Figure 4: Recent Trend of Declining Agricultural GrowthSource: Dang, K.S., 2009.Stagnation of agricultural innovation has threatened performance of agricultural growth recently (seeFigure 4). Following a period of rapid growth, the sector has started to slow down remarkably. Thegrowth of agricultural GDP has fallen from 4.9 percent 1996-2000 to 3.7 percent 2001-2005, to 2.8percent in 2006 <strong>and</strong> to only 2.3 percent in 2007. Meanwhile, contribution by inputs has declinedremarkably. Much of the young <strong>and</strong> strong labor force has been withdrawn from rural areas;agricultural l<strong>and</strong> has shrunk; the use of fertilizers has increased while fertilizer costs have also gone up<strong>and</strong> there has been little progress in addressing such constraints as l<strong>and</strong> fragmentation <strong>and</strong> capitalshortage that discourage farmers to invest in farming machinery. As a result, technology innovationwill be the major force for further agricultural growth in the future.In the long run, in order to sustain agricultural growth, it is necessary to develop a new policy system.Labor will continue to decline <strong>and</strong> l<strong>and</strong> be limited. To promote further contribution of machinery <strong>and</strong>equipment there needs to be a way to exp<strong>and</strong> household-level production scale <strong>and</strong> at the same timebuild farmers’ capacity to invest more in these facilities. Science <strong>and</strong> technology is seen as the onlysustainable <strong>and</strong> exp<strong>and</strong>able means to achieve this into the future. Such a means is a joint result ofvarious activities including scientific research, agricultural extension, skilled labor, acquisition of12
international science <strong>and</strong> technological developments <strong>and</strong> application of new equipment <strong>and</strong>technologies by farmers <strong>and</strong> agrifood business sector.2.2. Poor Integration between Agriculture <strong>and</strong> IndustrySince the Doi Moi, Vietnam’s industrial sector accelerated at very high speed with 2-digit growth rate.Key industrial products included automobiles, motorbikes <strong>and</strong> electronic appliances which werestrongly invested in by foreign investors <strong>and</strong> protected by the government. However the production ofagricultural machinery <strong>and</strong> inputs was left unattended. By the late 1990s, industrial factories were stillconcentrated in urban areas. Only 28.3percent of them were located in rural areas (chemicals: 2.1%,electricity: 6.8%, mechanical engineering: 12.8%, light industry: 14.9%, construction materials: 30.9%,agricultural processing: 32.5%, paper: 45%). In recent years, industrial parks have been developed inmany provinces around Ho Chi Minh City <strong>and</strong> Hanoi occupying much fertile <strong>and</strong> irrigated l<strong>and</strong>.However, none of these provinces has been able to create enough jobs for local laborers, consume orprocess industrial materials, supply inputs <strong>and</strong> equipment for agricultural production <strong>and</strong> meet theneeds of the rural population.There was only one agricultural machinery manufacturer supplying only 25% of the domesticdem<strong>and</strong>. 2Industrial products from China, Russia, Japan <strong>and</strong> the US dominated the rural areas,ranging from fans, fabric, pottery, thermos, electrical pumps, parabolic antennas, water pumps,motorcycles <strong>and</strong> electricity generators to small vehicles, small buses <strong>and</strong> agricultural machinery. As of2003, nearly 93% of urea fertilizer supply was imported. The Phu My Urea Fertilizer plant whichbecame operational in 2004 is only able to meet 30-35% of the domestic dem<strong>and</strong>. Much of the supplyof pesticide, veterinary drugs <strong>and</strong> seedlings is still imported. As of 2000, only 12% of the total fruitoutput, 8% vegetables, 13% pork <strong>and</strong> 6% forestry products were processed.2.3. Farmer <strong>Livelihood</strong> Improved, but <strong>Rural</strong>-Urban Gap <strong>and</strong> Inequality RemainedAlong with high economic growth in the new millennium, Vietnam has achieved good performance inincome improvement <strong>and</strong> poverty reduction. Income per capita was mostly doubled both in urban <strong>and</strong>rural areas during 2002-2006. Meanwhile, poverty rate reduced significantly from 29 percent in 2002 to16 percent in 2006.2 Chinese machinery accounted for 45% <strong>and</strong> imported second-h<strong>and</strong> machinery, 28% of the market.13