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The <strong>COSMOS</strong> framework<br />

ICON<br />

COMBINE<br />

<strong>COSMOS</strong> annual meeting, Helsinki, 2008<br />

Marco Giorgetta


.<br />

Content<br />

� ...<br />

� Motivation<br />

� Status<br />

� Developments<br />

� Model names


.<br />

Motivation<br />

Which are driving forces in model development?<br />

� New scientific questions (Projects)<br />

� Different scales in time and/or space<br />

� New process models<br />

� New numerical techniques<br />

� New experimental designs<br />

� New environment where to use models<br />

� Portability<br />

� Optimization<br />

� New software techniques<br />

� Data structures<br />

� Parallelization<br />

� Domain decomposition


.<br />

Status<br />

<strong>COSMOS</strong> “Millennium”<br />

� SCE+SRE:<br />

� Models:<br />

� “cosmos-a” � ECHAM5 =<br />

atmosphere<br />

� “cosmos-o” � MPIOM = ocean<br />

� “cosmos-ob” � MPIOM-HAMOCC= ocean + biogeochemistry<br />

� “cosmos-ao” � ECHAM5/MPIOM = atmosphere ocean<br />

� “cosmos-asob” � ECHAM5-JSBACH/MPIOM-HAMOCC<br />

= carbon cycle<br />

� Resolutions:<br />

� T31L19/GR3L40<br />

� T63L31/GR1.5L40 (tests, spin-up)<br />

� Computers/Sites<br />

� DKRZ, FMI, …<br />

� Codes:<br />

� ECHAM5.4.01, ECHAM5-HAM, ECHAM5J<br />

� MPIOM<br />

� HAMOCC<br />

� OASIS3


.<br />

Developments<br />

Ongoing<br />

� Higher resolution version (T63 L31 / GR1.5 L40) of the Millennium<br />

model<br />

� Inclusion of HAM in standard ECHAM5 code<br />

� Implementation of CDNC cloud scheme of U. Lohmann for aerosol<br />

clouds interaction<br />

� Chemistry aerosol cloud coupling (“HAMMOZ”)<br />

� SALSA aerosol scheme<br />

� Dynamical vegetation and land use<br />

� Tri-polar higher resolution ocean grid TP0.4, TP0.1


.<br />

Developments<br />

Further developments<br />

� Radiation: Test new radiation package of ECMWF including<br />

RRTM-LW, RRTM-SW and McICA cloud generator?<br />

� Fast chemisty (family concept)<br />

� Methane processes (wetlands, permafrost)<br />

� Nitrogen cycle<br />

� Isotopes<br />

� Compiling system (Autoconf)<br />

� Running environment<br />

� Coupler: OASIS3 � OASIS4


.<br />

Priorities<br />

� Technical Documentation<br />

� High resolution carbon cycle model � Millennium<br />

� Aerosols � Volcanoe<br />

� Fast chemistry for century time scale experiments<br />

� Detailed chemistry for shorter time scales / campaigns<br />

� Optimization for use on new DKRZ computers


.<br />

Other presentations related to specific models:<br />

� Johann Jungclaus Millennium<br />

� Harri Kokkola Salsa<br />

� Martin Schulz ECHAM5-HAMMOZ<br />

� Malte Müller MPIOM<br />

� Christian Reick JSBACH<br />

� Joachim Segschneider HAMOCC


.<br />

Model names (1/2)<br />

� As more configurations become possible, names become longer<br />

and more complicated<br />

� Names are used in the configuration process to construct model<br />

and scripts<br />

� Current names: “<strong>COSMOS</strong>-XYZ”<br />

“XYZ” shows components<br />

� A: Atmosphere dynamics+physics � ECHAM5<br />

� S: Surface, soil and vegetation � JSBACH<br />

� O: Ocean dynamics and physics � MPIOM<br />

� B: Ocean Biogeochem. + sediments � HAMOCC<br />

� Example: <strong>COSMOS</strong>-ASOB is the carbon cycle model configuration<br />

used for the Millennium project


.<br />

Model names (2/2)<br />

� The model complexity is growing further<br />

� Aerosols HAM, SALSA, SAM2<br />

� Chemistry MOZART (, MECCA, (CHEM2))<br />

� Add more letters for model configuration?<br />

� M for aerosol microphysics<br />

� C for chemistry<br />

� <strong>COSMOS</strong>-[A, C, M; S; O, B]<br />

� Problem: single letters not sufficient to describe specific model<br />

setups, e.g. Because of different aerosol and chemistry schemes<br />

� Alternative: Use project names to tag and name model<br />

configurations for specific projects<br />

Examples: “IPCC model”, “Millennium model”


ICON<br />

Icosahedral Non-hydrostatic General Circulation Models<br />

A joint MPI-M DWD project<br />

ICON will provide future dynamical cores and<br />

atmosphere and ocean GCMs for <strong>COSMOS</strong>


MPI-M & DWD collaboration<br />

� Benefits of MPI-M from DWD<br />

� operational mode (daily testing & verification),<br />

� comparing against observations: atmospheric data assimilation<br />

� Benefits of DWD from MPI-M<br />

� seasonal prediction (including ocean model)<br />

� experience with stratosphere<br />

� Joint pool of physics packages


Model characteristics<br />

� Joint grid – joint numerics (at least operators, solvers)<br />

� Structure-preserving-discretization<br />

� conserve relevant quantities on discrete level<br />

(energy, Ertel’s potential vorticity, total mass, tracer mass)<br />

� Zooming ability<br />

� Modern software architecture<br />

� object-orientated programming<br />

� Keep the model “open”<br />

� Encourage/facilitate model adaption & extension by users<br />

� High scalability for next generation computers


.<br />

Grid generator<br />

Concept of patches<br />

� for refinement<br />

� for domain decomposition<br />

Unstructured grid<br />

� minimize distance between neighbors<br />

in memory<br />

� only relationships between neighbors<br />

are stored: no traditional array data<br />

structure


Basic operators on the C-grid: div-grad-curl<br />

Rotation for hexagons:<br />

Stokes theorem<br />

The velocity is given counterclockwise.<br />

Application of integral theorems<br />

Divergence for triangles:<br />

Gauss theorem<br />

The velocity points outward.<br />

Gradient at an edge:<br />

given by the relation


ICON Models, work in progress<br />

Grid generator<br />

– Global or regional triangular grids derived from icosahedron<br />

– Optimization to improve accuracy of numerical operators<br />

Discretization and operators<br />

- C-grid discretization<br />

- Div, Grad, …<br />

Infrastructure<br />

- Data structure allowing regional refinements, domain composed of patches<br />

- Parallelization (MPI & OpenMP)<br />

- Asynchronous and parallel I/O<br />

- Encoding (NetCDF, GRIB)<br />

- Postprocessing (CDO)<br />

Dynamical cores<br />

- Shallow water model (ICOSWM)<br />

- Vertical slice model<br />

- Hydrostatic atmosphere<br />

- Hydrostatic ocean<br />

- Non-hydrostatic atmosphere<br />

Earth system model / <strong>COSMOS</strong><br />

- OASIS<br />

- ICOxAM<br />

- ICOHOM<br />

General circulation models<br />

- Hydrostatic atmosphere (ICOHAM)<br />

- Hydrostatic ocean (ICOHOM)<br />

- Non-hydrostatic atmosphere (ICONAM)


COMBINE:<br />

Comprehensive Modelling of the<br />

Earth System for Better Climate<br />

Prediction and Projection<br />

Call: FP7, 2nd call (29 Nov.-25 Feb.)<br />

Topic: New components in Earth System modelling for better climate<br />

projections<br />

Funding scheme: Large-scale integrating project, 4-8 M€


.<br />

COMBINE Abstract<br />

� The European integrating project COMBINE brings together research groups to<br />

advance Earth system models (ESMs) for more accurate climate projections and for<br />

reduced uncertainty in the prediction of climate and climate change in the next<br />

decades. COMBINE will contribute to better assessments of changes in the physical<br />

climate system and of their impacts in the societal and economic system. The<br />

proposed work will strengthen the scientific base for environmental policies of the<br />

EU for the post-2012 climate negotiations.<br />

� COMBINE proposes to improve ESMs by including key physical and<br />

biogeochemical processes to model more accurately the forcing mechanisms and<br />

the feedbacks determining the magnitude of climate change in the 21st century. For<br />

this purpose the project will incorporate carbon and nitrogen cycle, aerosols<br />

coupled to cloud microphysics and chemistry, proper stratospheric dynamics and<br />

increased resolution, ice sheets and permafrost in current Earth system models.<br />

COMBINE also proposes to improve initialisation techniques to make the best<br />

possible use of observation based analyses of ocean and ice to benefit from the<br />

predictability of the climate system in predictions of the climate of the next few<br />

decades. Combining more realistic models and skilful initialisation is expected to<br />

reduce the uncertainty in climate projections.<br />

� Resulting effects will be investigated in the physical climate system and in impacts<br />

on water availability and agriculture, globally and in 3 regions under the influence of<br />

different climate feedback mechanisms. Results from the comprehensive ESMs will<br />

be used in an integrated assessment model to test the underlying assumptions in<br />

the scenarios, and hence to contribute to improved scenarios. COMBINE will make<br />

use of the experimental design and of the scenarios proposed for IPCC AR5.<br />

Therefore the project will be able to contribute to the AR5, by its relevant research<br />

and by the contribution of experiments to the IPCC data archives.


.<br />

COMBINE – Abstract (1)<br />

� COMBINE proposes to improve ESMs by including<br />

key physical and biogeochemical processes to<br />

model more accurately the forcing mechanisms and<br />

the feedbacks determining the magnitude of climate<br />

change in the 21st century. For this purpose the project<br />

will incorporate carbon and nitrogen cycle, aerosols<br />

coupled to cloud microphysics and chemistry,<br />

proper stratospheric dynamics and increased<br />

resolution, ice sheets and permafrost in current<br />

Earth system models.


.<br />

COMBINE – Abstract (2)<br />

� COMBINE also proposes to improve initialisation<br />

techniques to make the best possible use of<br />

observation based analyses of ocean and ice to benefit<br />

from the predictability of the climate system in<br />

predictions of the climate of the next few decades.<br />

� Combining more realistic models and skilful initialisation<br />

is expected to reduce the uncertainty in climate<br />

projections.


.<br />

COMBINE – Abstract (3)<br />

� Resulting effects will be investigated in the physical<br />

climate system and in impacts on water availability<br />

and agriculture, globally and in 3 regions under the<br />

influence of different climate feedback mechanisms.<br />

Results from the comprehensive ESMs will be used<br />

in an integrated assessment model to test the<br />

underlying assumptions in the scenarios, and hence<br />

to contribute to improved scenarios. COMBINE will<br />

make use of the experimental design and of the<br />

scenarios proposed for IPCC AR5. Therefore the<br />

project will be able to contribute to the AR5, by its<br />

relevant research and by the contribution of<br />

experiments to the IPCC data archives


.<br />

New components Experimental design<br />

New components<br />

(C1) Carbon an nitrogen cycle<br />

(C2) Aerosols, clouds and chemistry<br />

(C3) Stratosphere<br />

(C4) Cryosphere<br />

(C5) Initialisation<br />

ESM combinations Differences<br />

(E1) ESM D Α (C(i)) = (E2) – (E1)<br />

(E2) ESM + C(i) D Ω (C(i)) = (E4) – (E3)<br />

(E3) newESM – C(i) D Σ (Σ j C(j)) = (E4) – (E1)<br />

(E4) newESM<br />

CMIP simulations, centennial and decadal<br />

Centennial Simulation Decadal Simulation<br />

(CS1) Pre-industrial control (DS1) Climate prediction (2005-2035)<br />

(CS2) 20 th century (DS2) Climate hindcasts<br />

(CS3) 21 st century scenario<br />

(Representative Concentration Pathway scen.)<br />

(CS4) +1% CO 2 / year to 4xCO 2


.<br />

ESMs and main developers<br />

ESMs Main developer<br />

(M1) <strong>COSMOS</strong> MPG<br />

(M2) HadCM,<br />

HadGEM<br />

METO<br />

(M3) IPSL-ESM CNRS<br />

(M4) CMCC CMCC<br />

(M5) CNRM-CM MF-CNRM<br />

(M6) EC-EARTH ECMWF, EC-Earth consortium<br />

(M7) NORCLIM UiB<br />

Work packages<br />

New components CMIP/AR5 + Evaluation<br />

(WP1) C and N cycle (WP6) Decadal climate<br />

prediction<br />

(WP2) Aerosols, clouds and chemistry (WP7) Climate projections<br />

and feedbacks<br />

(WP3) Stratosphere (WP8) Impacts and Scenarios<br />

(WP4) Cryosphere<br />

(WP5) Initialisation


.<br />

COMINE Pert diagram<br />

.


.<br />

Partners 1-11 of 23<br />

Number* Short<br />

name<br />

1<br />

(Coord.)<br />

Organisation name Cou<br />

ntry<br />

MPG Max-Planck-Gesellschaft<br />

(MPI-M + MPI-BGC)<br />

2 METO Met Office UK<br />

3 CNRS Centre National de la Recherche<br />

Scientifique<br />

4 CMCC Centro Euro-Mediterraneo per i<br />

Cambiamenti Climatici<br />

5 MF-CNRM Météo-France - Centre National de<br />

Recherches Météorologiques<br />

6 KNMI Het Koninklijk Nederlands<br />

Meteorologisch Instituut<br />

7 UiB University of Bergen NO<br />

8 DMI Danish Meteorological Institute DK<br />

9 ECMWF European Centre for Medium-Range<br />

Weather Forecast<br />

10 ETHZ Eidgenössische Technische<br />

Hochschule Zürich<br />

11 FMI Finnish Meteorological Institute FI<br />

DE<br />

FR<br />

IT<br />

FR<br />

NL<br />

UK<br />

CH


.<br />

Partners 12-23 of 23<br />

Number* Short<br />

name<br />

Organisation name Cou<br />

ntry<br />

12 MNP Netherlands Environmental Assessment<br />

Agency<br />

13 SMHI Swedish Meteorological and<br />

Hydrological Institute<br />

14 WU Wageningen University & Research<br />

Centre<br />

15 UHEL University of Helsinki FI<br />

16 CERFACS European Centre for Research and<br />

Advanced Training in Scientific<br />

Computation<br />

17 UCL Université Catholique de Louvain BE<br />

18 UNIVBRIS University of Bristol UK<br />

19 Uni Kassel University of Kassel - Center for<br />

Environmental Systems Research<br />

(CESR)<br />

20 TUC Technical University of Crete GR<br />

21 CYI Cyprus Research and Educational<br />

Foundation<br />

22 INPE Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas<br />

Espaciais<br />

NL<br />

SE<br />

NL<br />

FR<br />

DE<br />

CY<br />

BR


. � Status:<br />

� Evaluation done<br />

� So far no offical message, but some rumours<br />

� Invitation for negotiation in September or October<br />

� Perspective:<br />

� Chance for interesting research<br />

� Progress in the development of the <strong>COSMOS</strong> ESM


.<br />

END

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