22 <strong>Connecting</strong> <strong>Engl<strong>and</strong></strong>Leeds or from Birmingham to Bristol, for example, are predicted to increase by about 14 percent between 2002 <strong>and</strong> 2006. The current forecasts are that road congestion will continue toincrease with journey times, with speeds falling significantly over the next 15 years.The same issues apply to <strong>Engl<strong>and</strong></strong>’s external connections. The national airports strategy, set out inthe recent Airports White Paper, has been fiercely criticised for its heavy emphasis on extendingthe capacity of the London airports compared with modest proposals for the regions. But thereare equally critical capacity issues at deep-sea container ports, which are diverting trade tocontinental ports like Le Havre <strong>and</strong> Hamburg, thus making the goods we buy more expensive.There is, however, no equivalent national ports strategy.These problems reinforce the regional divisions in <strong>Engl<strong>and</strong></strong>. The far South West <strong>and</strong> the northerncities are beset by poor communications both internally <strong>and</strong> between the North <strong>and</strong> South orEast <strong>and</strong> West (in the case of cross-Pennine routes), <strong>and</strong> are not well connected to London. Thisraises concern that the competitiveness of the regions will be inhibited <strong>and</strong> the regionaleconomic strategies will fail owing to poor infrastructure <strong>and</strong> connectivity. This is in stark contrastto mainl<strong>and</strong> Europe, where the gap between capitals <strong>and</strong> other cities is far less pronounced –arguably because much stronger steps have been taken, at a policy level nationally, to create alevel economic playing field by investing substantially in communications. Such cities, it shouldbe acknowledged, also enjoy substantial freedoms, fiscally <strong>and</strong> politically, to compete effectivelyacross Europe.
The Challenge 231.8 Energy, Water <strong>and</strong> WasteRecent UK energy policy has been influenced by two main factors: the Government’s 2003White Paper, which favours gas <strong>and</strong> renewable sources of energy; <strong>and</strong> Ofgem, which tightlyregulates the gas <strong>and</strong> electricity industry, mainly in terms of price <strong>and</strong> service. 15 But rising gasprices are already impacting on the profitability of Britain’s manufacturing base, <strong>and</strong> there isconcern that this trend will continue as imports fail to meet dem<strong>and</strong>. Over the next 15 years theUK will depend on imported gas for 90 per cent of its supply. 16The Government’s target for 10 per cent renewable energy by 2010 will be difficult to achievegiven planning difficulties in approving schemes. <strong>Engl<strong>and</strong></strong> could therefore become even moredependent on imported energy supplies unless there is a radical re-appraisal of energy policy,including consideration of a major programme of energy conservation, new power stations,combined heat <strong>and</strong> power (CHP) systems, inter-connectors, ports or pipelines, <strong>and</strong> the nuclearoption, although the existing legacy of nuclear waste must be addressed when consideringnuclear power. The Commission welcomes the Prime Minister’s recent initiative to open anational debate, which is a critical element in any development framework for <strong>Engl<strong>and</strong></strong>. Therecent explosion at the Buncefield Oil Depot will undoubtedly raise further concerns about thelocation of major energy installations <strong>and</strong> may make delivery of a whole range of installationseven more difficult without the benefit of an agreed national framework.Fundamental to a coherent approach to energy <strong>and</strong> water conservation is the need to reducewaste. Whether through reducing the need to travel, the application of more stringent st<strong>and</strong>ardsof building insulation or by minimising packaging <strong>and</strong> increasing recycling, <strong>Engl<strong>and</strong></strong>, like the restof the UK, lags behind much of the developed world. While national policies are urgentlyrequired, the reduction of waste should be a fundamental component of any developmentframework.1.9 Summary – the Challenge of <strong>Engl<strong>and</strong></strong> at a Turning PointFor nearly a century, English society <strong>and</strong> politics have been dominated by the long deindustrialisationof our towns <strong>and</strong> cities <strong>and</strong> consequently by their shrinking populations. Butthere are clear signs that at last this long process is over. The last decade has seen a revival ofeconomic fortunes to varying degrees almost everywhere, driven by the new service economythat now generates nine in ten jobs. There is a real prospect of continued renewal <strong>and</strong>regeneration if this growth is sustained.But there are two concerns. The first is that the revival of growth is still too uneven, both asbetween people <strong>and</strong> as between places. There is concern that we do not have the appropriateframework to guide market-led growth into the places that would yield the greatest economic<strong>and</strong> social benefit.The second is that even if economic growth is sustained it will not deliver an equivalent qualityof life, whether in terms of the affordability of homes, ease of travel, access to opportunity or thedelight in the places where we work, sleep <strong>and</strong> play. In our towns <strong>and</strong> cities, particularly, there isa growing stratum of our society, especially among young people <strong>and</strong> ethnic minorities,alienated from the common good. Too many have to live in conditions that are a disgrace to acivilised society in terms of housing, education, health, poverty <strong>and</strong> safety. These people <strong>and</strong>these communities need to share in the general growth of the economy.15 Institution ofCivil Engineers(2005) The State ofthe Nation 2005.London: Institutionof Civil Engineers16 Ibid.