Perspektiven der deutsch-chinesischen Wirtschaftsbeziehungen
Perspektiven der deutsch-chinesischen Wirtschaftsbeziehungen
Perspektiven der deutsch-chinesischen Wirtschaftsbeziehungen
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Politik: Xi Jinping und das SozialsystemGreater China|Shanghai• Professor Ro<strong>der</strong>ick MacFarquhar, Harvard University:”Unlike Hu, who got there by a hard slog, not offendingpeople and being efficient, Xi has had a certain selfconfidencefrom the get-go, which Hu did not have.”• Professor Kerry Brown, specialist in Chinese politics atthe University of Sydney:”He appeals to the widest constituencies in the party, andcan reach out to them with the broadest.”• Professor Steve Tsang, director of the University ofNottingham’s China Policy Institute:”Xi is good at working with senior level colleagues.”Page 2 | Aussenwirtschaftstag Thueringen| 08.11.2012Quelle: South China Morning Post, October 23, 2012
Historische EinordnungGreater China|ShanghaiPage 3 | Aussenwirtschaftstag Thueringen| 08.11.2012
FJPThemenBIP VergleichAnpassung<strong>der</strong> ReformReformBIPWachstumFlorierendeWirtschaftAufwertungWissenschaft- licheEntwicklungGreater China|Shanghaix Aen<strong>der</strong>ung desxBIP in 5-Jahresplaenen6. FJP 7. FJP 8. FJP 9. FJP 10. FJP 11. FJP 12. FJPTransformation调 整 改 革 、整 顿 提 高改 革保 增 长 小 康 、市 场 经 济结 构 升 级科 学 发 展转 型BIPRMB mrd nominal35,000+98% +107% +226% +64% +88% +115%30,00025,00020,00015,00010,0005,000Welt 10 TopExporteureServicesektorsteigt auf 30%des BIPsWird netimporteurvon Erdoel▪ Welt 2.groessterEnergiekonsument▪ 400 mlnStadtbewohner▪▪BIPueberholtDeutschland(6.)Servicesektor 40%des BIP▪▪▪BIP ueberholtJapan (2.)TopEnergiekonsument& CO 2EmmissionsquelleGroessterExporteur019808590952000Page 4 | Aussenwirtschaftstag Thueringen| 08.11.201205Quelle: CEIC102015
China 2010: Das DilemmaGreater China|ShanghaiAnteil am Bruttoinlandsprodukt in %Anteil am Bruttoinlandsprodukt in %LandwirtschaftSchwerindustrie20 16242711 1029 28625122Netto ExporteKonsum <strong>der</strong>Haushalte2 2 545 46 38435061559ServiceindustrieLeichtindustrieBausektor196311873313641127436977Projekte <strong>der</strong>RegierungInvestitionen13 1340 39144313482217201619952000China20052009 Brasilien Deutschl.2009 20091995 2000 2005China2009Brasilien2009Deutschl.2009Quelle: China Statistics Yearbook; World Bank; Chinese Government report (March 2011)Page 5 | Aussenwirtschaftstag Thueringen| 08.11.2012
These: China Konsument No.1Greater China|ShanghaiPage 6 | Aussenwirtschaftstag Thueringen| 08.11.2012Quelle: Economist
These Ownership: Staat vs Privater SektorTotal Investment in Fixed Assets in China by Ownership 20000.4%3.9%Greater China|Shanghai0.3%12.3%14.3%4.0%14.6%50.1%State-ownedCollective-ownedPrivate & IndividualJoint OwnershipShare HoldingHK, Macao & TaiwanForeign FundedOthersTotal Investment in Fixed Assets in China by Ownership 201027.6%0.3%3.4% 3.2% 2.9% State-owned31.9%Collective-ownedPrivate & IndividualJoint OwnershipShare HoldingHK, Macao & Taiwan3.8%Foreign Funded26.8%OthersPage 7 | Aussenwirtschaftstag Thueringen| 08.11.2012Quelle: China Statistical Yearbook 2011
These Produktion: China bleibt dominantGreater China|ShanghaiQuelle: BASF / 2011Page 8 | Aussenwirtschaftstag Thueringen| 08.11.2012
These: Go West wird Wachstum stuetzenGreater China|ShanghaiPage 9 | Aussenwirtschaftstag Thueringen| 08.11.2012
Enstehende WeltunternehmenGreater China|ShanghaiPage 10 | Aussenwirtschaftstag Thueringen| 08.11.2012
SchutzrechteGreater China|Shanghai492,604 509,879 519,209 514,046 Quelle: Deutsches Bundesamt fuer Statistik (DBS)411,671 434,663 460,658438,036564,760337,215271,917182,396Page 11 | Aussenwirtschaftstag Thueringen| 08.11.2012
ZukunftGreater China|ShanghaiGo WestPage 12 | Aussenwirtschaftstag Thueringen| 08.11.2012
Herausfor<strong>der</strong>ungenGreater China|ShanghaiPage 13 | Aussenwirtschaftstag Thueringen| 08.11.2012
ANNEX: ExporteGreater China|ShanghaiQuelle: Heng Sen Bank 2012Page 14 | Aussenwirtschaftstag Thueringen| 08.11.2012
ANNEX: GDP - Staat vs Privater SektorGreater China|ShanghaiGross Industrial Output Value of Industrial Enterprises 2000(Mrd. RMB)3%, 387.38Total Assets of Industrial Enterprises 2000(Mrd. RMB)34%,2346.468%, 522.0458%,4055.44State-owned & -holdingPrivate23%,2571.4174%,8401.50State-owned & -holdingPrivatewith Foreign, HK, Macao &Taiwan Fundwith Foreign, HK, Macao &Taiwan FundGross Industrial Output Value of Industrial Enterprises 2010(Mrd. RMB)Total Assets of Industrial Enterprises 2010(Mrd. RMB)32%,18991.7136%,21333.8632%,18586.10State-owned & -holdingPrivatewith Foreign, HK, Macao &Taiwan Fund29%,14855.2323%,11686.7848%,24775.99State-owned & -holdingPrivatewith Foreign, HK, Macao &Taiwan FundPage 15 | Aussenwirtschaftstag Thueringen| 08.11.2012Quelle: China Statistical Yearbook 2011
Greater China|ShanghaiANNEX Profitabilitaet: Staat vs PrivatsektorTotal Profits of Industrial Enterprises 2000(Mrd. RMB)Employees of Industrial Enterprises 2000(Mio. Persons)33%,128.2562%,240.83State-owned & -holdingPrivate8%, 3.4720%, 8.5372%,29.95State-owned & -holdingPrivatewith Foreign, HK, Macao &Taiwan Fundwith Foreign, HK, Macao &Taiwan Fund5%, 18.97Total Profits of Industrial Enterprises 2010(Mrd. RMB)Employees of Industrial Enterprises 2010(Mio. Persons)33%,1501.9634%,1510.2533%,1473.77State-owned & -holdingPrivatewith Foreign, HK, Macao &Taiwan Fund34%,26.4624%,18.3642%,33.12State-owned & -holdingPrivatewith Foreign, HK, Macao &Taiwan FundPage 16 | Aussenwirtschaftstag Thueringen| 08.11.2012Quelle: China Statistical Yearbook 2011
ANNEX: MaschinenbauGreater China|ShanghaiPage 17 | Aussenwirtschaftstag Thueringen| 08.11.2012
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