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Vulnerabilities of Social Structures - The Black Vault

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ehavior and behavioral ordering constitute the basic inventory for1% social reconstruction and recovery, the decision to guide reconstructionin desired directions is a policy decision, not directly derivablefrom the logic used to describe existing realities. (A. 6)a8. Adapting to the lack <strong>of</strong> a unified social model for planningpurposes (A. 7 and A. 7.1);9. Further developing what is both principle and hypothesis:(principle) that while society under stress <strong>of</strong> massive disaster canbe seen as a set <strong>of</strong> institutional domains whose interrelations areonly imperfectly understood, nevertheless (hypothesis) each domainhas a distinctive range <strong>of</strong> disaster-induced critical decision points,within which decisions affecting the longer term "viability" <strong>of</strong> that, institutional nexus must be made (A. 8);10. Using some useful working hypotheses in developing theprinciple and hypothesis combined in proposition 9 immediatelyabove: One is that at different times following attack, events inone institutional domain or social structural sector may be morecritical to survival and adaptation than events occurring in otherdomains <strong>of</strong> social phenomena. Another is that there are identifiablecritical patterns <strong>of</strong> social structure which are preconditions to institutionalmobilization and viability, within a given domain. Afinal set is that the greater the structural complexity and interdependence<strong>of</strong> a society, the more quickly will social damage betranslated throughout the system, but more resources for recoverywill exist, because <strong>of</strong> redundant capacities --- once thesecapacities can be organized. (A. 8. 1 - A. 8. 3)11. Using the multiple functions <strong>of</strong> information about post-attacksociety: A given analysis, finding, or prediction about the postattacksituation may have more than one function in planning for andmanaging emergency. Such an increment to knowledge may be mostvivid as a breaker <strong>of</strong> myths, but it may be important to evaluate itssignificance as an item <strong>of</strong> additive knowledge --- unless, <strong>of</strong> course,myth-breaking is crucial to mobilization for viability and recovery.(A. 10)Within this general framework <strong>of</strong> findings, the shelter concept can be examinedas a concept which will affect a number <strong>of</strong> post-attack behavioral and institutionalprocesses. <strong>The</strong> existence <strong>of</strong> a shelter system, as a system for orderingbehavior, creates a number <strong>of</strong> ranges <strong>of</strong> post-attack behavioral possibilities. Bystudying these domains and their ranges, it may be possible to understand moreclearly not only the general consequences <strong>of</strong> any shelter system, but also the wayin which positing a shelter system provides the analyst with coherent clues aboutxv

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