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Expected Value Homework Solutions 1. You roll two dice. What is ...

Expected Value Homework Solutions 1. You roll two dice. What is ...

Expected Value Homework Solutions 1. You roll two dice. What is ...

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Let E 1 be the event that the first card <strong>is</strong> not an ace.Let E 2 be the event that the first card <strong>is</strong> an ace and the second card <strong>is</strong> not an ace.Let E 3 be the event that the first <strong>two</strong> cards are aces and the third card <strong>is</strong> not an ace.Let E 4 be the event that the first three cards are aces and the fourth card <strong>is</strong> not an ace.Let E 5 be the event that the first cards are aces and hence the fifth card <strong>is</strong> not an ace.p(E 1 ) = 4852 and v(E 1) = 1p(E 2 ) = 4 × 4852 × 51 and v(E 2) = 2p(E 3 ) = 4 × 3 × 4852 × 51 × 50 and v(E 3) = 3p(E 4 ) = 4 × 3 × 2 × 4852 × 51 × 50 × 49 and v(E 1) = 4p(E 5 ) = 4 × 3 × 2 × 1 × 4852 × 51 × 50 × 49 × 48 and v(E 5) = 1Substitute these values intoE.V. = p(E 1 ) × v(E 1 ) + p(E 2 ) × v(E 2 ) + p(E 3 ) × v(E 3 ) + p(E 4 ) × v(E 4 ) + p(E 5 ) × v(E 5 ) ≈ <strong>1.</strong>0816315. <strong>What</strong> <strong>is</strong> the expected number of face cards (jack, queen, or king) in a three card hand drawn atrandom from a standard deck of cards?Solution:Let E 1 be the event that there are no face cardsLet E 2 be the event that there <strong>is</strong> exactly one face card.Let E 3 be the event that there are exactly <strong>two</strong> face cards.Let E 4 be the event that all three cards are face cards.p(E 1 ) = 40 C 352C 3and v(E 1 ) = 0p(E 2 ) = 12 × 40C 252C 3and v(E 2 ) = 1p(E 3 ) = 12 C 2 × 4052C 3and v(E 3 ) = 2p(E 4 ) = 12 C 352C 3and v(E 1 ) = 3

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