Hunter's slides - Natural Capitalism Solutions

What we believe is possibledetermineswhat we designWe need to redesign our worldNot just buildings but whole communitiesWe need to transform our whole economy

NMB BankAmsterdam

Design goal:integrate art, naturaland local materials,sunlight, green plants,energy conservation,quiet and water in abuilding that iscomfortable beautifuland cost effective

Integrated Design ProcessThe air handling design had to beexplained to the landscape architects,the art work to the mechanicalengineers

Most recognizedbuilding in Hollandafter Parliament

NMB went fromthe #4 to the #2bank, becameING and boughtBarings

Global Drivers of Change• Loss of ecosystem services• Carbon constrained world• Economic instability• Volatile energy prices• Vulnerabilities• The sustainability imperative• Food• Chindia• Water

Global Biodiversity Outlook Three -GBO-3

New RuleIf we insist on ruining the planet,we have to stop claiming we’rea “superior species”.

Most of us spend 90% of our livesinside of buildings

U.S. CO2 EmissionsMetric Tons of Carbon (millions)source: 2006 Energy Information Administration

Built Environment• 39% of total energy use• 70% of electricity consumption• 30 - 60% of green house gas emissions• 30% of waste output• 40% of raw materials use• 30% of waste output• 12% of potable water consumptionIndoor air quality can be two to five times worsethan outdoor air

Building Energy ConsumptionHow a typical commercial building uses energyother - 8%equipment - 3%refrigeration - 6%cooking - 3%heating - 36%lighting - 21%cooling - 8%water heating - 8%ventilation - 7%72% = heating, cooling, ventilation & lighting combined

Building Energy ConsumptionHow a typical residential building uses energyother - 13%wash & clean - 6%heating - 25%refrigeration - 7%cooking - 5%cooling - 13%lighting - 11%electronics & computers - 9%water heating - 12%62% = heating, cooling, water heating & lighting combined

World Energy% of World EnergyUsed by U.S.BuildingsBuildings, use72% of all USelectricity.The USconsumes 24%of all worldelectricity.Therefore, USbuildingsconsume over17% of globalelectricitysource: 2005 Energy Information Administration

U.S. CO2 EmissionsResidential Commercial Othersource: 2006 Energy Information Administration - http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/1605/ggrpt/carbon.html

The science is uncertain

The science does not matterLet’s assume that the climate scepticsare rightDon’t go to the casino on those oddsIf all that you care about is maximizingprofit, you will do exactly what youwould do if you were scared to deathabout climate

Since 1990 kept energyuse the same andincreased production 30%Goal: Cut greenhouse gasemissions 65% 1990–2010Raise revenues 6%/y 2000–10 with no increase inenergy useBy 2010, 10% of energy &25% of feed stocks fromrenewablesGHGs from globaloperations are down 72%1990 – 2003; down 15%from 2004Savings of $3 billion 2000– 2005 – stock valueincreased 340%Cut energy use 6% over1990 levels, 6.4% fromrenewables

Commitment• Waste reduction• Held energy use flatAnnual Savings• $1.8 Billion• $0.4 BillionEco-Efficiency =$2.2 Billion saved each yearAverage Net Income (2003-2007) $2.2billion

A RE/MAX office in Fort Lauderdale,Florida, was being remodeled.The facility's manager made sure that allexterior windows and doors were sealedand caulked.All the buildings ductwork was replacedwith tighter sealed ductsThe measures are saving $7,900 annually

Climate ProtectionStrawbales can bea carbon neutral oreven negativebuilding materialStraw bale can bea powerful strategyin creating energyand resourceefficient buildings.

An Available Resource125-177 M tons ofstraw is availableannually in theU.S.Enough for 10 M2,000 sq ft homeseach year.

Green buildings improve laborproductivity and worker healthImproving indoor air quality could save U.S.businesses• $58 billion in avoided sick time each year,• Another $200 billion earned in increased workerperformance.

Measures To Increase Productivity• High-quality lighting• High levels of daylighting• Increased individual control of workplaceincluding lighting, heating, cooling• Improved acoustics• Improved indoor air quality

Improve Employee SatisfactionMcGraw Hill survey of corporationsAsked whether being in a green buildingfosters innovation:57% agree;28% neutralOnly 15% disagree. .

Comparative Costsin Large Office BuildingsData from Building Owners and Managers Association: Electric Powerresearch Institute, Statistical Abstract of the United States, 1991

Typical Community : 25% of gross income spenton energy and fossil fuels80% of those dollars leave the local area

Economic Realities:Saving energy strengthens the entire economy

Carbon War RoomPartnership between Lockheed Martin, Energi,Barclays, and Ygrene to retrofit commercial real estate.Will return $4 million in tax revenues for every $1 million$10 million in economic activity generated and 60 jobscreated.The $650 million program will bring its first two cities:Sacramento and Miami 40,000 jobs created, $1 billion intax benefits, and at least $10 billion in increasedeconomic outputWill scale across US, as well as China.

Jobs GrowthSince 2006 jobs in renewables and environmenthave grown 56.8% vs Internet: 29.8%California's “green economy" grew 3X as fast astraditional economy between 2008 and 2009 –174,000 employed in green economy – 26% aremanufacturing jobs vs 9% in total economy.In US green jobs grew 9.1% 1998 – 2007, 2 ½ Xfaster than all job growth.

Solar deployment – policy mattersCalifornia receives70% more sunlightfor producing solarenergy thanGermany.But Germanyinstalls 28 timesmore solar electriccapacity every yearWill be 100%renewable by 2050

The Economics of Feed-in TariffsDeutsche Bank Study: FiTs gave Germany thelead in renewable energy production.FiTs created 480,000 new jobsFITs cut the unit cost of solar panels 30 percent in2009 enough that they could pay for themselveswithin five to seven years, and reach grid parity(costing the same as grid electricity) by 2013.

FiTs drove German economic regeneration, enablingGermany to pay its own citizens to produce, installand maintain their own renewable energy systems,instead of buying imported fossil fuels. The programcost of €2 - 3 per month ($50 to customers’ electricitybills each year) to electricity bills in Germany (a totalof €8.6 billion.)Deutsche Bank: The savings created by FiTs exceededtotal cost of payments made by households.Had customers bought electricity from conventionalgeneration and paid the costs of fossil fuel generationGermans would have paid over €9.4 billion.

Sonoma County EnergyIndependence Program8.4% increase in construction-related jobs inSonoma County between January, 2009 andSeptember, 20093.0% job decline in Napa CountyJuly-August 2009:$5.6 million in SCEIP projects500 new construction jobs reported

Boulder calculation150MW in efficiency improvements would deliver$334,585,800 in increased economic output,$102,680,400 in increased wages,$18,882,300 increase in business income, and3,300 new jobs in Boulder.

ROI on Climate Protection

How does naturedo business?Nature uses:• Sunlight• Low energy flows• No persistent toxics• Near Body manufacturing• Ambient temperature manufacturing• Closed loops, in which everything is recycled• Nature shops locally

Termite MoundsAfrica, Australia, and theAmazon30-foot mounds arepassively airconditionedbypassages in walls ashard as concrete —but made of earth,wood bits & termitesalivas

EastgateHarare, ZimbabweZimbabwe’slargestcommercialoffice/shoppingcomplex• Stackventilationmodeled aftertermite mounds--comfort withoutfull AC

Green Building is defined by USGBCOther standards exist, but USGBC set the bar

carbon/energyNet zero?design build occupytimebiomimicry GUILD

carbon/energybuilding alonebuilding + peoplebuilding + people + materials (LCA)design build occupybiomimicry GUILD

Living building challenge Mal-­adaptedBiomimicry biomimicry GUILD

Living Building ChallengeCascadia Region GreenBuilding Council (Oregon,Washington, and BritishColumbia) is pushingbeyond the LEEDenvelope, and especiallynet zero by issuing theLiving Building ChallengeSite, MaterialsEnergy, WaterIndoor QualityBeauty and Inspiration

The International Living BuildingInstitute issues a challenge:To design professionals, contractors and building ownerscreate the foundation for a sustainable future in ourcommunities.To politicians and government officials:remove barriers to systemic change, realign incentives andmarket signals to protect the health, safety and welfare ofpeople and all beings.To all of humanity:reconcile the built environment with the natural environment,into a civilization that creates greater biodiversity, resilienceand opportunities for life with each adaptation anddevelopment.

The Living Building Challenge defines the most advancedmeasure of sustainability in the built environment possibletoday and acts to diminish the gap between current limits andideal solutions.This certification program covers all building at all scales and is aunified tool for transformative design, allowing us to envision afuture that is socially just, culturally rich and ecologicallybenign.Whether your project is a single building, a park, a collegecampus or even a complete neighborhood community,Living Building Challenge provides a framework for design,construction and the symbiotic relationship between peopleand all aspects of the built environment.

Living Building Challenge4500 sq ft greenhouse, Eco-machine - has togenerate its own energy, use no outside water, andbe produced using local materials.

Springs Preserve, Las VegasLEED Platinum~150,000 sq ftFeatures strawbale insulationRammed earthwallsOnsite photovoltaicprovides 75% ofpower needs

Maya Guesthouse, SwitzerlandFirst hotel builtentirely from strawin EuropeBuilding willrequire almost noheating, except inthe extremes of anAlpine winter.

Maya Guesthouse, Switzerland“Authorities aremore and moreopen to newbuilding methodswhen they arecarbon-free”-Owner, LuisPapadpoulos

Largest US Photovoltaic Installation1 MW/ week = 80 MWSCE: 250 MW plant on roofs around So CA. $875 million tocomplete (comparable coal plant ~$800 million)

JobsJobs created per megawatt hr of electricity produced:Coal – 11 job-yrsNatural gas – 11 job-yrsWind – 100 job-yrsSolar – 121 job-yearsEach $1 million investment in EE creates 17 jobs and$675,000 in additional wage and salary compensation to theColorado economy– AM. Soc. Mechanical EngineersSWEEP 2009

Dardesheim, Germany - 100% renewableWildpoldsried produces321% more energy than ituses; makes $5.7 millioneach year

Masdar- The Source – Abu DhabiCity of 50,000Zero wastePassively cooledSolar canopiesCenter for renewable energy research1,500 clean tech start-ups focusing on solar,wind and hydrogen power, carbon reductionand management, sustainable development,education, manufacturing

Ancient Iranians made ice in the desertUsingwindcatchers– passivesolar cooling

Wind is the 2nd fastest growingenergy supply technology in theworld:37 GW in 2009, 32 GW 2010Now 237 GW, 40 GW new 2011Costs less than coal in good sitesAnd checkout China

China has replacedthe United States asthe world's leadingconsumer of mostbasic commodities,like oil, grain, coal,and steel.• If China’s economygrows at its prior rate• If it uses resources asinefficiently as the U.S.• By 2030 China will need99 million barrels of oil aday.The world currentlyproduces 80+ millionbarrels per day and maynever produce more.

China Renewable Investments• China’s State Administration ofEnergy (SAE), is creating a newenergy blueprint• Total investments for renewableenergy by 2020– $911 billion for efficiency andrenewables– $10.6b million new jobs– Generate several trilliondollars in new GDP

China - 1 MW grid interconnected

Straw Bale Housing: ChinaOver 600 homes builtin Northern China2005 UN HabitatAwardEliminated need forcoal heatingWithstood a 5.6earthquake

R. James Woolsey’s solarpowered plug-in-hybridhas a bumper stickerreading:“Osama bin Ladin hatesmy car.”

Better Place –renewable electriccarsShai Agassi

DONG energy and Better Place$12,000 for a family-sized allelectricsedan: Renault FluenceEV. Drive as much as you want.Pay $300/ month (less if youdrive fewer miles). Emit no CO2or other pollutants. And help theworld break its addiction to oilBetter Place has ordered 100,000 cars from Renault. Agassiplans to order another 100,000 cars in the first half of 2012.Agassi has agreements with governments to roll out BetterPlace in northern California, in the urban regions of Australiaand in Hawaii. France, too, has made a major commitment toelectric vehicles, one reason why Renault says it will launch fourelectric car models in the next several years.

European/Middle East SmartgridPower equal to the totalpresent usage of theEUMENA region powercould be generatedcovering less than 0.3% ofthe Sahara Desert withCSP plants. DESERTECFoundation proposes asupergrid from Iceland toArabian peninsula, fromBaltic to west coast ofAfrica, in which offshorewind and wave farms, photovoltaic sites, tidal streamgenerators, biomass, geothermal and hydroelectric stationswould unite with desert CSP arrays to meet the region's actualdaily and hourly demands over an HVDC network

RE < C

“By the way, in 2011, GE's wind turbines achieved REless than C for the first time. It really happened. Nowwe're designing super efficient and flexible combinedcycle gas turbines that will compliment renewableintermittency, while we work on energy storagetechnologies. Solar is next...”

Vital RoleforGovernments

Ray AndersonWhat is the businesscase for ending lifeon earth?

Interface "Mission Zero” MetricsNet GHG emissions down 82% in absolute tonnage-Fossil fuel usage is down 60%-Water usage is down 75%-Renewables and recycled materials up 25%-Renewable energy is up 30%-Diverted 74,000 tons of used carpet from landfills-Goal: 0 impact, 0 footprint - ½ way to goal today.Anticipate will make goal in 2020.Best thing for business: Costs down $4.5MSales increased by 2/3 Profits up 2X-Paid for all costs for transformation of Interface.

Harvard Business Review“Sustainability isn’t the burden on bottom linesthat many executives believe it to be. It canlower your costs and increase your revenues.That’s why sustainability should be atouchstone for all innovation.In the future, only companies that makesustainability a goal will achieve competitiveadvantage. That means rethinking businessmodels as well as products, technologies andprocesses.”Why Sustainability is Now the Key Driver of Innovation

Sustainability is happening

Sustainability paysCompanies in the Dow Jones sustainability Indexoutperform the general marketGoldman Sachs report July 2007: Companiesthat are leaders in environmental, social andgovernance (ESG) policies outperformcompetitors in stock performance—by anaverage of 25%.72% of the companies on the DJSI outperformedindustry peers

“We are now faced with the fact that tomorrow is today.We are confronted with the fierce urgency of now.In this unfolding conundrum of life and history there issuch a thing as being too late.Procrastination is still the thief of time. Life oftenleaves us standing bare, naked and dejected with alost opportunity….Over the bleached bones and jumbled residues ofnumerous civilizations are written the pathetic words:'Too late.’”- Martin Luther King, Jr.

The second mouse gets the cheese

Now is the time to transform our worldLet’s flyChange is hardIncreased resilienceand insulation fromcrisesImproved quality oflifeGreater prosperityfor all

Natural Capitalism SolutionsL O N G M O N T, C O L O R A D Ow w w . n a t c a p s o l u t i o n s . o r g