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Feasibility Study into secondary education in the broader

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BeaumarisBlack RockCheltenhamHamptonHampton EastHighettMentoneSandr<strong>in</strong>ghamTotal<strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> ContextGovernment Secondary School AttendanceClearly, many Beaumaris parents are not choos<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> nearest <strong>secondary</strong><strong>education</strong> campus for <strong>the</strong>ir children.Table 9 below shows <strong>the</strong> calculation of likely yield across <strong>the</strong>Sandr<strong>in</strong>gham catchment area for Government schools based on<strong>secondary</strong> school age student population, and compar<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> 2011Sandr<strong>in</strong>gham yield (31%) with <strong>the</strong> Melbourne metropolitan average yield(45%).Table 9: Projected Student Enrolments at Government Secondary Schools. Yieldrate is constant across <strong>the</strong>se forecasts.Data Source Distribution of Population August 2012 by Yield and Demographic<strong>Study</strong>: Sandr<strong>in</strong>gham College, September 2012 (Spatial Vision). Yield ratesprovided by DEECDSecondary School AgeForecast2016 EnrolmentsSandr<strong>in</strong>gham Area Yield 390 148 97 250 118 186 141 245 1,573Melbourne Metro Average 566 214 140 363 171 270 205 355 2,2842021 EnrolmentsSandr<strong>in</strong>gham Area Yield 388 147 104 243 117 191 147 244 1,581Melbourne Metro Average 563 213 151 353 171 278 213 354 2,2952026 EnrolmentsSandr<strong>in</strong>gham Area Yield 383 143 103 242 117 192 151 246 1,578Melbourne Metro Average 556 207 150 352 171 279 219 356 2,290Based on <strong>the</strong> 2016forecast, it can beexpected that 1,573students <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>Sandr<strong>in</strong>gham catchmentarea would attend agovernment <strong>secondary</strong>college.Us<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> 2016 forecast, <strong>the</strong> above <strong>in</strong>dicates that a range between 1,573to 2,284 students would attend a government <strong>secondary</strong> college. Notethat <strong>the</strong>se figures only <strong>in</strong>clude <strong>the</strong> school age students which reside <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>Sandr<strong>in</strong>gham catchment area.Page 16 of 22

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