotection is granted <strong>to</strong> firms with aclearly specified ‘graduation’ clause<strong>in</strong> a performance-based system.That is, protection should alwaysbe seen as temporary <strong>and</strong> ‘timebound’by agents <strong>in</strong> return for betterperformances.In particular, national <strong>in</strong>tegrationstrategies should be designed<strong>in</strong> the light of the skewedEffects of globalization on pover ty are diverse, <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>many ways context specificoutperformed those dependent onprimary commodities, <strong>and</strong> naturalresource‐based process<strong>in</strong>g goods.Thus, whether global market forcesestablish a virtuous circle or viciouscircle depends not only on the <strong>in</strong>itialconditions at the time of exposurebut also crucially on the effectivedesign <strong>and</strong> implementation ofpolicies <strong>to</strong> manage the <strong>in</strong>tegrationprocess. The issue confront<strong>in</strong>gpolicymakers is not whether <strong>to</strong><strong>in</strong>tegrate <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> the global economybut how <strong>to</strong> <strong>in</strong>tegrate so as <strong>to</strong> havea stable foundation for susta<strong>in</strong>able<strong>and</strong> equitable growth.Clearly, an active strategic position<strong>to</strong>wards globalization cannot beequated with a mere adoptionof liberal trade <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestmentregimes, or a simple f<strong>in</strong>e-tun<strong>in</strong>gof the pace <strong>and</strong> sequence ofliberalization measures. At thenature of the ongo<strong>in</strong>g processof globalization. First, dynamicexternalities <strong>and</strong> rent-rich activitiesare <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly concentrated <strong>in</strong>high skill, knowledge‐<strong>in</strong>tensivesec<strong>to</strong>rs. In short, the skill- <strong>and</strong>technology‐related divide hasbecome wider over recent decades.This trend is clearly reflected <strong>in</strong>the cont<strong>in</strong>uously decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g termsof trade of less skill <strong>in</strong>tensivemanufactured goods relative <strong>to</strong> highskill <strong>and</strong> technology <strong>in</strong>tensive goodsover recent decades. The marketsfor many labour‐<strong>in</strong>tensive productshave come <strong>to</strong> resemble those forprimary products. The entry ofCh<strong>in</strong>a <strong>and</strong> India <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> global marketsfor these products has depressed<strong>and</strong> will cont<strong>in</strong>ue <strong>to</strong> depress realwages <strong>and</strong> returns <strong>in</strong> these lowtechnology<strong>and</strong> low‐skill sec<strong>to</strong>rs.Given the sheer size of large surplus22 Policy Brief


www.wider.unu.edulabour <strong>in</strong> rural areas, Ch<strong>in</strong>a <strong>and</strong> Indiaare likely <strong>to</strong> reta<strong>in</strong> their comparativeadvantages <strong>in</strong> low‐skill-<strong>in</strong>tensivesec<strong>to</strong>rs for some time <strong>to</strong> come whilega<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g new capabilities <strong>in</strong> medium<strong>to</strong>high-tech sec<strong>to</strong>rs. On theother h<strong>and</strong>, a number of primarycommodities experienced a sharplyupward phase <strong>in</strong> their commodityprice cycles of 2002-8, <strong>in</strong> the faceof the surge <strong>in</strong> dem<strong>and</strong> for rawmaterials <strong>and</strong> other commoditiesfrom fast grow<strong>in</strong>g economies <strong>in</strong><strong>Asia</strong>. Consequently, many naturalresource-based economies <strong>in</strong> SSA<strong>and</strong> Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong> did enjoy aperiod of ‘growth spurts’ associatedwith the ‘commodity’ boom.However, the subsequent sharp fall<strong>in</strong> commodity prices, as the worldless <strong>and</strong> less conducted at arm’slength relationships among firms.Rather, a grow<strong>in</strong>g share of worldtrade is accounted for by <strong>in</strong>tra-firmtrade undertaken with<strong>in</strong> TNCs.There has been a tremendousgrowth <strong>in</strong> offshore outsourc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong>global division of labour, dictatedby TNCs’ globally <strong>in</strong>tegratedproduction <strong>and</strong> market<strong>in</strong>g strategy.TNCs’ activities are strategicallyorganized <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>tegrated eitherhorizontally or vertically. Inparticular, with a sharp decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong>transport <strong>and</strong> communication cos<strong>to</strong>ver recent decades, TNCs havebeen aggressively organiz<strong>in</strong>g theiroperations vertically by slic<strong>in</strong>g upthe production process f<strong>in</strong>ely <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong>numerous separate operations <strong>and</strong><strong>Globalization</strong> works best for the poor throughthe ‘growth’ channeleconomy entered <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> a severedownturn phase start<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> thesecond half of 2008, has illustratedthe high vulnerability of theseeconomies <strong>to</strong> commodity priceshocks. This demonstrates onceaga<strong>in</strong> the difficulties <strong>in</strong> susta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>geconomic growth that is capableof creat<strong>in</strong>g job opportunities fora ris<strong>in</strong>g labour force, exclusivelyon the basis of the primarycommodity boom. A broadly baseddevelopment pattern for theseeconomies would require a strategyof us<strong>in</strong>g resource rents <strong>and</strong> w<strong>in</strong>dfallsfor economic diversification.Second, <strong>in</strong>tra-firm trade <strong>in</strong> parts,components <strong>and</strong> other <strong>in</strong>termediategoods, <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>tra-<strong>in</strong>dustry tradewith highly differentiated productsmake up a predom<strong>in</strong>ant shareof contemporary global trade. Inparticular, <strong>in</strong>ternational trade islocat<strong>in</strong>g them <strong>in</strong> different parts ofthe world accord<strong>in</strong>g <strong>to</strong> the costadvantage of each location.In this context, it should be notedthat considerable asymmetries<strong>in</strong> market power <strong>and</strong> access <strong>to</strong><strong>in</strong>formation, technology <strong>and</strong>other <strong>in</strong>tangible knowledge assetsbetween TNCs, on the one h<strong>and</strong>,<strong>and</strong> local entrepreneurs, farmers<strong>and</strong> traders <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countries,on the other, have resulted <strong>in</strong> ahugely skewed distribution of ga<strong>in</strong>sfrom trade. This is reflected <strong>in</strong> theTNCs’ dom<strong>in</strong>ance <strong>in</strong> commodity<strong>and</strong> value cha<strong>in</strong>s of traded goods,as well as <strong>in</strong> frequently observedconditions such as the sharp decl<strong>in</strong>e<strong>in</strong> real wages <strong>in</strong> export process<strong>in</strong>gzones. Under this condition,the benefits of productivityimprovements, <strong>in</strong>stead of go<strong>in</strong>g<strong>to</strong> the fragmented producers <strong>and</strong>Publications from the Project‘Impact of <strong>Globalization</strong>on the World’s Poor’Erik Thorbecke <strong>and</strong> MachikoNissanke. ‘The Impact of<strong>Globalization</strong> on the Poor <strong>in</strong>Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>.’ Economía 9.1(2009): 153-186.Machiko Nissanke <strong>and</strong> ErikThorbecke.‘<strong>L<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Globalization</strong><strong>to</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong>’, WIDER Policy BriefNo. 2 (2007)<strong>L<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>, Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Africa</strong> 23


www.unu.edu<strong>Globalization</strong> offers newopportunities for accelerat<strong>in</strong>gdevelopment <strong>and</strong> povertyreduction, but also poses newchallenges for policymakers. Andthere is much concern aboutthe distribution of benefits; <strong>in</strong>particular whether the poor ga<strong>in</strong>from globalization, <strong>and</strong> underwhat circumstances it mayactually hurt them. To meet thisimportant agenda, the projec<strong>to</strong>n the ‘Impact of <strong>Globalization</strong>on the World’s Poor’ aimed atproduc<strong>in</strong>g rigorous theoretical<strong>and</strong> empirical analysis of thepoverty impact of globalization,thereby provid<strong>in</strong>g a frameworkupon which <strong>to</strong> build strategiesfor ‘pro-poor globalization’. Theproject has been particularly<strong>in</strong>terested <strong>in</strong> underst<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>gbetter the mechanisms throughwhich globalization ultimatelyaffects poverty. It has alsoevaluated how different poorgroups are affected <strong>in</strong> differentways by globalization (the ruralversus urban poor for example).The project has producedthematic papers as well ascountry <strong>and</strong> case studies ofglobalization’s poverty impact<strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>, sub-Saharan <strong>Africa</strong> <strong>and</strong>Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>.farmers, are largely appropriated bythe TNCs <strong>and</strong> global supermarketcha<strong>in</strong>s. This uneven distribution ofmarket power po<strong>in</strong>ts <strong>to</strong> the need <strong>to</strong>improve the negotiat<strong>in</strong>g positionsof develop<strong>in</strong>g country governmentsvis-à-vis TNCs, aim<strong>in</strong>g at a strategic,targeted approach <strong>to</strong> FDI, sothat FDI could facilitate skill <strong>and</strong>technology transfer <strong>and</strong> generatestrong positive productivityspillovers benefit<strong>in</strong>g domestic firms.Generally, given the observedtrends <strong>to</strong>wards <strong>in</strong>equality bothglobally <strong>and</strong> with<strong>in</strong> many nations,develop<strong>in</strong>g countries have <strong>to</strong>take strategic steps <strong>to</strong> positionthemselves more favourably <strong>in</strong>the globalization process <strong>in</strong> order<strong>to</strong> derive greater benefits fromglobalization’s dynamic forces.They need a long‐term visionfor upgrad<strong>in</strong>g their comparativeadvantages <strong>to</strong>wards high valueadded activities by climb<strong>in</strong>gthe technology ladder rung byrung through ‘learn<strong>in</strong>g-by-do<strong>in</strong>g’<strong>and</strong> adaptation. To succeed,develop<strong>in</strong>g country governmentsshould consciously engage <strong>in</strong>build<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>stitutional capacities for<strong>in</strong>tegration, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g a capablenation state that is ready <strong>to</strong> take onthe enormous challenges posed byglobalization. The positive benefitsfrom globalization are neitherau<strong>to</strong>matic nor guaranteed, whilstpassive liberalization would riskperpetual marg<strong>in</strong>alization.Furthermore, s<strong>in</strong>ce opennesscould potentially benefit the poor<strong>in</strong> countries which have alreadyreached the take-off stage, it isvery critical that <strong>in</strong> addition <strong>to</strong>a long‐term vision for strategic<strong>in</strong>tegration, low‐<strong>in</strong>come countriesshould embark on the path <strong>to</strong>wardsstructural transformation of theiragrarian economies, as a necessarycondition for successful <strong>in</strong>tegration.The importance of this critical step<strong>in</strong> relation <strong>to</strong> the globalization–poverty nexus is underscored bythe fact that <strong>in</strong> many develop<strong>in</strong>gcountries the majority of the poorstill reside <strong>in</strong> rural areas. Further,there are critical thresholds thatneed <strong>to</strong> be reached before thepositive effects of globalizationon poverty reduction can berealized. The non-l<strong>in</strong>ear Laffer-typerelationship between globalization<strong>and</strong> poverty shows that opennesshelps those with basic <strong>and</strong> highereducation, but reduces the <strong>in</strong>comeshare of those with no or littleeducation <strong>and</strong> it is only when basiceducation becomes the norm forthe poor that openness exerts an<strong>in</strong>come equaliz<strong>in</strong>g effect.The human development trapmodel also po<strong>in</strong>ts <strong>to</strong> the possiblecoexistence of development<strong>and</strong> underdevelopment underglobalization, <strong>and</strong> henceunderscores the critical importanceof national policies <strong>to</strong> enhancehuman capital endowments <strong>and</strong>develop technological capabilities.Thus, sizable public <strong>in</strong>vestment<strong>in</strong> skill upgrad<strong>in</strong>g, as a specificpro-poor measure, is the key forensur<strong>in</strong>g positive benefits fromglobalization for the poor. Inconjunction with build<strong>in</strong>g assetsof the poor <strong>in</strong> their human capitalbase, there is a complementaryneed <strong>to</strong> <strong>in</strong>vest <strong>in</strong> rural physical <strong>and</strong>social <strong>in</strong>frastructures <strong>and</strong> createmarket support<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>stitutions, sothat the poor can be connected<strong>and</strong> networked beyond isolatedcommunities <strong>and</strong> villages. In termsof <strong>in</strong>ter-sec<strong>to</strong>ral flows, a cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>ggross flow of resources shouldbe provided <strong>to</strong> agriculture—24 Policy Brief


www.wider.unu.eduirrigation, <strong>in</strong>puts, research, <strong>and</strong>credit—<strong>to</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease this sec<strong>to</strong>r’sproductivity <strong>and</strong> potential capacityof contribut<strong>in</strong>g an even larger returnflow <strong>to</strong> the rest of the economy <strong>and</strong>hence provide a net agriculturalsurplus <strong>to</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ance the subsequentdevelopment of the rest of theeconomy.F<strong>in</strong>ally, our project case studiesunequivocally po<strong>in</strong>t <strong>to</strong> theneed for <strong>in</strong>stitut<strong>in</strong>g safety nets<strong>and</strong> appropriate regulations <strong>to</strong>protect the poor from the largedownside risks associated withglobalization. Clearly, globalizationhas significantly <strong>in</strong>creased thevulnerability of the poor <strong>in</strong>all three develop<strong>in</strong>g regionsthrough channels such as: (i) the<strong>in</strong>creased scale <strong>and</strong> frequencyAll <strong>in</strong> all, our comparative analysisof the three regions suggeststhat governments of develop<strong>in</strong>gcountries need <strong>to</strong> pursue bothstrategic <strong>in</strong>tegration <strong>and</strong> an activedomestic development agenda <strong>to</strong>ensure that the poor benefit fromglobalization while they are alsoadequately protected from negativeimpacts. What is called for is that<strong>in</strong>tegration be accompanied by acomprehensive policy package forenhanc<strong>in</strong>g the capability of the poor<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>stitut<strong>in</strong>g appropriate safetynets for people who could otherwiselose from the globalization process.This requirement is a tall orderfor any government, let alonefor a fragile state typically found<strong>in</strong> most low-<strong>in</strong>come develop<strong>in</strong>gcountries. Hence, <strong>in</strong> order <strong>to</strong> makePro-poor globalization can be def<strong>in</strong>edas the <strong>in</strong>clusive process of globalizationof macroeconomic shocks, asmost vividly demonstrated by theglobal f<strong>in</strong>ancial <strong>and</strong> economiccrisis of 2008-9; (ii) larger exposure<strong>to</strong> changes <strong>in</strong> the ecosystempotentially result<strong>in</strong>g from newtechnologies with often uncerta<strong>in</strong>pay-offs <strong>and</strong> costs; <strong>and</strong> (iii)deteriorat<strong>in</strong>g work<strong>in</strong>g conditions<strong>and</strong> weaken<strong>in</strong>g barga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>gpowers for the unskilled <strong>and</strong>the poor <strong>in</strong> global value cha<strong>in</strong>s.Thus, governments should takea pro-active <strong>and</strong> pro-poor stance<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>stitut<strong>in</strong>g various schemes ofpublic transfers <strong>and</strong> safety nets<strong>to</strong> shelter the poor from theseadverse conditions. Indeed, thedistributional issue raised <strong>in</strong> theglobalization debate should be seenas a strong case for pro-active publicprogrammes <strong>to</strong> protect the poor.globalization work for the poor,the first imperative is <strong>to</strong> strengthenthe capacity of the nation states, sothat an <strong>in</strong>stitutional environmentconducive <strong>to</strong> the design <strong>and</strong>implementation of a pro-poorprogramme could be fostered.4.2 A quest for pro-poor globalizationOur comparative analysis of the‘globalization–poverty relationships’<strong>in</strong>evitably raises a critical questionwhether the present form ofglobalization/<strong>in</strong>tegration isconducive <strong>to</strong> a process of growthcum-structuraltransformationof develop<strong>in</strong>g economies thatis capable of engender<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong>susta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g pro-poor economicgrowth with favourabledistributional consequences. Withthe current wave of globalization,<strong>L<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>, Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Africa</strong> 25


www.unu.edu‘with<strong>in</strong> country’ <strong>in</strong>come <strong>in</strong>equalityhas been steadily ris<strong>in</strong>g. A numberof our project studies, focus<strong>in</strong>gon specific sett<strong>in</strong>gs, suggestthat globalization <strong>in</strong>deed canproduce adverse distributionalconsequences at both the national<strong>and</strong> global levels. As ‘global marketsare <strong>in</strong>herently disequaliz<strong>in</strong>g’,market driven globalization <strong>and</strong>growth tend <strong>to</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong>equalityeverywhere. <strong>Asia</strong> is no exception<strong>to</strong> this trend. Hence, we shouldsearch for ways <strong>to</strong> <strong>in</strong>fluence theglobalization process so that it ismore effective <strong>in</strong> improv<strong>in</strong>g the lo<strong>to</strong>f the poor—hence, our quest forforms of pro-poor globalization.Pro-poor globalization can bedef<strong>in</strong>ed as the <strong>in</strong>clusive processof globalization, where<strong>in</strong> shar<strong>in</strong>gopportunities for growth <strong>and</strong>development take place ex ante,encompass<strong>in</strong>g the poorer segmentsof population on a global scale. Asthe tidal waves of global growthlift all boats, it should also lift thecanoes of the unskilled. Pro-poorglobalization could rema<strong>in</strong> anelusive concept, if the processis left entirely <strong>to</strong> market forcesalone. In order <strong>to</strong> make pro-poorglobalization a realistic perspective,there is a need for <strong>in</strong>stitut<strong>in</strong>g viablemechanisms <strong>to</strong> <strong>in</strong>sure that the poorshare <strong>in</strong> the distribution of assets<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>come generated by the forcesof globalization <strong>and</strong> are adequatelyprotected aga<strong>in</strong>st the vagaries ofglobal shocks.Ideally, under pro-poorglobalization, it should be possible<strong>to</strong> make equity <strong>and</strong> efficiency<strong>in</strong>teract dynamically ex ante sothat a virtuous circle of growth <strong>and</strong>equity/equality could be created <strong>in</strong>the process of globalization.Def<strong>in</strong>ed as above, our quest forpro-poor globalization leads us<strong>to</strong> revisit the debate concern<strong>in</strong>gthe relationships between equity/<strong>in</strong>equality, on the one h<strong>and</strong>, <strong>and</strong>growth/efficiency on the other. Thetraditional view held by economistson the growth–<strong>in</strong>equality nexusemphasizes the existence of afundamental trade-off betweenthe objectives of productiveefficiency/growth <strong>and</strong> socialjustice represented by equity/equality considerations, often onthe grounds that <strong>to</strong>o much equitywould discourage <strong>in</strong>centives <strong>to</strong><strong>in</strong>novate <strong>and</strong> reap the rewards ofsuccessful entrepreneurship. Incontrast, the alternative recentpolitical economy of developmentliterature suggests <strong>in</strong>stead thatthere is a long‐run complementaritybetween the two with<strong>in</strong> somerange that does not stifle <strong>in</strong>centives.If there is no clear trade-off oneconomic grounds, equitable <strong>and</strong>shared growth should be good forefficiency <strong>and</strong> future growth as well.Indeed, ‘if equality is conducive <strong>to</strong>growth, it then becomes a means<strong>to</strong>wards economic development<strong>and</strong> future poverty alleviation’,<strong>and</strong> hence, ‘the conflict betweenthe ethical objective (norm) ofegalitarianism <strong>and</strong> the economicconditions required for growthdisappears’. In this new paradigm,wealth redistribution (particularly ofhuman capital) <strong>to</strong> the less endowedis, on the whole, growth enhanc<strong>in</strong>g,because redistribution is the key<strong>to</strong> creat<strong>in</strong>g a virtuous circle <strong>in</strong> thegrowth–equality nexus.Notwithst<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g the long‐runcomplementarity between the tw<strong>in</strong>objectives, growth <strong>and</strong> equity, apractical policy choice exists overthe actual weight given <strong>to</strong> the‘equity’ consideration aga<strong>in</strong>st the26 Policy Brief


www.wider.unu.edu‘efficiency’ consideration. Such apolicy choice would be ultimatelydeterm<strong>in</strong>ed by the social normsprevail<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> a society. However,we should bear <strong>in</strong> m<strong>in</strong>d, <strong>in</strong>evaluat<strong>in</strong>g the optimal weight<strong>to</strong> be assigned <strong>to</strong> each of theseobjectives that market forcesalone would not lead even <strong>to</strong> aPare<strong>to</strong> efficient equilibrium <strong>in</strong> thepresence of imperfect <strong>in</strong>formation<strong>and</strong> imperfect competition,as demonstrated by recentadvancement of economic theories.As Stiglitz <strong>in</strong>famously remarked, ‘an<strong>in</strong>visible h<strong>and</strong> is not visible, becauseit does not exist’. Therefore, no<strong>to</strong>nly is there a moral case on ethicalgrounds but also a strong rationaleconomic case on ‘efficiency’grounds for break<strong>in</strong>g away from theeffects of the immutable forcesof globalization. Hence, a form ofpassive <strong>in</strong>tegration <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> the globaleconomy through liberalization <strong>and</strong>deregulation cannot be viewed asa reliable substitute for a domesticdevelopment strategy. Indeed, itis now widely acknowledged thatthere is no universally applicable‘one-size‐fits‐all’ developmentmodel. Therefore, there should bemore room for open discussion <strong>and</strong>debate on the merits of differentdevelopment models, not just onebased on follow<strong>in</strong>g the dictates of<strong>to</strong>tally free <strong>and</strong> unregulated markets<strong>and</strong> the Wash<strong>in</strong>g<strong>to</strong>n Consensus.Yet, it can be argued that underthe current wave of globalization,the feasible policy space related<strong>to</strong> development strategy hasA more effective globalization process requires a newsystem of global governancepresent mode of globalization.In mak<strong>in</strong>g globalization more<strong>in</strong>clusive <strong>and</strong> truly pro-poor,we should search for pro-activeways <strong>to</strong> create a more <strong>in</strong>clusivedevelopment path for the poor<strong>in</strong> the process of <strong>in</strong>tegration ofdevelop<strong>in</strong>g countries. It is alsonecessary <strong>to</strong> restructure governancemechanisms over economic policiesat both national <strong>and</strong> global levels.Despite the ever-accelerat<strong>in</strong>g paceof globalization, the nation staterema<strong>in</strong>s a critical political unitwith<strong>in</strong> which citizens can expressdemocratically their choices overeconomic policies <strong>and</strong> developmentstrategies. Hence, at the nationallevel, policymakers need <strong>to</strong>design <strong>and</strong> implement an activedevelopment strategy not only <strong>to</strong>benefit from globalization, but also<strong>to</strong> help counteract the negativebeen shr<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g for develop<strong>in</strong>gcountries. In particular, the policyspace of nation states has beeneroded considerably <strong>in</strong> the nameof f<strong>in</strong>ancial globalization. It isknown that policymakers <strong>in</strong> openeconomies face a macroeconomictrilemma (the ‘<strong>in</strong>consistent tr<strong>in</strong>ity’thesis). The thesis stipulates thatwhilst policymakers typicallyhave three desirable objectives(exchange rate stability, free<strong>in</strong>ternational capital mobility, <strong>and</strong>monetary policy <strong>in</strong>dependence<strong>to</strong> engage domestic economicgoals), they are <strong>in</strong> practice forced<strong>to</strong> give up one objective, s<strong>in</strong>ceonly two out of the three can bemutually consistent. F<strong>in</strong>ancialglobalization has also led <strong>to</strong> a lossof fiscal au<strong>to</strong>nomy under ‘fiscaltermites’, when f<strong>in</strong>ancial opennessmakes it hard <strong>to</strong> tax <strong>in</strong>ternationallyPolicy Briefs are distributed freeof charge. Please address orders<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>quiries <strong>to</strong>:UNU-WIDER PublicationsKatajanokanlaituri 6BFI-00160 Hels<strong>in</strong>kiPublications@wider.unu.edu<strong>L<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>, Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Africa</strong> 27


www.unu.edufootloose capital relative <strong>to</strong> labourdue <strong>to</strong> the competition for foreignsav<strong>in</strong>gs through tax <strong>in</strong>centives <strong>and</strong>general f<strong>in</strong>ancial arbitrage by poorcountries. This often results <strong>in</strong> feweravailable resources <strong>to</strong> provide socialsafety nets <strong>to</strong> people adverselyaffected by globalization.Besides provid<strong>in</strong>g more policy space<strong>to</strong> allow develop<strong>in</strong>g countries <strong>to</strong>manage the <strong>in</strong>tegration process atthe national level, it is necessary<strong>to</strong> recognize that globalization hasalso given rise <strong>to</strong> a set of crossbordereconomic issues that can beaddressed only at the global level,s<strong>in</strong>ce they cannot, by nature, bedealt with effectively by <strong>in</strong>dividualnation states <strong>in</strong> isolation. These<strong>in</strong>clude address<strong>in</strong>g global negativeexternalities such as greenhouseeffects lead<strong>in</strong>g <strong>to</strong> a dramatic climatechange, prevention of globalf<strong>in</strong>ancial crises or preservation ofglobal security. They require aneffective system of <strong>in</strong>ternationalcoord<strong>in</strong>ation <strong>and</strong> cooperation, aswell as cross-border regulations<strong>and</strong> enforcement mechanisms.A more effective globalizationprocess requires a new systemof global governance. Yet, overthe last three decades, economicglobalization <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>tegration havelargely proceeded with <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>tensity, rely<strong>in</strong>g on the presumedself-regula<strong>to</strong>ry capacity of marketswithout adequate structures <strong>and</strong>systems <strong>in</strong> place <strong>to</strong> govern theprocess. This has placed enormousstra<strong>in</strong>s on the <strong>in</strong>ternationaleconomic <strong>and</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial system <strong>and</strong>may eventually br<strong>in</strong>g globalizationitself <strong>to</strong> a crossroads. In the last fewyears environmental challengesposed by climate change <strong>and</strong> theappearance of large cracks <strong>in</strong> the<strong>in</strong>ternational f<strong>in</strong>ancial systemthreaten the stability of the worldeconomy–as evidenced by the sharphike <strong>in</strong> primary commodity <strong>and</strong>food prices, <strong>and</strong> the global f<strong>in</strong>ancialcrisis.Soar<strong>in</strong>g key commodity priceshit the world economy dur<strong>in</strong>g asevere f<strong>in</strong>ancial crisis, triggeredby the sub-prime mortgage crisis<strong>in</strong> the US with the background ofgrow<strong>in</strong>g global macroeconomicimbalances, which spread <strong>to</strong> major<strong>in</strong>dustrial economies throughpoorly regulated global f<strong>in</strong>ancialtransactions <strong>and</strong> systems. Therapidly <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g prices of basicgoods such as fuel <strong>and</strong> foodsparked off temporary social<strong>and</strong> political disquiet <strong>and</strong> unrestacross the globe. The ris<strong>in</strong>g cos<strong>to</strong>f fuel <strong>and</strong> the shortages of foodhit particularly hard the livelihoodof the urban <strong>and</strong> rural poor <strong>in</strong>develop<strong>in</strong>g countries. The f<strong>in</strong>ancialturmoil with a severe liquiditycrisis <strong>and</strong> the credit crunch at firstappeared <strong>to</strong> be conf<strong>in</strong>ed ma<strong>in</strong>ly <strong>to</strong>f<strong>in</strong>ancial markets <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>stitutionsbased <strong>in</strong> the US <strong>and</strong> WesternEurope. The world economy, onthe whole, managed <strong>to</strong> ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>its momentum until mid-2008 onthe back of the buoyant economicgrowth posted by emerg<strong>in</strong>g marketeconomies as well as resourcerichdevelop<strong>in</strong>g economies thatenjoyed a commodity boom.Bymid-September 2008, however, theevents that hit the major f<strong>in</strong>ancial<strong>in</strong>stitutions <strong>in</strong> the US had alteredradically the fate <strong>and</strong> the course ofthe globalized economies. The fearof accelerat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>flation <strong>and</strong> of fuel<strong>and</strong> food shortages worldwide wasovertaken by a greater fear of globalrecession engulf<strong>in</strong>g all economies<strong>in</strong> the develop<strong>in</strong>g world. No countrycould afford <strong>to</strong> rema<strong>in</strong> a merebyst<strong>and</strong>er <strong>in</strong> the fast evolv<strong>in</strong>g global28 Policy Brief


www.unu.eduUNU-WIDER Policy <strong>and</strong>Research Briefs 2005-2010Ravi Kanbur <strong>and</strong> AnthonyJ. Venables. ‘Ris<strong>in</strong>g SpatialDisparities <strong>and</strong> Development’WIDER Policy BriefNo. 03 (2005)David Field<strong>in</strong>g. ‘What can theEuropean Central Bank learnfrom <strong>Africa</strong>?’ WIDER Policy BriefNo. 04 (2005)Tony Addison, Alan Roe,<strong>and</strong> Matthew Smith. ‘FiscalPolicy for <strong>Poverty</strong> Reduction,Reconstruction, <strong>and</strong> Growth’.WIDER Policy BriefNo. 5 (2006)Andrés Solimano. ‘Mobiliz<strong>in</strong>gTalent for Global Development’.WIDER Policy BriefNo. 7 (2006)Machiko Nissanke <strong>and</strong>Erik Thorbecke.‘<strong>L<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g</strong><strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong>’.WIDER Policy BriefNo. 2 (2007)David Clark <strong>and</strong> MarkMcGillivray. ‘Measur<strong>in</strong>g HumanWell-be<strong>in</strong>g: Key F<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>and</strong>Policy Lessons’. WIDER PolicyBrief No. 03 (2007)Wim Naudé <strong>and</strong> MarianneMatthee. ‘The Significance ofTransport Costs <strong>in</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>’.WIDER Policy BriefNo. 5 (2007)Ha-Joon Chang. ‘Strangerthan Fiction? Underst<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>gInstitutional Changes <strong>and</strong>Economic Development’.WIDER Policy BriefNo. 6 (2007)the distributional consequencesof globalization, a set of muchmore effective redistributional<strong>in</strong>struments may be required atboth national <strong>and</strong> global levels.<strong>Globalization</strong> can br<strong>in</strong>g about<strong>in</strong>creased volatility <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>securityfor many cohorts, particularly thosethat are not well positioned <strong>to</strong> takeadvantage of the opportunitiescreated by the open<strong>in</strong>g of trade <strong>and</strong>capital flows. Indeed, the relevanceof ‘global <strong>in</strong>come <strong>in</strong>equality’ as avaluable concept for measur<strong>in</strong>gtrends <strong>in</strong> world <strong>in</strong>come distribution,should <strong>in</strong>crease over time, as peoplemove from us<strong>in</strong>g national yardsticks<strong>to</strong> global ones when compar<strong>in</strong>gtheir <strong>in</strong>come with that of others.While globalization is a majoreng<strong>in</strong>e for growth <strong>in</strong> aggregate,globalization either <strong>in</strong>troducesor exacerbates other trends thataffect people’s well-be<strong>in</strong>g as much,if not more, than <strong>in</strong>come, forexample, through the <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gflow of <strong>in</strong>formation about the liv<strong>in</strong>gst<strong>and</strong>ards of others, both with<strong>in</strong><strong>and</strong> beyond country borders. Thisflow of <strong>in</strong>formation can result <strong>in</strong>chang<strong>in</strong>g reference norms <strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>creased frustration with relative<strong>in</strong>come differences as one of theproject studies demonstrates. Itmay be u<strong>to</strong>pian at this stage <strong>to</strong>recommend that resource transfersfrom the developed world <strong>to</strong> thedevelop<strong>in</strong>g world be more globallyprogressive. Yet such a movewould contribute <strong>to</strong> the forces ofglobalization becom<strong>in</strong>g more propoor.The current system of foreignaid (the ma<strong>in</strong> exist<strong>in</strong>g form of globalresource transfers) is not the mostefficient <strong>and</strong> progressive way <strong>to</strong>mobilize <strong>and</strong> utilize resources asa redistributional <strong>in</strong>strument <strong>to</strong>address global <strong>in</strong>come <strong>in</strong>equality.30 Policy Brief


www.wider.unu.edu<strong>Globalization</strong> requires a set of new<strong>in</strong>novative <strong>in</strong>struments for f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>gdevelopment as well as for provisionof global public goods. In thiscontext, the world community couldbe more open <strong>to</strong> evaluate variousradical proposals such as a globalsocial contract <strong>to</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ance equalopportunity <strong>in</strong>vestments benefit<strong>in</strong>gthe weak <strong>and</strong> the disadvantaged;the creation of a new schemeof <strong>in</strong>ter-country transfer us<strong>in</strong>gper capita <strong>in</strong>come of the bot<strong>to</strong>mqu<strong>in</strong>tile of the population as ayardstick (as recommended byanother of the studies undertakenunder this project); or <strong>in</strong>stitut<strong>in</strong>gglobal arrangements <strong>to</strong> m<strong>in</strong>imizeasymmetric risks <strong>and</strong> costs ofglobal market failures. While theseproposals require further carefulstudies <strong>and</strong> critical scrut<strong>in</strong>y <strong>to</strong>determ<strong>in</strong>e their <strong>in</strong>tr<strong>in</strong>sic merits<strong>and</strong> the political feasibility ofimplementation, it is clear thatthe world community shouldgive serious attention <strong>to</strong> moreenlightened global measuresbenefitt<strong>in</strong>g the poor than those thatprevail <strong>to</strong>day. Indeed, we should beengaged <strong>in</strong> a fresh debate on howthe enormous potential benefitsof globalization can be steered<strong>to</strong>wards a more equitable shar<strong>in</strong>g ofthose benefits, while reduc<strong>in</strong>g thevulnerability of the poor <strong>to</strong> some ofthe adverse consequences of globalmarket forces.UNU-WIDER Policy <strong>and</strong>Research Briefs 2005-2010Basudeb Guha Khasnobis. ‘CanWe Eradicate Hunger?’ WIDERPolicy Brief No. 1 (2008).Naudé Wim.‘Fragile States’,WIDER Research Brief No. 3(2008)Guanghua Wan. ‘<strong>Poverty</strong>Reduction <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a: Is HighGrowth Enough?’ WIDER PolicyBrief No. 4 (2008)Wim Naudé, Amelia U. San<strong>to</strong>s-Paul<strong>in</strong>o, <strong>and</strong> Mark McGillivray.‘<strong>Poverty</strong>. ‘Vulnerability <strong>in</strong>Develop<strong>in</strong>g Countries’ WIDERResearch Brief No. 2 (2008)Wim Naudé ‘The GlobalEconomic Crisis after One Year:Is a New Paradigm for Recovery<strong>in</strong> Develop<strong>in</strong>g CountriesEmerg<strong>in</strong>g? WIDER Policy BriefNo, 2 (2009)August<strong>in</strong> Kwasi Fosu <strong>and</strong> WimNaudé. ‘Policy Responses <strong>to</strong>the Global Economic Crisis <strong>in</strong><strong>Africa</strong>’. WIDER Policy Brief No.3 (2009)Wim Naudé. ‘Promot<strong>in</strong>gEntrepreneurship <strong>in</strong> Develop<strong>in</strong>gCountries: Policy Challenges.WIDER Policy BriefNo. 4 (2010)<strong>L<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>, Lat<strong>in</strong> <strong>America</strong>, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Africa</strong> 31


www.unu.eduwww.wider.unu.eduThe World Institute for Development Economics Research (WIDER)was established by the United Nations University (UNU) as its fi rstresearch <strong>and</strong> tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g centre <strong>and</strong> started work <strong>in</strong> Hels<strong>in</strong>ki, F<strong>in</strong>l<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>1985. The Institute undertakes applied research <strong>and</strong> policy analysis onstructural changes affect<strong>in</strong>g the develop<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> transitional economies,provides a forum for the advocacy of policies lead<strong>in</strong>g <strong>to</strong> robust,equitable, <strong>and</strong> environmentally susta<strong>in</strong>able growth, <strong>and</strong> promotescapacity strengthen<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the fi eld of economic <strong>and</strong> socialpolicy mak<strong>in</strong>g. Work is carried out by staff researchers <strong>and</strong> visit<strong>in</strong>gscholars <strong>in</strong> Hels<strong>in</strong>ki <strong>and</strong> through networks of collaborat<strong>in</strong>g scholars<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>stitutions around the world.INSIDE:Policy Brief“<strong>L<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g</strong><strong>Globalization</strong> <strong>to</strong><strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>, Lat<strong>in</strong><strong>America</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Africa</strong>”While globalization offers newopportunities for accelerat<strong>in</strong>gdevelopment <strong>and</strong> povertyreduction it also poses newchallenges for policymakers; <strong>in</strong>particular the extent <strong>to</strong> which thepoor ga<strong>in</strong> from globalization, <strong>and</strong>under what circumstances it mayactually hurt themUnited Nations Univeristy: WorldInstitute for Development EconomicsResearchof the United Nations UniversityKatajanokanlaituri 6 BFIN-00160 Hels<strong>in</strong>kiF<strong>in</strong>l<strong>and</strong>Tel. +358-9-6159911<strong>in</strong>fo1@wider.unu.eduwww.wider.unu.edu

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