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What peace and Whose? - Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre

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<strong>What</strong> <strong>peace</strong> <strong>and</strong> whose?9on the Darfur conflict <strong>and</strong> the various unsuccessful attempts to formally end the conflict. As al<strong>and</strong>mark <strong>peace</strong> agreement which brought formal <strong>peace</strong>, the CPA needed close attention, bothdomestically <strong>and</strong> internationally. However, the focus on the CPA also led to a preoccupationwith short-term targets <strong>and</strong> deadlines, <strong>and</strong> a lack of attention to deeper, longer-term issues<strong>and</strong> problems which are themselves underlying drivers of discontent <strong>and</strong> conflict within eachcountry as well as between them. Essentially the CPA was a high-level political <strong>and</strong> militaryagreement, which did little to mitigate feelings among many people about issues such asinequality, discrimination, injustice, impunity <strong>and</strong> corruption – issues connected to the fivemain factors of conflict listed above. Thus, although the CPA brought some <strong>peace</strong>, it is alsotrue that it did not build <strong>peace</strong> comprehensively. It was comprehensive neither geographicallynor in which factors of conflict it addressed.Since the end of the CPA in July 2011 <strong>and</strong> the secession of South Sudan, <strong>peace</strong> in the two Sudanshas not suddenly become stronger or deeper. On the contrary, regardless of the arrangementswhich are meant to provide for <strong>peace</strong> between the two countries in this post-CPA period, thosefactors of conflict which have not been addressed since 2005 (<strong>and</strong> before) remain present <strong>and</strong>continue to pose a threat to future <strong>peace</strong> <strong>and</strong> stability in <strong>and</strong> between both countries. The list offactors is long, but however they are categorised or discussed, many of them are familiar to peoplefrom across the two countries, as Table 1 shows.Table 1: Some factors blocking progress in <strong>peace</strong> in South Sudan <strong>and</strong> SudanIssueDemocracyDiscriminationImpunityInequalityEconomicdiscontentLack ofreconciliationOilCorruptionPatronageIdentityIdeologyExample or illustrationElections are not seen to be free <strong>and</strong> fair, contributing to perceptions thatgovernments are not representative, <strong>and</strong> encouraging rebellions against themPeople feel that there is ethnic favouritism in government, in private sectoremployment opportunities <strong>and</strong> in access to services; minority ethnic groups feelmarginalised <strong>and</strong> disadvantagedPerpetrators of violence <strong>and</strong> abuses are seen to go unpunished, encouragingpeople to pursue retributive <strong>and</strong> retaliatory violence, <strong>and</strong> encouraging cynicismabout the political <strong>and</strong> judicial systemsGap between rich <strong>and</strong> poor is seen to have widened <strong>and</strong> access to wealth is seenas linked to aspects of identity such as tribe, geographic location <strong>and</strong> genderDiscontent about unequal regional economic <strong>and</strong> infrastructure development,which can encourage dem<strong>and</strong>s for regional self-determinationHistorical grievances, suspicions <strong>and</strong> mistrust between communities are notaddressed, contributing to ongoing animosityCommunities feel that the negative impact of oil exploration <strong>and</strong> production isinsufficiently addressed <strong>and</strong> local benefits are too fewPerceptions that corruption goes unpunished undermine public confidence in <strong>and</strong>support for central <strong>and</strong> local governmentExpectations of patronage conflict with expectations of equity <strong>and</strong> equalopportunityCompeting claims about local or regional identity lead to conflict <strong>and</strong> violence, forexample over l<strong>and</strong> rights <strong>and</strong> ownershipPerceived attempts to implement a particular ideology (for example relatedto national or religious identity) are sometimes inflammatory <strong>and</strong> opposed bysections of the population

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