futron's 2010 space competitiveness index - Futron Corporation

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• As Japan continues to implement its comprehensive Basic Space Law reforms, will it convertadministrative momentum into more pronounced regional space leadership?• Is China on track to achieve the ambitious space goals it has set for 2010 and 2011?• Will Indian investments in new launch and satellite platforms result in significanttechnological advances?• Will South Korea rebound from its failed launch attempt to conduct its first successful orbitalmission, reshaping the Asian space dynamic?• Will Canada’s military space policy refresh lead to closer alignment with the United Statesand Europe, or instead increase investment in independent capabilities?• Will Israel develop the political consensus to make larger space investments in order toconvert its niche strengths into an expanded international presence?• Will Brazil translate its current review of space plans into concerted national action?• Will emerging space participants such as Australia, Ukraine, and others surge to displace anyof the current leading nations?• As Iran builds on the success of its first orbital launch, will it disrupt the current spacelandscape, or be open to international collaboration and partnership?• What are the economic consequences of a commercial space environment developed bymultiple international providers of key technologies, systems, and services?To provide practical insight into these strategic questions, Futron Corporation is pleased toprovide this 2010 update of its Space Competitiveness Index. Some top-level findings of our SCIare provided below.SUMMARY HIGHLIGHTS• Brazil has begun to renew government focus on space activity, but it remains to be seen whether apolicy refresh will sustain the country’s position as the regional space leader.• Canada’s nuanced strategic balancing among domestic and international space programs,priorities, and partnerships continue to yield key competitiveness advantages.• China remains a leading space actor, but the country has recently experienced slight declines inrelative competitiveness due mainly to comparatively fewer space missions.• European competitiveness has risen slightly due to more cohesive policy as well as sustainedindustry performance.• India’s increased civil space funding, updated policy commitments, and targeted commercialoutreach continue to maximize its strengths.• Israel continues to play important niche roles in the optical equipment and small satellite markets,but lacks global commercial scale, and is inhibited by a lack of clear government commitment toits national space program.• Japan continues to show strong performance as its recent government reforms filter through to itsindustrial base.• Russia has benefited from updated government policy, increased transparency, formalizedinternational partnerships, and ongoing status as the world leader in number of annual launches.• South Korea maintains steady space investment and plans a second orbital launch attemptfollowing its abortive Korea Small Launch Vehicle (KSLV-1) flight in 2009.3Futron Corporation
Futron’s 2010 Space Competitiveness Index (SCI) · Executive Summary• The United States (U.S.) remains the current leader in space competitiveness, but its relativeposition continues to decline against the increasing capabilities of other space-participant nations.• International space collaboration is taking shape as a concerted national competitiveness strategy,especially among smaller actors.• Three distinct competitiveness tiers are clearly emerging, with especially intense competitionwithin the middle tier.2010 SPACE COMPETITIVENESS INDEX – HISTORIC TRENDSIn addition to providing a framework for analyzing current competitiveness, Futron’s 2010 SCIequips decision makers with the ability to look at trends over time. The refined 2010 SCI provides acomprehensive benchmark from which to view the industry going forward, and Futron plans tocontinue its efforts to accurately measure and characterize the importance of space economics.This said, in order to put the results of the 2010 Space Competitiveness Index in perspective, Futronhas also analyzed space trends over the last decade based on spacecraft manufacturing and orbitallaunch activity, as seen below. Additional historic data, including year-on-year trends, are alsoincluded in the full report.ORBITAL LAUNCH AND SPACECRAFT MANUFACTURING TRENDS, 2000-2009629 Successful Orbital Launches 1,027 Spacecraft Manufactured2010 SPACE COMPETITIVENESS INDEX – FULL REPORT OUTLINEThe full report version of Futron’s 2010 Space Competitiveness Index features approximately120 additional pages of research and analysis including:• An Introduction offering insight into the SCI concept, purpose, methodology and structure.• Expanded country-by-country profiles for each nation’s space assets and efforts. These includea review of key events in 2009, and a look forward to developments expected in 2010. Eachcountry overview includes a strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats (SWOT) analysis.• An examination of five nations emerging in space competitiveness.• A discussion of cross-cutting segmentation themes shaping the space competitiveness discourse.• Five updated and in-depth segment analyses to be emailed to report providers throughout theyear on a rolling basis:© 20104
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