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Likely scenario findingsMeteorological outputs• Peak gusts > 110 mph• Severe widespread riverine flooding & coastal erosion• LandslidesPhysical damages• Flood-control failure, serious disruption of water supply to SoCal• Extensive building damage from flood, wind, & landslide, perhaps >$20B• Landslide damage to roads & highways, scour to auto & rail bridges >$1B• Numerous local power failures lasting up to several days or more• Damage to ports, waterways, piers, & various seaside infrastructurePerhaps $20-$200B loss• Direct damage, BI, environmental, historic, and life safety impacts• Geographic loss information• Insurance impacts & demand surge by Willis Re & WRNTreatment of mitigation options, research needs, & climate change
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